Name: 台灣可能引爆第三次世界大戰？帶你看懂中美台 75 年的歷史糾葛 (Why This Island Could Trigger World War 3)
Uploaded: 2026-02-26T09:16:09.000Z
Duration: 29 min 3 s

反身代名詞

It's the 1940s and China is ripping itself apart.

現在是 1940 年代，中國正陷入內戰。

情態副詞

The ruling government is quickly losing the country to a rising communist revolution.

執政政府節節敗退，國家即將落入崛起的共產革命手中。

分詞構句

It's a well organized military movement supported by the Soviet Union, led by revolutionary Mao Zedong.

這是一場由蘇聯支持、革命家毛澤東領導的有組織軍事行動。

And they're now marching across the country, driving out the ruling government all the way down to here, where the government leaders and over a million loyalists and soldiers retreat on boats and planes across this strait to a Chinese island that had been taken over by Japan, but

他們現在正橫掃全國，將執政政府一路驅趕到這裡，政府領導人以及超過百萬的忠誠人士和阿兵哥，搭乘船隻和飛機跨越這片海峽，撤退到一個曾被日本佔領、但

毛澤東的戰士們無法再往前推進了。

They can't reach the island without a proper navy or air force, which they did not have yet.

如果沒有海軍或空軍，他們就無法抵達這座島嶼，而他們當時還沒有這些。

For now, the near defeated Republic of China is safe on this island.

暫時來說，近乎戰敗的中華民國在這座島上是安全的。

400 years before this, Portuguese explorers arrived here.

在這之前 400 年，葡萄牙探險家來到了這裡。

葡萄牙語，意為「美麗島嶼」。

It was sought after by empires from Europe to Asia for its fertile land and strategic military and trade location at the heart of Asia's ocean corridors.

歐洲到亞洲的各個帝國都覬覦這座島嶼，因為它擁有肥沃的土地，而且位於亞洲海洋走廊的中心，是重要的軍事和貿易戰略地點。

China had lost this island for 50 years to Japan.

中國已經將這座島嶼割讓給日本 50 年了。

But the winners of World War II said that China would get it back.

但第二次世界大戰的戰勝國表示，中國將會收回它。

The island was called Taiwan, and now it was home to the Republic of China's government.

這座島嶼被稱為臺灣，現在是中華民國政府的所在地。

Back here on the mainland, Mao declares the People's Republic of China a new communist nation that was to restore the greatness of the Chinese nation after years of domination by outsiders.

回到這裡的中國大陸，毛澤東宣佈中華人民共和國是一個新的共產主義國家，要在擺脫外來者多年統治後，恢復中華民族的偉大。

Literally, a day later, the Soviet Union recognizes Mao's government as the legitimate government of China.

字面上來說，隔天，蘇聯就承認了毛澤東的政府為中國的合法政府。

Both sides still claim to be the rightful government of China, and

雙方都聲稱自己是中國的合法政府，而

the Republic of China government plans to continue to fight from their island refuge to eventually take back the mainland.

中華民國政府計畫從他們的島嶼避難所繼續戰鬥，最終奪回大陸。

They rule the island with a military government that arrests, imprisons, or executes anyone suspected of disloyalty or Communist sympathy or anyone who wants independence from all of this.

他們以軍政府統治該島，逮捕、監禁或處決任何被懷疑不忠或同情共產黨，或任何想要擺脫這一切獨立的人。

Meanwhile, Mao is working on his navy, getting ready to cross this strait.

與此同時，毛澤東正在組建他的海軍，準備渡過這條海峽。

He's gathering his forces and building his capabilities to be able to complete his takeover of the entire country.

他正在集結他的部隊，並建立他的能力，以便能夠完成對整個國家的接管。

They just defeated Japan in World War II.

他們剛剛在第二次世界大戰中擊敗了日本。

They're kind of trying to leave Asia and they're eyeing all of this and deciding to not get involved.

他們有點想離開亞洲，他們正在關注這一切，並決定不介入。

They don't recognize Mao's new country, the prc, and

他們不承認毛澤東的新國家，中華人民共和國，而且

they do hate that a Communist government now controls the world's most populous country.

他們確實痛恨一個共產主義政府現在控制著世界上人口最多的國家。

But they have other priorities, namely rebuilding Europe after the big war.

但他們有其他優先事項，也就是在二戰後重建歐洲。

They've just created a big military alliance with their European allies to counter Soviet influence.

他們剛和歐洲盟友成立了一個大型軍事聯盟，用來對抗蘇聯的影響力。

The Soviet Union was their friend in the war, but is now their rival.

蘇聯在戰爭時是他們的盟友，但現在卻成了對手。

Oh, and they just got nuclear weapons like the US did four years earlier.

哦，而且他們剛獲得了核武，就像美國四年前一樣。

President Truman's Secretary of State draws this line on a map show, shows it to people at a press conference saying that anything outside this zone is outside of America's defense commitments.

杜魯門總統的國務卿在地圖上畫了一條線，在記者會上向大家展示，說這條線以外的區域都不在美國的防禦承諾範圍內。

This includes Korea and Taiwan that remember the US said would be given back to China after the war.

這包括了韓國和臺灣，記得美國說過戰後會把臺灣還給中國。

And Vietnam where local communist fighters are kicking out the French, declaring a new communist country that is being recognized by China and the Soviet Union.

還有越南，當地的共產黨戰士正在趕走法國人，宣佈成立一個新的共產主義國家，這個國家已經獲得中國和蘇聯的承認。

This is all concerning to the United States, but this is outside of their perimeter.

這一切都讓美國感到憂慮，但這卻在他們的防禦範圍之外。

Back in Washington, the communist hawks are hating that the US is letting communism spread in Asia, that Taiwan will soon fall.

回到華盛頓，那些主張強硬的共產黨人士痛恨美國讓共產主義在亞洲蔓延，認為臺灣很快就會淪陷。

But Truman says this is a civil conflict in China.

We're going to leave it to them to work out.

That is until everything changes all at once.

It's a morning in the summer of 1950 and a flood of Korean troops from the Soviet aligned side of Korea rush across this line.

這是1950年夏天的一個早晨，來自蘇聯陣營的韓國軍隊湧過了這條線。

They tear through the American aligned south, almost taking the whole country in just 11 weeks.

他們橫掃了親美的韓國南部，在短短11週內幾乎佔領了整個國家。

It's another communist revolution and these soldiers are equipped with Soviet guns, tanks and artillery.

這又是一場共產主義革命，這些阿兵哥配備了蘇聯的槍械、坦克和火砲。

They invaded only after getting the green light from the Soviet leader Joseph Stalin, who also by the way, said they needed to get the green light from Mao.

他們是在獲得蘇聯領導人約瑟夫·史達林的首肯後才發動入侵的，史達林也順帶提到，他們需要獲得毛澤東的首肯。

Now Mao had been hesitant to support this invasion of Korea, knowing that it might invite the wrath of the United States.

毛澤東當時對於支持入侵韓國猶豫不決，因為他知道這可能會招致美國的憤怒。

But he had to show that he was willing to support communist revolutions everywhere.

但他必須展現出他願意支持世界各地的共產主義革命。

Eventually he would commit some of his troops to go fight in Korea to help his fellow communists liberate the Korean peninsula.

最終，他會派遣部分軍隊前往韓國參戰，協助他的共產主義同志解放朝鮮半島。

Now the US doesn't have troops in Korea in this moment.

這時候美國在韓國並沒有派駐軍隊。

Remember it's outside of their perimeter.

請記得，這是在他們防禦範圍之外。

But now they're starting to change their mind.

This is starting to look like a coordinated communist conspiracy all across the region.

這看起來像是整個區域一場協調好的共產主義陰謀。

It's threatening to turn the whole map red.

但還有時間可以把它們推回去。

The US crosses the line that they drew a few months earlier and goes full force to stop the spread of communism.

美國跨越了他們幾個月前劃下的界線，全力阻止共產主義的擴散。

Truman tells the nation that he's sending troops to Korea.

杜魯門總統告訴全國，他正派兵前往韓國。

And in the same speech he also says that he's ordered a huge naval fleet to Taiwan to prevent any attack.

在同一場演說中，他也表示他已下令一支龐大的海軍艦隊前往臺灣，以阻止任何攻擊。

He's not going to let Mao take the island now.

他現在不會讓毛澤東佔領這個島嶼。

And to justify this sudden U turn, Truman says something that will influence how the US approaches this situation to this day.

而為了合理化這次突然的轉變，杜魯門說了一番話，這番話至今仍影響著美國處理此情勢的方式。

He says that Taiwan isn't actually officially a part of any country yet.

他說臺灣其實還不是任何國家的正式一部分。

It had been a Japanese colony until 1945.

它在1945年之前一直是日本的殖民地。

When Japan surrendered it, when they lost the war.

日本投降時，也就是他們輸掉戰爭的時候。

But they technically haven't worked out their sovereignty in any official treaty yet.

但技術上，他們還沒有在任何正式條約中確定其主權。

So for now, Taiwan's status is technically undetermined, which makes it okay for us, the United States, to move in and protect it from Mao.

所以目前，臺灣的地位在技術上是未定的，這使得我們美國可以介入並保護它免受毛澤東的侵害。

I can imagine he's feeling some regret over the green light he gave the North Koreans to invade the South.

我敢想像他對他給予北韓入侵南韓的綠燈感到有些後悔。

It was looking more like a strategic error which brought the US into his neighborhood, prevented him from taking this island.

這看起來更像是一個戰略錯誤，讓美國介入了他的地盤，阻止了他佔領這個島嶼。

And so for the next three years, this brutal Korean War rages on.

於是，在接下來的三年裡，這場殘酷的韓戰持續不斷。

It eventually settles into a tense stalemate that still hasn't ended.

這場戰爭最終演變成一個至今仍未結束的緊張僵局。

So it's 1953, and it's looking like the US is going to be in Asia for a while.

所以時間來到了1953年，看起來美國將會在亞洲待上一段時間。

All in the name of containing the spread of communism, which they do by building out a chain of island bases that form this line of defense against their communist enemies.

這一切都是為了遏制共產主義的蔓延，他們透過建立一連串的島嶼基地來形成這道防線，對抗他們的共產主義敵人。

And you can see that Taiwan is right at the center of it.

你可以看到臺灣就在這個戰略的中心。

Congress gives the President full authorization to defend Taiwan.

國會賦予總統完全的授權來保衛臺灣。

The President is allowed to put nukes on the island.

總統被允許在島上部署核子武器。

Mao, meanwhile, is reshaping his country in huge ways.

與此同時，毛澤東正在以巨大的方式重塑他的國家。

And he needs to drum up support from his people, which he does by initiating an attack, unleashing tens of thousands of rounds of artillery on these close by islands that the Republic of China still controls.

他需要從人民那裡爭取支持，他透過發動攻擊來達成，向中華民國仍然控制的附近島嶼發射了數萬發砲彈。

The US wants to show Mao how serious they are about coming to Taiwan's defense.

美國想要向毛澤東展現他們保衛臺灣的決心有多強。

US military planners draw up plans to drop nukes on the prc.

美軍規劃者擬定了對中華人民共和國投擲核子武器的計畫。

In one plan, they calculate up to a million potential casualties if they do the attack.

在其中一個計畫裡，他們估計如果發動攻擊，可能會造成高達百萬的傷亡。

But they do send in a huge armada of military hardware.

但他們確實送進來了大量的軍事硬體。

Two super aircraft carriers and their destroyer convoys, 56 combat aircraft, a bunch of their most high end missiles capable of deploying nuclear weapons.

兩艘超級航空母艦和護衛艦隊，56架戰鬥機，還有許多能部署核武的頂級飛彈。

Not to mention all the backup in Japan and the Philippines.

更別提在日本和菲律賓的支援了。

The US is there making good on its promise to defend their strategically important island, to keep supply lines open and force Mao to think twice before invading.

美國正在信守承諾，保衛這個戰略要島，維持補給線暢通，讓毛澤東在入侵前三思。

Now this is looking like the beginning of another bloody war, which is exactly what the Soviet leader back in Moscow is thinking.

這看起來像是另一場血腥戰爭的開端，這也正是莫斯科的蘇聯領導人所想的。

He sends a telegram to the United States, a pretty long telegram, telling them to back down this hasty military buildup with nukes that are all concerning a Chinese island that was never theirs.

他發了一封電報給美國，一封相當長的電報，告訴他們不要再進行這種倉促的軍事集結，用核武來威脅一個從來不屬於他們的中國島嶼。

And then he reminds the US that China isn't alone.

然後他提醒美國，中國不是孤單的。

China and the Soviet Union are friends, brothers in communism.

中國和蘇聯是朋友，是共產主義的兄弟。

And he says that an attack on China will be treated as an attack against the Soviet Union, which will lead to World War 3, this time with nukes.

他說，攻擊中國將被視為攻擊蘇聯，這將導致第三次世界大戰，這次將會動用核武。

Then he signs it sincerely and Khrushchev.

然後他署名，真誠的，赫魯曉夫。

I mean, this is a tense moment, but ultimately, both sides back down.

意思是，這是個緊張的時刻，但最終，雙方都退縮了。

The US Keeps tens of thousands of troops here.

美國在這裡保留了數萬名軍隊。

And right here across the strait, neither of the two Chinas want the other to have the last shot.

而就在海峽對岸，兩個中國都不希望對方擁有最後一擊的機會。

So they keep shooting a few shells at each other every day, eventually settling into this weird rhythm.

所以他們每天都會互相開幾砲，最終形成了一種奇怪的節奏。

毛澤東的中華人民共和國部隊開了幾砲。