Name: 美國對伊朗伊斯蘭共和國出擊！10 件你必須知道的事！ (America Strikes Islamic Republic of Iran: 10 Things You Need to Know)
Uploaded: 2026-03-04T17:41:12.000Z
Duration: 9 min 34 s

On February 28, 2026, the world woke up to a geopolitical earthquake.

2026年2月28日，全世界都感受到了一場地緣政治的巨變。

One of the most powerful and polarizing figures in modern history, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was reportedly eliminated in a massive joint U.

現代史上最具權勢且極具爭議的人物之一，艾亞圖拉·阿里·哈梅內伊，據報在一場大規模的美國與以色列聯合打擊中被消滅。

兩位以色列消息人士告訴我和我的同事塔爾·沙勒夫，以色列已證實伊朗最高領袖艾亞圖拉·阿里·哈梅內伊，已在以色列的打擊中身亡。

Two Israeli sources tell me and my colleague Tal Shalev that Israel has confirmed that the supreme leader of Iran, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has been killed as a result of those Israeli strikes.

不過，雖然頭條新聞都聚焦在這位建築師本人身上，這個故事探討的遠不止一個人。

But while the headlines are focused on the architect himself, this story is about much more than just one man.

這是數十年來意識形態戰爭、代理人戰爭，以及

It's the culmination of decades of ideological warfare, proxy battles, and

一項地區戰略終於觸及臨界點的總結。

a regional strategy that finally reached its breaking point.

我們的目標是透過消除伊朗政權迫在眉睫的威脅，來保護美國人民。

Our objective is to defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime.

And today we're breaking down 10 things you need to know about why Khamenei became a target and and what happens next.

今天我們要來解析，關於哈梅內伊為何成為目標，以及接下來會發生什麼事的 10 個重點。

Iran would have been much, much closer to a nuclear weapon, maybe even have a nuclear weapon by now.

伊朗其實會更、更接近擁有核武器，甚至可能現在就已經有了。

After the Soviet Union collapsed, the US Stood as the world's lone superpower.

蘇聯解體後，美國成為世界上唯一的超級大國。

It's the former Soviet Union that is now in trouble.

Gorbachev acknowledged that he has left the country in a dangerous state.

戈爾巴喬夫承認，他讓國家處於危險的狀態。

But as the decades passed, the unipolar moment faded.

但隨著時間過去，單極時刻逐漸消逝。

While China rose economically and Russia rebuilt its military, the a loose counterblock began to form.

中國在經濟上崛起，俄羅斯重建軍力，一個鬆散的反聯盟開始形成。

On one side, you have the U.S. eU, UK and Israel.

一邊是美國、歐盟、英國和以色列。

On the other, an alignment of Russia, China and the Islamic Republic of Iran.

另一邊則是俄羅斯、中國和伊朗伊斯蘭共和國的結盟。

Khamenei positioned the regime as the ideological spearhead of this resistance, making the Islamic Republic a central player in a new era of global competition.

哈梅內伊將伊朗政權定位為這場抵抗的意識形態先鋒，讓伊斯蘭共和國在全球競爭新時代成為關鍵參與者。

before the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Iran was actually America's primary ally in the Middle East.

但在1979年伊斯蘭革命之前，伊朗其實是美國在中東地區最重要的盟友。

When that alliance collapsed, the regional map was redrawn.

當這個聯盟瓦解時，地區版圖也隨之重繪。

Traumatized by the Iran Iraq war, where Western powers backed Saddam Hussein, Tehran began investing in the axis of resistance.

伊朗在兩伊戰爭中受創，西方國家當時支持海珊，德黑蘭是以開始投資於抵抗軸心。

But Iran does have a network of allies across the region.

但伊朗確實擁有遍佈地區的盟友網絡。

Avoid direct war by building a massive network of proxies to surround adversaries and deter them through asymmetric power.

避免與敵人直接開戰，而是建立龐大的代理人網絡來包圍對手，並透過不對稱的力量來嚇阻他們。

For nearly 40 years, it was a strategy that defined the region.

將近40年來，這一直是定義該地區的戰略。

They can also use these positions to attack US interests or threaten Israel closer to its border.

他們也能利用這些據點攻擊美國的利益，或是威脅到更靠近邊境的以色列。

The events of October 7, 2023, upended decades of regional rules.

2023年10月7日的事件，顛覆了數十年來的地區規則。

In the years that followed, the response was overwhelming.

隨後的幾年裡，反擊是壓倒性的。

Hezbollah's leadership was systematically targeted and the Assad regime in Syria eventually collapsed.

希斯堡的領導層遭到系統性打擊，敘利亞的阿薩德政權最終垮臺。

They toppled statues, including this one of Assad, and they also liberated political prisoners.

他們推倒了雕像，包括這座阿薩德的雕像，並且解放了政治犯。

Suddenly, the forward defense perimeter Tehran had spent decades building was gone.

德黑蘭數十年來建立的前線防禦網，瞬間消失了。

For the first time in his long tenure, Khamenei looked exposed and the architecture of his deterrence was crumbling.

在他漫長的任期裡，哈梅內伊首次顯得孤立無援，他建立的威懾體系也搖搖欲墜。

It must be punished and will be punished, he said.

他說，這必須受到懲罰，而且一定會受到懲罰。

The revolutionary survivor, Ali Khamenei wasn't always the obvious choice for leader.

作為革命的倖存者，艾亞圖拉·阿里·哈梅內伊並非一開始就顯然是領袖的熱門人選。

Born in 1939 and a disciple of Ayatollah Khomeini, he rose to power in 1989 despite not being the most senior cleric at the time.

他出生於1939年，是艾亞圖拉·霍梅尼的門徒，雖然當時他不是最資深的教士，但仍在1989年崛起掌權。

To make it happen, the Iranian constitution was actually amended to fit his credentials.

為了達成這點，伊朗憲法實際上被修改以符合他的資歷。

And as Supreme Leader, he had to build his power base.

而作為最高領袖，他必須建立自己的權力基礎。

He did so by aligning himself with Iran's hardline military force, the Revolutionary Guard.

他透過與伊朗強硬軍事力量伊斯蘭革命衛隊結盟來達成此目標。

To his supporters, he was a stabilizer and a guardian of sovereignty.

在支持者眼中，他是一位穩定者和國家主權的守護者。

To his detractors, he was the face of an immovable theocracy.

在批評者眼中，他是個無法撼動的神權統治的代表。

Regardless of the perspective, his almost 37 year rule made him the longest serving contemporary autocrat in the region.

無論從哪個角度來看，他將近37年的統治，使他成為該地區任期最長的當代獨裁者。

But he was becoming increasingly unpopular.

The security state expansion Under Khamenei's watch, power in Iran didn't just stay the same.

在哈梅內伊的領導下，伊朗的權力並非一成不變，而是安全國家不斷擴張。

The Supreme Leader's office grew in influence while the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, or irgc, evolved from a paramilitary group into a military economic powerhouse.

最高領袖辦公室的影響力日益增長，同時伊斯蘭革命衛隊（IRGC）也從一個準軍事組織發展成一個軍事經濟巨頭。

While the IRGC oversees the Quds Force, which is responsible for foreign operations, it's also influential in national politics.

雖然IRGC負責監督負責對外行動的聖城旅，但它在國家政治中也極具影響力。

By filtering elections and constraining reform movements, the regime shifted from revolutionary populism to a system of institutional control.

透過篩選選舉和限制改革運動，該政權從革命民粹主義轉變為制度控制體系。

It was a strategy built for durability, not flexibility.

這是一種為了持久性而非靈活性而制定的策略。

It controls key sectors of the Iranian economy oil construction, telecommunications and financial finance, and

它控制著伊朗經濟的關鍵領域，包括石油、建築、電信和金融，

is believed to hold up to 50% of the country's oil wealth, proxy power and regional reach.

並被認為掌握了該國高達50%的石油財富、代理人權力和地區影響力。

Khamenei's signature doctrine was leverage others to fight your battles.

哈梅內伊的標誌性理論是利用他人來為你爭鬥。

By funding and arming groups like Hezbollah in Lebanon, militias in Iraq and the Houthis in Yemen, the Islamic Republic of Iran achieved strategic depth and deniable pressure on its enemies.

透過資助並武裝黎巴嫩真主黨、伊拉克民兵組織以及葉門的胡塞武裝，伊朗伊斯蘭共和國達成了戰略縱深，並對敵人施加了可否認的壓力。

However, proxy warfare is a double edged sword.

然而，代理人戰爭是一把雙刃劍。

As you know, Iran's proxy armies are attacking Israel.

大家知道，伊朗的代理人軍隊正在攻擊以色列。

At the same time, the United States has moved warship to the region.

同時，美國也已將軍艦調往該區域。

When those proxies escalate too far, the sponsor eventually inherits the consequences.

當這些代理人升高衝突到某個程度時，資助者最終將承受後果。

Following the fallout of October 7th, that risk finally turned into a direct reality for Tehran.

在10月7日的餘波之後，這種風險終於變成了德黑蘭的直接現實。

A short time ago, the US military carried out massive precision strikes on the three key nuclear facilities in the Iranian regime.

不久前，美國軍隊對伊朗政權的三個關鍵核設施進行了大規模精準打擊。

Nuclear brinkmanship, nothing defined Khamenei's relationship with the west more than the regime's nuclear program.

核武的邊緣政策，沒有什麼比該政權的核武計畫更能定義哈梅內伊與西方的關係了。

Framed by Khamenei as a, quote, moral duty and a symbol of anti Western defiance, the program became the ultimate bargaining chip and the ultimate Flashpoint.

哈梅內伊將此計畫描繪成一項「道德義務」和反西方抵抗的象徵，這個計畫最終成為了終極的談判籌碼和終極的引爆點。

In early 2021, analysts estimated it could have taken Iran between nine months and two years to build a nuclear device.

在2021年初，分析師估計伊朗可能需要9個月到2年才能製造出一枚核裝置。

As negotiations stalled and sanctions intensified, the program became a symbol of resistance to some.

隨著談判停滯、制裁加劇，這項計畫對某些人來說成了抵抗的象徵。

But to the US And Israel, it was a destabilizing threat that effectively painted a target on the regime's back.

但對美國和以色列來說，這是一個破壞穩定的威脅，等於在政權背後畫了個靶子。

We have completed our very successful attack on the three nuclear sites in Iran, including the Fordo site, Natanz and Esfahan.

我們已經成功完成了對伊朗三個核設施的大規模攻擊，包括福爾多、納坦茲和伊斯法罕。

While Khamenei was defiant on the world stage, he faced growing pressure at home.

雖然哈梅內伊在國際舞臺上態度強硬，但他在國內面臨的壓力卻越來越大。

From the Green movement to the 2022 Mahsa Amini protests and recent economic unrest, the regime responded with increasing force.

從綠色運動到2022年的瑪莎·艾米尼抗議，以及近期的經濟動盪，政權都以越來越強硬的手段回應。

What we're witnessing at the moment is different.

我們此刻所見證的，情況有所不同。

These protests are mainly led by women, and

they have the support across the full spectrum of Iranian society.

並且獲得了伊朗社會各階層的支持。

Executions rose and civil society constricted, creating a paradox.

處決人數增加，公民社會受到壓制，形成了一個矛盾。

The regime looked powerful and defiant externally, but was becoming increasingly brittle internally.

政權對外看起來強大且無畏，但內部卻變得越來越脆弱。

By 2026, the greatest threat to the Islamic Republic wasn't just an invasion.

到2026年，伊斯蘭共和國面臨的最大威脅，不再僅僅是入侵。

Ayatollah Ali Khameneiyeh today accused demonstrators of damaging public property to please the US President.

艾亞圖拉·阿里·哈梅內伊今日指控示威者為了討好美國總統而破壞公共財產。

By early 2026, the walls were closing in.

With Hamas and Hezbollah weakened and the IRGC facing decapitation strikes, the regime's untouchable status vanished.

隨著哈瑪斯和真主黨勢力減弱，以及伊朗革命衛隊面臨斬首打擊，該政權不可觸碰的地位已消失。

As you said, we're seeing the largest buildup of firepower in this region, and

正如你所說，我們正看到該地區火力最大的集結，

that says a lot since the invasion of Iraq in 2003.

這點很重要，因為自2003年入侵伊拉克以來。

And once the perimeter collapsed, the architect of the system became its greatest liability.

一旦這個防線崩潰，這個體系的締造者就成了它最大的負擔。

The decision to target Khamenei wasn't just a symbolic gesture.

鎖定哈梅內伊的決定不只是一個象徵性的姿態。

It was a structural move to dismantle the very head of the regional resistance network.

這是一個結構性的行動，旨在瓦解地區抵抗網絡的核心。

Iran's formerly supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, is dead.

伊朗前最高領袖，艾亞圖拉·哈梅內伊，已逝。

The biggest question following the strike is what happens next?

這次打擊後最大的問題是接下來會發生什麼？

Many predicted that the death of the supreme leader would cause the umma to rise in a unified revolt.

許多人預測，最高領袖的死會讓烏瑪（穆斯林社群）團結起來起義。

However, history suggests a different outcome.

然而，歷史顯示了不同的結果。

When Qasem Soleimani was killed in 2020, there were threats and outrage, but no regional uprising.

2020年卡西姆·蘇萊曼尼被殺時，雖然有威脅和憤怒，但並沒有引發地區性的起義。

While Soleimani was not a religious figure, Khamenei's perch as a Shia theocrat actually made him despised by Sunnis who resented the regime's meddling.

雖然蘇萊曼尼不是宗教人物，但哈梅內伊作為什葉派神權統治者的地位，實際上讓他被遜尼派所憎恨，因為他們不滿該政權的幹預。