Name: 唐納德-特朗普迎來第二個任期 100 天 | BBC 新聞 (Donald Trump marks 100 days of second term | BBC News)
Uploaded: 2025-04-29T16:42:46.000Z
Duration: 5 min 45 s

Let's talk a little bit more about the 100 days we've seen since Donald Trump returned to the White House.

讓我們再來談談唐納德-特朗普重返白宮後的100天。

It came, that return, with the help of voters outside his base.

這次迴歸是在他的基礎選民之外的選民的幫助下實現的。

Many were concerned about inflation and the economy.

許多人對通貨膨脹和經濟感到擔憂。

In the end, they decided to give the billionaire from New York another turn in the White House.

最後，他們決定讓這位來自紐約的億萬富翁再次入主白宮。

But latest polling figures suggest the president's approval rating has dropped, and it has dropped to its lowest level.

但最新的民調數據顯示，總統的支持率有所下降，而且降到了最低水平。

His poll numbers could be lower, in fact, than any past president at this point in their term.

事實上，他的民調數字可能比以往任何一位總統任期內的民調數字都要低。

A survey found that 39% of respondents said they approve of how Trump is handling his job as president. 55% say they disapprove.

一項調查發現，39% 的受訪者表示贊同特朗普處理總統工作的方式。55%的人表示不贊成。

And to put that in perspective, the previous low was 42%, and that was for Trump back in 2017.

從這個角度來看，此前的最低值是 42%，那是 2017 年特朗普的最低值。

On specific issues, 72% said they think it's very or somewhat likely that his economic policies will cause a recession in the short term.

在具體問題上，72% 的人認為他的經濟政策在短期內導致經濟衰退的可能性非常大或比較大。

And even on immigration, a signature issue for the president, 53% disapprove of the way he is handling things.

即使在移民這個總統的標誌性問題上，也有53%的人不贊成他的處理方式。

So let's get into all of this with US pollster and author John Zogby, who joins me now.

現在，讓我們與美國民調專家、作家約翰-佐格比一起探討這一切。

It's so interesting, some of the detail, John.

其中的一些細節非常有趣，約翰。

And I'm hoping you can shed some light into some of those figures that I just shared with our viewers, particularly whether or not we're looking at the independents, those that are perhaps experiencing some buyer's remorse, who have responded to the survey saying they're not happy with President Trump.

我希望你能對我剛才與觀眾分享的一些數據做些說明，特別是我們是否在關注那些無黨派人士，那些可能正在經歷一些買方反悔的人，他們在調查中表示對特朗普總統不滿意。

I think that's the key phrase, buyer's remorse.

我想這就是關鍵詞，"買家的懊悔"。

He lost independence to Joe Biden in 2020.

他在 2020 年的獨立選舉中輸給了喬-拜登。

And in 2024, he won among independents, but now he's 11 points upside down among independents, double digits.

2024年，他在無黨派人士中獲勝，但現在他在無黨派人士中的支持率倒退了11個百分點，達到兩位數。

That means he's lost a considerable amount of them.

這意味著他失去了相當多的人。

And it also means that it's the difference between having won a majority of the popular vote, actually, in 2024, and now being upside down in the popular vote.

這也意味著，在2024年贏得多數民眾選票與現在民眾選票倒掛之間的差別。

And John, is a lot of this down to the fact that people are unhappy with how he's handling the economy?

約翰，這很大程度上是因為人們對他處理經濟的方式不滿嗎？

And the ironic thing is that the impact of inflation has been reduced in actual terms.

具有諷刺意味的是，通貨膨脹的影響實際上已經減弱。

The growth of inflation is down, and yet consumer confidence is the lowest that it's been since the 1950s.

通脹率增長下降，但消費者信心卻達到了自上世紀 50 年代以來的最低點。

John, what about issues like immigration?

It was such a signature issue for Donald Trump on the campaign trail, and he's signed a flurry of executive orders over it.

這是唐納德-特朗普在競選活動中的一個標誌性議題，他為此簽署了一系列行政命令。

How do people feel about what he's done on immigration?

人們對他在移民問題上的所作所為有何看法？

It's the one issue that he continues to get more voters who approve of what he's doing than disapprove, although those numbers of approval are down.

在這一問題上，支持他工作的選民仍然多於不支持的選民，儘管支持率有所下降。

But it's also the issue besides the economy that is generating and congealing the opposition to him right now.

但除了經濟問題之外，這也是目前產生和凝結反對他的力量的問題。

What about those that are true Republicans, John?

那些真正的共和黨人呢，約翰？

Well, in terms of those who identify as Republicans, he's still getting 88, 89% support.

在共和黨人中，他仍然獲得88%到89%的支持率。

Now, there are those who were Republican, maybe still feel that they are, but are now identifying themselves as independent.

現在，有些人曾經是共和黨人，也許現在仍然覺得自己是共和黨人，但現在卻把自己定位為獨立人士。

You know, Republican-leaning independent, and those are the ones that he appears to be losing at a higher pace than any other group.

你知道，傾向於共和黨的獨立人士，這些人似乎是他正在失去的人，比其他任何群體都要多。

A lot is being made of this poll, John, and the fact that his poll numbers could be lower than any past president at this point.

約翰，這次民調的結果引起了很多人的關注，他的民調結果可能比以往任何一位總統的民調結果都要低。

But to put it all in perspective, of course, the previous low was 42%, and that was also for Donald Trump back in 2017.

當然，從這個角度來看，此前的最低值是42%，那也是唐納德-特朗普在2017年的最低值。

And yet here we are, another Trump presidency.

然而，我們到了，又一個特朗普總統任期。

So how much should we really read into this?

那麼，我們到底應該從多大程度上解讀這件事呢？

Well, what we can understand is that this is a honeymoon period, that we're celebrating the end of the honeymoon period.

我們可以理解的是，現在是蜜月期，我們正在慶祝蜜月期的結束。

And that is when, under normal circumstances, presidents mobilize public opinion, push through their agenda, especially when Trump got a majority of the vote and won all of the battleground states.

在正常情況下，總統都會在這個時候動員公眾輿論，推動他們的議程，尤其是特朗普獲得了多數選票，贏得了所有戰場州的選舉。

This is a time that he's supposed to emerge triumphant as having had a successful period, and now the press will pounce.

此時此刻，他本該凱旋而歸，因為他度過了一個成功的時期，而現在媒體會撲上來。

It appears from all of the polling that he has squandered this opportunity.

從所有的民調結果來看，他似乎已經浪費了這次機會。

Is any bit polling being done on what they have been doing over these past 100 days, their reaction to this Trump presidency as well?

在過去的100天裡，他們都在做些什麼，他們對特朗普當選總統的反應如何，是否也做了一些民意調查？

Many people feeling that they've lost a sense of direction, that they're not fighting back in a way that they perhaps should have.

許多人覺得他們失去了方向感，他們沒有以一種或許本該有的方式進行反擊。

Well, yeah, but two different things here.

One is, as far as the polling is concerned, Democrats have solid support among Democrats.

其一，就民意調查而言，民主黨人在民主黨人中擁有堅實的支持。

They're doing better among independents than they were after the Trump victory.

他們在無黨派人士中的表現比特朗普獲勝後更好。

But part of the problem is that right now, what's emerging triumphant for Democrats is one side.

但問題的一部分在於，現在民主黨取得勝利的只是其中一方。

That's the Bernie Sanders AOC, very progressive side of the party that is fighting, and where most observers think that if they emerge as dominant within the party, they'll alienate more moderate voters.

大多數觀察家認為，如果他們在黨內佔據主導地位，就會疏遠更多溫和派選民。

John, really interesting to talk to you as always.

約翰，和你哈拉一如既往地有趣。