Name: 中東油氣設施遭攻擊！全球能源安全恐受影響？| DW 新聞 (What the attacks on oil & gas facilites in the Middle East mean for global energy security | DW News)
Uploaded: 2026-03-20T17:22:47.000Z
Duration: 18 min 47 s

US President Donald Trump has warned Iran not to launch any further attacks on gas facilities in Qatar after Tehran launched multiple strikes on infrastructure in the country.

美國總統唐納·川普警告伊朗，在德黑蘭對卡達的基礎設施發動多次襲擊後，不要再對卡達的天然氣設施發動任何進一步攻擊。

分詞構句

Iran targeted the Ras Lafan liquefied natural gas hub on Wednesday evening, causing extensive damage.

伊朗於週三晚間襲擊了拉凡液化天然氣中心，造成廣泛損壞。

It's the world's largest complex of its kind.

這是全球同類設施中規模最大的。

It processes gas from Qatar's north field in the Persian Gulf.

它處理來自波斯灣卡達北部氣田的天然氣。

Tehran says the strikes were in retaliation for an Israeli attack on Iran's South Pars facilities earlier in the day.

德黑蘭表示，此次襲擊是為了報復以色列當天早些時候對伊朗南帕斯設施的襲擊。

Iran is heavily dependent on gas and uses it to generate about 80% of the country's electricity.

伊朗嚴重依賴天然氣，並利用其發電，約佔該國電力的80%。

President Trump said neither the US nor Qatar knew anything about the attack there on the South Paris field, adding that Israel had acted out of anger.

川普總統表示，美國和卡達都不知道南帕斯氣田發生的襲擊事件，並補充說以色列是出於憤怒而採取行動。

In a statement online, he stressed that it would not happen again.

他在網上發表的聲明中強調，這種情況不會再發生了。

No more attacks will be made by Israel, he wrote, pertaining to this extremely important and valuable South Pars field, unless Iran unwisely decides to attack a very innocent, in this case, Qatar, in which instance the United States of America, with or without the help or consent of Israel, will massively blow up the entirety of the South Pars gas field.

他寫道，以色列不會再發動攻擊，這關係到這個極其重要且寶貴的南帕斯氣田，除非伊朗不明智地決定攻擊一個非常無辜的國家，在此情況下，美國，無論是否有以色列的幫助或同意，都將大規模摧毀整個南帕斯氣田。

defense Secretary Pete Tetzith told reporters that Iran is following a pattern of exploiting energy supplies, but

國防部長皮特·特茲斯告訴記者，伊朗正在利用能源供應，但

that it may want to reconsider this strategy.

它或許應該重新考慮這個策略。

We have allies pursuing objectives as well.

I mean, President Trump was very clear about that.

我是說，川普總統對此非常清楚。

伊朗數十年來一直在武器化能源。

Israel clearly sent a warning and POTUS has made it clear, very clear.

以色列顯然發出了警告，美國總統也已明確表態，非常清楚。

Iran knows when you hit Carg island and you hit military capabilities on Carg island, which is the only thing we hit, we can hold anything at issue, anything.

伊朗知道，當你們攻擊卡格島，攻擊卡格島上的軍事能力時，而那是我們唯一攻擊的目標，我們就能掌握任何議題，任何事情。

The United States military controls the fate of that country.

美國軍隊掌握著那個國家的命運。

Iran has the ability to make the right choices.

It should not, going forward, target Arab allies, Arab countries trying to create pain, the pain that they created themselves.

未來，他們不應該再針對阿拉伯盟友、針對試圖製造痛苦的阿拉伯國家，那些他們自己造成的痛苦。

Christoph Rule, he's an economist specializing in macroeconomics and energy economics.

克里斯托夫·魯爾，他是一位專精於宏觀經濟學和能源經濟學的經濟學家。

I just want to get your reaction to what we've been hearing in the last hour.

我想聽聽你對我們剛才一小時聽到的內容有什麼看法。

The Israeli prime Minister making it clear that the US President had nothing to do with these attacks.

以色列總理明確表示，美國總統與這些攻擊無關。

I mean, obviously there's the diplomatic part of this, but there's also.

我的意思是，顯然這有外交層面，但也有。

There has to be an attempt here to settle the nerves of a jittery global energy market.

這裡必須有人設法安撫緊張不安的全球能源市場。

And I think what matters here is not so much whether Israel did it without the US's knowledge, which is probably hard to believe, whether they did it out of fury and without thinking, which is even harder to believe, or whether they are all now backpedaling trying to get Trump out of the line of fire, as your correspondent has said, what really matters here is the reaction of Iran.

我認為這裡重要的不是以色列是否在美國不知情的情況下動手，這很難讓人相信，也不是他們是出於憤怒而衝動行事，這更難讓人相信，又或者他們現在都在試圖讓川普脫離戰火，就像你們的記者說的，這裡真正重要的是伊朗的反應。

Number one, that they are willing to escalate this a step further.

第一，他們願意讓事態進一步升級。

And number two, that they do have the capacity, despite what the American defense minister just said, still have the capacity to target precisely not only energy in general or the Gulf neighbors in general, but

第二，儘管美國國防部長剛才說了什麼，他們仍然有能力精準打擊，不僅僅是整體能源或整體波斯灣鄰國，

precisely a particular field, precisely the industrial city which the gas is produced precisely where it hurts.

而是精準打擊特定氣田，精準打擊生產天然氣的工業城市，打擊最痛的地方。

And this looks to energy markets as a strategy which can escalate even further.

這對能源市場來說，看起來是一種可以進一步升級的策略。

And every day which passes by, it becomes harder and harder for the Trumps and Netanyahu on the other side to de escalate and to get their way out, if that's what they want.

而且隨著時間一天天過去，川普和內塔尼亞胡要降溫局勢並如願以償，如果他們真的想要的話，會變得越來越困難。

When you consider that crude prices shot up yet again today and you see what's happening tonight, what we're hearing from the White House as well as from the Israeli prime minister, it looks like these leaders saw a situation that was about to get out of control and they've tried to pull us back from the brink of a global energy catastrophe.

當你想到原油價格今天又再次飆升，看到今晚發生的事，以及我們從白宮和以色列總理那裡聽到的消息，這些領導人似乎看到了一個即將失控的局面，並試圖將我們從全球能源災難的邊緣拉回來。

Clearly it is inconceivable to me as an energy economist and I think to every single one of my peers globally, how you could start a war against Iran without having a plan against eventualities such as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz or attacks on the Gulf countries.

作為一名能源經濟學家，而且我認為全球所有同行都會同意，無法想像怎麼會有人在沒有應對荷姆茲海峽關閉或波斯灣國家遭受攻擊等突發情況的計畫下，就對伊朗開戰。

Because not only has Iran indicated all along that they would use these levers, everybody in the US and in the west in general, in military and economic and in energy circles has warned of that and as for 40 years now, said be careful.

因為伊朗一直以來都表明他們會動用這些手段，而且美國和西方整體，在軍事、經濟和能源領域的各界人士，也都警告過這一點，並且已經說了40年了，要小心。

There is this choke point which we need to watch out for.

有一個我們需要留意的關鍵瓶頸。

And then to go and start it without Plan B is the first surprise.

然後就這樣開始，卻沒有B計畫，這是第一個讓人驚訝的地方。

But to to your question, it becomes more difficult for Mr. Trump and Mr.

但回到你的問題，川普先生和內塔尼亞胡先生要從一方面抽身變得越來越困難。

Netanyahu sort of step out of there on the one side and it becomes clearer.

There's a strategy of asymmetric warfare on part of the Iran is bearing fruit.

伊朗的非對稱作戰策略正在開花結果。

They don't seem to have only isolated groups shooting blind rockets.

他們似乎不只是一群單獨的團體盲目發射火箭。

And as somebody said, you can paralyze a place like Dubai with a rocket per month.

有人說過，每個月只要一顆火箭，就能癱瘓像杜拜這樣的地方。

You don't need to have the same kind of follow.

It's an example of asymmetric warfare and it seems to be working.

這就是非對稱作戰的例子，而且似乎奏效了。

And considering the volatility that we've seen in this region just the amount of violence and the attacks.

考量到這個地區我們看到的動盪，以及暴力和攻擊的程度。

Are you surprised that we haven't seen oil prices in particular shoot up even more?

你會不會驚訝，我們沒有看到油價特別飆升更多？

I mean, it almost seems on the outside that the markets are rather restrained and in their worried reactions it seems like that.

我是說，從外面看，市場似乎相當剋制，而且在他們的擔憂反應中，似乎是這樣。

What happens here is that markets are more worried about things which may yet come than about the current disruptions.

這裡發生的情況是，市場更擔心還可能發生的事情，而不是目前的幹擾。

Oil markets, for example, have been extremely well supplied.

例如，石油市場的供應一直都非常充足。

And even a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.

而且就連荷姆茲海峽發生斷供。

As long as Saudi Arabia can use this pipeline, they have to ship parts of that at least through the Red Sea.

只要沙烏地阿拉伯能使用這條油管，他們至少得透過紅海運送部分原油。

Not quite the 20% which is always mentioned in price, it's a little less.

並不是總是提到的價格上漲20%，而是稍微少一點。

And inventories in China, in Europe, in the US everywhere are very, very well supplied.

而且中國、歐洲、美國等地的庫存都非常非常充足。

So markets could take that hit without massive price spikes.

所以市場可以承受這次衝擊，而不會出現大規模的價格飆升。

And that you see these attempts for prices to go higher and higher as always that there seems to be always another round which nobody seems thought was conceivable.

而且你看到這些試圖讓價格不斷上漲的舉動，就像總是會有另一輪，而似乎沒有人認為這是可以想像的。

Like now the attack on the parts field to come and then who knows what's next that would worry markets.

就像現在攻擊南帕斯設施，然後誰知道接下來會發生什麼，這會讓市場擔心。

而南帕斯是一個巨大的氣田，但是

the part which is controlled by Iran serves, as you have mentioned, Iran's domestic economy.

伊朗控制的部分，正如你所提到的，是為了伊朗的國內經濟服務。

So by blowing that up, that's one of the dilemmas the Americans have.

所以炸毀它，這就是美國人面臨的困境之一。

They would make it impossible for Iran, should there ever be a regime change, to run their economy in a half a sensible way for the next few years because they had no power and no gas.

他們會讓伊朗，如果有一天政權更迭，未來幾年都無法以半點像樣的方式經營經濟，因為他們沒有電力也沒有天然氣。

And for Qatar and for the rest of the world, this field produces exactly the liquefied natural gas which has saved Europe.

而卡達和世界其他地方，這個氣田生產的正是拯救了歐洲的液化天然氣。

When Russia attacked Ukraine in the pipeline was interrupted.

當俄羅斯攻擊烏克蘭時，輸氣管道中斷了。

So it's also something you don't want to lose.

所以這也是你不希望失去的東西。

And that's where this caution comes from which we are observing now.

這就是我們現在觀察到的謹慎態度的來源。

Christophe Ruhl, as always, Mr. Rule, we appreciate your time and your valuable insights tonight.

克里斯托夫·魯爾，魯爾先生，一如既往，感謝您今晚的時間和寶貴的見解。

Well, I'm joined now by Benjamin Schmidt.

好的，現在和我一起的是 Benjamin Schmidt。

He's a senior fellow with the Democratic Resilience Program at the center for European Policy Analysis.

他是歐洲政策分析中心民主韌性計畫的高級研究員。

I mean, each side in this war has now attacked oil related infrastructure.

我的意思是，這場戰爭的雙方都攻擊了與石油相關的基礎設施。

How worried are you about oil production being maintained in the Gulf region?

您對波斯灣地區的石油產量能否維持有多擔心？

Well, look, Brent, it's not time to be worried.

嗯，你看，Brent，現在不是擔心的時候。

We're just going to have to keep up with this as we go.

I'm looking at the laundry list of Iranian strikes against Arabic, both natural gas and oil facilities, you have the Qatar facility, one of the largest in the world for producing LNG, which of course the EU imports roughly 12% so far this year.

我看到伊朗對阿拉伯的攻擊清單，包括天然氣和石油設施，像是卡達的設施，那是全球最大的液化天然氣生產設施之一，歐盟今年至今大約進口了 12% 的液化天然氣。

12% 的液化天然氣進口來自卡達。

Iran also targeted oil facilities in Kuwait's Mina Al Abadi and Mina Abdullah refineries.

伊朗也攻擊了科威特的米納阿巴迪和米納阿布杜拉煉油廠的石油設施。

Aramco reports the refinery was hit in Saudi Arabia.

Aramco 報導沙烏地阿拉伯的煉油廠遭到襲擊。

And the UAE has intercepted some, some incoming missiles and ordinance aimed at its oil production capabilities.

阿聯酋也攔截了一些針對其石油生產能力的來襲導彈和彈藥。

所以，Brent，這就是，這就是。

I mean, if we're talking about energy security threats, which of course, you and I have talked about many times over the years, this is again, just like Russia's open attacks on civil energy infrastructure in Ukraine.

我的意思是，如果我們談論能源安全威脅，這當然是你我多年來多次談論過的，這就像俄羅斯對烏克蘭民用能源基礎設施的公開攻擊一樣。

This is the apex of energy security threats around the world.

這就是全球能源安全威脅的頂峰。

And what has been attacked is not just any place.

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中東油氣設施遭攻擊！全球能源安全恐受影響？| DW 新聞 (What the attacks on oil & gas facilites in the Middle East mean for global energy security | DW News)

strategy

multiple

scale

infrastructure