Name: 委內瑞拉危機，你必須知道的10件事！ (10 Things You Need to Know About the Venezuela Crisis)
Uploaded: 2026-01-08T17:13:17.000Z
Duration: 18 min 3 s

情態副詞

We obviously have to start with the capture and indictment of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

我們當然要從委內瑞拉總統 Maduro 的被捕和起訴開始說起。

And today we're breaking down the Trump administration's capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and its seismic implications.

今天我們要來解析 Trump administration 如何逮捕委內瑞拉總統 Maduro，以及這件事的重大影響。

He gets up there and he tries to imitate my dance a little bit, but

他站起來，試圖模仿我的舞步，但

Good morning, I'm Allison Kossick and we're coming on the air this morning to tell you that President Trump has confirmed that strikes on Venezuela just before dawn on January 3, 2026.

早安，我是 Allison Kossick，我們今天一早就要告訴大家，川普總統證實了在 2026 年 1 月 3 日破曉前對委內瑞拉發動了攻擊。

The long running standoff between Washington and Caracas crossed a line that few believed would actually be crossed.

華盛頓和加拉加斯之間長期的對峙，越過了許多人認為不可能越過的界線。

A US Operation in Venezuela's capital and largest city ended with Nicolas Maduro being taken into custody and flown to the United States.

在委內瑞拉首都兼最大城市的 US Operation 結束時，Maduro 被拘留並飛往美國。

All Venezuelan military capacities were rendered perilous as the men and women of our military working with US Law enforcement successfully.

我們軍隊的男女官兵與 US Law enforcement 成功合作，讓所有委內瑞拉的軍事能力都變得危險。

Within days, the image defining the crisis shifted from smoke and debris in the Venezuelan capital to a courtroom in Manhattan.

幾天之內，定義這場危機的畫面，從委內瑞拉首都的煙霧和瓦礫，轉變為 Manhattan 的法庭。

There, Maduro appeared on January 5, declared that he'd been captured and insisted he remained Venezuela's president as he pleaded not guilty to federal charges.

在那裡，Maduro 於 1 月 5 日出庭，聲稱自己被捕，並堅稱自己仍是委內瑞拉總統，同時對聯邦指控表示不認罪。

In a single weekend, the conflict moved from sanctions and diplomacy into the realm of precedent setting force.

在一個週末內，這場衝突從制裁和外交轉變為開創先例的武力領域。

Before January 3rd, this was pressure politics.

在 1 月 3 日之前，這是壓力政治。

After it was, the global rules of engagement themselves were up for debate.

之後，全球交戰規則本身就成了辯論的焦點。

Maduro and Flores have been indicted in the Southern district of New York.

Maduro 和 Flores 已在 Southern district of New York 被起訴。

Jay Clayton for their campaign of deadly narco terrorism against the United States and its citizens.

Jay Clayton 指控其針對美國及其公民的致命毒品恐怖主義行動。

I want to thank the men and women of our military who achieved such an extraordinary success overnight.

我要感謝我們軍隊中那些在一夜之間取得如此非凡成就的男女們。

Yeah, we've really seen a, you know, a bunch of sanctions, you know, get announced in the past couple weeks, you know, specifically targeting, you know, companies and vessels with ties to Venezuela, including, you know, some companies involved in the Venezuela and Iranian weapons trade.

是的，我們在過去幾週內看到了一系列制裁措施的宣佈，這些措施特別針對與委內瑞拉有關聯的公司和船隻，包括一些參與委內瑞拉和伊朗武器貿易的公司。

After years of escalating pressure, criminal indictments, diplomatic isolation, oil sanctions and partial rollbacks.

在多年升級的壓力、刑事起訴、外交孤立、石油制裁和部分撤銷之後。

That's not even mentioning repeated warnings that Maduro's inner circle was being treated less like a government and more like a transnational criminal network.

這還沒提到不斷警告 Maduro 的親信被視為跨國犯罪網絡，而非政府。

Over time, law enforcement language blended with national security framing, shrinking the distance between courtroom logic and military planning.

隨著時間推移，執法部門的語言與國家安全框架融合，縮短了法庭邏輯與軍事規劃之間的距離。

Secretary Rubio argued the US Is at war with drug trafficking operations, not Venezuela.

Secretary Rubio 認為，美國正與毒品販運行動作戰，而非與委內瑞拉作戰。

As President Trump suggested neighboring Colombia could be next.

川普總統暗示，鄰國哥倫比亞可能也會是下一個。

The top eight congressional leaders are due for a classified briefing today.

今天，國會八位領導人將進行一場機密簡報。

According to four sources with lawmakers in both parties pressing for more information for all of Congress.

根據四位消息人士透露，兩黨的國會議員都在積極爭取讓整個國會獲得更多資訊。

By the time the operation happened, the groundwork had already been laid, rhetorically and politically.

到了這次行動發生的時候，無論是言論上還是政治上，基礎都已經打好了。

What changed wasn't the accusation, it was the willingness to act on it.

改變的不是指控本身，而是採取行動的意願。

That's what makes this moment different from every previous standoff.

這就是為什麼這個時刻與以往每一次的對峙都不同。

Yeah, there's been a little bit of mixed messaging.

Here is right before Christmas, we heard from the White House that the.

在聖誕節前夕，我們從白宮聽說了...

The posture is that they wanted to really focus on economic sanctions.

這種姿態是他們想要真正專注於經濟制裁。

So that is, you know, sanctioning vessels, oil tankers, oil companies, and

所以，你知道，就是制裁船隻、油輪、石油公司，

sort of using, you know, what we've seen, sort of intercepting a lot of those oil tankers, you know, sort of to exert, you know, financial pressure on Maduro's regime.

然後，你知道，利用我們所看到的，像是攔截了許多油輪，你知道，以此來對Maduro政權施加經濟壓力。

We have more breaking news just coming in.

Delsey Rodriguez has been sworn in as the new president of Venezuela.

Delsey Rodriguez 已宣誓就任委內瑞拉新總統。

It comes as mixed reactions pour in from around the world after that surprise US Mission in Venezuela.

這是在美國這次突襲委內瑞拉任務後，世界各地湧現的各種混雜反應。

We should mention Rodriguez used to be the vice president under Nicolas Maduro.

我們應該提到，Rodriguez 曾是 Nicolas Maduro 的副總統。

Now she's being sworn in as interim president there.

現在她被宣誓就任該國的臨時總統。

One of the most striking aspects of the crisis was how quickly and frantically Venezuela's institutions moved to protect continuity.

這場危機最引人注目的方面之一，就是委內瑞拉的機構為了維持延續性，行動得有多麼迅速和倉促。

Within days of Maduro's removal, Vice President Delsey Rodriguez was sworn in as interim president, with the ceremony overseen by National Assembly President Jorge Rodriguez.

在Maduro下臺幾天內，副總統 Delsey Rodriguez 就被宣誓就任臨時總統，儀式由國民議會議長 Jorge Rodriguez 主持。

UBC's Max Cameron has studied Latin American politics for more than three decades.

UBC 的 Max Cameron 研究拉丁美洲政治已超過三十年。

I think that there's going to be a complicated game of chicken that's going to be played between Delsey Rodriguez and Marco Rubio and Donald Trump.

我認為 Delsey Rodriguez、Marco Rubio 和 Donald Trump 之間將會有一場複雜的膽小鬼遊戲。

And where that goes is incredibly uncertain.

而這場遊戲的走向極度不確定。

It reassured parts of the bureaucracy and security forces that the state hadn't collapsed.

這讓部分官僚和安全部隊感到安心，認為國家並未崩潰。

但這也引發了一些棘手的問題。

This wasn't a sweeping transition led by the opposition.

這並非反對派主導的大規模轉型。

It was a handoff within the existing power structure designed to stabilize first and negotiate later.

這是在現有權力結構內的一次交接，目的是先穩定局勢，再進行談判。

Whether that choice prevents chaos or simply preserves the system under a new face is now one of the central tensions shaping Venezuela's future.

這個選擇究竟是能阻止混亂，還是僅僅讓體制換個新面孔延續下去，現在是塑造委內瑞拉未來的主要張力之一。

She has offered some conflicting statements.

她提出了一些相互矛盾的說法。

Right about what exactly, if any, cooperation there would be.

關於到底會有什麼程度的合作，如果有的話。

With the Trump administration initially striking a very defiant tone, then releasing a statement yesterday suggesting that there might be some room for cooperation or at least negotiation.

一開始 Trump administration 的態度非常強硬，但昨天發布的聲明卻暗示可能還有一些合作空間，或者至少是談判的空間。

Donald Trump has been unambiguous that Venezuelan oil and the commercial opportunity it represents for American companies were a primary reason for the removal of President Maduro.

Donald Trump 已經明確表示，委內瑞拉的石油以及它對美國公司代表的商業機會，是罷免 Maduro 總統的主要原因。

And that's because Venezuela has the largest oil reserves on earth.

這是因為委內瑞拉擁有地球上最大的石油儲量。

An estimated 300 billion barrels lying untapped.

The crisis became global the moment oil entered the conversation, which was pretty much immediately.

一旦石油進入對話，危機就變成了全球性的，而且幾乎是立即發生的。

Venezuela's vast reserves of the stuff make it impossible to separate politics from energy.

委內瑞拉龐大的石油儲量，使得政治和能源問題密不可分。

And talk of rebuilding, reopening production and renegotiating access followed fast.

隨後很快就出現了關於重建、恢復生產和重新談判准入的討論。

Whoever governs next will also decide who gets paid, who gets contracts, and who gets left out.

無論誰接下來執政，都將決定誰能獲得報酬、誰能獲得合約，以及誰會被排除在外。

And today, Venezuela produces less than a million barrels a day.

而今天，委內瑞拉每天的產量不到一百萬桶。

Now, given there are sanctions in place, it's worth asking where those barrels of oil end up.

既然有制裁存在，我們就值得問問，這些石油最後都流向哪裡了。

And this chart shows the Caesar exports in Venezuela in the last year.

這張圖顯示了委內瑞拉去年的 Caesar 出口量。

And the bulk goes to China, much of it under exemption to repay historic loans.

大部分都流向中國，其中很多是透過豁免來償還歷史債務。

But the balance goes to the United States, which has granted Chevron a license to operate in Venezuela despite the sanctions.

但其餘的則流向美國，儘管有制裁，美國還是授予了雪佛龍在委內瑞拉營運的許可證。

That reality sharpened international reactions and fueled skepticism at home.

這個現實加劇了國際上的反應，並在家中引發了懷疑。

For many Venezuelans, the fear wasn't abstract geopolitics.

對許多委內瑞拉人來說，恐懼並非抽象的地緣政治。

It was the worry that regime change might be less about democratic recovery and more around resource management.

而是擔心政權更迭可能與其說是民主復甦，不如說是圍繞資源管理。

Given President Trump's repeated mentions of oil.

考量到川普總統曾多次提到石油。

We're going to have our very large United States oil companies, the biggest anywhere in the world, go in, spend billions of dollars, fix the badly broken infrastructure, the oil infrastructure, and

我們要讓美國規模最大的石油公司，也就是全球最大的那些公司，進去，花費數十億美元，修復嚴重損壞的基礎設施，石油基礎設施，然後

I want to start with this big picture question.

我想從這個大方向的問題開始。

Is the United States now at war with Venezuela?

美國現在是否與委內瑞拉處於戰爭狀態？

We are at war against drug trafficking organizations is not a war against Venezuela.

我們是在對販毒組織開戰，而不是對委內瑞拉開戰。

Trump and the United States insisted that there was no war with Venezuela.

Trump 和美國堅持認為，與委內瑞拉沒有戰爭。

But neutrality wasn't really on offer either.

The operation was framed as enforcement of criminal charges yet carried out by the military, blurring lines that international law normally tries to keep bright.

這次行動被定調為執行刑事指控，卻由軍方執行，模糊了國際法通常會努力保持清晰的界線。

By leaning on drug trafficking and narco terrorism language, the administration wasn't just making a legal argument.

透過強調販毒和 narco terrorism 的說法，政府不只是在做法律上的論述。

We are enforcing American laws with regards to oil sanctions.

我們正在執行美國關於石油禁運的法律。

We go to court, we get a warrant, we seize those boats with oil, and

我們會上法院，拿到搜查令，然後扣押那些載有石油的船隻，並且