Name: 經濟與通膨：哈利·艾騰分析大眾看法！ (The economy & inflation: Harry Enten breaks down public opinion)
Uploaded: 2025-12-27T17:00:16.000Z
Duration: 8 min 15 s

基礎被動語態

So this morning, as President Trump insists, continues to insist the economy is booming and that prices are falling, there is new polling out that shows that people are still not feeling that and are pessimistic about where things are headed.

所以今天早上，就像川普總統堅持，持續堅持經濟正在蓬勃發展，物價正在下跌一樣，新的民調顯示人們仍然沒有這種感覺，對事情的走向感到悲觀。

CNN's chief data analyst Harry Anton has much more on this.

CNN首席數據分析師 Harry Anton 有更多相關資訊。

Yeah, you know, Donald Trump was elected to solve the economic crisis, to solve the pricing crisis, but

是的，你知道，唐納·川普當選是為瞭解決經濟危機，解決定價危機，但是

at this particular point, these numbers are going in the complete wrong direction.

在這個特定的時間點，這些數字正朝著完全錯誤的方向發展。

I on the economy, the country is going on the wrong track, the right track.

關於經濟，國家正走在錯誤的軌道，正確的軌道上。

You go back to January, these numbers were pretty split, right?

你回到一月，這些數字差不多是平分秋色，對吧？

43% said wrong track, 36% said right track.

43% 說錯誤的軌道，36% 說正確的軌道。

But look at that, that wrong track number has skyrocketed up to 56%.

但是你看，走在錯誤軌道上的數字飆升到 56%。

Who say that the country, at least when it comes to the economy, is on the wrong track.

誰說國家，至少在經濟方面，正走在錯誤的軌道上。

And that right track number, Kate Baldwin, has fallen at 29%.

而走在正確軌道上的數字，Kate Baldwin，下跌到 29%。

So what was a single digit spread has ballooned up to a 27 point spread in the negative direction.

所以原本個位數的差距，現在擴大到負面方向的 27 點差距。

Donald Trump is trying to spin a narrative and the American people aren't buying the spin that is coming out of the White House.

唐納·川普試圖塑造一個敘事，而美國人民並不買帳白宮傳出的說法。

對，是什麼在驅動這種悲觀情緒？

I mean, we've done a bunch of segments on this and we're going to continue to do segments on this when polling like what came out yesterday from NBC News continues to show it.

我意思是，我們做過很多關於這個的節目，而且我們會繼續做，因為像昨天 NBC 新聞的民調持續顯示這點。

Top concern for you, economic concern for you and your family.

對你和你的家人來說，最關心的就是經濟問題。

Number one, we've said it over and over again.

It's inflation overwhelmingly driving this economic pessimism.

壓倒性地是通膨造成了這種經濟悲觀情緒。

Until the economy, until the American people think that inflation is under control, they will continue to, to have pessimistic feelings about the economy because inflation is numero uno by a wide, wide margin in driving this economic pessimism.

在經濟、在美國人民認為通膨受到控制之前，他們會持續對經濟感到悲觀，因為通膨是造成這種經濟悲觀情緒的首要因素，而且差距非常非常大。

Setting aside the president on this, how does this look?

先不論總統，這看起來怎麼樣？

Okay, so I think this is the key thing, right?

好的，所以我覺得這是關鍵，對吧？

Because oftentimes they'll say, hey, look, you know, we're blaming the President.

因為常常他們會說，嘿，你看，你知道，我們在怪總統。

But we've seen some polling in which Republicans still lead Democrats.

但我們看到一些民調顯示共和黨仍然領先民主黨。

Party trust and more on rising prices back in October of 2022, before that midterm election it was Republicans trusted more by 14 points.

在 2022 年 10 月，也就是期中選舉之前，共和黨信任度還高出 14 個百分點。

You come now it's a completely different tune.

Now Democrats are trusted more by four points.

現在民主黨信任度高出 4 個百分點。

So it's not just the President that the American people are turning on when it comes to inflation.

所以不只是總統，美國人民在通膨這件事上也在轉向。

It is in fact the Republican Party as well, a massive shift to the left towards the Democratic Party.

事實上共和黨也是，這是一個大規模的轉向，朝向民主黨。

Where are the prediction markets on all of this?

Okay, so here's, I think the key question going forward is is inflation going to get any better?

好的，所以關鍵問題是，通膨會不會好轉？

And this is a great chance to use prediction markets.

這是一個運用預測市場的好機會。

November's CPI year over year report equals or is above the previous 3.0%, 80%.

11 月的 CPI 年增率報告等於或高於之前的 3.0%，有 80% 的機率。

There is no relief in sight at this point.

It looks like inflation will remain at a level that the American people think is unacceptable.

看來通膨將維持在美國人民認為無法接受的水準。

No one believes that there's any relief in sight.

沒有人相信有任何緩解的跡象。

And there is a lot of breaking news we're following.

而且我們還有很多重大新聞正在追蹤。

The odds brought to you by Cowshi prediction.

這則賠率由 Cowshi prediction 提供。

As the second Trump administration nears its one year mark, new polls underscore that Americans are not happy with what they're getting and maybe they're ready to take it out on the gop.

隨著川普總統的第二任期即將屆滿一年，新的民調顯示美國人民對現況並不滿意，或許他們準備好要向共和黨發洩怒氣了。

The new NBC News poll found that President Trump's approval is just 42%.

最新的 NBC News 民調發現，川普總統的支持率只有 42%。

A majority, 53% now say they trust Democrats over Republicans and to handle rising prices.

現在有過半數，也就是 53% 的人表示，他們更信任民主黨而非共和黨來處理物價上漲的問題。

It's pretty stunning considering the Democrats were driven from power just last year in large part because of the issue of the economy.

這相當令人震驚，畢竟民主黨在一年前才剛失去執政權，很大程度上就是因為經濟問題。

And the president isn't ready to admit really any of the economic woes.

而總統還沒準備好承認任何經濟上的困境。

In an interview with the Wall Street Journal, he said, quote, I've created the greatest economy in history, but

他在接受華爾街日報的採訪時說：「我創造了史上最偉大的經濟，但

it may take people a while to figure all these out things out.

這可能需要一些時間，大家才能搞清楚這些事情。」

Now, Kristen, is it just that he is absolutely convinced, he can convince people that what they're feeling isn't what they're feeling, or does he not see that people are very tepid on his economy?

現在，Kristen，是他真的深信自己能說服大家，讓他們覺得自己感受到的不是真實的，還是他沒看到大家對他的經濟表現很冷淡？

also a third part of this, which is what he is going through right now is exactly what President Biden and his administration were talking about when he was running against him in 2024, which is you get the upper hand if you're not in office.

還有第三點，就是他現在經歷的，正是拜登總統和他的政府在 2024 年競選時談論的，也就是如果你不在辦公室，你就能佔上風。

The Biden administration was going around saying, look at all these policies that we've put in place.

拜登政府到處說，看看我們推行的所有政策。

The economy is shifting in the right direction.

When they go to cvs, when they go to the grocery store, when they pull out their credit card, how much does this cost them and are they going to be able to afford the other things that they need to get through the day?

當他們去 CVS、去雜貨店、拿出信用卡時，這會花他們多少錢，他們還能不能負擔其他必需品來過日子？

The problem is the person in power is the one who gets blamed if they feel like it's too expensive.

問題是，當權者如果覺得東西太貴，就會被怪罪。

He does believe that he's the best messenger, that he can convince people it's going to get better or it's already better.

他相信自己是最好的傳聲筒，能說服大家情況會好轉，或者已經好轉了。

I will say in that same Wall Street Journal interview, he said that some of his policies might not actually impact people or be helpful enough by the midterm elections, meaning Republicans would lose.

我必須說，在同一篇《華爾街日報》的訪談中，他說他的一些政策可能在期中選舉前無法真正影響民眾或足夠有幫助，這意味著共和黨會輸。

And then he has events that don't necessarily the imagery and what things, what people say and the kind of people who say the things at his events don't necessarily comport with the way people are feeling, put it that way.

然後他辦的活動，其意象、內容、人們說的話，以及在他活動上說話的人，不一定符合大家真實的感受，就這麼說吧。

I'm going to go to you on this since you are a golf aficionado.

我想問你這個問題，因為你是高爾夫愛好者。

Bryson DeChambeau was at the White House on Sunday.

It's the greatest economy that we've ever had.

這是我們有史以來最棒的經濟。

And just to be serving on the President's Council of Sports, Fitness and Nutrition has been such an honor.

能夠擔任總統體育、健身及營養委員會的委員，真是莫大的榮幸。

And the first lady looks so beautiful, by the way.

順帶一提，第一夫人看起來真美。

And I'll say cheers to the greatest economy that we've had in a long, long time.

我要為我們很久很久以來最棒的經濟乾杯。

You know, he's the Liv golfer who got gobs and gobs and gobs of money to go leave the PGA Tour to play and live golf.

他是那個 LIV 高爾夫球員，為了離開 PGA 巡迴賽去打 LIV 高爾夫，拿到了大筆大筆的錢。

So perhaps not the best person to talk to the everyman who may be feeling the economic pain here.

所以，也許他不是最適合跟感受到經濟痛苦的普通人談論這些的人。