Name: 伊朗人冒險對抗政權！德黑蘭歡慶新年｜DW 新聞 (Iranians defy their regime to celebrate Iranian New Year in Tehran | DW News)
Uploaded: 2026-03-19T23:09:15.000Z
Duration: 8 min 11 s
Description: 【看影片學英語】數萬部 YouTube 影片，搭配英漢字典即點即查，輕鬆掌握單字發音與用法，長久累積看電影不必再看字幕。

反身代名詞

In Iran itself, tensions remain high as the regime, under immense pressure from the outside, is doing all it can to keep a lid on popular unrest.

在伊朗境內，隨著政權承受外部巨大壓力，正竭盡全力壓制民眾的不滿，緊張局勢依然嚴峻。

情態副詞

Last night, authorities warned people to stay indoors on what is traditionally an occasion for street celebrations ahead of the Persian New Year.

昨晚，當局警告民眾待在家裡，而這本來是波斯新年來臨前，街頭慶祝的傳統時刻。

Video posted on X showed people defying those orders, like here in Tehran.

在 X 上發布的影片顯示，人們無視這些命令，就像在這裡的德黑蘭一樣。

But as security force vehicles arrived at the scene, people can be seen quickly dispersing as the sound of gunfire rings out.

但隨著安全部隊的車輛抵達現場，可以看到人們在槍聲響起時迅速散開。

Opposition groups say there were similar gatherings in cities across the country.

反對派團體表示，全國各地的城市都有類似的集會。

And DW's Iran analyst, there is a trophy is in the studio with me.

而 DW 的伊朗分析師，Teresa，現在就在攝影棚裡和我一起。

Teresa, we just saw there Iranians out in the street defying government orders to sit out the festivities.

Teresa，我們剛才看到伊朗民眾走上街頭，無視政府的命令，不參與慶祝活動。

Well, to me, that's a clear sign that Iranians, or at least some of them, are not that afraid that they have not given up hope and that they are still holding on to their culture, their traditions, and

嗯，對我來說，這是一個明確的跡象，表明伊朗人，或者至少是其中一些人，並沒有那麼害怕，他們並沒有放棄希望，他們仍然堅持著他們的文化、他們的傳統，而且

they're not willing to let the Islamic Republic take all of that away from them, despite the massive threats being issued by the government, by the security forces, and

他們不願意讓伊斯蘭共和國奪走這一切，儘管政府和安全部隊發出了巨大的威脅，而且

despite the regime essentially banning the festivities ahead.

儘管政權基本上已經禁止了節慶活動。

I mean, Jahash al, Missouri has long been viewed with suspicion by the Islamic Republic because it's ancient, it's pre Islamic.

嗯，Jahash al，Missouri 長久以來一直被伊斯蘭共和國視為可疑，因為它是古老的，是伊斯蘭之前的。

And also the symbolism is very interesting.

It's people jumping over fires to leave the bad stuff behind and to feel more energy going into the future.

人們跳過火堆，把壞事拋在腦後，並為未來注入更多能量。

All of that, of course, is not really something the Islamic Republic wants at the moment.

當然，所有這些都不是伊斯蘭共和國目前真正想要的。

And that's exactly what people did on the videos we saw.

這正是我們在影片中看到人們所做的。

And they also shouted Javi Shah, which means long live the Shah, potentially referencing the son of Iran's last shah, who's living in US exile and who's fueling the protests against the Islamic Republic.

他們也喊著「Javi Shah」，意思是「國王萬歲」，這可能是在指伊朗最後一位國王、現居美國流亡、並正在煽動反對伊斯蘭共和國抗議活動的兒子。

Yeah, the US Israeli approach of trying to debilitate the regime to a point where then there can be, in their opinion, a popular uprising that can overthrow the regime that has been slammed pretty widely as unrealistic.

沒錯，美國以色列試圖削弱政權，讓他們認為可能出現推翻政權的民眾起義，這種做法被廣泛批評為不切實際。

But, you know, from what you are hearing, is there a sense that there is in some way shape or form a window of opportunity opening here ever so slightly, maybe?

但，你聽到的消息，有沒有覺得在某種程度上，有一絲絲機會之窗正在打開，也許？

I mean, at the moment, that's really hard to tell because essentially the regime has shut off the Internet for almost three weeks now.

我的意思是，目前真的很難說，因為政權已經斷網將近三個星期了。

So it's really hard to get through to any contacts.

And the blackout has become even more intense in the last couple of days, because until then you could at least call or be called from inside Iran, and

而且過去幾天，網路封鎖變得更加嚴峻，因為直到那時，你至少還可以從伊朗境內打電話或接電話，

But what I heard while I still was able to talk to people was that this year, unlike last year, during the so called 12 days war, many people have not left Iran because they were hoping that at some point they would be able to take to the streets, the streets again, and

但我在還能和人聯繫時聽到的消息是，今年和去年不一樣，在所謂的十二天戰爭期間，許多人沒有離開伊朗，因為他們希望總有一天能夠再次走上街頭，

kind of finish what Israel and the US Are starting.

算是完成以色列和美國開始的行動。

And certainly the fact that the US And Israel have increased their attacks on the besieged forces, the security apparatus of the Islamic Republic, and

而且美國和以色列加大了對伊斯蘭共和國被圍困部隊、安全機構的攻擊，

the fact that they now killed like more senior officials like Security Adviser Larry Janney or the basic chief, Khalemani.

而且他們現在殺害了像安全顧問 Larry Janney 或基本首長 Khalemani 這樣的高級官員。

So that's certainly kind of fueling the hope that the moment might arrive at some point in time.

所以這當然會助長一種希望，認為這樣的時刻總有一天會到來。

But at the same time, people are most likely also very frustrated with the fact how resilient the Islamic Republic has proven so far despite all these killings.

但同時，人們很可能也對伊斯蘭共和國儘管遭到這些殺戮，但至今仍如此堅韌感到非常沮喪。

I mean, they have several layers of succession.

我的意思是，他們有好幾層的繼承人。

And even with the Supreme Leader being killed, they're still very much in power at the moment.

即使最高領袖被殺，他們目前仍然大權在握。

So the moment is certainly not there yet.

所以，這樣的時刻顯然還沒到來。

Let's talk about the new Supreme Leader because we're yet to see him out in public.

我們來談談新的最高領袖，因為我們還沒見過他在公開場合露面。

And so far, I'm afraid there are no real answers out there, just only a lot of rumors.

說實話，目前還沒有確切的答案，只有一堆傳言。

I mean, what we know, fairly certain, that's also what the Americans believe, is that Montjitab Al Khamenei was likely injured in the strike that killed his father on the first day of the war.

我的意思是，我們知道，而且美國人也相信，蒙塔吉塔·卡麥尼很可能是在戰爭第一天擊斃他父親的襲擊中受傷的。

It also killed a lot of members of his family.

那次襲擊也殺害了他許多家人。

But we don't know how serious these injuries were or are.

但我們不知道這些傷勢有多嚴重。

But the fact that he hasn't made any appearances, certainly raising a lot of questions and people believing that they must be severe.

他沒有公開露面，這當然引起了很多疑問，讓人們相信他的傷勢一定很嚴重。

Some comments made by the president of Iran and also the foreign minister also kind of indicate that even they are not in contact with him, haven't been in contact with him because some of his positions are still unclear.

伊朗總統和外交部長的一些發言也暗示，就連他們也無法聯繫上他，因為他的一些立場仍然不明確。

So apparently they don't really know where his positions are at the moment.

所以看來他們目前也不知道他的立場到底在哪裡。

People are speculating that he might have been flown out of Iran for treatment in Russia, for example, which is an ally of Iran.

人們猜測他可能已經被送往俄羅斯接受治療，畢竟俄羅斯是伊朗的盟友。

But I personally can't really imagine that's the case because so many people would have had to keep silent about that.

但我個人真的無法想像會是這樣，因為有太多人必須對此保持沉默。

So I believe he's still somewhere in Iran if he's alive.

所以我相信如果他還活著，他還在伊朗的某個地方。

And if he is, at some point he will have to show up to kind of Stop all those rumors.

而如果他在，總有一天他必須現身來「停止」所有這些傳言。

And there are a lot of dates ahead where he should show up, where he would show up normally.

而且前面有很多他應該現身、平常也會現身的日期。

The Persian New Year Festival is coming up, and then Islamic Republic Day.

波斯新年節日即將到來，接著是伊斯蘭共和國日。

All of these are occasions where the Supreme Leader would normally make an appearance.

這些都是最高領袖通常會露面的場合。

And if he doesn't, speculation is going to go crazy.

如果他不露面，猜測就會滿天飛。

And in that position, they have really increased their crackdown on dissent.

而且在這個情況下，他們真的加強了對異議人士的打壓。

What can you tell us about the operations that are taking place right now against regime opposition?

你能不能告訴我們目前針對政權反對派的行動？

I mean, cracking down on its opponents within the country has always been like the biggest concern of the Islamic Republic and always what they've done best.

我的意思是，打壓國內的對手，一直以來都是伊斯蘭共和國最關切的事情，也是他們最擅長的。

And since the start of the war, the Islamic Republic has even tightened its repression inside the country.

自從戰爭開始以來，伊斯蘭共和國甚至收緊了國內的鎮壓。

We saw on state television the Iranian police chief basically threatening people who want to go out and protest, saying, like, if people take to the streets to protest, we will do to them what we have done to the enemy.

我們在國家電視臺上看到伊朗警察局長基本上威脅那些想走上街頭抗議的人，他說，如果人們走上街頭抗議，我們會像對待敵人一樣對待他們。

And Iranians know well to take them by their word because at the beginning of January, they just cracked down on an anti regime protest movement and killed thousands and thousands of people and also arrested lots of people who are still, still inside these jails.

伊朗人很清楚要相信他們的話，因為在一月初，他們才鎮壓了一個反對政權的抗議運動，殺了成千上萬的人，也逮捕了很多人，他們至今仍被關在牢裡。

And people inside the Islamic Republic's jails are always the easiest targets.

伊斯蘭共和國監獄裡的人們，總是他們最容易的目標。

That's why many human rights activists are now really, really worried about these people who are there without any fair process.

這就是為什麼許多人權活動家現在非常、非常擔心這些沒有經過公平審判就被關押的人。

And we just learned today that the Islamic Republic has executed a Swedish citizen who was in jail because he was convicted of spying for Israel.

而且我們今天才得知，伊斯蘭共和國處決了一名瑞典公民，他因為被判間諜罪而入獄。

I mean, human rights activists of course, say that's a sham trial, but

人權運動家當然說那是一場騙局的審判，但

But as there are so many more in jail that could see the same fate.

但還有更多在獄中可能面臨相同命運的人。

In the past, you were able to keep in touch with your contacts on the ground whenever there was a crisis.

過去，每當有危機時，你都能與當地聯繫人保持聯繫。

It's much harder this time around, isn't it?

It is like connectivity is nearly down to zero at the moment.

Basically since the start of the war, when they shut the Internet, which is what they always do if they feel threatened.

基本上自從戰爭開始以來，他們就關閉了網路，這是他們感覺受到威脅時一貫的做法。

In Iran, there are so called white SIM cards, people that have some connection to the government or to the military, who have access no matter what.

在伊朗，有所謂的白 SIM 卡，也就是跟政府或軍方有點關係的人，他們不管怎樣都有連線。

And even the people I know with these kind of SIM cards are now disconnected.

就連我認識的、持有這種 SIM 卡的人，現在也斷線了。

So the blackout is really like almost complete.

所以這次的斷網幾乎是全面的。

The only people you still see voicing their opinion are the foreign minister, for example, or some mouthpieces of the regime.

你現在還看得到發聲的，就只剩下像外交部長，或是政權的一些喉舌。

So it's really hard now to get any information out of Iran.

所以現在要從伊朗取得任何資訊真的非常困難。

這是 DW 伊朗分析師 Teresa Tropa。