Name: 川普的中國關稅徹底失敗了—原因竟然是這樣！ (Trump’s China Tariffs Completely Failed—Here’s Why)
Uploaded: 2025-12-29T18:11:32.000Z
Duration: 11 min 34 s

程度副詞

They supposed to cripple the Chinese economy and force China to come to the United States to make a deal.

這些關稅 supposed to 削弱中國的經濟，並強迫中國前往美國達成協議。

轉承詞

Instead, China showed the middle finger and told Trump to shove it.

結果，中國豎起中指，叫川普滾開。

It's now the end of the year and the Chinese exports have crossed a trillion dollars.

現在已經年底了，中國出口已經突破一兆美元。

China became the first country in history to cross a trillion dollar surplus.

中國成為歷史上第一個國家，擁有兆美元順差。

Despite Trump announcing tariffs on every US Trading partner.

儘管川普對每個美國貿易夥伴都宣佈了關稅。

With China, the escalation was on a completely different level.

但對中國，這次的升級是完全不同的層級。

He started with a 10% tariff in February.

他從二月開始，以百分之十的關稅開始。

三月，他把關稅加倍到百分之二十。

And by Liberation Day the total tariffs on China were about 54%.

到了國慶日，對中國的總關稅大約是百分之五十四。

China instantly retaliated by imposing similar tariffs on all US goods.

中國立刻反擊，對所有美國商品課徵類似的關稅。

China is the largest buyer of US soybeans.

So American farmers were furious to they were about to lose their biggest clients.

所以美國農民非常生氣，因為他們快要失去最大的客戶了。

He escalated again, hiking tariffs to 84%, then 125%.

他再次升級，將關稅從百分之八十四提高到百分之一百二十五。

This is the highest tariffs the United States ever imposed on any country.

這是美國史上對任何國家課徵的最高關稅。

It's supposed to cripple the Chinese economy.

Chinese economy was devastated by the pandemic.

Even though that the rest of the world began lifting slowly restrictions, China didn't seem like it's about to recover.

儘管世界其他國家開始緩慢解除限制，中國似乎沒有要復甦的跡象。

But the pandemic revealed a major problem in the Chinese economy.

但疫情揭示了中國經濟的一大問題。

The real estate market was the major driving force behind Chinese economy.

房地產市場是中國經濟的主要推動力。

It accounted for about 30% of the entire China's GDP.

But starting from 2021 major Chinese developers began collapsing, such as Evergrande.

但從2021年開始，像恆大這樣的中國主要開發商開始崩潰。

China built far more homes than it needed.

中國建造的房屋遠遠超過了他們的需求。

In fact, China had about 70 million empty houses across the entire country.

事實上，中國全國約有7000萬戶空置房屋。

這就像是2008年房市保麗龍的超級加強版。

It was a matter of time before the bubble bursts and takes down the entire Chinese economy.

保麗龍破裂並拖垮整個中國經濟只是時間問題。

So when Trump announced tariffs on China, many thought that is going to be the final blow.

所以當川普宣佈對中國課徵關稅時，許多人認為這將是最後一擊。

It will finally burst China's economic bubble.

這將最終刺破中國的經濟保麗龍。

It reacted and responded accordingly by imposing similar tariffs on the United States.

它也做出了相對應的回應，對美國課徵了類似的關稅。

While countries like the EU and the UK traveled to Washington to make a deal.

但像歐盟和英國這些國家，卻是前往華府尋求達成協議。

Instead of a deal, America only managed to get a 90 day truce.

美國沒有達成協議，只換來了九十天的休兵期。

And since then, they are simply extending that truce every 90 days.

從那之後，他們只是每九十天延長一次休兵期。

China doesn't even seem interested in striking a deal with the United States.

中國似乎甚至對與美國達成協議沒興趣。

就好像美國自己打斷了自己的腳。

China built its economy on the shoulders of American consumers.

中國是建立在美國消費者身上的經濟。

For the last 40 years, China was dumping cheap goods into America.

過去四十年來，中國一直向美國傾銷廉價商品。

And China used that window to build its economy way faster than anyone expected.

中國利用這個機會，讓經濟發展速度遠超乎大家的預期。

China's GDP back in 1990 was about $300 billion while the US GDP was about $6 trillion, nobody could possibly imagine that China one day would challenge the United States economic dominance.

1990年中國的GDP大約是3000億美元，而美國的GDP大約是6兆美元，當時沒人能想像中國有一天會挑戰美國的經濟霸權。

Even 10 years ago, imposing such draconian tariffs on China would have crippled its economy.

就連十年前，對中國實施如此嚴苛的關稅也會削弱其經濟。

But today, it is the United States that seems the desperate partner that is seeking to strike a deal.

但今天，美國反而像是那個急於達成協議的夥伴。

Despite China's massive economy, it major weakness it is domestic market is very weak.

儘管中國經濟規模龐大，但其主要弱點是國內市場非常疲軟。

Without massive exports, China cannot possibly achieve the 5% GDP target growth that is set by the CCP.

沒有了龐大的出口，中國根本不可能達成中共設定的5% GDP成長目標。

The United States accounts for about 15% of the total Chinese exports.

美國佔中國總出口的比例約為15%。

Even if tariffs cut that number in half, that would put an end to the Chinese economic miracle and Chinese GDP growth would have fallen to the US levels of of 2 to 3%.

即使關稅將這個數字砍半，那也會終結中國的經濟奇蹟，中國GDP成長將會跌至美國2%到3%的水準。

China quickly replaced the US market with Southeast Asia and Europe.

中國迅速用東南亞和歐洲取代了美國市場。

ASEAN countries were once considered emerging economies, but

東南亞國家曾經被視為新興經濟體，但

today they collectively have a $4 trillion GDP and are expected to hit $6 trillion within the next few years.

今天它們的GDP總計已達4兆美元，預計在未來幾年內將達到6兆美元。

They became a crucial destination for Chinese exports, allowing China to Simply ignore the US tariffs.

東南亞成了中國出口的關鍵目的地，讓中國能夠輕鬆無視美國的關稅。

Basically, we're no longer back in the 2000s.

基本上，我們已經不是2000年代了。

China's neighbors are rich enough, wealthy enough, and can absorb huge amount of Chinese exports.

中國的鄰國夠富裕、夠有錢，能夠吸收大量的中國出口。

But it's not just about China's neighbors.

In the first four months of 2025, China's trade surplus with the EU crossed $90 billion, which was a record.

在2025年前四個月，中國對歐盟的貿易順差突破了900億美元，創下紀錄。

Both sides were under the pressure of the US tariffs, so they had to cooperate closely in order to ease the US tariffs.

雙方都承受著美國關稅的壓力，是以必須密切合作以緩解美國的關稅。

China's surplus with the European Union this year is going to surpass $300 billion.

中國今年對歐盟的順差將會超過3000億美元。

China is no longer the country that manufactures low quality deteriorated products, but

中國不再是那個製造低品質劣質產品的國家，而是

rather high tech products, electronics, EVs, machinery.

而是高品質的科技產品、電子產品、電動車和機械。

Leaving the EU with no other option but to import advanced technologies from China.

這讓歐盟別無選擇，只能從中國進口先進技術。

For decades, Europe maintained a trade balance with China importing roughly as much as it was exporting to China.

幾十年來，歐洲與中國一直保持貿易平衡，進口額與出口額大致相當。

But because Europe was focused on shifting to clean energy and electrific its cause, it became dependent on Chinese EVs.

但由於歐洲專注於轉型清潔能源和電動化汽車，它對中國電動車產生了依賴。

EU automakers stands no chance against China.

歐洲汽車製造商無法與中國競爭。

China has spent hundreds of billions of dollars building the most efficient supply chain and production facility which allows China to offer the kind of equality at a price that nobody can literally match.

中國投入數千億美元建立了最高效的供應鏈和生產設施，這使得中國能夠以無人能及的價格提供高品質的產品。

Since 2022, Europe has been struggling with high energy prices, rising cost of living and their commitments to support Ukraine.

自2022年以來，歐洲一直面臨能源價格高漲、生活成本上升以及支持烏克蘭的承諾等問題。

So China seized the opportunity and started massively exporting to the EU so tariffs couldn't cripple the Chinese exports.

是以，中國抓住了機會，開始大量出口到歐盟，關稅無法削弱中國的出口。

In fact, Chinese exports had their best year ever.

事實上，中國的出口創下了有史以來最好的紀錄。

If the US imposed similar tariffs 10 years ago, probably they would have worked, but not today.

如果美國十年前實施類似的關稅，可能還會有用，但現在不行了。

Back in the days, China was not the dominant supplier of rare earth minerals.

以前，中國並非稀土礦物的最大供應國。

It was still dumping cheap products into the global economy and was still relying on the United States for high technology.

當時中國還在向全球經濟傾銷廉價產品，並且仍然依賴美國的高科技。

But today, the situation is very different.

While the United States is still ahead of China technologically, US Companies rely on China as much as China relies on the United States.

雖然美國在科技上仍領先中國，但美國企業對中國的依賴程度，跟中國對美國的依賴程度差不多。

Trump can't even stop the US Companies from buying from China.

川普甚至無法阻止美國企業向中國採購。

Over the last few decades, as the United States and the EU were focusing on becoming more environmentally friendly, China took the opportunity and and took over the rare earth industry.

過去幾十年，當美國和歐盟專注於變得更環保時，中國抓住了機會，接管了稀土產業。

Now, rare earths are not as rare as you might think, but

現在，稀土不像你想像的那麼稀有，但是

turning them into a sustainable, profitable business is extremely difficult.

將它們轉化為可持續、有利可圖的業務卻極其困難。

And China did that only by monopolizing the entire industry.

而中國之所以能做到，僅僅是壟斷了整個產業。

Today, China processes 80 to 90% of all rare earth minerals.

今天，中國處理了所有稀土礦物的百分之八十到九十。

The United States entire military industrial complex, the entire AI industry, relies on Chinese rare earth minerals.

美國整個軍工複合體、整個AI產業，都依賴中國的稀土礦物。

Regardless of how high the tariffs are going to be on China, the US Companies literally have no other option but to go and buy them from China.

不管對中國的關稅會有多高，美國公司實際上別無選擇，只能前往中國購買。

There is no one else that is selling them.

In fact, Donald Trump now is begging China to continue selling the rare earth minerals to the US Companies.

事實上，川普現在正在懇求中國繼續賣稀土礦物給美國公司。

Another major product that the US Companies cannot possibly live without are lithium ion batteries.

美國公司另一個絕對不能沒有的主要產品是鋰離子電池。

And the US Firms entirely depend on Chinese batteries.

而美國公司完全依賴中國的電池。

Batteries even for powering data centers.

甚至是用來為資料中心供電的電池。

Chinese lithium ion batteries accounted for 65% of all total imports from China in the first half of 2025.

在2025年上半年，中國的鋰離子電池佔了所有從中國進口的總額的百分之六十五。

The only way that Trump can stop US companies from buying from China is by developing an American rare earth industry.

川普能阻止美國公司從中國購買的唯一方法，就是發展一個美國本土的稀土產業。

It will take the United States at least a decade and hundreds of billions of dollars in government investment to make that possible.

這需要美國至少十年的時間和數千億美元的政府投資才能實現。

And we know for a fact that's not going to happen, at least not in the next two to three years.

而且我們確切知道，這至少在未來兩三年內不會發生。

China has another advantage over the United States.

中國相較於美國還有另一個優勢。

Energy is the backbone of industrial power.

Without energy, you can't even compete with AI because AI requires a lot of energy to power all those data centers.

沒有能源，你甚至無法與AI競爭，因為AI需要大量能源來為所有資料中心供電。

In fact, the United States by 2030 will have to double its energy production just to keep up with AI demand.

事實上，到了2030年，美國必須將能源產量翻倍，才能跟上AI的需求。

Unlike the United States, China has access to much cheaper energy.

與美國不同，中國能取得便宜得多的能源。

Yes, China was not blessed with a lot of oil and gas, just like the United States or Middle East.

是的，中國不像美國或中東那樣，擁有豐富的石油和天然氣。

But while the United States was in a conflict with major oil countries such as Venezuela, Iran, and

但就在美國與委內瑞拉、伊朗等主要產油國發生衝突時，