Name: 特朗普的 50 天最後期限：普京的機會之窗？| DW News (Trump's 50-day deadline: A window of opportunity for Putin? | DW News)
Uploaded: 2025-07-17T07:59:14.000Z
Duration: 6 min 37 s

Russia has once again bombarded Ukraine overnight launching hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles on several cities.

俄羅斯一夜之間再次轟炸烏克蘭，向多個城市發射了數百架無人機和彈道導彈。

過去完成式

The Air Force said that it had shot down most of the 400 drones but that 12 targets were hit including energy infrastructure.

空軍稱已擊落 400 架無人機中的大部分，但有 12 個目標被擊中，其中包括能源基礎設施。

基礎被動語態

A local official says more than a dozen people were wounded in the attacks including a 17 year old boy who is fighting for his life in the hospital.

一名當地官員說，有十多人在襲擊中受傷，其中包括一名正在醫院拼命搶救的 17 歲男孩。

As drones and missiles continue to rain down on Ukrainian cities Russia's summer offensive is making slow gains on the ground while both armies continue to clash and skirmishes across the entire length of the 1,200 kilometer front line.

在無人機和飛彈繼續向烏克蘭城市傾瀉的同時，俄羅斯的夏季攻勢也在緩慢地取得進展，兩軍繼續在 1,200 公里長的戰線上發生衝突和小規模戰鬥。

The fighting is especially intense in two regions near Sumy and Ukraine's northeast.

在蘇梅和烏克蘭東北部附近的兩個地區，戰鬥尤其激烈。

Russia has tens of thousands of soldiers deployed.

Their operations are generally seen as a bid to keep Ukrainian forces stretched thin.

人們普遍認為，他們的行動是為了讓烏克蘭部隊捉襟見肘。

Now farther south Russian ground operations remain focused on the strategic railway city of Pokrovsk and neighboring Kostya Tnikovka.

現在，在更南邊的俄羅斯地面行動仍然集中在戰略鐵路城市波克羅夫斯克和鄰近的科斯佳-特尼科夫卡。

Russian soldiers have been attacking there relentlessly trying to drive a wedge between Ukrainian positions.

俄羅斯阿兵哥一直在無情地攻擊那裡，試圖在烏克蘭陣地之間打入楔子。

Well for more now I want to bring in Domitilis Agrimoso.

現在我要請多米蒂利斯-阿格里莫索發言。

She is a senior lecturer in security and development at King's College London.

她是倫敦國王學院安全與發展高級講師。

She specializes in conflict dynamics in Russia and Eurasia.

她專門研究俄羅斯和歐亞大陸的衝突動態。

It's good to have you back on the program.

The US president he says that he's giving Kiev and Moscow 50 days to reach a ceasefire agreement.

美國總統說，他將給基輔和莫斯科 50 天時間來達成停火協議。

Now some critics say that he has effectively given Putin a 50-day window of opportunity to create more facts on the ground.

現在，一些責備人士說，他實際上給了普京 50 天的機會，讓他在當地製造更多的事實。

Well on the one hand one can certainly say that giving Russia another 50 days to reach a deal a comprehensive deal that's what Trump has in mind is is a Russia to continue with with a fight but at the same time as we know Trump is promising indirect support to Ukraine and this is very important because what what seems to be arranged now is that NATO is going to European members of NATO are going to provide military equipment to to Ukraine from their own resources.

一方面，人們當然可以說，再給俄羅斯 50 天時間來達成一項全面協議，而這正是特朗普所希望的，俄羅斯將繼續進行戰鬥，但與此同時，正如我們所知，特朗普承諾向烏克蘭提供間接支持，這一點非常重要，因為現在似乎已經安排好的是，北約將向北約的歐洲成員國提供軍事裝備，而這些裝備將來自他們自己的資源。

Primarily we're talking about air defense systems like the Patriot missile systems and in turn the United States is going to sell to Europeans the same kind of weaponry so that they can also protect their own airspace and have their own sort of defense capabilities enhanced.

我們談論的主要是 "愛國者 "導彈系統這樣的防空系統，反過來，美國也將向歐洲人出售同樣的武器裝備，這樣他們也可以保護自己的領空，增強自己的防禦能力。

So the idea is that Europeans will end up buying from the Americans equipment that they would have initially sort of to cover for the equipment that they would be sending to Ukraine.

是以，我們的想法是，歐洲人最終將從美國人那裡購買設備，以彌補他們最初向烏克蘭運送的設備。

So that's a very interesting development and it's all going to go through NATO because through NATO they can assess clearly you know what are the Ukrainian needs.

是以，這是一個非常有趣的發展，而這一切都將通過北約進行，因為通過北約，他們可以清楚地評估烏克蘭的需求。

So this is an important development and it seems now the Germans have been in touch with the United States and they're going to probably deploy some of their sort of Patriot systems to Ukraine so that can help with air defensive systems.

是以，這是一個重要的事態發展，現在看來，德國人已經與美國取得聯繫，他們可能會在烏克蘭部署一些愛國者系統，以便在防空系統方面提供幫助。

The bigger question is to what extent are Ukrainians going to get additional sort of missile systems, long-range missiles that can hit behind enemy lines that can sort of attack and destroy the origins of a lot of these attacks.

更大的問題是，烏克蘭人將在多大程度上獲得額外的導彈系統，即可以打到敵後的遠程飛彈，這些飛彈可以攻擊並摧毀許多攻擊的源頭。

And this is something we still need to find out to what extent there's going to be significant more deliveries from European sort of sources but also potentially from the United States.

我們還需要弄清楚，在多大程度上會有更多來自歐洲和美國的武器交付。

It's not clear for example whether Trump might use what we call the presidential drawdown authority which allows him to immediately sort of speed up the delivery of weapons from the American arsenals.

例如，目前還不清楚特朗普是否會使用我們所說的總統縮編權，這種權力允許他立即加快從美國武庫中運送武器。

So a lot of it is still lacks detail in terms of what is going to be delivered directly from the United States.

是以，關於美國將直接提供什麼，很多方面還缺乏細節。

And we keep hearing these reports that the Ukrainians are stretched extremely thin sometimes only a handful of soldiers are holding the line in one place.

我們不斷聽到報道說，烏克蘭人的兵力非常緊張，有時只有少數阿兵哥在一個地方堅守陣地。

How are they managing with this shortage of manpower?

他們是如何解決人手短缺問題的？

Yeah this is a real problem for Ukrainians because what the Russians are trying to do is that they're attacking in so many areas you know around Sumy, around Kupyansk, then in the very sensitive area around Pokrovs as was shown in your program.

對烏克蘭人來說，這是一個真正的問題，因為俄羅斯人試圖做的是，他們在許多地區發動攻擊，你知道蘇梅周圍、庫皮揚斯克周圍，然後是波克羅夫斯周圍非常敏感的地區，就像你們節目中展示的那樣。

And so that forces Ukrainians to sort of deploy their limited forces in many areas.

是以，烏克蘭人不得不在許多地區部署有限的部隊。

The way generally that what the Ukrainians are doing is to protect themselves is the whole sort of drone systems.

一般來說，烏克蘭人保護自己的方式就是使用無人機系統。

They're using drones to have information to provide information as to where the troops are moving and then you know to be able to attack them.

他們正在使用無人機獲取信息，以提供部隊移動位置的資訊，然後你知道就可以攻擊他們。

So we think that there is a sort of 15 kilometers, 20 kilometers line whereby the Russians find it hard to advance.

是以，我們認為有一條 15 千米或 20 千米長的防線，俄軍很難在這條防線上前進。

So they advance very slowly with very small numbers of people which do not have a lot of protection.

是以，他們的推進速度非常緩慢，而且人數很少，沒有太多的保護措施。

But because they have so many resources they keep sort of advancing very slowly day by day.

但是，由於他們擁有如此多的資源，所以他們的發展日新月異，非常緩慢。

Another way that the Ukrainians are trying to is also through robotics and also trying to deploy their most effective forces in the most critical areas as happened in Sumy.

烏克蘭人正在嘗試的另一種方式也是通過機器人技術，並嘗試在最關鍵的地區部署最有效的部隊，就像在蘇梅發生的那樣。

Sumy was an area that was not very well protected and as a result of the Russian advances the Ukrainians sent much more capable forces to these areas.

蘇梅是一個沒有受到很好保護的地區，由於俄軍的推進，烏克蘭向這些地區派出了能力更強的部隊。

So that allowed the Ukrainians to sort of hold the Russian advances in Sumy.

是以，烏克蘭人得以在某種程度上抵擋住俄羅斯人在蘇梅的推進。

So a lot of it is also around what areas are seen particularly critical at a certain moment.

是以，很多時候也是圍繞著在某一時刻哪些領域被認為是特別關鍵的。

But certainly I think what really would help is if the Ukrainians get significant weaponry that would allow them to pierce certain areas of the Russian advances and defenses.

但當然，我認為真正有幫助的是烏克蘭人獲得大量武器裝備，使他們能夠穿透俄羅斯的某些推進和防禦區域。

And also what Ukrainians are trying to do is also to of course strengthen their own defensive systems but it's not always very effective.

當然，烏克蘭人也在努力加強自己的防禦系統，但並不總是很有效。

So a lot will depend on how much equipment we're able to transmit and to transfer to Ukrainian forces.

是以，這在很大程度上取決於我們能向烏克蘭部隊運送和轉移多少裝備。

Military Analyst Matilda Zagrimoso with King's College London.

倫敦國王學院的軍事分析師瑪蒂爾達-扎格里莫索（Matilda Zagrimoso）。

As always we appreciate your time and your insights.

我們將一如既往地感謝您抽出寶貴時間並發表真知灼見。