Name: 伊朗擁有的飛彈比以色列擁有的攔截器還多。現在怎麼辦？| 華爾街日報 (Iran Has More Missiles Than Israel Has Interceptors. Now What? | WSJ)
Uploaded: 2025-06-19T10:54:05.000Z
Duration: 4 min 43 s

For days, Israel's defenses have largely held up against Iran's missile attacks.

連日來，以色列的防禦系統在很大程度上抵擋住了伊朗的飛彈襲擊。

But there's a growing concern that Israel is burning through its defensive weapons.

但人們越來越擔心，以色列正在消耗其防禦性武器。

關係子句

And its arrow interceptors, which play a key role in taking out Iran's ballistic missiles, are in short supply, according to a U.S. official.

據一名美國官員稱，伊朗的箭式攔截器供應不足，而這種攔截器在摧毀伊朗彈道導彈方面發揮著關鍵作用。

The United States, which has been helping Israel shoot down threats, is also expending its munitions.

一直在幫助以色列擊落威脅的美國也在消耗彈藥。

The U.S. official and analysts familiar with the numbers say that Iran has more missiles than Israel and the U.S. have interceptors, raising concerns about Israel's ability to defend itself long term.

這位美國官員和熟悉這些數字的分析人士說，伊朗擁有的飛彈數量超過了以色列和美國擁有的攔截器數量，這讓人擔心以色列的長期自衛能力。

So here's what the interceptor shortfall means for Israel, its allies, and the broader Middle East.

是以，攔截導彈的短缺對以色列、其盟國以及更廣泛的中東地區意味著什麼。

Israel uses different systems to provide a multi-layered defense of its airspace.

以色列使用不同的系統對其領空進行多層次防禦。

The Arrow 3 is considered the crown jewel of this network.

箭 3 號被視為該網絡的皇冠上的明珠。

With a range of about 1,500 miles, the Arrow 3 is used to counter long-range ballistic missiles, including those that fly above the Earth's atmosphere.

箭 3 的射程約為 1,500 英里，用於對付遠程彈道導彈，包括飛越地球大氣層的飛彈。

Arrow 3 has been critical in countering attacks from Iran and Yemen, and it can intercept threats before they cross into Israel's airspace.

箭 3 在反擊來自伊朗和葉門的襲擊中發揮了關鍵作用，它可以在威脅進入以色列領空之前將其攔截。

The Arrow 2, an older version of the system, is also used to intercept short- to medium-range ballistic missiles.

箭 2 是該系統的舊版本，也用於攔截中短程彈道導彈。

Then there's David's Sling, primarily used to counter medium-range ballistic missiles, among other threats.

還有 "大衛之箭"，主要用於對付中程彈道導彈和其他威脅。

And finally, the Iron Dome, which is used to shoot down short-range threats like rockets from Gaza.

最後是 "鐵穹"，用於擊落來自加沙的火箭彈等短程威脅。

Experts say the Iron Dome is not playing a major role in this current conflict with Iran, and that the Arrow systems and David's Sling have been key.

專家稱，"鐵穹 "在當前與伊朗的衝突中並沒有發揮主要作用，"箭 "系統和 "大衛之箭 "才是關鍵。

Even though some missiles have slipped through, Israel's layered defense has proven to be extremely effective.

儘管有一些飛彈漏網，但事實證明以色列的分層防禦非常有效。

Israel says its interception rate for ballistic missiles is about 90 percent, and of the 370 missiles fired by Iran in recent days, about 30 have made an impact as of June 17th.

以色列說，它對彈道導彈的攔截率約為 90%，在伊朗最近幾天發射的 370 枚飛彈中，截至 6 月 17 日約有 30 枚產生了影響。

But as Tom Carrico, the director of the Missile Defense Project at CSIS, put it to me, the capability is not the question, it's the capacity that matters.

但正如 CSIS 飛彈防禦項目主任湯姆-卡里科（Tom Carrico）對我說的那樣，能力不是問題，重要的是能力。

And capacity could be a huge problem, because Arrows play a key role in shooting down not just Iran's ballistic missiles, but also threats from Iranian proxy groups like the Houthis in Yemen.

能力可能是一個巨大的問題，因為 "箭 "不僅在擊落伊朗彈道導彈方面發揮著關鍵作用，而且在擊落葉門胡塞武裝等伊朗代理組織的威脅方面也發揮著關鍵作用。

In a statement, the Israeli Defense Forces said, The IDF is prepared and ready to handle any scenario.

以色列國防軍在一份聲明中說：以色列國防軍已做好準備，隨時應對任何情況。

Unfortunately, we are unable to comment on matters related to munitions.

遺憾的是，我們無法就與彈藥有關的問題發表評論。

Israel doesn't talk about how many interceptors it has, because if its enemies knew that number, they would know how many missiles to fire at the country.

以色列不談論它有多少攔截器，因為如果敵人知道這個數字，他們就會知道要向以色列發射多少飛彈。

The company that makes the Arrow interceptors, IAI, did not respond to requests for comment.

製造箭式攔截器的 IAI 公司沒有迴應置評請求。

Back in December, Israel's defense ministry struck a deal with IAI to make more Arrow 3 interceptors.

早在 12 月，以色列國防部就與 IAI 達成了製造更多 "箭 3 "攔截器的協議。

However, the Arrows are complex missiles that cost more than $2 million a piece and take time to produce.

然而，箭形飛彈是一種複雜的飛彈，單價超過 200 萬美元，而且生產需要時間。

Analysts say, in general, defensive weapons are harder and more expensive to make than offensive weapons because they have to be more sophisticated and more precise than the missiles they're designed to take out.

分析人士說，一般來說，防禦性武器比攻擊性武器更難製造，成本也更高，因為防禦性武器必須比它們要摧毀的飛彈更復雜、更精確。

Plus, in some cases, you have to fire several interceptors in order to neutralize a missile.

此外，在某些情況下，你必鬚髮射數枚攔截器才能使飛彈失效。

That's why Israel has been focused on taking out Iran's missile and drone capabilities on the ground during its aerial campaign.

這就是為什麼以色列在空襲行動中一直把重點放在摧毀伊朗的地面飛彈和無人機能力上。

The IDF says it has dismantled more than one-third of Iran's missile launchers.

以色列國防軍稱，它已經拆除了伊朗三分之一以上的飛彈發射器。

But Iran has still been able to launch volleys of missiles at Israel.

但伊朗仍然能夠向以色列發射成排的飛彈。

The United States, aware of Israel's interceptor capacity issues for months, has been augmenting the country's defenses.

美國幾個月前就意識到以色列的攔截能力問題，一直在增強該國的防禦能力。

We are full of gratitude and thanks for the defensive systems that the United States has put in play.

我們對美國建立的防禦系統充滿感激和謝意。

There's the ground-based THAAD system, which can intercept missiles inside or outside the  And the U.S. has sent Navy ships into the region, which can counter missiles with SM-2, SM-3, and SM-6 interceptors.

此外，美國還向該地區派遣了海軍艦艇，這些艦艇可使用 SM-2、SM-3 和 SM-6 攔截器反擊飛彈。

Plus, fighter jets can shoot down drones, missiles, and other threats.

此外，戰鬥機還能擊落無人機、飛彈和其他威脅。

And I can say with authority that they have saved hundreds, perhaps thousands of lives over the past four days since Iran has been firing these ballistic missiles into our population centers.

我可以權威地說，自從伊朗向我們的人口中心發射這些彈道導彈以來，在過去的四天裡，它們拯救了數百人，甚至數千人的生命。

But U.S. interceptors aren't unlimited, either.

但美國的攔截機也不是無限的。

For example, defense documents show that the U.S. has only procured about 600 THAAD interceptors to date.

例如，國防文件顯示，美國迄今只採購了約 600 個 THAAD 攔截器。

So what does all of this mean for the current conflict in the Middle East?

那麼，這一切對當前的中東衝突意味著什麼呢？

I didn't say I was looking for a ceasefire.

Remember, Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon.

請記住，伊朗不能擁有核武器。

Analysts say that whatever happens, officials need to act fast to end the war because the U.S. and Israel can't afford to sit and intercept missiles for an extended period of time.

分析人士說，無論發生什麼情況，官員們都需要迅速採取行動結束戰爭，因為美國和以色列無法長期坐等攔截導彈。