Name: 川普災難性關稅只幫到中國！ (Trump’s Disaster Tariffs Only Helped China)
Uploaded: 2026-03-13T18:09:00.000Z
Duration: 11 min 8 s

China is the biggest winner out of tariffs.

情態副詞

Tariffs have been a complete disaster for the US Economy, but the biggest gift China could possibly imagine.

關稅對美國經濟來說是一場徹底的災難，但卻是中國能想像到的最大禮物。

And based on Trump's actions, you can see that there is no clear strategy behind these tariffs.

從川普的行動來看，你會發現這些關稅背後並沒有明確的策略。

After the Supreme Court shut down Trump's tariffs, Trump immediately responded with a 10% tariff.

在最高法院駁回川普的關稅後，川普立刻回應了10%的關稅。

And it's not even 24 hours later he has increased that 10% tariff up to 15% tariff.

還不到24小時，他就把10%的關稅提高到了15%。

Now, how do the US allies should react to this news?

那麼，美國的盟友們該如何應對這個消息呢？

Some of these countries have managed to strike a good deal with the United States, such as the United Kingdom that spent so much time trying to convince Donald Trump to sign a deal where the UK will only pay a 10% tariff to the United States.

其中有些國家跟美國達成了一項不錯的貿易協議，像是英國，他們花了這麼多時間試圖說服川普簽署一項英國只會支付美國10%關稅的協議。

Now the question is, will the UK pay a 10% tariff or a 15% tariff?

現在的問題是，英國會支付10%的關稅還是15%的關稅？

Trump has invoked Section 122 of the Trade act of 1974 that allows the President of the United States to charge up to 15% of tariffs for 150 days.

川普引用了1974年貿易法案的第122條，這允許美國總統對某些商品徵收最高15%的關稅，為期150天。

The real question is, what is going to happen 150 days later these tariffs are going to expire.

真正要問的是，150天後這些關稅到期時會發生什麼事。

So should other nations come to the United States to sign a trade deal with the US when they know for a fact that 150 days from now these tariffs are going to expire?

那麼，其他國家在明知150天後這些關稅就會到期時，還會到美國簽署貿易協議嗎？

Why impose such tariffs when you know for a fact that these tariffs cannot possibly stand for long and you can't even use them as a leverage in negotiations?

既然明知這些關稅無法長久存在，甚至無法在談判中作為籌碼，為何還要實施呢？

So what did the United States get out of these tariffs one year later?

那麼，一年後美國從這些關稅中得到了什麼？

First of all, the United States has successfully ruined its relationships with with the rest of the world.

首先，美國成功地破壞了與世界其他國家的關係。

And the question comes back at the end of the day, did the United States or did these tariffs actually reduce the trade deficit and help the United States to have a more balanced trade with other nations?

最後的問題是，美國或這些關稅實際上是否減少了貿易逆差，幫助美國與其他國家實現更平衡的貿易？

If you look at the data, you can see that right after Trump imposed the tariffs, imports have increased substantially because these countries or these companies suddenly realized that we have to import so much into the United States since later, a few months down the road, we will have to pay these hu tariffs, which is why the imports have substantially increased.

如果你看數據，你會發現川普剛實施關稅後，進口量大幅增加，因為這些國家或公司突然意識到，我們必須進口這麼多東西到美國，因為幾個月後，我們將不得不支付這些高關稅，這就是進口量大幅增加的原因。

But then right after that, you can see that these tariffs actually had a real impact on the trade balance.

但接著，你會看到這些關稅實際上對貿易平衡產生了實際影響。

And the trade balance actually hit the bottom by October of 2025.

貿易平衡在2025年10月達到了谷底。

But since most of these tariffs will be lifted right now, the trade balance is going to go back to the exact same level as it has been before Trump implemented these tariffs.

但由於這些關稅大部分現在就會被取消，貿易平衡將回到川普實施這些關稅之前的水準。

Though essentially these tariffs did not help the trade bal all.

但實際上，這些關稅根本無助於貿易平衡。

Thirdly, the United States right now owes about $175 billion to American businesses that paid these tariffs over the last year.

第三，美國現在欠了美國企業大約1750億美元，這些是美國企業在過去一年裡支付的關稅。

Now, how will the United States pay these tariffs to begin with?

那麼，美國一開始要怎麼支付這些關稅呢？

Well, the United States is the wealthiest economy in the world, and

嗯，美國是世界上最富裕的經濟體，

it collects over $5 trillion in tax revenues.

而且它每年徵收超過5兆美元的稅收。

But you know what else the US government does?

但你知道美國政府還做了什麼嗎？

It runs the largest deficit in the world.

I don't mean the trade deficit, I mean the government's deficit, where the US Government spends more than it earns.

我說的不是貿易逆差，而是政府的赤字，也就是美國政府花費超過收入。

Last year, that number was $1.9 trillion.

And since the United States government was expecting that this year we are going to receive hundreds of billions of dollars in tariff revenue, that is not happening.

而且由於美國政府原本預期今年我們會收到數千億美元的關稅收入，但這並沒有發生。

Which means that the deficit is going to substantially rise.

Now, secondly, because the US Government now has to pay American businesses back the tariffs that it has collected, the deficit is going to substantially rise, at least by $175 billion that the US government now owes to these small businesses.

再來，因為美國政府現在必須把收取的關稅退還給美國企業，所以赤字將大幅增加，至少是美國政府現在欠這些小型企業的1750億美元。

And if the deficit is growing, the that means that the national debt is going to grow way even faster than it has been growing previously.

而且如果赤字不斷增長，這意味著國債的增長速度將比以往快得多。

Because where else the US Government is going to take that money from?

因為美國政府還能從哪裡拿到這些錢呢？

Remember, the US Government has two main sources of revenue, or I would say that it has only one main source of revenue, which is taxes.

記住，美國政府有兩個主要的收入來源，或者我會說它只有一個主要的收入來源，那就是稅收。

And this is primarily the income tax that you pay and the payroll tax.

這主要是你繳的所得稅和薪資稅。

But when this money or this revenue is not enough to cover the entire budget of the government, the government turns to American people or to the rest of the world and starts raising money.

但是，當這些錢或收入不足以支付政府的全部預算時，政府就會向美國人民或世界其他地方尋求資金。

Because the US Government believes that if it's going to raise that money and invest it in the United States, the US GDP is going to grow way faster than the interest that it has to pay on this debt.

因為美國政府認為，如果它籌集這些資金並投資於美國，美國的GDP將比它為債務支付的利息增長得快得多。

Then these debts are actually making sense.

那麼這些債務其實是有意義的。

So because of these tariffs, the deficit is going to substantially rise this year.

所以，由於這些關稅，今年的赤字將大幅增加。

The government will have to borrow even more money to ensure that it can actually meet its obligations.

政府就得借更多錢來確保能履行義務。

The real question is that why is it a gift to China?

真正的問題是，為什麼這會是給中國的禮物？

Why is China so happy with Trump's tariffs?

為什麼中國這麼高興川普的關稅？

Why is China so glad that Trump actually imposed these tariffs?

為什麼中國這麼樂見川普真的實施了這些關稅？

Well, first of all, it did not actually hurt China.

嗯，首先，這實際上並沒有傷害到中國。

Last year, China's total trade surplus was $1.2 trillion.

去年，中國的貿易順差總額是1.2兆美元。

This is the highest recorded surplus ever achieved by any country.

這是史上任何國家創下的最高順差紀錄。

So Trump's tariffs did not slow down China, but

所以川普的關稅並沒有減緩中國的腳步，但是

at the same time, now these tariffs no longer exist, which means that China can now trade with the United States just like it was before Trump became the president.

同時，現在這些關稅已經不存在了，這意味著中國現在可以像川普當總統之前一樣，和美國進行貿易。

There is also a free trade agreement between the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

美國、加拿大和墨西哥之間還有一個自由貿易協定。

And because Most imports from Mexico fall under this agreement.

而因為來自墨西哥的大部分進口商品都適用這個協定。

China has been building factories all across Mexico, which means that now China can simply sell in the United States States through Mexico because of this free trade agreement.

中國已經在墨西哥各地蓋了許多工廠，這意味著現在因為這個自由貿易協定，中國可以透過墨西哥直接賣到美國。

Now, because these tariffs have drawing the relationship between the United States and its closest allies that allowed the US Companies to dominate these markets, these countries have reset the trading relationships with China.

現在，因為這些關稅已經破壞了美國和其最親近盟友之間的關係，而這些盟友過去讓美國企業主導了這些市場，所以這些國家已經重新設定了與中國的貿易關係。

英國在八年多以來已經重新設定了。

It is trading relationships with China now.

You'll see more Chinese business in the uk.

你們會看到更多中國企業進入英國。

Well, previously the UK closed its doors for China and was the closest ally to the United States.

過去，英國對中國關閉了大門，並且是美國最親近的盟友。

Because the United States, or Donald Trump, I would say in particular, has forced the European Union to sign a trade agreement that is way worse than they could possibly imagine.

因為美國，或者我會說是川普，逼迫歐盟簽署了一份遠比他們想像還要糟糕的貿易協議。

Now, another ally of the United States that is also moving closer to China is Japan.

現在，另一個與中國越走越近的美國盟友是日本。

Japan has always been, it's literally like, you know, another state of the United States.

日本一直以來，簡直就像是美國的另一個州一樣。

But now even Japan is moving closer to the United States.

但現在連日本都正在向美國靠攏。

Up until recently, the world would look at the United States as the leader of the free trade.

直到最近，全世界都認為美國是自由貿易的領導者。

But after 2025, now in 2026, nobody in his own mind is going to call the United States the leader of the free trade.

但在2025年之後，到了2026年，沒有人會認為美國是自由貿易的領導者。

In fact, the average tariff last year in China was 6%, while the average tariff in the United states has been 15%.

事實上，去年中國的平均關稅是6%，而美國的平均關稅是15%。

And that includes everything, even the free trade agreements that the United States had with Mexico and Canada.

這包含了所有項目，甚至是美國與墨西哥和加拿大之間的自由貿易協議。

China manufactures a lot of goods much more efficiently than the United States.

中國製造商品的效率遠比美國高。

And Western markets have been very careful with China because if China is now going to jump all of their EVs into Canada, the European Union and UK American companies such as Tesla are not going to stand a chance.

而且西方市場對中國一直很謹慎，因為如果中國現在要把電動車大量銷往加拿大，歐盟和英國，像 Tesla 這樣的美國公司將沒有機會。

Which is why Canada does not actually manufacture EVs.

這就是為什麼加拿大其實沒有製造電動車。

And yet they hit 100% tariff on Chinese EVs.

但他們卻對中國的電動車課徵了百分之百的關稅。

And that allowed US companies to dominate the Canadian market.

這讓美國公司得以主宰加拿大市場。

But what happened a few months ago, the Canadian Prime Minister flies to China and signs a trade deal and that allows the Chinese EVs to be sold in Canada and that number will be substantially rising every single year.

但幾個月前發生了什麼事，加拿大總理飛往中國簽署了一項貿易協議，這使得中國電動車可以在加拿大銷售，而且這個數字每年都會大幅增長。

So Trump's tariffs basically opened new markets for China, while it did not achieve anything for the United States besides just growing the national debt and the government's deficit.

所以川普的關稅基本上為中國開闢了新市場，但除了增加國家債務和政府赤字之外，對美國並沒有任何實質幫助。

When the government is running a deficit at first, it might not actually seem like a big deal, but.

當政府一開始出現赤字時，可能看起來不是什麼大問題，但是。

But it's massively contributing to the rising national debt.

And that national debt should be paid one way or another.

而這筆國家債務總有一天得還清。

There are two ways that you can actually pay that debt.

其實有兩種方法可以償還這筆債務。

One is basically you start cutting your expenses and you dedicate a small amount of your annual income into paying off the national debt.

一種方法是，你開始削減開支，並將每年收入的一小部分用於償還國債。

Just like if you're droning in debts and you're making money, what you do is that you lower down your standard of living and you start paying off a portion of your income into that debt.

就像你負債累累，但你卻有收入，你會降低生活水準，並開始將一部分收入用於償還債務。

This option is not available for the average American, but this option is available to the American government.

這個方法不是一般美國人能用的，但美國政府卻可以用。

Because the Federal Reserve has the power to print money.

因為聯邦準備理事會有權印鈔票。

What the Fed can do is that it can just print money and buy that national debt from the open market, from other investors.

聯準會可以做的，就是印鈔票，從公開市場上，從其他投資者手中買走國債。

And now the government of the United States will owe that money to the Federal Reserve.

現在美國政府將欠聯邦準備理事會的錢。

And because the Federal Reserve is actually part of the government, even though that they don't actually admit and they say that the Fed is independent.

而且因為聯邦準備理事會其實是政府的一部分，即使他們不承認，並說聯準會是獨立的。

The job of the Fed to stabilize the American economy.

聯準會的職責是穩定美國經濟。

It is independent, but its job to protect the American economy.

它是獨立的，但它的職責是保護美國經濟。

So if the government owes that money to the Federal Reserve, then it's no longer a big problem for the U.S.

所以如果政府欠聯準會的錢，那對美國來說就不是大問題了。

But for the Federal Reserve to do that, the Fed has to print money to buy all of these Treasuries out of the market.

但聯準會要這麼做，就得印鈔票，從市場上買走所有這些國債。

Which means that there is massive inflation coming, there is massive devaluation of the dollar.

這意味著，會有嚴重的通貨膨脹，美元會大幅貶值。

And when that happens, what do you think is going to happen to your wages and your savings?

而當這種情況發生時，你覺得你的薪水和儲蓄會怎麼樣？

Now, your wages are not going to rise as fast as inflation and your savings are substantially going to lose their value.

現在，你的薪水不會像通貨膨脹那樣快速上漲，你的儲蓄也會大幅貶值。

Which is why if you have not started investing yet, you should start as soon as possible.

這就是為什麼如果你還沒開始投資，就應該盡快開始。

Because we're entering the danger zone where the United States or the Federal Reserve might actually have to bail out the United States government because of the rising national debt.

因為我們正進入危險區域，美國或聯準會可能真的必須因為不斷上升的國債來救助美國政府。

And if you want to know, or you want a step by step instruction on how you get started and which stocks you should be buying, then check out the first link in the description of this video.

如果你想知道，或者想一步一步地瞭解如何開始以及該買哪些股票，那就看看這個影片說明欄的第一個連結。