Name: 國會席次誰來搶？前議員瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林選區之戰，可能進入第二輪投票！ (Kornacki: Race to fill fmr. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s seat likely going to a runoff)
Uploaded: 2026-03-10T23:03:55.000Z
Duration: 6 min 53 s
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程度副詞

If it's Tuesday, voters are voting somewhere and today those somewheres are Mississippi and Georgia, where there's a very crowded special election to fill former Republican Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene seat.

如果是星期二，選民們就會在某個地方投票，而今天這些地方就是密西西比州和喬治亞州，那裡正舉行一場非常擁擠的特別選舉，來填補前共和黨國會議員 Marjorie Taylor Greene 的職位。

Meanwhile, in Mississippi, incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde Smith is facing a challenger in her primary.

同時，在密西西比州，現任共和黨參議員 Cindy Hyde Smith 在她的初選中面臨挑戰者。

And on the Democratic side, it's a generational battle as incumbent Congressman Bennie Thompson, who recently turned 78, faces a primary challenge from 34 year old Evan Turn, a former Senate aide.

而在民主黨方面，這是一場世代之爭，現任國會議員 Bennie Thompson，他最近滿 78 歲，正迎戰 34 歲、曾任參議院助理的 Evan Turn 的初選挑戰。

Joining me now is NBC chief data analyst Steve Kornacki.

現在加入我們的是 NBC 首席數據分析師 Steve Kornacki。

And Aaron Gilchrist is on the ground in Georgia.

Aaron Gilchrist 則在喬治亞州現場。

Steve, it is quite the field of candidates.

Steve，這候選人陣容真是相當可觀。

So is it even possible to avoid a runoff here?

那麼，這裡有可能避免決選嗎？

Yeah, it's possible, but certainly not likely.

嗯，有可能，但肯定不太可能。

Look, this is a top two primary, they call it, right?

你看，這叫做前兩名初選，對吧？

You see the three sort of leading names right here.

你可以看到這裡有三個主要的候選人。

But we could keep scrolling down and go all the way down to 17 different names, 17 active candidates here.

但我們可以一直往下捲動，一直到第17個名字，這裡有17位現任候選人。

And the way this works is they're all in the ballot, Republicans, Democrats, there's Libertarians, Independents.

它的運作方式是，他們都在選票上，有共和黨員、民主黨員、自由意志黨、無黨籍人士。

Whoever finishes in the top two slots advances to a runoff in April.

任何人在前兩名內晉級決選，將在四月舉行。

Unless somebody gets 50% plus one, an outright majority wins tonight.

除非有人拿到50%加一票，也就是今晚的絕對多數獲勝。

I think the dynamics to keep an eye on as the results come in.

我認為隨著結果出來，值得關注的動態是。

First thing to remember, of course, this is an overwhelmingly Republican district.

首先要記住的，當然是，這是一個壓倒性多數的共和黨選區。

Marjorie Taylor Greene had won by nearly 30 points in her final election.

Marjorie Taylor Greene 在她上次選舉中贏了將近30個百分點。

Donald Trump won this district by 37 points.

唐納·川普以37個百分點贏得了這個選區。

Now, this Democrat right here, Sean Harris, he was the opponent that Greene faced in 2024.

那麼，這位民主黨人 Sean Harris，就是 Greene 在2024年面對的對手。

He's got, he's raised a ton of money nationally for this race.

他為這場競選在全國募得了大量的資金。

And it seems like he's probably largely consolidated the Democratic vote in this district.

而且看起來他很可能已經鞏固了這個選區的民主黨選票。

So while this is overwhelmingly a Republican district, if Harris can sort of monopolize the Democratic vote in the incredibly crowded race like that, he could get one of those two runoff spots.

所以，儘管這是一個壓倒性的共和黨選區，如果 Harris 能夠在如此擁擠的競選中， sort of 獨攬民主黨的選票，他就有可能獲得兩個晉級決選的席位之一。

There's even a world tonight where maybe Harris could finish with the most votes of any candidate tonight.

今晚甚至有可能出現 Harris 獲得最多選票的狀況。

But again, something to keep in mind, part of that is because he may consolidate the Democratic vote, whereas the Republican vote is going to be split up.

但再次強調，要記住的一點是，部分原因是他可能鞏固了民主黨的選票，而共和黨的選票將會分散。

And I think the suspense and the drama when it comes to that Republican vote is around these two candidates right here, Clay Fuller and Colton Moore.

我認為關於共和黨選票的懸念和戲劇性，就在這兩位候選人身上，Clay Fuller 和 Colton Moore。

Clay Fuller is the candidate endorsed by Donald Trump.

Clay Fuller 是獲得唐納·川普背書的候選人。

He barely registered in the Republican primary, but he's got Trump's endorsement.

他在共和黨初選中幾乎沒有引起注意，但他獲得了川普的支持。

And sometimes that's all it takes in one of these primaries and then there's Colton Moore.

而有時候，在這些初選中，這就足夠了，然後還有 Colton Moore。

He certainly had some very provocative antics.

他確實有一些非常挑釁的舉動。

He's been aligned with a lot of MAGA figures.

I think he was certainly thinking he would get the Trump endorsement in this campaign, but

我認為他當時肯定覺得自己會獲得川普在此次競選中的支持，但

So can his sort of MAGA style work without the ultimate MAGA endorsement from Donald Trump?

那麼，他的 MAGA 風格在沒有唐納·川普最終 MAGA 支持的情況下，能否奏效呢？

But I think those two Republicans here vying for maybe one of those spots.

不過我認為這兩位共和黨員在這裡爭取其中一個席位。

But again, whoever emerges overwhelmingly Republican district still, big day for the big board.

但話說回來，無論誰勝出，這仍然是一個壓倒性的共和黨選區，對大盤來說是重要的一天。

Thank you so much, Steve, for breaking it down.

非常感謝 Steve 為我們詳細分析。

Erin, I want to turn to you since you are in former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene's district today.

Erin，我想轉向你，因為你今天在國會議員 Marjorie Taylor Greene 的選區。

She hasn't weighed in right on the race to replace her, but

她還沒有就取代她的競選表態，但是

the president did endorse Clay Fuller, as Steve just pointed out.

正如 Steve 剛才指出的，總統確實endorse 了 Clay Fuller。

You know, I think Steve laid the foundation here very nicely, Monica.

Clay Fuller believes that this endorsement from President Trump is really going to be helpful, very helpful in helping him to get to a place where he is closer to winning this election.

Steve laid out why we think that a runoff is very likely here.

Just the math seems to suggest that that's going to happen, given that there are so many people on the ballot in this district right now.

But Clay Fuller told me that he does feel like he is the one with the wind behind him, helping him to get to a good place after tonight.

I want you to hear part of our exchange a little earlier today.

妳知道，我覺得 Steve 已經很不錯地打好了基礎，Monica。

Clay Fuller 認為川普總統的這項endorse 對他非常有幫助，能幫助他離贏得這場選舉更近一步。

I feel like I'm the most dangerous candidate in the race with the president's endorsement.

Steve 已經說明瞭為什麼我們認為很可能會出現決選。

So we're just making sure that we're driving out the boat here today, trying to contact as many voters as we can.

考慮到這個選區現在有這麼多人參與競選，光是數學計算就顯示會這樣。

Let me ask you, since you brought up the president's endorsement, how significant do you feel like that is?

不過 Clay Fuller 告訴我，他確實覺得自己是順風順水、能在今晚之後有好表現的那個人。

How much do you feel like that's been helpful for you?

Not only is it the honor of my lifetime because I worked for President Trump in the first Trump administration as a Trump appointee, but

這不只是我一生中的榮幸，因為我在川普總統的第一任政府裡，擔任川普任命的官員，而且

I know going out and talking to voters across the district, one of the main things that they were concerned about when this race first started was where the president was going to be.

我知道，當我走出去和選區裡的選民交談時，這場選舉剛開始時，他們最關心的其中一件事就是總統的立場。

Now, I can tell you that the people here that we've spoken to already today have seemed to indicate that Clay Fuller is their choice because he's gotten this Trump endorsement.

現在，我可以告訴妳，我們今天已經接觸過的這裡的民眾，似乎都表示，Clay Fuller 是他們的首選，因為他得到了川普的背書。

And also, if you sort of listen to him talk, people like him because he's not like Donald Trump.

而且，如果你聽他講話，大家喜歡他，因為他不像唐納·川普。

So there's definitely a clear desire to have Trump policies.

所以，大家確實很想要川普的政策。

But the temperament, maybe, Monica, is something that some voters in this area have indicated they're not necessarily wanting to see in the person that they choose.

但是，蒙妮卡，這種脾氣，也許是這個地區的一些選民表示，他們不一定想在他們選擇的人身上看到。

That's why they backed Fuller in this case.

這就是為什麼他們這次支持 Fuller。

But of course, Colton Moore is a contender and somebody that folks are voting for.

但當然，Colton Moore 也是一位競爭者，也是大家投票支持的對象。

We've spoken to some people here who did vote for him, and

我們訪問了一些在這裡投票給他的人，

we're going to get a chance to talk to him in just a couple of minutes here.

幾分鐘後我們就有機會和他聊聊了。

Aaron, tell me more about those voter conversations.

Aaron，多告訴我一些關於那些選民的對話。

What issues are they saying that are driving them to the polls today?

他們說哪些議題是促使他們今天去投票的？

And is the war against Iran weighing on their decision at all?

還有，對伊朗的戰爭有沒有影響到他們的決定？

Yes, it's a conversation that we've had with a few people that we've spoken to here.

是的，這確實是我們和在這裡訪問的幾個人聊過的話題。

Folks who have been supporting Republicans do support President Trump in a big way, and

支持共和黨的人們非常支持川普總統，

they've spoken about their support for what he's doing in Iran.

他們也談論了對川普在伊朗所做事情的支持。

There's been some conversation with folks who are a bit uncomfortable with the reality of needing to take that action in Iran, but

有些人對於需要採取在伊朗的行動感到有些不安，但

they do feel as though the president has made the case for why that need, that action is needed.

他們確實覺得總統已經說服了大家為什麼需要這樣做，需要採取這樣的行動。

Listen to some of the voters we talked to a little while ago.

聽聽我們剛才訪問的一些選民怎麼說。

I heard that he was trying to make the bomb and he's trying to stop that.

我聽說他試圖製造炸彈，而他正在阻止這件事。

If you get picked on enough in school, sooner or later you get mad.

如果你在學校被欺負得夠久，遲早會生氣。

And I just sort of feel like we've been picked on enough and I guess our president decided he'd had enough.

我只是覺得我們被欺負得夠久了，我想我們的總統決定他受夠了。

I would just like there to be some return on investment for our time if we do anything in another nation.

如果我們在別的國家採取任何行動，我希望我們的時間能有所回報。

That would be my primary hopes because it's not really a moral or an ethical question.

這將是我的主要希望，因為這真的不是一個道德或倫理問題。

It's an ROI question, unfortunately for the taxpayer.

這是一個投資報酬率的問題，對納稅人來說很不幸。

And I think it's worth mentioning that we're seeing that support for President Trump from voters.

我認為值得一提的是，我們看到選民對川普總統的支持。

And each of the 12 Republicans that are in this race have indicated that they are essentially aligned with the president too, saying that they support an America first agenda.

而這次競選的 12 位共和黨員，也都表示他們基本上支持總統，說他們支持「美國優先」的議程。

And so, Monica, it could very well come down to style when we see who the Republican is that rises to the top today.

所以，Monica，今天我們看到哪位共和黨員脫穎而出，風格可能會是關鍵。

Fascinating and always important to get those voter voices.

很有趣，而且聽取選民的聲音總是那麼重要。

And remember, stay updated on breaking news and top stories on the NBC News app or watch live on our YouTube channel.

記得，在 NBC 新聞 App 上隨時掌握最新消息和頭條新聞，或在我們的 YouTube 頻道上觀看直播。