Name: 【國際時事】伊朗街頭怒火延燒！斷網、死傷傳出，最高領袖拒不讓步 (How vulnerable is Iran's regime as protests show no sign of slowing? | DW News)
Uploaded: 2026-01-11T13:41:18.000Z
Duration: 4 min 51 s

Unrest continues to grow in Iran with street demonstrations raging in cities across the country.

伊朗局勢持續動盪，全國各地城市爆發激烈街頭示威。

情態副詞

Protesters have been publicly calling for the end of the Islamic Republic

示威者公開呼籲終結伊斯蘭共和國，

as its rulers look more and more vulnerable than during previous popular uprisings.

政權看起來比過去任何一次民眾起義都更加脆弱。

The exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has now called on demonstrators to seize Iranian city centers.

流亡海外的王儲李查·巴勒維呼籲示威者奪取伊朗各城市中心。

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has refused to back down.

Authorities blacked out the Internet for a second night in a row

as rights groups say dozens of people have been killed.

人權團體表示已有數十人喪生。

Joining us now is political analyst Cornelius Adebar.

現在與我們連線的是政治分析家 Cornelius Adebar。

He is an associate fellow with the German Council on Foreign Relations.

他是德國外交關係協會的副研究員。

Cornelius, we have yet seen another night.

Cornelius，我們又看到了一個夜晚。

It seems as if people are turning out despite the Internet shutdown.

看起來即使在網路被切斷的情況下，人們仍然走上街頭。

Well, I think the Internet shutdown is a sign of how serious these protests are for the regime.

我認為切斷網路顯示出，這場抗議對政權來說非常嚴重。

It only instigated this after a week or a couple of days of protest.

而且是在抗議持續一週或幾天後才採取的措施。

So the regime is stepping up its response very obviously.

這代表政權明顯升高了回應強度。

And yes, people take to the streets because they have reason to.

而是的，人們走上街頭是因為他們有充分理由。

They have tried before in different formats, in different protests and uprisings.

過去也曾以不同形式，發起過不同的抗議與起義。

And this is one which was sparked by the economic malaise in the country, by the fall of the rial, the currency.

這一次的導火線是國內的經濟困境，以及里亞爾幣值的崩跌。

And people really fear for their lives also outside of the protests.

人們甚至在不上街抗議時，也為自己的生命感到恐懼。

They don't want to live in this particular situation anymore.

他們不想再繼續生活在這樣的處境中。

I'm curious, does this time feel different to you from like the many rounds of protests we've seen over the years?

我很好奇，這次是否和過去多年來的抗議浪潮感覺不一樣？

I mean, 15 years ago there were millions of people taking to the streets because the election was forged.

十五年前，因為選舉舞弊，有數百萬人走上街頭。

We saw the Woman, Life, Freedom movement,

我們看到「女性、生命、自由」運動，

where people all across the country took to the streets after Masagina Amini was killed in custody for allegedly not wearing a proper headscarf.

在瑪莎．阿米尼因被指未正確配戴頭巾而在拘留期間死亡後，全國各地群起抗議。

So it is different in a sense that the appearances are different.

因此某種程度上是不同的，因為表現形式有所不同。

It doesn't yet have the level levels of people out on the streets.

還未達到那種大規模上街的人數。

The level of state repression is the same.

And the calls from the people are also pretty much the same.

而民眾提出的訴求基本上也相同。

They want an end to the Islamic Republic.

They want to be determining their own lives much more than they can under this regime.

他們希望能比在這個政權下，更自主地決定自己的人生。

Trump has reiterated, repeated his threat against the Iranian regime that he will intervene if many protesters are killed.

川普再次重申對伊朗政權的威脅，表示若大量示威者遭到殺害，他將介入。

Well, I think we better take seriously what the US President says.

我認為，美國總統說的話確實必須嚴肅看待。

The question is how much does it help the people on the ground.

但問題在於，這對當地人民究竟有多大幫助。

The Supreme Leader has now accused the protesters of appeasing Trump by taking to the streets.

最高領袖如今指控示威者走上街頭是在討好川普。

It doesn't necessarily help them, much less would it probably help them if there was military force used by the United States.

這未必對他們有幫助，更不用說美國動用軍事力量的情況。

而具體會如何介入，仍是問題。

So the Venezuela scenario definitely weighs on people's minds, but

委內瑞拉的前例確實讓人們心生顧慮，

it doesn't help the people who are risking their lives when they demonstrate now, when they protest now.

但這並無法幫助那些此刻冒著生命危險上街抗議的人。

Since I'm sitting in Berlin, I want to talk about the EU.

既然我身在柏林，我想談談歐盟。

After days of silence, the EU has put out a statement condemning the violence.

在多日沉默後，歐盟發表聲明譴責暴力行為。

Does what the EU say make any difference?

歐盟的表態有任何實質影響嗎？

Well, public attention always makes a difference to those inside the country.

公眾關注始終會對國內人民產生影響。

And yes, even despite the blackout, people will know that people outside in the world take notice that they support people inside Iran.

即使在斷網情況下，人們仍會知道，國際社會正在關注並支持伊朗人民。

But it is also a fact that the EU has lost leverage over the past years.

但事實是，歐盟在過去幾年已逐漸失去影響力。

And the way that the EU has become more or less disinterested in the situation on the ground,

歐盟對當地情勢、對公民社會運作的冷淡態度，

in how civil society is working, is something which is a long-term factor.

Countries like Germany, like European countries,

should be supporting Iranian civil society in the long term and not just any time when there is a flare up in protests or in a revolt.

應該長期支持伊朗公民社會，而非只在抗議或動亂爆發時才關注。

Cornelius Adebar of the German Council on Foreign Relations, thank you very much.

德國外交關係協會的 Cornelius Adebar，非常感謝你。