Name: 法國總理上任不到一個月即辭職 (France's Prime Minister resigns after less than a month on the job)
Uploaded: 2025-10-07T13:58:51.000Z
Duration: 6 min 24 s

France descending into deeper political gridlock.

The country's fifth prime minister in two years, quitting less than a month into his tenure.

這是該國兩年來的第五位總理，任期不到一個月就辭職了。

There are a lot of red lines in the mouths of many, at least some, not everybody.

很多人，至少一部分人，並非所有人，嘴裡都有很多紅線。

However, the very principle of building a compromise between political parties and is to be able to combine green lines and take into account a certain number of red lines.

然而，在政黨之間建立妥協的原則，就是能夠結合綠線並考慮一定數量的紅線。

但我們不能同時處於兩個極端。

Just hours after unveiling his new cabinet, his ministers were supposed to convene for the first time today.

在公佈新內閣的幾個小時後，他的部長們原定今天首次召開會議。

Instead, it is back to square one for a government that has been essentially spinning its wheels for over a year now, putting President Emmanuel Macron in an even tougher spot spot than he was before.

不過，對於一個已經原地踏步一年多的政府來說，這又回到了原點，讓總統馬克宏陷入比之前更艱難的處境。

CNN's Melissa Bell back with us, having an hour.

CNN 的 Melissa Bell 又回到我們身邊了，她已經在那裡一個小時了。

And Melissa Le Cornu, officially France's shortest ever serving prime minister.

而 Melissa Le Cornu，正式成為法國任期最短的總理。

What happened and just what are the consequences here?

到底發生了什麼事？後果又會是什麼？

All kinds of consequences in the immediate Future for France's 2026 budget.

對於法國 2026 年的預算，近期未來將會產生各種後果。

The timetable by which this budget needed to be presented to Parliament, which was by October, mid October, just a week away, now means that however quickly and if the French president decides to nominate a new prime minister, he simply won't have time to organize around himself for government present and draw up a new parliament, a new, a new budget in time.

這個預算原本需要在 10 月中旬，也就是一週後提交給國會的時間表，現在意味著，無論法國總統多麼快速決定提名新總理，他都沒時間組織政府並及時起草新的國會、新的預算。

So that's looking extremely unlikely at this stage.

所以在這個階段，這看起來極不可能。

It doesn't look like they will get before Parliament in time.

他們看起來無法及時提交給國會。

The proposals for 2226 budget, remember in the context where, Becky, it was extremely urgent that budget reform was pushed through, that budget cuts were made because of this growing debt crisis that France faces.

記得，2226 預算的提案，是在這個背景下提出的，Becky，預算改革的推動、預算削減的進行，因為法國面臨日益嚴重的債務危機，這變得非常緊急。

So that's one first very important consequence to come out of this.

所以，這是由此產生的第一個非常重要的後果。

The other is, of course, that as you say, after just 27 days, this hope that this particular prime minister, a very close ally of President Macron, but

另外一個當然是，就像你說的，才 27 天後，這個原本期望由這位總理，他是馬克宏總統的親密盟友，

also someone who is considered relatively consensual, able, it was thought, to cobble together a government by drawing on the mainstream left and right in order to try and govern and draw up that proposed budget.

而且也被認為是相對能達成共識、有能力組成政府的人，從中間偏左和中間偏右的陣營中拉攏成員，來試圖執政並起草預算案。

The fact that he's failed does lead to questions about what can happen next.

他失敗了，這確實讓人質疑接下來會發生什麼。

He's the fourth politician drawn from the political center here in France to try and fail to do that.

他是法國第四位來自中間政治光譜的政治人物，試圖這樣做卻失敗了。

Which suggests that at this stage, although technically he could, constitutionally he could, it's very unlikely that political, that politically Emmanuel Macron might choose once again to try this tried and failed attempt to, to lead from the center with a centrist mp, PM Rather, the only other choice choices available to him would be to choose, say, a prime minister drawn from the far right with all the difficulties that would have in getting consensus on the left, or a prime minister drawn from the left with all the difficulties you'd have in drawing consensus from the right.

這顯示在這個階段，雖然技術上、憲法上他可以，但艾曼紐·馬克宏總統很可能不會選擇再次嘗試這種已經失敗過的方法，試圖從中間領導，由一位中間派的國會議員，總理。相反地，他僅有的其他選擇，就是選擇一位來自極右派的總理，這會在左派取得共識方面造成所有困難；或者選擇一位來自左派的總理，這會在右派取得共識方面造成所有困難。

And especially given that this latest scalp, to be claimed by France's instability, went this time not because he lost the vote of confidence, but

尤其考慮到這次法國不穩定局勢所「收割」的最新一位，這次不是因為他輸了信任投票，而是

the very cabinet ministers you'd appointed 12 hours ago, many, many of them extremely disgruntled on the traditional right by the fact that not enough of them got seats.

你才任命 12 小時的內閣部長們，其中許多人，很多都對傳統右派非常不滿，因為他們沒有獲得足夠的席次。

So there's now this rupture between President Macron's center and the traditional right.

所以現在馬克宏總統的中間派和傳統右派之間出現了裂痕。

And that makes it very difficult to see how naming a new prime minister would help.

這讓情況變得非常難以想像，要如何透過任命一位新總理來解決。

The other solution, Becky, would be yet another dissolution, a second one in as many years, with the danger that at this stage, the polls suggest that Marine Le Pen's far right party would do even better this time than it did in 2024, with, of course, repercussions then for President Macron's majority and also his ability to lead.

另一個解決辦法，Becky，將會是又一次的解散國會，在幾年內第二次解散，而危險在於，在這個階段，民調顯示瑪琳·勒龐的極右派政黨這次會比 2024 年表現得更好，這當然會對馬克宏總統的過半數席次以及他的領導能力產生影響。

What he said is that he will stay on now until the presidential election of 2027, whatever else happens.

他說，不管發生什麼事，他都會留任到 2027 年總統大選。

France, of course, suffering a ratings downgrade some weeks ago.

法國當然在幾週前遭受了信評降級。

Earlier this year, the markets under pressure on the back of the Prime Minister's departure.

今年稍早，在總理離職的壓力下，市場受到影響。

And we're just going to show the CAC 40, the.

The stock market and how it cl lows down just less than one and a half percent today.

股市今天下跌不到百分之一點五。

One expert suggesting the worst case scenario for France's financial markets would be a Macron resignation.

有專家認為，法國金融市場最糟的情況將是馬克宏辭職。

Assuming that he does survive, what are the ramifications for the French president and for France at this stage?

假設他能夠撐過去，在這個階段對法國總統和法國會有什麼影響？

Well, on the question, on the question of a particular resignation of the French president, it's extremely unlikely.

嗯，關於法國總統是否會辭職的問題，這極不可能。

The far left are calling, have been calling for some time for.

遠左派一直在呼籲，呼籲了一段時間了。

For his impeachment, which works slightly differently to the way it works in the United States.

要求彈劾他，這與美國的彈劾方式略有不同。

Very difficult procedure for them to put through Parliament.

Essentially, it has to be his decision, because that procedure is so difficult to go.

基本上，這必須是他自己的決定，因為這個程序太難進行了。

And again, this is not speaking in the wake of this particular resignation, but

再說一次，這不是在這次辭職之後才說的，而是

the last one, Francois Bayroux, he said, look, I'm staying, whatever, whatever is happening.

上一位，Francois Bayroux，他說，看，我會留下來，不管發生什麼。

The chorus of people calling for his resignation has certainly been grown, but he seems determined to stay.

要求他辭職的呼聲確實越來越大，但他似乎決心要留下來。

So again, we go back to his options, either dissolution or naming a new prime minister.

所以我們又回到他的選項，不是解散國會，就是任命一位新的總理。

There are growing calls that dissolution is the only option left open to him.

越來越多的呼聲認為解散國會是他僅剩的選項。

With the prospect of the far right looking better than ever.

而遠右派的前景看起來比以往任何時候都好。

And the danger, of course, at this stage is, as you mentioned alluded to in your question just then, Becky, that as this political gridlock continues, which is likely to as long as he's president, there's simply no way around that.

而當然，在這個階段的危險是，就像妳剛剛提到的，Becky，隨著這種政治僵局持續下去，只要他還在位，就沒有辦法繞過它。

It's very difficult to, to see an alternative to a sort of lame duck presidency with a lot of political instability until the presidential election of 2027, should he decide to stay as he's pledged to so far.

真的很難看到，在 2027 年總統大選之前，如果他決定像他到目前為止承諾的那樣留下來，除了跛腳鴨總統和許多政治不穩定之外，還有其他選擇。

What that means is that the French debt, which has now reached about 116% of economic annual output, will not be resolved in terms of the fact that there will be no budget pushed through, because that would take tough political choices.

這意味著法國的債務，現在已經達到經濟年產出的 116% 左右，將無法解決，因為沒有預算會被推動通過，這需要艱難的政治抉擇。

It would take a big majority, would take political will.

這需要一個大的多數，需要政治意願。

There's none of that here in France right now.

And that means that that's, that's set to stay.

這意味著，情況將會一直如此。

Hence what you saw today, further difficulty on the CAC as a result of this latest resignation.

是以，這就是妳今天看到的，由於這次最新的辭職，CAC 面臨進一步的困難。

It simply does not look good for France's ability to tackle this.

這對法國解決這個問題的能力來說，實在是不妙。

It's good to have you, Melissa, thank you.

很高興妳來了，Melissa，謝謝妳。

字幕列表影片播放

法國總理上任不到一個月即辭職 (France's Prime Minister resigns after less than a month on the job)

essentially

assume

scenario

tough