Name: 伊朗的祕密計畫，摧毀美國經濟！ (Iran’s Secret Plan To Destroy The US Economy)
Uploaded: 2026-03-16T18:16:05.000Z
Duration: 11 min 31 s

Iran just revealed their plan to destroy the entire US Economy.

伊朗剛剛公佈了他們要摧毀整個美國經濟的計畫。

轉承詞

For some people it might seem impossible because look at the United States and look at Iran.

對某些人來說，這聽起來可能不太可能，因為看看美國再看看伊朗。

程度副詞

The United States GDP is almost 100 times larger than Iranian GDP.

美國的GDP差不多是伊朗GDP的100倍。

The United States has the global reserve currency, while Iran has a crippling economy.

美國擁有全球儲備貨幣，而伊朗的經濟則瀕臨崩潰。

The United States military is the most powerful military humanity has ever seen.

美國軍隊是人類有史以來見過最強大的軍隊。

So there is no comparison between these two countries.

所以這兩個國家根本沒有可比性。

The United States is at the top while Iran is barely surviving.

美國處於頂峰，而伊朗卻僅僅勉強生存。

And yet Iran has a nuclear strategy to win this war and crush the entire US Economy.

然而，伊朗卻擁有核戰略，足以贏得這場戰爭並摧毀整個美國經濟。

The crisis that Iran can cause is going to be way larger than the 2008 financial crisis.

伊朗可能引發的危機，將遠比2008年的金融危機還要嚴重。

This is not me coming up with hypothetical C scenario, but

這不是我隨口說說的假設情境，

this is a real crisis that is already looming behind the scenes.

而是真實、已經在幕後醞釀的危機。

And in three to six months from now, it could actually explode.

而且從現在起的三到六個月後，它可能會真的爆發。

And you will see that instantly in your life.

So all Iran is trying to do is to push the yields on the US Treasuries to rise, because that is how they can actually pressure the United States.

所以伊朗想做的，就是推升美國國債的收益率，因為這就是他們能真正向美國施壓的方式。

And that debt is being refinanced every single day.

而這筆債務每天都在進行再融資。

That's why if you look at the US Treasuries, or like one month treasuries, three month, six month, one year, two years, so that debt is being refinanced.

這就是為什麼如果你看看美國國債，或者像一個月期、三個月期、六個月期、一年期、兩年期的債務，這些債務都在再融資。

And as the yields on the US Treasuries continue rising, ask yourself a question.

隨著美國國債的收益率持續上升，問問自己一個問題。

What happens to the cost of servicing the debt?

It keeps growing and growing and growing.

它會不斷增長，不斷增長，不斷增長。

And a single percentage can cost the United states at least $400 billion.

而一個百分點就可能讓美國付出至少4000億美元的代價。

So all Iran has to do is to make sure that oil prices keep rising.

所以伊朗所要做的，就是確保油價持續上漲。

When oil prices rise, that create inflation.

油價上漲時，就會造成通貨膨脹。

So if you are loaning money to the US Government, you always expect the US Government to pay you a higher interest rate than the inflation rate.

所以，如果你借錢給美國政府，你總是期望美國政府支付給你的利率要高於通膨率。

Which means that Iran, if inflation rises by 1%, then the yields would rise by 1%.

這意味著，如果伊朗的通膨率上漲1%，那麼收益率就會上漲1%。

If inflation rises by 2%, then the yields rise by 2%.

如果通膨率上漲2%，那麼收益率就會上漲2%。

And that will cause the US government an additional $800 billion, which is almost as much as the United States is spending on the military annually.

這會讓美國政府額外付出8000億美元，這幾乎等於美國每年的軍費開銷。

So Iran says that we will keep the straight of ormos closed until oil prices will cross $200.

所以伊朗說，我們要關閉荷姆茲海峽，直到油價漲破200美元。

You can actually make the math and understand what kind of inflation that is going to cause.

你其實可以算一下，就知道那會造成什麼樣的通膨。

Now secondly, when there is inflation, the Federal Reserve has to increase interest rates.

再來第二點，當出現通膨時，聯邦準備理事會就必須提高利率。

And when the Fed raises interest rates, then the yields on the US Treasuries rise as well.

而當聯準會提高利率時，美國國債的收益率也會跟著上漲。

Again, the cost of servicing the debt exponentially rises.

同樣地，債務的償還成本也會呈指數級增長。

And if this war continues long enough until the yields will double, that will be a complete catastrophe for the United States.

如果這場戰爭持續夠久，直到收益率翻倍，那對美國來說將是場徹底的災難。

Thirdly, it can actually destroy the petrodollar.

第三點，這其實會摧毀石油美元。

So you have countries on the other side of the world called Japan that hold about $1.2 trillion of U.S.

所以世界上有像日本這樣的國家，持有大約1.2兆美元的美國。

treasuries because they can use that to buy oil from Middle Eastern countries.

國債，因為他們可以用這些錢向中東國家購買石油。

But now Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, which means that that oil that is being exclusively sold in US Dollars cannot possibly hit the global markets.

但現在伊朗關閉了荷姆茲海峽，這意味著那些以美元計價的石油無法進入全球市場。

So Japan cannot use the US Dollars to buy that oil.

所以日本無法用美元購買那些石油。

Which means that why would Japan keep reinvesting in the US Treasuries when these dollars cannot be used to buy oil?

那麼，當這些美元無法用來購買石油時，日本為什麼還要持續投資美國國債呢？

Because that oil is being trapped in Middle East.

So Japan will simply start selling their US Treasuries.

所以日本將開始賣出他們的美國國債。

You can now take the same analogy and apply it to South Korea and the rest of the US Allies that use so much US Treasuries to buy so much oil from Middle East.

你現在可以套用同樣的類比到韓國以及其他許多持有大量美國國債、從中東購買大量石油的美國盟友身上。

So you can see that the longer Iran keeps the Strait of Hormuz closed, the more it's going to pressure the United States and the more the US Government will have to offer in interest payments to make sure that it does not goes bankrupt on that $40 trillion debt.

所以你可以看到，伊朗封鎖荷姆茲海峽的時間越長，對美國的壓力就越大，美國政府為了避免那 40 兆美元的債務瀕臨崩潰，就得提供更高的利息支付。

And this problem is so severe that look at what Donald Trump is saying.

而這個問題非常嚴重，看看川普說了什麼。

Hopefully China, France, Japan and South Korea and the UK and others are affected by this artificial constraint train will send ships to the area so that the Hormuz Strait will no longer be a threat by a nation that has been totally decapitated.

希望中國、法國、日本、韓國、英國和其他受到這個人為限制影響的國家，能派船到那個區域，這樣荷姆茲海峽就不再受到一個已經完全被摧毀的國家的威脅。

So the United States is like, we don't have enough ships to protect the Strait of Hormuz and we need more ships.

所以美國就說，我們沒有足夠的船來保護荷姆茲海峽，我們需要更多船。

But just a week ago, a couple of days ago, Trump is like, oh, we don't need anybody.

但就在一週前，幾天前，川普說，喔，我們不需要任何人。

Do you see how destructive this war is that now Donald Trump is literally bullied, begging other nations to send ships to secure the Strait of Hormones because Trump knows that it can cause a catastrophe on the US Budget and the entire US Economy.

你看到了這場戰爭有多具破壞性嗎？現在川普竟然在霸凌、乞求其他國家派船來保護荷姆茲海峽，因為川普知道這會對美國的預算和整個美國經濟造成災難。

And if you think that this is the entire problem, then you are making a mistake, because there is the second part of this strategy.

如果你認為這就是全部的問題，那就錯了，因為這個策略還有第二部分。

Iran can cause a banking crisis in the United States that is going to be way worse than the 2008 financial crisis.

伊朗可能會引發一場比2008年金融危機還要嚴重的銀行危機。

How Iran, such a poor country, can cause a banking crisis in the United States.

伊朗這個窮國，怎麼可能引發美國的銀行危機？

Now, to understand Iran's financial strategy against the United States, you have to understand why Silicon Valley bank failed.

現在，要了解伊朗對美國的金融戰略，你必須先了解矽谷銀行為什麼會倒閉。

What Silicon Valley bank has to do with Iran.

Now, there was a bank called the Silicon Valley bank that exist about 40 to 50 years.

現在，有間銀行叫做矽谷銀行，它存在了大約四五十年。

它曾經是一家非常成功的銀行。

It was servicing a lot of startups in Silicon Valley and it had like three to four hundred billion dollars worth of assets.

它服務了矽谷的許多新創公司，資產高達三四千億美元。

And then just like that, overnight, the bank failed.

然後，就在一夜之間，這家銀行就倒閉了。

Because in 2020 and 2021, interest rates were pretty much almost zero.

因為在2020年和2021年，利率幾乎是零。

And as a bank, you're required to take your depositors money and buy a lot of U.S.

而銀行必須把儲戶的錢拿去買很多美國

treasuries because you can only make loans according to how much assets you have.

國債，因為你只能根據你擁有的資產來放款。

And U.S. treasuries are considered the safest investments in the market.

而美國國債被認為是市場上最安全的投資。

That's why you have to buy so much U.S. treasuries.

這就是為什麼你必須買這麼多美國國債。

But in 2022, the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates from 0.5% to 5.5%.

但到了2022年，聯邦準備理事會將利率從0.5%升至5.5%。

What do you think happened to the value of all of these U.S.

你覺得這些矽谷在2020年到2021年間購買的所有美國

treasuries that Silicon Valley purchased between 2020 and 2021?

Because now the the new U.S. treasuries that the U.S.

因為現在美國新發行的美國國債

government is issuing, because remember, the U.S. government is constantly refinancing the debt.

政府正在發行，因為請記得，美國政府一直在為債務再融資。

treasuries Silicon Valley has purchased in 2020, 2021 are paying you 0.1 to 1% in interest rate.

國債，矽谷在 2020 年、2021 年購買的，支付你的利率是 0.1% 到 1%。

So they pay you way less interest than the new U.S.

所以他們支付的利息比新的美國

treasuries, which means that their price has plummeted.

國債少很多，這意味著它們的價格已經暴跌。

So if the price of a single US treasury is $1,000 now, the new price will be in the market.

所以如果一張美國國債的價格現在是 1000 美元，新的價格會在市場上。

If you want to sell it is going to be, let's say, $850 or $900.

如果你想賣掉，假設會是 850 美元或 900 美元。

So even though that Silicon Valley bank did not actually sell these investments, but

所以即使矽谷銀行實際上沒有賣掉這些投資，但是

rather all of these losses have been made on paper.

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伊朗的祕密計畫，摧毀美國經濟！ (Iran’s Secret Plan To Destroy The US Economy)

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