Name: 北韓回應美軍演，發射彈道飛彈！| DW News (North Korea fires ballistic missiles in response to US military exercise | DW News)
Uploaded: 2026-03-15T23:06:12.000Z
Duration: 6 min 46 s

Turning to North Korea now, where the country's media has broadcast a test launch of ballistic missiles it said took place off its eastern coast on Saturday.

接著我們來看到北韓，北韓媒體報導，他們在週六於東岸試射了彈道飛彈。

North Korea's leader, Kim Jong Un and his teenage daughter observed the test.

北韓領導人金正恩和他的青少年女兒一同觀看了這次試射。

基礎被動語態

It is viewed as a response to joint U. S.

South Korean military maneuvers that Pyongyang sees as an invasion rehearsal.

韓國聯合軍事演習的回應，平壤認為這是入侵的預演。

Citing Kim, North Korean state media says that a strike would obliterate enemy military infrastructure within a 420 kilometer range.

引用金正恩的話，北韓官媒表示，這次攻擊能在420公里範圍內摧毀敵方軍事基礎設施。

That's enough to reach any part of its rival to the south.

這足以打到其南方對手的任何地方。

And for more, let's bring in Aidan Foster Carter.

更多消息，我們請到 Aidan Foster Carter。

He's a career analyst at Leeds University in England.

他是英國裡茲大學的職業分析師。

很高興你能來我們的節目，Aidan。

We've just mentioned Kim Jong Un and his teenage daughter observing those tests.

我們剛才提到了金正恩和他的女兒在觀察這些測試。

Is Kim Jong Un paving the way for his daughter to become his successor?

金正恩是在為他女兒接班鋪路嗎？

No other explanation of his conduct or what's been happening over the past nearly two or three years now makes sense, which is that typical North Korean fashion, they don't do anything by chance.

過去兩三年來，他的行為或發生的事情沒有其他解釋是說得通的，這就是北韓一貫的風格，他們做任何事都不是偶然的。

We think she's called Kim Ju A because a certain basketball player called Dennis Rodman said so.

我們認為她叫金主愛，是因為一位名叫丹尼斯·羅德曼的籃球員這麼說的。

這就是我們的消息來源有多可靠。

They did just have a party congress where some people fought.

他們剛開完黨代表大會，裡面有些人有競爭。

She might be formally named, but that didn't happen and she didn't appear at it.

她可能已經正式命名了，但這並沒有發生，她也沒有出現在那裡。

But she did appear at a military parade afterwards.

但她之後確實出現在一場軍事閱兵上。

But basically she's with him the whole time.

What could this possibly be signaling except a succession?

這除了接班之外，還能傳達什麼訊息？

But when would this succession take place?

但這個接班會什麼時候發生呢？

I mean, are there any signs that Kim Jong Un is ready or might even need a successor soon?

我的意思是，有跡象顯示金正恩準備好，或者甚至很快就需要接班人了嗎？

Or is this preparation just ongoing for years and years and years?

還是說這個準備已經持續了好幾年、好幾年、好幾年了？

it makes a lot of sense because we've got a bit of history to North Korea now.

這很有道理，因為我們現在對北韓已經有點歷史瞭解了。

I mean, bizarre as it is, this is a technically communist state, which is in practice a hereditary monarchy.

我的意思是，雖然聽起來很奇怪，這是一個技術上是共產主義國家，但實際上是世襲君主制。

Kim Il Sung, the founder, once he decided to do this rather radical or reactionary thing and have his son Kim Jong Il succeed him, it's hard keeping track of all these Kims.

創始人金日成，一旦他決定做這件相當激進或反動的事情，讓他的兒子金正日接班，要記住所有這些金氏家族成員真的不容易。

Kim Jong Il did not give the same favor to his son, Kim Jong Un, the current ruler.

金正日並沒有給他的兒子，也就是現任統治者金正恩同樣的恩惠。

He wasn't even introduced to the North Korean people until barely a year before his father died.

他在他父親去世前不到一年才勉強被介紹給北韓人民。

So it seems to me that Kim Jong Un, who Doesn't have a very healthy lifestyle.

所以在我看來，金正恩，他生活習慣不太健康。

A man who smokes in hospitals and kindergartens and is quite large.

一個在醫院和幼稚園抽菸，而且體型相當大的人。

It's also bad for the kids, not just his lifestyle that is impacting.

這對孩子們也不好，不只是他的生活習慣會造成影響。

And North Korea does have an anti smoking law, but, you know, is the leader.

而且北韓確實有禁菸法，但你知道的，他是領導人。

So I think he is making long term plans, but very long term.

所以我認為他正在做長遠的計畫，但非常長遠。

I mean, if he does live as long as his father and grandfather, he's got another 30 years to go.

我的意思是，如果他的壽命跟他父親和祖父一樣長，他還有 30 年的時間。

I mean, I know we're talking about North Korea, but you mentioned a hereditary monarchy.

我的意思是，我知道我們在談論北韓，但你提到了世襲君主制。

So there is nobody else inside who could challenge Kim Jong Un's choice of his teenage daughter.

所以裡面沒有其他人能夠挑戰金正恩選擇他的青少年女兒。

I wouldn't necessarily say that I would recommend viewers to study their medieval history, be it European, be it Asian.

我不會特別建議觀眾去研究他們的中古歷史，不管是歐洲的還是亞洲的。

我們知道君主制是怎麼運作的。

There's always somebody else who wants it.

In this particular case, it's his sister, Kim Yo Jong.

在這個特別的例子裡，是他的妹妹金與正。

她在上次黨代表大會被晉升了。

She's often a spokesperson chosen to be rude about South Korea particularly.

她經常被選為發言人，特別是對韓國講話很粗魯。

I mean, and again, think of the age of this young woman.

我是說，再說一次，想想這位年輕女性的年紀。

But we think she's only just, just entered her teens.

但我們認為她才剛、剛進入青少年時期。

No way can she have any sort of a power base of her own at this stage.

在這個階段，她絕對不可能有任何屬於自己的權力基礎。

So there'll be all kinds of court politics going on, which sadly we can see nothing of at all.

所以一定會有各種宮廷政治在進行，可惜我們完全看不到。

Now, Aidan, let's talk a little bit about Iran.

現在，Aidan，我們來聊聊伊朗。

North Korea obviously seen as a close partner of Iran.

北韓顯然被視為伊朗的親密夥伴。

And some foreign policy analysts describe the two as part of an axis of upheaval.

有些外交政策分析師將兩國描述為動盪軸心的一部分。

How do you think Kim views that war in Iran and how does it affect him and his country?

你覺得金正恩怎麼看待伊朗的戰爭，這對他和他的國家有什麼影響？

Not quite as much alarm as, again, thinking back 20 years ago when a different US administration launched an attack on Iraq.

不像二十年前，當時美國另一屆政府攻擊了伊拉克，那時候的擔憂程度可不一樣。

And of course, George Bush used the phrase axis of evil.

當然，喬治·布希用了「邪惡軸心」這個詞。

Kim Jong Il went to ground for, for a while.

金正日當時有很長一段時間銷聲匿跡。

We're seeing him, you know, at all, these missile tests and all that kind of thing.

我們看到他在進行各種飛彈測試等等。

我的意思是，看起來我們所有人，但

particularly perhaps Kim Jong Un, probably wonder and worry if Donald Trump is getting an appetite for this.

特別是金正恩，可能都在想川普是不是對這件事有點胃口了。

Having done the easy one, Venezuela, you just swoop in, capture Maduro and Bob's your uncle.

委內瑞拉這種簡單的都辦完了，你就可以直接介入，抓到馬杜羅，事情就搞定了。

Somebody must have thought he must have thought, okay, we'll do Iran now, which clearly is a very tough nut.

肯定有人想，好吧，我們現在來對付伊朗，這顯然是個非常難啃的骨頭。

I mean, the difficulty that he's having in Iran will make him or anybody think twice.

我的意思是，他在伊朗遇到的困難，會讓他或任何人三思而後行。

I mean, I hope he wouldn't think about North Korea.

我的意思是，我希望他不會想到北韓。

He seems to think Kim Jong Un is his friend.

他似乎覺得金正恩是他的朋友。

But North Korea, of course, has the nuclear weapons that Iran does not yet have, and

但北韓當然擁有伊朗還沒有的核武，

But if you're Kim Jong Un, you see all this happening, you would think twice, wouldn't you?

但如果你是金正恩，看到這一切發生，你會三思吧？

briefly, if you would, could what he's watching there perhaps also somehow give him an appetite to actually use those missiles?

簡短地說，你覺得他現在看到的，會不會也讓他想用那些飛彈？

But with the attention of the international community right now elsewhere, could that be perhaps an effect of what we're seeing now in the Middle East?

但現在國際社會的注意力都在別處，這會不會是我們現在在中東看到情況的影響？

Short answer, no access of upheaval or not, China or Russia would never allow it.

簡短回答，無論有沒有動盪，中國或俄羅斯絕不會允許。

They do not want distractions on the Korean peninsula.

他們不想在朝鮮半島有任何干擾。

His grandfather dragged them into a terrible war in the early 50s.

他的祖父在 50 年代初期把他們拖進了一場可怕的戰爭。