Name: 最新就業報告「慘不忍睹」！分析師這麼說... (Latest jobs report is 'ugly' across the board: Analyst)
Uploaded: 2026-03-06T23:03:35.000Z
Duration: 4 min 54 s

過去完成式

Bureau of Labor Statistics keep in mind says the US economy lost 92,000 jobs last month, far below the gain of 50,000 jobs experts had predicted.

美國勞工統計局表示，美國經濟上個月失去了 92,000 個工作職位，遠低於專家預計的 50,000 個工作職位增長。

No doubt also impacting those market numbers.

這無疑也影響了那些市場數字。

Bankrate senior economic analyst Mark Hamrick is here with more on this morning's job numbers.

Bankrate 資深經濟分析師 Mark Hamrick 在這裡為我們帶來更多關於今天早上的工作職位數字。

So this jobs report is much worse than expected.

所以這份就業報告比預期的差很多。

And 50,000 is already a pretty low estimate.

而 50,000 已經是很低的估計了。

50,000、60,000，這是他們預期的。

So what stands out to you when you look at these numbers?

所以當你看這些數字時，什麼讓你印象深刻？

This is an ugly jobs report across the board.

這是一份整體來說都很嚴峻的就業報告。

Very often we'll have a report that might be on the one hand, on the other hand, and

很多時候，我們會看到一份報告，一方面...

one hand might have something that is more positive.

另一方面，可能會有比較正面的內容。

You don't really see that in this report.

在這份報告裡，你真的看不到這種情況。

On the headline number of payrolls, you see there 92,000 jobs in the hole last month.

總數薪資方面，上個月出現了 92,000 個職位空缺。

We now have average monthly jobs creation last year of fewer than 10,000 jobs a month.

我們現在看到去年平均每月新增職位不到 10,000 個。

And you go back to June of last year, this isn't just a one month phenomenon.

而且回頭看去年六月，這不是單一月份的現象。

June of last year you basically had one month of jobs creation followed by a month of contraction in payroll.

去年六月，你基本上是新增職位一個月，接著是薪資收縮一個月。

So the unemployment rate has essentially hung in there.

所以失業率基本上就維持在那裡。

that's about nearly a full percent above the low that we saw in recent years.

這比我們近年來看到的低點高了將近百分之一。

The question is, are we losing, you know, momentum with the job market and is there a risk?

問題是，我們的工作市場是不是正在失去動力，而且有風險嗎？

The unemployment rate goes higher since this report was gathered, which is typically around the 12th of the month of February.

失業率會不會因為這份報告的採樣時間（通常是二月的十二號左右）之後而升高？

在這個情況下，我們爆發了一場戰爭。

And we see higher prices emanating from energy, first of all, which ultimately do filter on through the rest of the economy.

我們看到能源價格上漲，這最終會影響到經濟的其他部分。

Average price per gallon of gas in this country up 34 cents basically in a week.

全國每加侖汽油的平均價格在一週內上漲了 34 美分。

And so this is affecting everything from airline fares to mortgage rates.

這影響了從機票價格到房貸利率的各種事物。

We've heard layoff announcements from companies like Block and Amazon saying they're using AI to make their workforces more efficient.

我們聽到了像 Block 和 Amazon 這些公司發布的裁員消息，他們說正在利用 AI 來提高員工效率。

Do you see that trend reflected in this jobs report?

在這份就業報告中，你看到了這種趨勢嗎？

We see the information sector losing about 10,000 jobs here.

我們看到資訊業大約損失了 10,000 個工作職位。

The Block announcement has since been questioned in the sense of are we seeing something?

Block 的聲明後來受到了質疑，意思是我們是不是看到了什麼？

Remember years back when sort of pivoting to environmental concerns was called greenwashing, using that as sort of an excuse?

還記得幾年前，轉向環保議題被稱為漂綠，以此為藉口嗎？

Some people think this is a washing in the block sense because the company had expanded so aggressively and now has to cut back so That's a question mark.

有些人認為這是在 Block 的情況下的一種漂綠，因為公司先前擴張得太積極，現在必須縮減規模，這是一個問號。

But obviously AI is being integrated across the economy where appropriate.

但顯然，AI 正在適當的地方被整合到整個經濟體系中。

But it's also adding momentum for the economy in the sectors that are relevant data centers.

但這也為相關的數據中心產業注入了經濟動能。

The expenditures on artificial intelligence, of technology, really representing the lion share of business capital investment in this country.

在人工智慧、科技方面的支出，確實佔了這個國家企業資本投資的大宗。

If we didn't have that, GDP probably would have been negative or certainly much lower.

如果沒有這部分，GDP 可能會是負數，或者肯定會低很多。

I think it's way too early to say that AI is killing all the jobs, but

我認為現在說 AI 正在扼殺所有工作職位還太早，但

it's worth watching and it's obviously going to be a conversation.

這確實值得關注，而且顯然會是大家討論的焦點。

You say uncertainty and volatility are inescapable right now.

你說現在不確定性和波動性是無法避免的。

Well, it's been that way for almost a year now.

嗯，差不多一年來都是這樣了。

The question is, what is it that is the source of that at any given moment?

問題是，在任何特定的時刻，那樣的根源是什麼？

They also sort of got a new lease on life after the Supreme Court decision.

在最高法院做出裁決後，它們也彷彿獲得了新的生命。

As we've seen, that escalation from 10% to 15% using the new authority the president's turning to, part of it has to do with technological change, the rapid changes in the economy, globalized economy, as well as the geopolitical sphere.

正如我們所見，總統利用新權力將關稅從 10% 提高到 15%，這部分與科技變革、經濟的快速變化、全球化經濟以及地緣政治領域有關。

So volatility, disruption, uncertainty, those are not going to leave us.

所以波動、動盪、不確定性，這些都不會離開我們。

Affordability is a major issue for Americans right now.

可負擔性是美國人目前面臨的主要問題。

Triple A reports the situation in the Middle east has caused the national average for gas prices to jump about 34 cents in a week.

Triple A 報導，中東局勢已導致全國平均油價在一週內上漲約 34 美分。

What other impacts do you think a prolonged war could have on the economy?

你認為長期戰爭還會對經濟產生哪些影響？

Well, first of all, it really aggravates the affordability challenge that in first and foremost in the pocketbooks and minds of Americans for several years now.

嗯，首先，這確實加劇了可負擔性挑戰，這幾年來，這首先體現在美國人的荷包和想法裡。

So there is a risk that inflation goes from too high to even higher.

所以有通膨從過高變成更高的風險。

我們不知道這場戰爭會持續多久。

We don't know whether there are wider impacts.

我們不知道會不會有更廣泛的影響。

But the longer crude oil prices stay higher, the longer gasoline prices stay higher, those are going to filter on through the economy because we're reliant on transportation for so many things, and

但是，原油價格越高，汽油價格越高，這些都會透過經濟傳導，因為我們的許多事物都依賴運輸，