Name: 綠黨能否守住德國的唯一堡壘？ | DW 新聞 (Can the Green party hold on to its one stronghold in Germany? | DW News)
Uploaded: 2026-03-04T17:38:00.000Z
Duration: 9 min 24 s

It's one of Germany's and Europe's richest regions, Baden Wurtenberg, home to delicious Spetzel and the Black Forest.

德國和歐洲最富裕的地區之一，巴登-符騰堡，這裡有美味的 Spetzel 和黑森林。

But most famous for its biggest export and driver of its economic the car.

但最出名的還是它最大的出口，也是經濟的驅動力——汽車。

情態副詞

And perhaps that's why it's all the more surprising that the environmentalist Green Party has been so successful here.

也許正因為如此，環保主義的綠黨在這裡如此成功，更讓人驚訝。

It's where they place their first and only state premier.

他們在這裡設立了第一個，也是唯一一個州長。

And Winfrey Kretschman pulled off the unusual feat of staying in power for 15 years.

而溫弗裡德·克雷奇曼做到了不尋常的成就，掌權長達15年。

But right now, that curious but successful love story is not on solid ground.

但此刻，這段奇特卻成功的愛情故事，已經不再穩固。

As state elections approach on March 8, the Greens could lose their leadership for the first time in over a decade.

隨著3月8日的州選舉臨近，綠黨可能會失去十多年來的首次領導權。

So what's happening in the Greens biggest stronghold?

那麼，綠黨最大的堡壘裡，到底發生了什麼事呢？

And is it a sign that as Germany's political landscape further fragments, the party is struggling to stay relevant?

這是否意味著，隨著德國的政治版圖日益碎片化，綠黨也將難以維持其影響力？

Let's start by taking a look at how the Greens are expected to perform in the state election.

首先，我們來看看綠黨在這次州選舉中預計會有什麼樣的表現。

After an unequivocal win gave them almost a third of the votes in 2021, the Greens have fallen behind the conservative CDU and are polling around 27%.

在2021年以壓倒性勝利贏得近三分之一選票後，綠黨的聲勢已不如保守派的德國基督教民主聯盟（CDU），目前的民調大約落在27%。

Latest polls show the CDU is projected to steal the state leadership from the Greens and win with 28% of the vote.

最新的民調顯示，德國基督教民主聯盟（CDU）預計將從綠黨手中奪下州長寶座，以28%的得票率勝出。

Shaking up the forecast is the far right AfD.

而極右派的德國選擇黨（AfD）則可能打破這個預測。

It's projected to come in third with around 18% of the votes.

預計他們將以約18%的得票率位居第三。

The party has never been so strong in Baden Wurtenberg and is set to gain the most since the last election in 2021.

德國選擇黨（AfD）在巴登-符騰堡的聲勢從未如此強勁，預計將比2021年的上次選舉獲得最多成長。

With these numbers in mind, I headed to an event on the Green Party's campaign trail in Bad Wittenberg.

基於這些數字，我前往了位於Bad Wittenberg的綠黨競選活動現場。

This is Biberach, a major industrial town a couple of hours away from Stuttgart, the state's capital.

這裡是比貝拉赫，一個距離州府斯圖加特大約兩小時車程的主要工業城鎮。

And it's mostly pensioners who are lined up outside the venue at 10am on a Wednesday morning, waiting to be let in to hear from Cem Ozdemir, the Green candidate running for state premier.

週三上午10點，現場排隊等候入場的大多是退休人士，他們正等著聽德國選擇黨（AfD）的候選人賽姆·厄茲德米爾（Cem Ozdemir）發表演講，他正在競選州長。

There's an upbeat mood inside the hall, But some are more disillusioned with the party.

館內氣氛很歡樂，但有些人對這個黨感到更失望。

The event still pulled a big audience because it features Green royalty Franziska Pratna, the party's current Germany wide co leader, Joschka Fischer, the Green's veteran foreign minister during the party's first stint in the federal government at the end of the 1990s, and

這場活動還是吸引了許多觀眾，因為有綠黨的重量級人物弗朗齊斯卡·普拉特納（Franziska Pratna）到場，她是綠黨目前德國全國的共同領導人，還有約瑟夫·菲舍爾（Joschka Fischer），他在1990年代末綠黨首次執政聯邦政府期間擔任綠黨資深外交部長，以及

Rikada Lange, in her early 30s and already a party veteran and social media star.

裡卡達·蘭格（Rikada Lange），她三十出頭就已經是黨內資深黨員和社群媒體紅人。

Many are here to listen to this man, Winfried Bretchman, the politician who steered the Green Party in Baden Wurtenberg.

很多人是來聽這位溫弗裡德·克雷奇曼（Winfried Bretchman）演講的，他是一位帶領巴登-符騰堡綠黨的政治人物。

Through 15 years in government, he summed up what he considers his recipe for that success.

在執政15年期間，他總結了他認為成功的祕訣。

Sets Unstadt auf ein Polarisieren disorder auf Deskonstruktive und Economy und Ecologie, tradition und innovation.

77 year old Kretschmann is so well loved in the state and beyond that many attribute much of the Green's success here to him.

77歲的克雷奇曼在州內外都深受愛戴，許多人認為綠黨在這裡的成功很大程度上歸功於他。

His pragmatic approach that balanced economic interests and climate protection often differed from the more left leaning policies of the Greens at the federal level.

他平衡經濟利益和氣候保護的務實做法，常常與綠黨在聯邦層級的左傾政策有所不同。

But it won him support in a state that had been traditionally dominated by the conservative parties.

但這為他贏得了在一個傳統上由保守黨派主導的州的支援。

He was, so to say, positioning himself in the middle.

可以說，他將自己定位在中間。

And he was, so to say, a key for the success.

He was quite popular even among the Christian Democrats, among the bourgeois electorate.

他在州內外都頗受歡迎，甚至受到基督教民主黨人和資產階級選民的喜愛。

Hechmann is now set to retire and his shoes will be hard to fill.

克雷奇曼即將退休，他的接班人將很難找。

The man taking on that task is the main act today in Biberach.

今天在比貝拉赫，接下這個任務的人將是主要焦點。

賽姆·厄茲德米爾可不是初出茅廬的新人。

Born in Walden Wurttenberg to Turkish parents, he has left the Green Party at national level, been a member of the European Parliament as well as a minister in the last federal government.

他出生於巴登-符騰堡，父母是土耳其人，他曾離開綠黨，擔任過歐洲議會議員，也是上一屆聯邦政府的部長。

People here know very well who he is today.

這裡的人們今天非常清楚他是誰。

He's here to explain his vision for the future.

他來這裡是為了闡述他的未來願景。

Has Kretzschmann's pragmatic approach to politics and is also popular with voters.

他繼承了克雷奇曼務實的政治手法，也受到選民的歡迎。

But the days of record wins for the party in Baden Wurtenberg appear to be over for many Greens supporters here.

但對許多綠黨支持者來說，該黨在巴登-符騰堡創紀錄的勝利時代似乎已經結束了。

There are some problems with the party that one single figure can't fix.

黨內有些問題，單靠一個人是無法解決的。

At the national level, the Greens have been stagnating and the party has regularly come under fire, especially during its last five years in government until 2025.

在全國層級，綠黨一直停滯不前，而且在過去五年執政期間，直到2025年，該黨經常受到批評。

Some unpopular policies soured their reputation with voters.

一些不受歡迎的政策損害了他們在選民心中的聲譽。

For example, some of the energy policies they pushed in the wake of rising prices following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

例如，在俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭後，隨著物價上漲，他們推動了一些能源政策。

You have to recall that the Germans have the second highest energy prices in Europe.

你必須記得，德國的能源價格是歐洲第二高的。

Only the Danes they pay higher prices and this is of course attributed to the Green politics.

只有丹麥的價格更高，這當然歸因於綠黨的政治。

So when the Greens in general have a downward trend, this will also hit Greens, however on a higher level.

所以，當綠黨整體趨勢向下時，這也會影響到綠黨，儘管是在更高的層級。

The economy in Baden Wittenberg has become a top concern for voters.

巴登-符騰堡的經濟已經成為選民最關心的問題。

The state's car centered economy is in crisis.

該州以汽車為中心的經濟正處於危機之中。

Major car manufacturers like Mercedes and Porsche, or suppliers like Bosch have announced tens of thousands of job cuts by 2030.

像是 Mercedes 和 Porsche 這樣的汽車大廠，或是 Bosch 這類的供應商，都預計在 2030 年前裁員數萬人。

A structural shift towards electric vehicles and competition from China.

電動車的結構性轉型以及來自中國的競爭。

High energy and production costs and the lack of innovation have all fueled the crisis.

高昂的能源和生產成本，加上缺乏創新，都加劇了這場危機。

Insolvency proceedings rose for a second year and unemployment well below the national average increase is growing at an increasing rate.

破產程序連續第二年上升，失業率遠低於全國平均水平，但正在以越來越快的速度增長。

Tamara Hubner from the trade union Ige Metal in the state capital Stuttgart, told me job security concerns are rising.

工會 Ige Metal 在州府斯圖加特（Stuttgart）的 Tamara Hubner 告訴我，大家對工作保障的擔憂正在增加。

She says the Green led state government has tried to keep up with structural changes, but

她說，綠黨領導的州政府試圖跟上結構性變革的腳步，但

Dissatisfaction with the ruling party often follows economic woes, and

民眾對執政黨的不滿，常常伴隨著經濟困境，

you can see how it could be easy to blame Green state leadership for a crisis in the carbon intensive car industry.

你可以想像，將碳密集型汽車產業的危機歸咎於綠黨州領導層，是多麼容易。

I wanted to ask candidate Cem Oetzemier, who he thinks is responsible for the economic downturn.

我想問候選人 Cem Ozdemir，他認為誰該為經濟衰退負責。

I caught up with him in Stuttgart during a short break between campaign events.

我在斯圖加特競選活動的短暫休息時間裡見到了他。

We're an export state number one in Germany.

We produce excellent products that we sell to the whole world.

我們生產優質產品，銷往全世界。

China's role that is now a strong competitor.

Also playing sometimes with unfair methods.

Cheap Russian gas which is not available anymore.

便宜的俄羅斯天然氣已經沒有了。

And let me remind you it was not the Green Party who fought that if you're nice to Mr.

我提醒你，如果對普丁先生好言相向，我們也會對你好，這不是綠黨主張的。

We always warned that dictators do not have good intentions.

我們一直警告，獨裁者沒有好意。

Vis a vis your opinion with the vis the Greens look likely to stay in government whether they pull off a win or not, but

不過，就你們的意見來看，綠黨無論輸贏，似乎都會留在政府裡，

there's a good chance that they'll be relegated to the position of minority coalition partner while their pragmatic approach is no longer enough to win over a large majority.

但他們很有可能會被降級為少數聯合政府的夥伴，因為他們務實的做法已經不足以贏得廣大民眾的支持。

And some of their core environmental values are becoming more of a hindrance than a help when it comes to catching votes.

而且他們一些核心的環保價值觀，在爭取選票方面，現在反而成了阻礙。

What might end up saving them from electoral disaster in Baden Wurttemberg, at least, is the popularity of their candidate Cem Uztemir SA.

在巴登-符騰堡，或許能讓他們免於選舉災難的，至少是他們候選人 Cem Ozdemir 的高人氣。