Name: 從 iPhone 6 到 AI 時代：盤點 12 項重塑人類現代生活的科技大轉型 | WSJ（The 12 Biggest Tech Changes of the Past 12 Years | WSJ）
Uploaded: 2026-02-13T06:01:15.000Z
Duration: 5 min 19 s

12 years ago, I joined The Wall Street Journal, and this tiny little baby iPhone was cutting edge.

12 年前，我加入了《華爾街日報》，當時這支小巧玲瓏的 iPhone 還是最尖端的科技。

iPhone is disabled; try again in 27 million minutes.

iPhone 已停用；請在 2,700 萬分鐘後重試。

Today, I'm leaving The Wall Street Journal, and this iPhone 17 Pro is a supercomputer.

今天，我要離開《華爾街日報》了，而這支 iPhone 17 Pro 已經是一台超級電腦。

In the last dozen years, tech has reshaped our lives and somehow reshaped my face.

在過去的十幾年裡，科技重塑了我們的生活，還不知怎地重塑了我的臉。

(But just how water-resistant are the iPhone 7 and Apple watch?)

（但 iPhone 7 和 Apple Watch 的防水能力究竟如何？）

Yes, I'm leaving The Wall Street Journal to go build something new.

是的，我要離開《華爾街日報》去打造一些新東西了。

But first I thought it would be fun to send a message to 2014 me.

但首先，我覺得傳個訊息給 2014 年的自己應該會很有趣。

Here are 12 things you're about to experience in the next 12 years.

以下是你在未來 12 年即將經歷的 12 件事。

Phones are going to grow in size and capabilities and become water-resistant.

手機的尺寸和功能會不斷增長，並具備防水能力。

In 2016, you'll review the Samsung Galaxy Note 7 entirely underwater.

2016 年，你將全程在水下評測 Samsung Galaxy Note 7。

A week later, Samsung will recall the phone because its batteries explode.

一週後，三星會因為電池爆炸而召回這款手機。

BlackBerry, for one, probably because you did this to one of its last phones.

黑莓機（BlackBerry）就是其中之一，大概是因為你對它最後一款手機做了這種事。

This American cheese-sized, 4.5-inch square touchscreen.

這個像美國起司片大小、4.5 英吋的正方形觸控螢幕。

Everyone's going to start using emojis to communicate, and you're going to make this weird-ass video.

每個人都會開始用表情符號（emoji）來溝通，而你會拍這段怪到不行的影片。

Amazon will release a talking speaker called the Echo with a talking assistant called Alexa.

亞馬遜會推出一款名為 Echo 的說話喇叭，搭載名為 Alexa 的語音助手。

I've added "Buy a monkey" to your to-do list.

我已經將「買一隻猴子」加入到你的待辦清單了。

抱歉，我現在還無法設定提醒。

The Apple Watch will be Apple's first big product announcement since the death of Steve Jobs.

Apple Watch 將會是賈伯斯逝世後，蘋果第一個重大的產品發佈。

You'll wear a crazy helmet camera to do the first review and focus on the health and fitness features.

你會戴著瘋狂的頭盔攝影機進行第一次評測，並專注於健康與健身功能。

Apple will also add fall detection over the years,

這些年來蘋果還會加入跌倒偵測功能，

and you'll do a crazy stunt with an actual stunt double.

而你會和一位真正的特技替身一起完成一場瘋狂的特技表演。

And also somewhere in there, you're going to go through a green screen obsession.

此外，在某個時間點，你還會對綠幕影像產生一種執迷。

好啦，不。這並不是真的太空船。

Since the dawn of time, the stick has been essential to human survival,

自古以來，棍棒一直是人類生存的關鍵，

helping us explore the world and protect ourselves.

幫助我們探索世界並保護自己。

Carriers and phone makers are going to hype it like it's the second coming.

電信商和手機製造商會像迎接救世主降臨一樣大肆宣傳它。

slightly faster speeds and one really cool video shoot at Giant Stadium.

稍微快一點的速度，以及在巨人體育場的一次超酷影片拍攝。

I work here now, just me, my iPhones, and some super-fast Verizon 5G.

我現在就在這工作，只有我、我的 iPhone，還有超級快的 Verizon 5G。

Oh, and a tent you used to test in Chicago.

喔，還有一個你在芝加哥測試時用過的帳篷。

I wish I could tell you those speeds are everywhere, and the coverage is wonderful, and the world has changed forever,

我真希望我能告訴你那種速度無處不在、覆蓋範圍極佳，且世界因此永遠改變了，

You become Korea's public enemy number one for putting a hot dog in one of Samsung's first foldable phones.

你會因為把熱狗放進三星第一款折疊手機裡，而變成韓國的頭號公敵。

Facebook is going to change its name to Meta and attempt to get us to all wear VR headsets and live in the metaverse.

Facebook 會改名為 Meta，並企圖讓我們都戴上 VR 裝置生活在元宇宙裡。

Yeah, I definitely don't feel very well right now.

耶，我現在感覺真的很不舒服。

You'll interview some of the biggest names in tech,

你會採訪科技界一些最響亮的人物，

first in an elevator and then, other places.

起初是在電梯裡，後來是在其他地方。

Right, so that's what created the GPT-4, for example, which essentially changed the world.

沒錯，這就是創造出 GPT-4 的原因，它基本上改變了世界。

With Siri, I'm opening my garage, I'm closing my garage, I'm turning on my lights, all kinds of things.

透過 Siri，我可以開車庫、關車庫、開燈，處理各種事情。

We used publicly available data and licensed data.

我們使用了公開可得的數據和授權數據。

and by 2026, you still won't have a great one that does anything other than vacuum.

但直到 2026 年，你依然沒有一個除了吸塵之外能做其他大事的好機器人。

Electric vehicles will become computers on wheels with advanced battery and charging technology,

電動車將成為裝在輪子上的電腦，擁有先進的電池和充電技術、

self-driving features, and giant interior screens.

自動駕駛功能以及巨大的車內螢幕。

Something called OpenAI will release something called ChatGPT.

一家名為 OpenAI 的公司會發佈一個叫作 ChatGPT 的東西。

It'll write like a human, make images like a human, and do lots of other human-like stuff.

它會像人類一樣寫作、像人類一樣製作圖片，並做許多其他像人類一樣的事。

The generative AI craze is going to upend everything.

沒錯，你最終還會克隆你自己。

And doing a bunch of other deeply weird things with it.

並且用它做一堆極其古怪的事情。

喔天哪，大家團結友愛（Kumbaya）。

Finally, 2014 me, you're going to have an incredible run at one of the most storied news organizations in the world.

最後，2014 年的自己，你將在世界上最有聲望的新聞機構之一度過一段不可思議的旅程。

You're going to have some of the most amazing viewers and readers,

你將擁有一些最棒的觀眾和讀者，

people who follow you, yell at you, and occasionally agree with you.

他們追隨你、對你吼叫，偶爾也會認同你。

Thank you so much for your support all of these years.

非常感謝你們這些年來的支持。

And what's the deal with these laptops that only browse the web?

還有這些只能瀏覽網頁的筆電是怎麼回事？

What are you going to sell us next, Google, an oven that only roasts chicken?

Google，你下一步打算賣我們什麼？一台只能烤雞的烤箱嗎？