Name: 最新民調顯示！民主黨對期中選舉的期望可能為時過早？ | 路透社 (New poll finds Democrat hopes for midterms may be premature | REUTERS)
Uploaded: 2025-12-12T16:51:13.000Z
Duration: 1 min 46 s

Recent election victories have given Democrats increased hope of taking back control of one or perhaps both of chambers of the U.S.

最近的選舉勝利讓民主黨更有希望在美國國會的一個或兩個議院中奪回控制權。

congress in next year's midterm elections.

But a new Reuters Ipsos poll suggests that some of that enthusiasm may be premature.

但路透社益普索的一項新民意調查顯示，這種熱情可能為時過早。

We have toppled a political dynasty across the U.S. democrats enjoyed electoral victories tonight.

我們推翻了一個政治王朝，全美國的民主黨人在今晚享受了選舉勝利。

We sent a message thanks to candidates leveraging concerns about the economy and President Donald Trump's wage overall unpopularity.

我們傳達了一個訊息，感謝那些利用對經濟的擔憂以及川普總統整體工資不受歡迎的候選人。

But as Reuters politics editor Scott Malone explains, a new Reuters Ipsos poll shows Democrats may still have a lot of work to do to win over a crucial voting bloc ahead of the midterm elections.

但正如路透社政治編輯史考特·馬龍所解釋的，路透社益普索的一項新民意調查顯示，民主黨在期中選舉前可能還有很多工作要做，才能贏得一個關鍵投票群體的支持。

Our polling found that voters 50 and over favored Republicans by about 46% to 38%.

我們的民意調查發現，50歲以上的選民以46%對38%的支持率偏向共和黨。

Voters under 50 preferred Democrats by 42% to 31%.

50歲以下的選民則以42%對31%支持民主黨。

And that's an important finding because voters 50 and up are also a lot more likely to turn out in midterm election years.

這是一個重要的發現，因為50歲以上的選民在期中選舉年更有可能出來投票。

Malone says the strong Republican lead marks a major change from past midterm election cycles, which are held midway through a president's term.

馬龍表示，共和黨的強勁領先標誌著與過去期中選舉週期的一個重大轉變，期中選舉是在總統任期中期舉行的。

Not only in the current cycle are voters 50 and over favoring Republicans by a significant margin compared to younger voters, they're also favoring Republicans by a significant margin compared to where they were at this point in the last two election cycles.

不僅在這次週期中，50歲以上的選民相比年輕選民明顯偏向共和黨，他們相比過去兩個選舉週期的同期，也明顯偏向共和黨。

If you go back to 2018 cycle, which is the midterm of Trump's first term, at this point in time 50 and up voters were actually narrowly preferring Democrats.

如果回到2018年，也就是川普第一個任期的期中選舉，當時50歲以上的選民其實是些微偏向民主黨的。

Democrats need a net gain of three seats to win back control of the House and a net gain of four seats to take the Senate.

民主黨需要淨贏得三個席次才能贏回眾議院的控制權，並淨贏得四個席次才能掌控參議院。