Name: 特朗普支持率創第二任期新低 (Trump’s approval rating hits new low for second term)
Uploaded: 2025-11-04T03:35:52.000Z
Duration: 8 min 18 s

Breaking news this morning, a brand new CNN poll out just minutes ago on the eve of key off year elections.

今早的突發新聞，就在關鍵的執政中期選舉前夕，一份全新的 CNN 民意調查剛出爐。

With us now is seen as Washington bureau chief and political director David Chalian D. Chow.

現在和我們在一起的是被視為華盛頓駐地記者主管兼政治總監的 David Chalian D. Chow。

關係子句

We got big numbers here on the president's approval rating, which I guess really is upside down at historic levels.

我們這裡有關於總統支持率的大數據，我猜這真的是歷史新高的顛倒數字。

And just consider this brand new CNN poll, sort of a mood ring, if you will, as we head into Election Day tomorrow and that we're one year away from, from the midterms.

而且想想這份全新的 CNN 民意調查，如果可以這麼說的話，就像是情緒訓示環，在我們迎接明天的選舉日，以及距離期中選舉還有一年的時候。

That approval rating for the president, it is at a low point of his second term.

總統的支持率，已經是他第二任期的低點了。

37% of Americans in our poll approve of the job Trump is doing.

我們民意調查顯示，有 37% 的美國人準許川普的工作表現。

Take a look at his approval in this term over time, you see here, he was up hovering near 50% in his honeymoon after the inauguration.

看看他這任期的支持率變化，你看到這裡，他在就職典禮後的蜜月期，曾接近 50%。

And it is going down pretty steadily since now at 36.

而從那之後，支持率就一直在穩步下降，現在是 36%。

And also just to give a sense here of how Americans are reacting to what he's doing.

而且，這也能讓大家感覺到美國人對他所做事情的反應。

Trump has gone too far when it comes to using presidential power.

川普在運用總統權力方面，做得太過了。

61% of our poll respondents say that is true.

我們民意調查中有 61% 的受訪者認為這是真的。

Trump has gone too far deporting undocumented immigrants.

川普在遣返無證移民方面，做得太過了。

In fact, this question Norah O' Donnell asked him on 60 Minutes last night, he said the exact opposite.

事實上，諾拉·奧唐奈昨晚在 60 分鐘節目中問他這個問題時，他給出了完全相反的答案。

The American people disagree, according to our new poll.

根據我們最新的民意調查，美國人民並不同意。

You said use this poll as a kind of mood ring.

你說要將這個民意調查當作情緒訓示環。

What is the ring telling you about the mood elsewhere?

這個情緒訓示環還告訴我們其他地方的氣氛如何？

嗯，我們有點是朝那個方向做的。

Only 32% of Americans, John, say they're going well.

約翰，只有百分之三十二的美國人說情況不錯。

百分之六十八的人說情況不好。

那麼，美國人最關心的是什麼？

The economy and cost of living far and away.

47% of Americans say it's the most important issue facing the US then the state of democracy at 26%, immigration, crime and safety a little lower down.

百分之四十七的美國人認為這是美國面臨的最重要的議題，接著是民主的狀態佔百分之二十六，移民、犯罪和安全則稍低一些。

So given that the economy is so hugely important to Americans, what do they think of Trump's policies affecting the US economy?

那麼，鑑於經濟對美國人來說極其重要，他們如何看待川普影響美國經濟的政策？

61% of Americans in this poll say that his policies have worsened the US economic conditions.

在這次民意調查中，百分之六十一的美國人認為他的政策讓美國經濟狀況惡化了。

只有百分之二十七的人認為有改善。

Yeah, those were the numbers that really jumped out to me when you said have people telling you the economy is the most important thing yet.

是的，當你說人們告訴你經濟是最重要的事，但這些數字真的讓我印象深刻。

Donald Trump, the president, is, is not helping in that area.

總統唐納·川普在這方面並沒有提供幫助。

That gives you a sense of why his disapproval rating might be so high.

這讓你大概瞭解為什麼他的不支持率可能會這麼高。

所以，Dave，我們明天就要選舉了。

Let's talk about the ones a year from tomorrow.

我們來談談一年後、也就是明天開始的選舉。

Yes, well, the elections tomorrow will be interesting too.

是的，嗯，明天的選舉也會很有趣。

But you're right, we did take our, our first look a year out at that generic congressional ballot.

但你說得對，我們確實對一年後的國會普選進行了首次觀察。

You know, do you, would you vote for the Democrat or the Republican in the battle for Congress?

They would vote for the Democrat, 42%, the Republican.

This Democratic advantage, it is an advantage, but

it's not nearly as large of an advantage Democrats had eight years ago, coming to the end of Donald Trump's first year in office in 2017 that teed up their huge midterm victories in 2018.

However, we do see that Democrats are far more motivated to vote than are Republicans.

所以，你認為你會投票給民主黨還是共和黨來爭取國會席位呢？

If you look here, those that tell us they're extremely motivated to vote in the midterms, they Democrats and Democratic leaning independents, 67% say they're extremely motivated.

That compares to 46% of Republican and Republican leaning independents.

他們會投票給民主黨，42%投票給共和黨。

But John, the Democratic Party brand is still a problem for the party.

這個民主黨的優勢，雖然是個優勢，

但遠不如八年前民主黨的優勢來得大，那是在川普總統執政第一年結束時，也就是2017年，為他們在2018年期中選舉的大勝鋪路。

Now, the Republican favorable rating is not that much better, 33%, but still a tick better.

現在，共和黨的好感度也沒好到哪裡去，33%，但還是稍微好一點。

55% of Americans have an unfavorable view.

55%的美國人對他們有負面看法。

A majority of Americans have an unfavorable view of the Democratic Party.

大多數美國人對民主黨有負面看法。

Now this is a lot of Democrats that are feeding that.

現在有很多民主黨人正在助長這種情況。

They're sort of hating on their own party.

We'll see if they succeed tomorrow night if Donald Trump's numbers continue to go down, if that'll turn their fortunes around.

我們明天晚上就會知道，川普總統的支持率如果持續下降，是否會扭轉他們的運勢。

But this does not look exactly like that 2018 huge midterm sweep.

但這看起來不像2018年那次巨大的期中選舉大勝。

The Democrats still have some work to do to take advantage of Donald Trump's unpopularity with the American people.

民主黨人仍需努力，才能利用川普總統不受美國人民歡迎的劣勢。

Yeah, Democrats want to push that number higher, to be sure.

是的，民主黨人當然想把這個數字推得更高。

In terms of the generic ballot, we'll get some new data points tomorrow when actual voters go to actual polls.

關於整體選票，明天我們就會看到一些新的數據，當實際選民去實際的民意調查站時。

We will be talking to you extensively, I'm sure, the next 48 hours.

我相信接下來的 48 小時，我們會跟你深入聊聊。

Joining me now in the group chat, Francesca Chambers, White House correspondent for USA Today Stephen Collinson, CNN Politics senior reporter and Sarah Fisher, CNN senior media analyst and senior media reporter at Axios.

現在加入我們群組哈拉的是 USA Today 的白宮記者 Francesca Chambers、CNN 政治資深記者 Stephen Collinson，以及 Axios 的 CNN 資深媒體分析師兼資深媒體記者 Sarah Fisher。

I want to start with his approval rating among independents throughout the years without this year.

我想先從他歷年來在獨立選民中的支持率開始談起，不包含今年。

所以在二月中旬，他的支持率是 43%。

And I always like to point out independence.

我總是喜歡特別提出獨立選民。

Specifically, the independence will be key as we head to the midterm elections.

確切來說，獨立選民將是我們邁向期中選舉的關鍵。

But does the White House think they're key?

不過，白宮認為他們是關鍵嗎？

Like how do they look at the electorate and what, where do they think are areas of the president?

像是他們怎麼看待選民，以及他們認為總統的哪些方面表現得如何？

我是說，他自己剛剛也這麼說了。

But with respect to his approval rating, it wasn't just the CNN poll.

但就他的支持率而言，不只是 CNN 的民意調查。

There was an ABC News Washington Post IPSOS poll that had roughly similar findings about his disapproval rating among 6, 6 in 10Americans, too.

ABC News 和 Washington Post 的 IPSOS 民意調查也有類似的發現，大約有十分之六的美國人對他的不支持率也差不多。

When it isn't one poll, you can't say that that's an outlier.

當不是隻有一個民意調查時，你就不能說那是一個離群值。

It's multiple polls at this point that are showing that obviously they still have a year until those midterm elections and so much can happen between now and then.

現在是多個民意調查都顯示，很明顯距離期中選舉還有一年，這之間還有很多事情可能發生。

But I think the generic ballot test over the weekend also was showing an edge for Democrats.

但我想週末的整體選情測試也顯示民主黨佔優勢。

Yeah, unfortunately, Democrats don't have generic Democrats.

對，不幸的是，民主黨沒有一般的民主黨人。

Are they able to take take advantage of this in elections as we look ahead this week?

他們能利用這點來贏得選舉嗎，就在我們展望本週時？

Yeah, I think that's what the elections this week are about.

對，我想這就是本週選舉的重點。

The president appears to be getting into the kind of territory that's generally very dangerous for a president looking forward to the midterm elections.

總統似乎進入了一個對總統來說，在展望期中選舉時通常非常危險的領域。

But the question is, do Democrats have a message that can exploit that?

但問題是，民主黨有沒有能利用這一點的訊息？

Is the country willing to give them a hearing?

You've seen in Virginia and New Jersey, the gubernatorial races.

你們在維吉尼亞州和紐澤西州看到了州長選舉。

Democrats, they're seeking to address the affordability issues, which of course, the their nominee in the last election didn't really, wasn't really able to answer.

民主黨人正在設法解決可負擔性問題，而他們上次選舉的提名人顯然無法真正回答。

So they're starting still an issue we're looking now.

所以他們現在還在尋找一個我們正在關注的問題。

Voters believe the most important issue facing the country, economy, cost of living, is still first, those numbers are bad on that issue.

選民認為國家面臨的最重要問題，經濟、生活成本，仍然是第一位的，在這方面數字很難看。

49% of the problems that Democrats face is if you take a look at 2018, the numbers that they were pulling ahead were so much more drastic than they are now.

民主黨面臨的問題，如果看看 2018 年，他們當時領先的幅度比現在大得多。

So ahead of the 2018 midterm, where Democrats swept, it was very obvious that they were going to sweep.

所以在 2018 年期中選舉，民主黨大獲全勝之前，很明顯他們將會大獲全勝。

They have a slight edge now, but it's nothing like what we saw eight years ago.

他們現在只有微小的優勢，但這跟我們八年前看到的完全不一樣。

Can I ask you, Sarah, what was interesting about this being an interview?

我可以問你嗎，莎拉，這次訪談有趣的地方是什麼？