Name: 特朗普的災難性關稅戰，35% 的關稅震驚歐盟 (Trump’s DISASTER Tariff War, Shocks EU with 35% Tariff)
Uploaded: 2025-07-19T22:50:05.000Z
Duration: 9 min 52 s

未來簡單式

Donald Trump just imposed a 30 percent tariff on the European Union, and this will cost the United States trillions of dollars in the long run, and it will have devastating impact on the entire tech sector in the United States.

唐納德-特朗普（Donald Trump）剛剛對歐盟徵收了 30% 的關稅，從長遠來看，這將使美國損失數萬億美元，並將對美國整個科技行業造成毀滅性影響。

You will see US tech stocks tumble after this.

在此之後，你會看到美國科技股暴跌。

祈使句型

This is the letter that Donald Trump has sent to the European Union.

這是唐納德-特朗普寫給歐盟的信。

It says that starting from August 1st, the European Union will be faced with a 30 percent tariff.

它說，從 8 月 1 日起，歐盟將面臨 30% 的關稅。

Even though that Trump has warned them not to retaliate, it's the European Union, the second world's largest economy after the United States, and they will have the power to retaliate to the United States, and it's the United States that will lose the most out of this trade war.

儘管特朗普警告他們不要報復，但歐盟是僅次於美國的世界第二大經濟體，他們將有能力對美國進行報復，而在這場貿易戰中損失最大的將是美國。

The claims that Donald Trump has made against the European Union are absolutely absurd.

唐納德-特朗普對歐盟的指控絕對是荒謬的。

If you look at the trade goods between the two countries, you will see that the European Union exports to the US 532 billion dollars, while it imports much less than that.

如果你看看兩國之間的貿易商品，就會發現歐盟對美國的出口額為 5320 億美元，而它的進口額遠遠低於這個數字。

It leaves the countries with a 197 billion dollar deficit.

這使兩國出現了 1 970 億美元的赤字。

European Union is selling to the United States much more than it's buying from the United States.

歐盟賣給美國的東西遠遠多於從美國買的東西。

And if you take it purely from this graph, it seems like everything that Donald Trump says is correct, and the United States has the chance to actually impose a 30 percent tariff so that we end the 200 billion dollar deficit.

如果單純從這張圖來看，唐納德-特朗普所說的一切似乎都是正確的，美國有機會實際徵收30%的關稅，從而結束2000億美元的赤字。

Because when you trade, you don't simply buy goods.

因為當你進行貿易時，你不僅僅是購買商品。

Physical goods such as cars and steel are goods that are being traded between the two countries.

汽車和鋼鐵等實物商品是兩國之間正在進行貿易的商品。

If you sell a financial service, it is not going to go under the trade in goods because it's a service.

如果您銷售的是金融服務，那麼它就不屬於貨物貿易的範疇，因為它是一種服務。

If you sell Facebook ads to the European Union, that will be a service and not a physical good.

如果你向歐盟出售 Facebook 廣告，那將是一種服務，而不是實物商品。

You cannot possibly touch a Facebook ad, but you know that it's a service that you provide for a fee.

你不可能接觸 Facebook 廣告，但你知道這是一項有償服務。

That's why comparing trade and services, suddenly you realize that European Union buys from the United States 180 billion dollars worth of services than it sells to the United States.

這就是為什麼在比較貿易和服務時，你會突然意識到歐盟從美國購買的服務比它賣給美國的還要多 1800 億美元。

And by looking at both of these numbers, suddenly you realize that the problem isn't as big as Donald Trump makes it look like.

看到這兩個數字，你會突然意識到，問題並不像唐納德-特朗普所說的那樣嚴重。

Yes, there is a trade deficit of 90 billion dollars if you consider both of the trade in goods and the services.

是的，如果同時考慮貨物貿易和服務貿易，貿易逆差高達 900 億美元。

However, if you consider the total trade between the two continents, which is at around a trillion dollars or more than that, 90 billion dollars is less than 10 percent of that.

然而，如果考慮到兩大洲之間的貿易總額，約為一萬億美元或更多，900 億美元還不到其中的 10%。

And you can fix it by imposing very little tiny tariffs on some of the goods.

你可以通過對某些商品徵收極少量的微小關稅來解決這個問題。

Yes, you might not fix it overnight, but in a matter of a year or two, it is possible to fix it.

是的，你可能無法在一夜之間解決它，但在一兩年的時間裡，是有可能解決它的。

Even if you actually look at it from this perspective, United States gains from this trade far more than the European Union, which is why this 90 billion dollar trade deficit isn't a big deal at all.

即使從這個角度來看，美國從貿易中獲得的收益也遠遠超過歐盟，這就是為什麼 900 億美元的貿易逆差根本算不上什麼大事。

Now, first of all, do you see these companies?

And Facebook, Google, Amazon, and Apple entirely dominate the markets in the European Union.

而 Facebook、谷歌、亞馬遜和蘋果完全主導了歐盟市場。

China wanted to develop its own tech sector, so it blocked all the US companies, which allowed Chinese tech companies to dominate and take over entire China.

中國希望發展自己的科技行業，是以封鎖了所有美國公司，這使得中國的科技公司佔據了主導地位，並接管了整個中國。

But that's not the strategy that the European Union followed because it wanted to integrate its economy with the United States and allowed US companies to entirely dominate the European market.

但這並不是歐盟遵循的戰略，因為歐盟希望其經濟與美國一體化，並允許美國公司完全主導歐洲市場。

Do you think that the European Union cannot come out with a Google or a Facebook?

你認為歐盟不可能出現谷歌或 Facebook 嗎？

If they block US companies from the European Union, they can do that easily.

如果他們阻止美國公司進入歐盟，他們可以輕而易舉地做到。

However, since it's a free trade between the two countries, it allows US companies to take advantage out of the US market, and because they have been in the market much earlier than the European companies, it allowed Amazon, it allowed Facebook, it allowed Apple to take over the market in the European Union.

然而，由於這是兩國之間的自由貿易，它允許美國公司在美國市場上佔據優勢，而且由於美國公司比歐洲公司更早進入市場，它允許亞馬遜、Facebook 和蘋果公司佔領歐盟市場。

So if there will be a total trade war between the two countries and the European Union will take a serious stance against US companies, it will hurt a lot of US companies.

是以，如果兩國之間爆發全面貿易戰，歐盟將對美國公司採取嚴厲的立場，這將對很多美國公司造成傷害。

Another claim that Donald Trump has made is that the European Commission has fined US companies, the tech companies, billions of dollars or sometimes hundreds of millions of dollars for violating privacy laws in the European Union.

唐納德-特朗普的另一個說法是，歐盟委員會對違反歐盟隱私法的美國公司、科技公司處以數十億美元的罰款，有時甚至是數億美元的罰款。

Google probably was fined at around a billion dollars, Twitter was fined like 400 million dollars.

谷歌可能被罰款約 10 億美元，Twitter 被罰款約 4 億美元。

And that's because the United States and the European Union have two completely entirely different privacy policies.

這是因為美國和歐盟有兩種完全不同的隱私政策。

And if you violate the policies of another country, you will be fined.

如果您違反了其他國家的政策，您將被處以罰款。

In fact, back in 2013, they tried to sign a free trade agreement between the two continents, which they called Transatlantic Investment Partnership.

事實上，早在 2013 年，他們就曾試圖在兩大洲之間簽署一項自由貿易協定，並稱之為 "跨大西洋投資夥伴關係"。

The job was that we eliminate all the tariffs between the European Union and the United States.

我們的任務是取消歐盟和美國之間的所有關稅。

Negotiation lasted for years until Trump became president in 2016, and he literally just cancelled everything, which is why there is no free trade agreement between the two continents.

談判持續了數年，直到 2016 年特朗普就任總統，他簡直取消了一切，這就是為什麼兩大洲之間沒有自由貿易協定。

If there will be a free trade agreement between the European Union and the United States, trust me, it's going to benefit the United States far more than the European Union, which is why the initiator of this trade agreement was the United States and not the European Union.

如果歐盟和美國之間達成自由貿易協定，相信我，美國將比歐盟受益更多，這就是為什麼貿易協定的發起國是美國而不是歐盟。

Secondly, if you look at the largest holders of US debt at the top of the list, besides the Asian countries such as Japan and China, you will instantly see Luxembourg that holds 424 billion dollars of US debt.

其次，除了日本和中國等亞洲國家之外，如果你看看排名第一的美債最大持有者，你會立刻發現盧森堡持有 4240 億美元的美債。

Then you see Belgium, which is a European country, it holds 375 billion dollars of US debt.

比利時是一個歐洲國家，它持有 3750 億美元的美債。

In total, European Union holds around 1.6 trillion dollars of US debt.

歐盟總共持有約 1.6 萬億美元的美債。

Yes, there is a trade deficit between the two countries, but these countries are making money in the United States and then taking that money and investing it back in the US economy, which allowed the US economy to grow much faster than the European economy.

是的，兩國之間存在貿易逆差，但這些國家在美國賺了錢，然後把錢拿回來投資於美國經濟，這使得美國經濟的增長速度遠遠超過歐洲經濟。

It's actually great for the United States that there is a trade deficit because they are investing all the extra money back into the United States.

實際上，出現貿易逆差對美國來說是件好事，因為他們把多餘的錢都投回了美國。

Now let me ask you a very simple question.

現在讓我問你一個非常簡單的問題。

How much European debt does the United States hold?

Now, we don't have public data in order to confirm this, but the United States does not invest in foreign debt because the United States has the global reserve currency and it allows it to issue debt in its own currency and the US does not have to invest in all of these foreign countries for any kind of extra income.

現在，我們沒有公開數據來證實這一點，但美國並不投資外債，因為美國擁有全球儲備貨幣，可以用自己的貨幣發行債務，美國不必為了任何形式的額外收入而投資於所有這些外國。

Because if the US wants extra income, it can simply issue that debt.

因為如果美國想要額外收入，它可以直接發行債務。

Thirdly, United States is in a competition with China.

中國的國內生產總值為 20 萬億美元。

美國的國內生產總值為 30 萬億美元。

So clearly, the United States has the advantage.

But if you want to beat China that is rising, then you need very close allies.

但是，如果你想打敗正在崛起的中國，那麼你就需要非常親密的盟友。

And the closest ally of the United States since 1940s has been the European Union.

而自 20 世紀 40 年代以來，美國最親密的盟友一直是歐盟。

Back in the days, it wasn't the European Union, it was a bunch of different European countries, but eventually they became a European Union.

在過去，歐盟還不是歐盟，而是一群不同的歐洲國家，但最終他們成為了歐盟。

Today their GDP stands at 20 trillion dollars.

如今，他們的國內生產總值已達 20 萬億美元。

So by having a very close ally, you have a chance to beat China because you have a much bigger market, you have a much bigger economy.

是以，有了一個非常親密的盟友，你就有機會打敗中國，因為你有一個大得多的市場，你有一個大得多的經濟體。

So China has a GDP of 20 trillion dollars with a population of 1.5 billion dollars.

是以，中國擁有 20 萬億美元的國內生產總值和 15 億美元的人口。

And you have a Google alternative in China that will make far more money because there are far more people in China.

而在中國，谷歌的替代品會賺更多的錢，因為中國的人口要多得多。

Now Google, which is a US company, can compete with China because they can also leverage the European market since the European Union decided to give up its entire tech sector and just handle it to the United States.

現在，作為一家美國公司，谷歌可以與中國競爭，因為他們還可以利用歐洲市場，因為歐盟決定放棄整個科技行業，只將其交給美國處理。

And the US companies can dominate that market and further profit from that, which is another reason why the US stocks are growing tremendously compared to the stock market in any European country.

而美國公司可以主導這一市場，並從中進一步獲利，這也是美國股市與任何歐洲國家股市相比都大幅增長的另一個原因。

European Union took it as far as imposing almost 45 percent tariff on EVs that come from China.

歐盟甚至對來自中國的電動汽車徵收近 45% 的關稅。

While there is a standard 10 percent tariff on the EVs or any kind of cars that come from the United States.

雖然對來自美國的電動汽車或任何類型的汽車徵收 10% 的標準關稅。

European Union has also imposed a 40 percent tariff on solar panels that come from China.

歐盟還對來自中國的太陽能電池板徵收 40% 的關稅。

So are different kind of tariffs that the European Union impose on China and not on the United States because the European Union is on the same team with the United States.

歐盟對中國徵收的關稅與美國不同，因為歐盟與美國是一夥的。

And if there are any kind of differences, you don't destroy 80 years of trade and commerce and relationships that you have built just because there is a small tiny trade imbalance between you.

如果存在任何分歧，也不能因為你們之間的貿易不平衡而毀掉你們 80 年來所建立的貿易、商業和關係。

But rather you sit down, you're working out, you come up with a very long term plan where you can fix it.

但是，你可以坐下來，你可以鍛鍊身體，你可以想出一個非常長遠的計劃來解決這個問題。

But even that is not a problem as we have seen.

但正如我們所看到的那樣，即使這樣也不是問題。

Because European countries are investing back into the United States.

因為歐洲國家正在向美國迴流投資。

They're investing in the US mortgage-backed securities to bring down your mortgage rate.

他們投資美國抵押貸款支持證券，以降低你的抵押貸款利率。

They're investing in the US stocks, which allows the stock market in the US to grow, which allows these companies to hire people in the United States.

他們投資美股，使美國股市增長，從而使這些公司能夠在美國僱傭員工。

Which is why if this relationship is going to be destroyed, it's the United States that is going to be a very heavy price.

這就是為什麼如果這種關係要被破壞，付出沉重代價的將是美國。

Because the European Union can simply turn around to China at any moment they want.

因為歐盟隨時都可以掉頭轉向中國。