Name: 川普、共和黨期中選舉「最頭痛」的指標曝光！ (Enten shows the 'most troublesome sign' for Trump, GOP midterms)
Uploaded: 2026-03-19T16:42:12.000Z
Duration: 10 min 43 s

This morning, prices at the pump, the national average up another 4 cents to 388 a gallon.

今天早上，汽油泵的價格，全國平均每加侖又上漲了 4 美分，來到 3.88 元。

形容詞比較級

That, of course, the price of gas, this is diesel right there, which is even more expensive.

那當然，汽油的價格，那邊是機油，還更貴。

But it gets to the prices that we're paying for everything.

但這會影響到我們所有東西的價格。

The cost of living and the potential political impact.

生活成本以及潛在的政治影響。

With us now, CNN chief data analyst Harry Etten.

現在和我們在一起的是 CNN 資料分析總監 Harry Etten。

So the president, how do voters see him on, on the issue of the cost of living and prices and how does it compare to, say, when he was elected?

所以總統，選民怎麼看待他在生活成本和價格議題上的表現，跟當初他當選時相比如何？

You know, I would say that this is the most troublesome sign that I have seen for the president of the United States and the Republican Party so far.

我會說，這是我到目前為止看到對美國總統和共和黨最令人頭痛的跡象。

Well, let's take a look here, Voters on Trump and the cost of living.

嗯，我們來看看，選民對川普和生活成本的看法。

You go back when he was reelected back In October of 2024, he was beating Kamala Harris by three points on the cost of living.

你回頭看他 2024 年 10 月重新當選時，他在生活成本議題上以 3 個百分點領先 Kamala Harris。

Is net approval at a record low 41 points below water.

淨支持率創下新低，比負面低了 41 個百分點。

You can't win when you're at 41 points below water on the cost of living.

當你在生活成本議題上處於負 41 個百分點時，你贏不了。

And I'm here to tell you that there's a better chance that I root for the New York Yankees than Donald Trump and the Republican Party winning when he's 41 points below water.

我在這裡告訴你，我支持紐約洋基隊的機率，遠比川普和共和黨贏的機率還高，當他處於負 41 個百分點時。

這是 3 月 12 日到 3 月 16 日，20 年。

We could see even more gas prices rise and the prices go up in the coming days and weeks with the Iran war.

我們可能會看到汽油價格進一步上漲，在伊朗戰爭的影響下，未來幾天和幾週內物價也會上漲。

所以這個數字可能會變得更糟。

You think this 41 points below water is bad?

你覺得這個負 41 個百分點很糟嗎？

I mean, 60 points underwater when it comes to Trump and the cost of living among independents, again, a record low.

意思是，川普在獨立選民中的生活成本支持率是負 60 個百分點，又創了新低。

He was winning on this issue over Kamala Harris by 11 points.

在這個議題上，他原本以 11 個百分點領先 Kamala Harris。

That is a 71 point switcheroo in the wrong direction for Donald Trump when we're coming to the cost of living and independence.

這是唐納·川普在生活成本和獨立選民議題上，往錯誤方向移動了 71 個百分點。

And this, my dear friends, is just a political nightmare waiting to happen for the Republican Party come the midterm election.

而這，我親愛的朋友們，對於共和黨來說，在期中選舉時，簡直是一場即將發生的政治惡夢。

Why do people really care about the cost of living?

人們為什麼真的在乎生活成本？

Why was Donald Trump reelected back in 2024?

為什麼唐納·川普在 2024 年會再次當選？

影響選舉的頭號議題是生活成本。

38% of Americans said it was so back in October of 2024.

在 2024 年 10 月，有 38% 的美國人這麼說。

If anything, it's point higher, though it's within the margin of error.

如果說有什麼不同，是高了零點幾，不過還在誤差範圍內。

Simply put, I am saying this loud and proud.

簡單來說，我大聲而且驕傲地說。

You cannot win an election when you are the incumbent party and the top issue is the cost of living and you're the President of the United States and you're net approval rating on it is 41 points underwater.

當現任執政黨是美國總統，而生活成本是頭號議題，淨支持率卻是負面 41 個百分點時，你根本贏不了選舉。

I mean, you're with Greg Lou Ganis at this point and with independence, 60 points on the one.

我的意思是，你現在跟 Greg Lou Ganis 一樣，獨立選民那邊有 60 個百分點。

You cannot win if you're the president and you're the Republican Party and you're not addressing this issue.

如果你是總統，又是共和黨，卻不處理這個問題，你根本贏不了。

Your House majority and may very well be your Senate majority as well.

你的眾議院多數席次，甚至參議院的多數席次也可能不保。

You're saying it loud, which is very unusual for you.

你大聲說出來了，這對你來說很不尋常。

Let's talk about inflation and what the prediction markets are saying, what direction they see it going going forward.

我們來聊聊通貨膨脹，還有預測市場怎麼說，他們認為接下來會往哪個方向發展。

You talk about 41 points underwater overall.

You know, when we're talking about what the prediction markets.

你知道，當我們在談論預測市場的時候。

March's CPI year over year is above February's 2.4%.

三月的 CPI 年增率高於二月的 2.4%。

95% chance that inflation rises in the month of March.

So you got the number one issue that is killing, killing the incumbent party, killing the President right now, and

所以你看到最主要的問題，正在摧毀現任執政黨，正在摧毀美國總統，

it is going in the wrong direction with gas prices going higher.

而且情況朝錯誤的方向發展，油價越來越高。

Just, you know, I'm just going to lay back on my Yiddish.

好了，你知道的，我就放鬆一點，用我的意第緒語說。

By the way, they know the political cost of this could be going up soon, Harriet, and

對了，他們知道這潛在的政治代價很快就會升高，Harriet，

We are tracking rising gas prices amid the war with Iran.

我們正在關注伊朗戰爭期間不斷上漲的油價。

US Vice President J.D. vance addressed the climbing costs during an appearance in Michigan on Wednesday.

美國副總統 J.D. Vance 週三在密西根州露面時，談到了不斷攀升的成本。

The President said this, and I certainly agree with it.

美國總統是這麼說的，我當然也同意。

What happened under the Biden administration is the gas prices were high for four years.

拜登政府時期發生了什麼事，就是油價已經高漲了四年。

frankly, they're not even as high as they were during certain parts of the Biden administration because of what's going on in the Middle East.

說實話，因為中東發生的事情，現在的油價甚至沒有像拜登政府時期某些時候那麼高。

We've got, we've got a rough road ahead of us for the next few weeks, but it's temporary.

我們接下來幾週的路會有點顛簸，但這是暫時的。

US gas prices have risen 86 cents per gallon on average since the start of the war.

自戰爭開始以來，美國的汽油價格平均上漲了 86 美分。

And Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

In a bid to help offset those costs, Trump administration announced it is temporarily waiving the Jones act which will allow foreign flagships to transport oil and gas between US ports for the next 60 days.

為了幫助抵銷這些成本，川普政府宣佈暫時豁免瓊斯法案，允許外國船隻在未來 60 天內運送美國港口之間的石油和天然氣。

The US Federal Reserve is predicting the disruption in the global energy markets will be relatively short lived, but

美國聯邦準備理事會預測，全球能源市場的幹擾將相對短暫，但

也為自己保留了一些彈性空間。

Fed Chair Jerome Powell says we just don't know how things are going to shake out.

Fed 主席 Jerome Powell 表示，我們還不知道情況會如何發展。

What we do know is that interest rates will not be going down yet as expected.

我們知道的是，利率不會像預期那樣下降。

The Fed voted to keep benchmark lending rates unchanged at 3 and a half and 3 and a quarters percent.

Fed 投票決定將基準貸款利率維持在 3.5% 和 3.25% 不變。

You can worry about all of the ways that oil, commodities, oil related commodities go into manufacturing, that kind of thing.

你可以擔心石油、商品、與石油相關的商品進入製造業的各種方式，諸如此類。

The truth is it's completely out of our hands and we just like everybody else, we have to just wait and see what happens and it'll be, it'll come down to how long, you know, the current situation lasts and then what are the effects of on prices and then how do consumers react and that kind of thing.

事實是，這完全不在我們的掌握之中，我們和其他人一樣，只能等待看看會發生什麼，這將取決於目前的狀況持續多久，然後對價格有什麼影響，以及消費者如何反應，諸如此類。

Really we, I wouldn't speculate in any way and there's really not a lot we can do other than kind of watch and see.

真的，我不會做任何猜測，而且我們真的沒有太多能做的，只能邊看邊等。

Powell went on to say that a rate cut won't happen until there's progress on inflation and the overall performance of the economy.

Powell 接著說，在通膨出現進展和整體經濟表現之前，不會有降息。

Ryan Patel, senior fellow with the Drucker School of Management at Claremont Graduate University, joining us live here in Los Angeles.

Ryan Patel，克萊蒙特研究所學生大學 Drucker 管理學院的高級研究員，在洛杉磯現場與我們連線。

字幕列表影片播放

川普、共和黨期中選舉「最頭痛」的指標曝光！ (Enten shows the 'most troublesome sign' for Trump, GOP midterms)

majority

grocery

average

impact