Name: 伊朗戰爭背後不願讓你知曉的祕密！美國經濟岌岌可危！ (They don’t want you to know this about Iran War…The US economy is in DANGER)
Uploaded: 2026-03-17T18:08:26.000Z
Duration: 15 min 37 s

程度副詞

Why are we protecting the Strait of Hormuz when it's China and Japan that are taking their oils from Middle east and Middle east are some of the richest countries in the world.

為什麼我們要保護荷姆茲海峽，明明是中國和日本在中東取油，而中東又是世界上最富有的地區。

And why do we have to pay for their own protection?

而且為什麼我們要為他們的保護買單？

And this is the greatest threat to the United States dollar?

Because if the United States will stop protecting the Middle Eastern countries, the US Dollar will stop being the global reserve currency.

因為如果美國停止保護中東國家，美元就不再是全球儲備貨幣。

And if that happens, it is going to be a financial catastrophe for every single American.

如果真的發生，對每個美國人來說都將是一場財務災難。

And I know that at first glance it seems like Trump is absolutely right, why the United States should be the policeman of the world.

我知道乍看之下，川普說得完全沒錯，為什麼美國要當世界警察。

But if you look at the geography and you look at how these nations actually work, you will find out that the United States has been playing a very strategic game all this time.

但如果你看看地理位置，看看這些國家實際是如何運作的，你會發現美國一直以來都在玩一個非常戰略性的遊戲。

So you have the GCC countries that are filled with a lot of oil and they are afraid that Israel or Iran is going to hurt them or.

所以你有海灣合作委員會國家，他們擁有大量石油，而且他們擔心以色列或伊朗會傷害他們。

Which is why they have signed a treaty with the United States to be protected by the US Navy.

這就是為什麼他們和美國簽訂了條約，由美國海軍來保護他們。

In exchange, these countries will be selling their oil to countries such as China and Japan exclusively in the US Dollars.

作為交換，這些國家會獨家地以美元將他們的石油賣給中國和日本等國家。

At the same time, when they are receiving so much money from these nations, they will be investing trillions of dollars back in the United states, growing the U.S.

同時，當他們從這些國家收到這麼多錢時，他們會將兆美元的資金重新投資到美國，讓美國

So first of all, when China needs a lot of money, for example, from the GCC countries, they have to buy a lot of oil or they have to buy a lot of US Dollars.

所以首先，當中國需要很多錢時，例如從海灣合作委員會國家那裡，他們必須購買大量石油，或者他們必須購買大量美元。

So China is buying a lot of US Treasuries from the United States, the same thing with Japan.

所以中國正在從美國購買大量美國國債，日本也是一樣。

And that creates a scenario where the US Dollar is the global reserve currency and the US Economy keeps growing.

這就創造了一個美元是全球儲備貨幣，而美國經濟持續成長的局面。

Like, stop for a moment and ask yourself a very basic question.

停下來，問自己一個非常基本的問題。

Why Japan has $1.2 trillion of US treasuries.

為什麼日本持有 1.2 兆美元的美國國債。

Yes, part of the reason is that they sell a lot of the United States and they make a lot of money from.

是的，部分原因是他們賣了很多東西給美國，並從中賺了很多錢。

But another major reason is because Japan is 100% or 95% reliant on the Middle Eastern oil.

但另一個主要原因是，日本 100% 或 95% 依賴中東的石油。

And without US dollars, Japan will simply not be able to buy that oil because the United States has signed a treaty with this.

而且沒有美元，日本根本買不到石油，因為美國跟這個有簽約。

Not signed a treaty, but they have agreed with Middle Eastern countries.

不是簽約，而是跟中東國家有約定。

Dodge, you sell your oil exclusively in US Dollars and we are going to protect you.

「來，你賣石油獨家用美元，我們來保護你。」

So the fact that Donald Trump is saying that we're not getting anything out of Middle east is basically saying that he doesn't understand why the dollar is the global reserve currency in the first place.

所以川普說我們在中東什麼都沒得到，這句話基本上是在說，他根本不瞭解美元為什麼是全球儲備貨幣。

And the job of the United States, all of this time was to play all these players against one another.

而美國一直以來的任務，就是讓這些國家互相牽制。

So for example, the United States doesn't actually care about Iran.

所以，舉例來說，美國其實不在乎伊朗。

But if the United States will make Iran an enemy of the world, and

但如果美國讓伊朗成為世界公敵，

now the GCC countries are afraid of Iran, they will ask more protection for the United States.

現在海灣合作委員會國家就會害怕伊朗，他們就會尋求美國更多的保護。

So the geopolitical interest of the United States was never to attack Iran, but

所以美國的地緣政治利益從來不是要攻擊伊朗，而是

actually keep Iran at rights to all these nations so that Israel and the GCC will have an interest to be very close allies of the United States.

讓伊朗跟這些國家保持一種關係，這樣以色列和海灣合作委員會國家就會有興趣跟美國結成非常緊密的盟友。

The moment you destroy Iran, you no longer have a threat to gcc.

你一摧毀伊朗，海灣合作委員會國家就沒有敵人了。

And the GCC countries don't have a single reason to continue selling the oil to Asian countries exclusively in the US Dollars.

而海灣合作委員會國家也沒有任何理由要繼續獨家以美元向亞洲國家出售石油。

So the United States was basically playing these players against one another.

所以美國基本上是在玩弄這些玩家互相制衡。

But now, since you have attacked Iran and Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz and the US Navy is not in a capac to protect the Strait of Hormuz, what do you think is happening here?

但是現在，既然你攻擊了伊朗，伊朗封鎖了荷姆茲海峽，而美國海軍又無力保護荷姆茲海峽，你覺得這裡發生了什麼事？

The United States is simply losing the reason that made the dollar the global reserve currency.

美國正在失去讓美元成為全球儲備貨幣的理由。

And how do we know the United States is not capable of doing that?

我們怎麼知道美國做不到這點？

That's just what Donald Trump said, that he literally asked other nations, China, South Korea, European nations to come and help the United States to protect that strait.

這就是 Donald Trump 說的，他真的要求其他國家，中國、韓國、歐洲國家，來幫助美國保護那條海峽。

And it's very difficult to do that because why would China come and help the United States when Chinese ships can easily pass through the Strait of Hormuz?

而這點非常難做到，因為中國船隻可以輕易通過荷姆茲海峽，中國為什麼要來幫美國？

But European nations, especially NATO countries that potentially supposed to come to help the United States.

但歐洲國家，特別是北約國家，本來應該來幫助美國。

Their job isn't to start the war against Iran.

他們的職責不是要對伊朗開戰。

And even if you do that, it is impossible to control that choke point because that choke point is very easily disruptive.

就算你這麼做了，也無法控制那個咽喉點，因為那個咽喉點很容易被擾亂。

All Iran has to do is to get a few missiles there and it's over.

伊朗只需要在那裡部署幾枚飛彈，就大功告成了。

All Iran has to do is to send enough drones to hit these ships.

伊朗只需要派出足夠的無人機來攻擊這些船隻。

So these ships cannot possibly buy insurance because the cost of insurance is going to be insanely expensive.

所以這些船隻根本不可能買到保險，因為保險的費用會貴到離譜。

Imagine you own an insurance company and there is a ship that is going to cross through the Strait of Hormuz, let's say from Saudi Arabia to Japan.

想像一下，你是一家保險公司的老闆，有一艘船要通過荷姆茲海峽，假設是從沙烏地阿拉伯開往日本。

Are you going to sell an insurance to that company knowing that there is a very high probability that ship is going to be struck with a huge drone and that ship costs, let's say, $1 billion.

你會願意賣保險給這家公司嗎？你知道那艘船很有可能被無人機擊中，而那艘船的價值，假設是 10 億美元。

Are you ready to sell them cheaply that insurance?

你會願意便宜地賣保險給他們嗎？

So you're going to raise your insurance price.

Now, since you have raised the price of your insurance significantly, that ship is not able to afford that insurance.

現在，因為你大幅提高了保險價格，那艘船就買不起保險了。

Basically there is no trade going on between that strait.

基本上，那條海峽就沒有貿易往來了。

But up until that point, Iran was basically the enemy and the GCC countries were afraid of Iran.

但在那之前，伊朗基本上是敵人，而海灣合作委員會國家都很害怕伊朗。

And Iran did not close the Strait of Hormuz because it will get international condemnation.

而且伊朗並沒有關閉荷姆茲海峽，因為那樣會引來國際譴責。

So the US Navy was de facto ruler of that strait.

所以美國海軍實際上是那條海峽的統治者。

But right now, because that is no longer happening, the demand for the US Dollar is going to plummet and the demand for the U.S.

但現在，因為那樣的情況不再發生，對美元的需求將會暴跌，而對美國

treasuries is significantly going to go down.

When you see Japan holds $1.2 trillion of U S Treasuries now, they have no motivation to hold so much U S Treasuries.

當你看到日本持有 1.2 兆美元的美國國債時，他們沒有動機去持有這麼多美國國債。

And most likely if this is going to continue for at least six months, they will start selling their U S Treasuries which will raise the yields in the United States.

而且，如果這種情況持續至少六個月，他們很可能會開始賣出他們持有的美國國債，這將會推高美國的利率。

This is extremely dangerous for the United States because the United States has been exporting its inflation to the rest of the world.

這對美國來說非常危險，因為美國一直以來都在將通貨膨脹輸出到全世界。

But because you no longer can actually insure the petrodollar system, you no longer can export your inflation.

但是，因為你無法再為石油美元體系提供保險，你也無法再輸出你的通貨膨脹了。

And by looking at size of the US national debt, that inflation is going to come back to the United States.

而且看看美國國債的規模，那些通貨膨脹將會迴流到美國。

And if you think that last five years prices have risen dramatically, then you have no idea what's about to happen when the dollar loses that status.

如果你覺得過去五年物價已經大幅上漲，那你根本不知道當美元失去這個地位時，接下來會發生什麼事。

When the petrodollar system is over, like I think most people cannot possibly imagine.

當石油美元體系結束時，就像大多數人無法想像的那樣。

If you want to imagine that, just go and Google what was inflation in the United States in 1970s and the war with Iran is going to break the system.

如果你想想像一下，就去 Google 搜尋一下 1970 年代的美國通貨膨脹，而與伊朗的戰爭將會打破這個體系。

And until now it's still impossible to imagine how bad that situation is going to be.

而且直到現在，我們仍然無法想像情況會有多糟。

When the war is over and the United States will no longer be able to protect these nations, there is going to be no more selling oil in US Dollars.

當戰爭結束，美國將無法再保護這些國家時，石油就不會再以美元計價了。

First of all, it is going to raise the yields on the US Debt.

首先，這將會提高美國國債的殖利率。

The United States borrows billions of dollars every single day.

美國每天都要借入數十億美元。

And that debt is being consistently refinanced every every single day.

而這筆債務每天都在持續再融資。

As you're watching this video, the United States is refinancing the debt.

當你正在看這支影片時，美國正在為債務再融資。

So as the yields on the US Treasuries are going to rise, the US Government will be forced to accept a higher cost of refinancing the debt.

是以，隨著美國公債殖利率的上升，美國政府將被迫接受更高的債務再融資成本。

Now the question comes back to you, how is that going to impact you?

現在問題回到你身上，這將會如何影響你？

So the US Government on one side is raising money from taxes, on the other side, it's supposed to spend that money on you.

所以美國政府一方面要從稅收中籌集資金，另一方面，它應該把這些錢花在你身上。

But now, because the cost of financing the debt is, is going to rise, that means that less money will be spent on you.

但是現在，因為債務融資的成本將會上升，這意味著花在你身上的錢會變少。

That means that, for example, they won't be paying you more for Social Security benefits.

這表示，舉例來說，社會安全福利金就不會給你更多了。

The United States could easily increase the retirement age so that you will be working for much longer, and

美國可以輕易提高退休年齡，讓你工作更久，

you will be receiving far less in Social Security payments.

而且你領到的社會安全給付會少很多。

The United States will simply cancel the Medicare.

The United States will spend less on building the infrastructure, building proper roads, schools, hospitals, because that money should come from somewhere.

美國將減少在基礎建設、修路、學校、醫院上的支出，因為這些錢總得從某個地方來。

If you're in huge debt and suddenly you have to make huge interest payments, you will first sacrifice going out with your friends, Then you will start sacrificing your car.

如果你負債累累，突然間必須支付巨額的利息，你首先會犧牲掉和朋友出去玩，然後你會開始犧牲你的車子。

And then maybe you should sell your house and move to a smaller house.

接著你可能得賣掉房子，搬到小一點的房子。

And that's basically happening very fast.

而這一切基本上正在非常快速地發生。

It's supposed to take the United States another 20 years for that to happen.

這本來預計會花美國二十年才能發生。

But the Iran war is simply accelerating that.

The second way that it's going to impact you directly is that you will have higher mortgage rates.

第二個會直接影響你的方式是，你的房貸利率會變高。

So the debt market is just one huge market, because when you are loaning money as a debt or you're investing in debt, you're basically loaning money to someone else.

所以債務市場是一個巨大的市場，因為當你以債務形式借出資金，或投資於債務時，你基本上是在借錢給別人。

I mean, we have multiple markets, but these are two major ones.

我的意思是，我們有很多市場，但這是兩個主要的。

One is the debt market, the other one is the equity market.

一個是債務市場，另一個是股票市場。

And then we have the commodities markets.

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伊朗戰爭背後不願讓你知曉的祕密！美國經濟岌岌可危！ (They don’t want you to know this about Iran War…The US economy is in DANGER)

strategy

basically

average

mess