Name: 如何選擇職業（後人工智能時代） (How to choose a career (in a post AI world))
Uploaded: 2025-06-04T05:36:51.000Z
Duration: 14 min 43 s

祈使句型

to 不定詞

So for those of you who don't know me, I grew up in a basement in the Bronx, stepping on roaches and rats for most of my childhood, and it's not like my parents had nepotism or any connection, so I had to go through the whole grueling interview process, but eventually I secured a front office job in Wall Street and was able to make a few million dollars and retire early, so I think I'm a reasonable person to give career advice, so let's get into it.

對於那些不瞭解我的人來說，我是在布朗克斯區的一個地下室裡長大的，童年的大部分時間都是踩著蟑螂和老鼠度過的，而且我的父母並沒有裙帶關係或任何關係，所以我不得不經歷整個艱苦的面試過程，但最終我在華爾街找到了一份前臺的工作，賺了幾百萬美元並提前退休了，所以我認為我是一個可以給出職業建議的合理人選，讓我們開始吧。

So I think the best way to think about career is through these career event diagrams.

是以，我認為思考職業生涯的最佳方式就是通過這些職業生涯事件圖。

So this first one has four circles that overlap.

是以，第一個有四個重疊的圓圈。

You can pause it if you want to read through all the details, but the gist of it is that you want to overlap as many circles as possible to optimize for your career and your own personal happiness, but in this modern world where you're up against AI and the job market is more and more competitive, I think one of the circles here is unnecessary.

如果你想讀完所有細節，可以暫停一下，但其要點是，你要儘可能多地重疊圈子，以優化你的職業生涯和個人幸福，但在這個與人工智能對抗、就業市場競爭越來越激烈的現代社會，我認為這裡的一個圈子是不必要的。

It's a circle to the right about what you can do for the world.

這是一個向右轉的圓圈，說明你能為世界做些什麼。

I don't want to sound like a cold, selfish person, but there's another career event diagram that I think is better to look at.

我不想讓自己聽起來像個冷酷自私的人，但我認為還有一種職業事件圖更值得一看。

So I tend to like this career event diagram with three overlapping circles, and most people start with the top circle, what you love, but that's just not the right way to go about it, and especially commencement speakers in the West, they tend to put you into emotional debt by telling you, oh, just follow what you love and everything else will fall into place, but that simply isn't true because we live in a cold and harsh world that's ruled by money and power, and so let's say you want to be an actor, and that's your love and passion.

是以，我傾向於喜歡這個有三個重疊圓圈的職業生涯示意圖，大多數人都從最上面的圓圈開始，也就是你所熱愛的，但這並不是正確的方法，尤其是西方的畢業典禮演講者，他們往往會讓你陷入情感債務，告訴你，哦，只要追隨你所熱愛的，其他一切都會水到渠成，但這根本不是真的，因為我們生活在一個冷酷無情的世界裡，這個世界被金錢和權力所主宰，假設你想成為一名演員，這就是你的熱愛和激情所在。

Well, eventually, as you move up the ranks, you're gonna have to have a meeting with someone like Harvey Weinstein, and he's gonna invite you to his hotel bedroom and pile drive you like Zangief into his bed, and you just don't want to have to be doing that, and you'll notice that Johnny Depp's daughter or Patrick Schwarzenegger, you know, these nepo babies, they don't have to do that, and it's because they have money and power, so you immediately realize that starting from what you love is not the correct career strategy, so my advice is to start with the lower left circle of what you're good at, and it's because it's the limiting factor, and we just live in an increasingly competitive world, so thinking about what you love is just outdated, so when we say what you're good at, you can split it up in a couple of different ways.

好吧，最終，當你往上爬的時候，你會不得不和哈維-韋恩斯坦這樣的人見面，他會邀請你去他的酒店臥室，然後把你像贊吉夫一樣推到他的床上，而你只是不想那樣做，你會注意到約翰尼-德普的女兒或者帕特里克-施瓦辛格，你知道，這些裙帶關係的孩子，他們不需要那樣做，那是因為他們有錢有勢、所以，你馬上就會意識到，從你喜歡的事情做起並不是正確的職業戰略，所以我的建議是從你擅長的事情的左下角圓圈開始，這是因為它是限制因素，而我們只是生活在一個競爭日益激烈的世界裡，所以思考你喜歡的事情已經過時了，所以當我們說你擅長什麼的時候，你可

The most straightforward way to break that down is through an SAT score of math versus verbal.

最簡單明瞭的方法就是通過 SAT 的數學和口語成績進行比較。

If you scored much higher in one versus the other, then choose the one you scored higher in and ask chatGBT, and then from the list of jobs that chatGBT recommends for you, think about which ones you could see yourself loving or growing to love, and which ones pay more.

如果您在其中一項上的得分遠高於另一項，那麼請選擇您在其中得分較高的一項並詢問 chatGBT，然後從 chatGBT 為您推薦的工作列表中，思考哪些工作您會愛上或逐漸愛上，哪些工作的薪資更高。

That's going to be a personal decision for you as far as which of those two other factors you give weight to.

至於你更看重這兩個因素中的哪一個，這將是你的個人決定。

There's no right or wrong answers, so for me personally, you know, it is really hard to get all three circles to overlap, and if you can get two out of the three circles to overlap, you're doing really well in this economy, to be honest with you, and I actually had all three circles overlapping at one point.

答案沒有對錯之分，所以就我個人而言，你知道，要讓三個圓圈都重疊起來真的很難，如果你能讓三個圓圈中的兩個重疊起來，老實說，你在這個經濟環境中就做得很好了，實際上，我曾經一度讓三個圓圈都重疊起來。

I had the win, and it was when I was an options trader.

我贏過，那是在我還是期權交易員的時候。

It was like playing a video game every day, like a gambling video game every day, and it paid better than being a surgeon, and I was good at it because I like poker, and I like strategy games, and I like math, so it managed to overlap all three circles, which was incredible, and I would have just stayed in that job forever.

這就像每天都在玩電子遊戲，就像每天都在玩賭博電子遊戲，而且它的收入比當外科醫生要高，我很擅長這份工作，因為我喜歡撲克，喜歡策略遊戲，還喜歡數學，所以它成功地把這三個圈子都重疊在了一起，這太不可思議了，我真想永遠做這份工作。

I would have kept doing that job for less than a hundred grand because it was fun, but eventually the industry evolved, and it got way more automated, and most of these trading firms evolved into tech firms, and so your day-to-day became more about coding and, you know, stand-up meetings and code reviews and politics, and it started to get less fun.

但最終這個行業發生了變化，自動化程度越來越高，大多數交易公司都演變成了科技公司，所以你的日常工作變得更多的是編碼、站立會議、代碼審查和政治，開始變得不再那麼有趣。

There was still trading involved, but it became more like working at a tech firm, and so the way I would describe that position, the top circle of the Venn diagram slowly went away, and it kind of went down to the bottom two circles, and, you know, I don't think I could really find or retrain myself to find a new career where I can get the win and all three circles overlap again, so I ended up just accepting that I should just focus on the bottom two circles and live below my means and just sock away money and invest it, retire as early as possible so I can focus on the top circle alone in early retirement, and that's what I'm doing now, right?

雖然仍有交易，但它變得更像是在一家技術公司工作，是以，我對這個職位的描述是，維恩圖的頂部圓圈慢慢消失，變成了底部的兩個圓圈，你知道，我不認為我真的能找到或重新訓練自己找到一個新的職業，在那裡我可以獲得勝利，所有三個圓圈再次重疊、是以，我最終接受了這樣的觀點：我應該專注於最底層的兩個圈子，量入為出，把錢存起來投資，儘早退休，這樣我就可以在退休後專注於最上層的圈子，這就是我現在正在做的，對嗎？

I mean, I'm making a YouTube channel, and I'm trying to grow it, and I have all these little artistic endeavors that I think are fun while I'm traveling the world, and so in my case, I decided I'm going to separate the three circles and focus on the bottom two, and then only focus on the top circle after early retirement, and that's not a bad strategy for other people, too, who find that they simply won't be able to overlap all three circles because it's really hard to do.

我的意思是，我正在製作一個 YouTube 頻道，並試圖將其發展壯大，而且我在環遊世界的同時，還在從事這些我認為很有趣的小藝術活動，所以就我而言，我決定將這三個圈子分開，專注於下面兩個圈子，然後在提前退休後只專注於上面的圈子，這對其他人來說也不失為一種策略，因為他們發現自己根本無法將三個圈子重疊起來，因為這真的很難做到。

Most jobs that people enjoy are the same.

人們喜歡的大多數工作都是一樣的。

Most people enjoy the same jobs, so the supply and demand is not going to be in your favor.

大多數人都喜歡同樣的工作，是以供求關係不會對你有利。

It's going to be hard to find a job that pays you well if most people in the world think it's fun because, you know, just like being a video game developer, people think that's fun, and so video game developers work some of the longest hours but get some of the lowest pay out of all developers.

如果世界上大多數人都認為這很有趣，那麼你就很難找到一份薪水高的工作，因為你知道，就像電子遊戲開發人員一樣，人們認為這很有趣，所以電子遊戲開發人員的工作時間是所有開發人員中最長的，但薪水卻是最低的。

It's just an economic reality in free market capitalism that if you want to get paid a lot, the job's usually going to be boring and stressful and difficult.

這只是自由市場資本主義的一個經濟現實，如果你想拿高薪，工作通常會很無聊、壓力很大、很困難。

It is a reasonable strategy to just focus on making money, and if you don't mind it, if it's, if it's a, if it's, it may not, you may not love it, but if you don't mind it, that's, I think that's a reasonable win, and then from there, just sock away your money, live below your means, and try to retire early to focus on what you love, and that, or just try to focus on what you love on the side, outside of work, if you have a lot of ambition and you think you can, you can do that, but for me, it was just too exhausting to live like that.

如果你不介意賺錢，如果這是你的愛好，如果這不是你的愛好，但如果你不介意，這就是一個合理的策略，我認為這是一個合理的勝利，然後從那裡，只是把你的錢、如果你有很大的野心，你覺得你可以，你可以做到這一點，但對我來說，這樣的生活實在是太累了。

AI is disrupting the job market and creating this massive paradigm shift, so how do you account for that?

人工智能正在顛覆就業市場，並帶來巨大的範式轉變，那麼你該如何解釋這一點呢？

Well, you know, you can just google it, and there's all these lists of jobs that are going to go away, and, you know, potential jobs of the future, but you can really just use your common sense and think about, well, what kind of jobs would, would go away, and the general trend is that it's the entry-level jobs to any career that are going to go away first, and so, paralegals are going to go away because more professional lawyers won't need paralegals, and junior-level devs are going to go away, and the only employable devs are going to be senior-level devs that are using tools like ChatGBT to do simple code, junior-level dev coding for them.

好吧，你知道，你可以用谷歌搜索一下，就會出現所有這些即將消失的工作列表，你知道，未來潛在的工作，但你真的可以用你的常識想想，好吧，什麼樣的工作會消失，總的趨勢是，任何職業的入門級工作都會首先消失、所以，律師助理會消失，因為更多的專業律師不需要律師助理，初級開發人員也會消失，唯一能找到工作的開發人員將是使用 ChatGBT 等工具來編寫簡單代碼的高級開發人員，初級開發人員為他們編寫代碼。

The free market is kind of ruthless like that.

You basically need to have the skills to just jump straight into those higher competency roles, and, obviously, that's easier said than done.

從根本上說，你需要具備直接跳槽到能力更高的崗位的技能，而這顯然說起來容易做起來難。

For the example of a developer, you're going to have to just work on projects on your own, you know, build an entire app or video game and sell it to someone, and have that in your portfolio of software that you've built, so that you can argue to a company that you should come in straight at the senior level, and if you have a product that you made from the bottom up and you sold it, and there's a customer that's happy with your product, then you can argue, yeah, this guy, he's at the senior level, and so you're going to have to close that gap on your own, and besides that point, the jobs that are going to survive are human-facing jobs where the human touch are important.

舉個開發人員的例子，你必須自己做項目，你知道，開發一個完整的應用程序或視頻遊戲，然後賣給別人，在你開發的軟件組合裡有這個項目，這樣你就可以向公司證明，你應該直接進入高層、如果你的產品是自下而上製作出來的，而且你把它賣出去了，客戶對你的產品很滿意，那麼你就可以說，是的，這個人，他是高層，所以你必須自己縮小差距。

The medical field should do okay, doctor, nurse, dentist, and a lot of the trade jobs, the trades, like being an electrician or AC repairman, robotics have not reached the point where they're going to be able to replace those kind of jobs.

醫療領域應該沒問題，醫生、護士、牙醫，還有很多行業工作，比如電工或空調維修工，機器人技術還沒有達到能夠取代這些工作的地步。

所以，這些就是你們目前的選擇。

So in this post-AI world, what's changing is that the line of how smart you should be to justify spending money to get a college degree is moving up because all of the entry level and lower skill post-college jobs are going away.

是以，在這個後人工智能的世界裡，正在發生變化的是，因為所有入門級和低技能的大學畢業後工作都將消失，所以你應該有多聰明才有理由花錢去獲得大學學位的界限正在上升。

If you want to be a doctor or lawyer or dentist, then it still requires that formal education, and so you should get a college degree, but those are all getting more competitive too because people who can't get into the other jobs are all trying to flood into those jobs as well.

如果你想成為一名醫生、律師或牙醫，那麼仍然需要接受正規教育，是以你應該獲得大學學位，但這些工作的競爭也越來越激烈，因為無法從事其他工作的人也都想湧入這些工作。

Basically, the bar is going up across the board.

You don't want to spend all that time and money on college if you can't get one of those coveted roles of doctor, lawyer, or dentist, and you don't have the skills to just jump straight from college to senior developer.

如果你無法獲得醫生、律師或牙醫這些令人羨慕的職位，你就不想花那麼多時間和金錢去上大學，而且你也不具備從大學直接跳槽到高級開發人員的技能。

Basically, people talk a lot about the AI bubble.

基本上，人們經常談論人工智能保麗龍。

It's possible that it's not a bubble if the progress of AI just continues to accelerate at the rate that all of the interest in AI is actually underpricing the hype, but I think more people assume that AI will plateau a little bit from here because there's so much hype already priced in, and so what that means is that Gold Rush is for starting your own AI startup, and that space may be pretty saturated at this point, and while there's more glory and being the person chasing the gold itself, there's also always a steady opportunity by being the person who sells the shovels.

如果人工智能的發展速度繼續加快，而所有對人工智能的興趣實際上都低估了炒作的價值，那麼這有可能不是保麗龍，但我認為更多的人認為人工智能從現在開始會趨於平穩，因為有太多的炒作已經定價了、是以，這意味著 "淘金熱 "是針對創辦自己的人工智能初創企業而言的，而這一領域目前可能已經相當飽和，雖然作為追逐金子的人本身會有更多的榮耀，但作為賣鏟子的人也總是有穩定的機會。

那麼，在這種情況下這意味著什麼呢？

It means providing services to the people chasing the gold, but also it means just utilizing the environment to make somewhat safe, reliable returns.

這意味著要為追逐黃金的人們提供服務，同時也意味著要利用環境來獲得某種程度上安全可靠的回報。

Rather than try to start your own AI startup, you could use all the existing AI tools to start your own small consulting business or do freelance work, and these sort of jobs are projected to increase a lot over the coming decades.

與其嘗試創辦自己的人工智能初創公司，不如利用現有的各種人工智能工具，創辦自己的小型諮詢公司或從事自由職業，預計未來幾十年這類工作會大量增加。

So we're going to move away from the whole 40-year career with one company and retire with a pension, and there's going to just be a lot more dynamic freelance type of work and small startups and solopreneurs, and I myself, as an aspiring solopreneur, I'm excited about the opportunities there because what's happened is all this technology has made it much easier for people to run an entire company on their own because you can automate so much of the busy work, and you can pump out code really quickly.

是以，我們將不再在一家公司工作 40 年，退休後還能領到養老金，而是會有更多充滿活力的自由職業者、小型初創企業和個人創業者，而我自己作為一個有抱負的個人創業者，也對其中的機會感到興奮，因為現在的情況是，所有這些技術都讓人們更容易獨自經營整個公司，因為你可以將許多繁忙的工作自動化，而且你可以非常快速地編寫代碼。

Solopreneurs are small remote startups with three to five people that do one daily check-in.

獨行俠是三到五個人的小型遠程創業公司，每天進行一次簽到。

I think these are going to be the type of jobs of the future.

我認為這將是未來的工作類型。

It's a little bit more you eat what you kill, a little bit more meritocratic, but not everyone has what it takes to be a solopreneur or to work in a small dynamic remote startup with three to five people.

這裡更多的是 "你殺什麼，就吃什麼"，更多的是任人唯賢，但並不是每個人都能成為獨當一面的創業者，或者在三五個人的小型遠程動態創業公司工作。

So while that will become a bigger market share of the total jobs that exist in the economy, it's not for everyone.

是以，雖然這將在經濟中現有的全部工作崗位中佔據更大的市場份額，但它並不適合每一個人。

So I'll break down the personality types that I think are best suited for the different kinds of jobs of the future.

是以，我將對我認為最適合未來各類工作的性格類型進行細分。

So I'm going to use your SAT score as a metric for your IQ because there is a pretty tight correlation for that.

是以，我打算用你的 SAT 分數來衡量你的智商，因為這兩者之間有著非常緊密的相關性。

So if you have a low IQ, whether you're ambitious or unambitious, as the world continues to evolve into using AI, I would advise against going to college because the time and money spent will not be justified for you as you won't be able to find jobs after college.

是以，如果你的智商不高，不管你是雄心勃勃還是胸無大志，隨著世界不斷髮展到使用人工智能，我建議你不要去上大學，因為所花的時間和金錢對你來說都是不值得的，因為你在大學畢業後找不到工作。

It doesn't mean you're not going to make money.

In fact, you can make a lot of money by going this route.

事實上，走這條路可以賺很多錢。

So if you have if you have low ambition, you should just get the basic training and then just find a job working as an electrician or as a plumber or something like that.

是以，如果你志向不高，就應該接受基本培訓，然後找一份電工或管道工之類的工作。

But if you have high ambition, you want to gain all those skills and you want to start your own company and hire your own electricians.

但是，如果你志向遠大，想掌握所有這些技能，想創辦自己的公司，僱傭自己的電工。

This is after you save up some money, of course, and then you can sell your business eventually or you can just run it.

當然，這是在你攢下一些錢之後，然後你可以最終出售你的企業，或者你可以只經營它。

While the actual job function may not be as glamorous as you want it to be, I mean, those are your options if you just weren't able to score very high on the SATs.

雖然實際的工作職能可能並不像你希望的那樣光鮮亮麗，但我的意思是，如果你只是無法在 SAT 考試中取得很高的分數，這些都是你的選擇。

And just to put a number on it, in the past, I would say you need to score above a 600 on the SAT Math or SAT Verbal and then you can look for jobs that are like STEM centric or verbal centric.

過去，我認為你需要在 SAT 數學或 SAT 口語考試中取得 600 分以上的成績，然後你就可以尋找以 STEM 為中心或以口頭表達為中心的工作。

But in this new world with AI automating away all those lower skill jobs, you need to be excellent at your job now.

但是，在這個人工智能將所有低技能工作自動化的新世界裡，你現在需要的是出色的工作能力。

是以，我認為新的分界線是 700。

So you need to have above a SAT Math score of 700 or SAT Verbal above 700 to justify going to college.

是以，你需要 SAT 數學成績超過 700 分，或 SAT 口語成績超過 700 分，才有理由上大學。

So if you weren't able to score above 700 on either of those, I think you're better off just going to at this point.

是以，如果你在這兩項考試中都沒能取得 700 分以上的成績，我認為你最好還是現在就去考。

Now if you have a high IQ and you like dealing with people, I would say you should try to be a doctor, a dentist, or a lawyer, like a human facing lawyer.

如果你智商很高，又喜歡與人打交道，我覺得你應該嘗試當一名醫生、牙醫或律師，比如面對人類的律師。

Like I said before, you need to have scored above a 700 on the SAT Math or verbal or both in some of these cases.

就像我之前說的，在某些情況下，您需要在 SAT 數學或口語考試中取得 700 分以上的成績，或兩者都取得 700 分以上的成績。

And lastly, if you have a high IQ but you're dynamic, adaptive, and ambitious, then you can be one of these people in the growing sector of the economy that is working at an online startup or working as a solopreneur.

最後，如果你的智商很高，但又充滿活力、適應能力強、雄心勃勃，那麼你也可以成為這些人中的一員，在網絡初創企業或個人創業者中工作，從而實現經濟的增長。

And these sort of roles have very little job security and you're sort of in the wild, wild west.

這些職位幾乎沒有工作保障，你就像是在狂野的西部。

So not everyone has a personality type for it, but there's also the most opportunity in this world because you could strike gold and become very wealthy quickly.

是以，並不是每個人都適合這種性格類型，但這也是這個世界上最多的機會，因為你可以迅速淘到金子，變得非常富有。

And personally, I think it's the most fun part of the job market to exist in because everything is so dynamic and the day-to-day is always changing.

就我個人而言，我認為這是就業市場中最有趣的部分，因為一切都充滿活力，每天都在發生變化。

So I think if you're young, you have the energy, you don't have dependents that you have to support, and you're smart, that's the area you want to go in.

所以我認為，如果你年輕，有精力，沒有需要撫養的人，而且聰明，那就是你想去的領域。

And yeah, the studies are showing that it's only growing every year.

是的，研究表明，這種情況每年都在增加。

So just be ready, be prepared for doing that kind of work.

所以，你要做好準備，做好做這種工作的準備。

And if you happen to be interested in some more personalized feedback, I just started a Calendly one-on-one video consultation service.

如果你對更個性化的反饋感興趣，我剛剛開始了 Calendly 一對一視頻諮詢服務。

So while I'm happy to talk about anything, I think it would make the most sense to talk about career because I have 15 years of experience working on Wall Street and I myself was involved in a lot of the recruiting for my trade desk.

是以，雖然我很樂意談論任何事情，但我認為談論職業生涯最有意義，因為我在華爾街有 15 年的工作經驗，而且我本人也參與了我的交易櫃檯的大量招聘工作。

And I know a lot of the headhunters in the industry.

So yeah, if you're interested, go hit that up.

所以是的，如果你感興趣，可以去看看。

I left the link in the channel description.