Name: 中國對即將發生的事情還沒有做好準備 (China is not ready for what’s about to happen…)
Uploaded: 2025-08-11T17:58:05.000Z
Duration: 15 min 2 s

to 不定詞

China is not ready for what's about to happen.

中國對即將發生的事情還沒有做好準備。

形容詞最高級

China is about to face the greatest financial crisis since the great famine of the 1960s.

中國即將面臨自 20 世紀 60 年代大饑荒以來最嚴重的金融危機。

未來簡單式

China's economic growth has been one of the most spectacular growth in the history of humanity and it seems like that growth is going to continue until China will overtake the world and will become the world's largest economy, but that's about to end.

中國的經濟增長是人類歷史上最驚人的增長之一，而且這種增長似乎會一直持續下去，直到中國超越世界，成為世界最大的經濟體，但這種情況即將結束。

The United States is pushing China to sign a deal that is going to push China into a recession that will take it years to come out, and the last time that China was in a recession was back in 1968.

美國正在推動中國簽署一項協議，該協議將把中國推向衰退，中國需要數年才能走出衰退，而中國上一次陷入衰退還要追溯到 1968 年。

The United States already raised tariffs on China to 145 percent, China retaliated by raising the tariffs on US goods to 125 percent, and this economic trade war is going to push China into a stone age.

美國已經將對中國的關稅提高到145%，中國則報復性地將對美國商品的關稅提高到125%，這場經濟貿易戰將把中國推向石器時代。

So let me tell you and explain to you in this video why China is about to face a financial disaster.

是以，讓我在這段視頻中告訴你，並向你解釋為什麼中國即將面臨一場金融災難。

If you are ready, give this video a thumbs up and let's get right into it.

如果您準備好了，請為這段視頻豎起大拇指，讓我們開始吧。

The United States is a market-driven economy, while China is a state-planned economy.

美國是市場驅動型經濟，而中國是國家計劃型經濟。

The US intervenes sometimes in the economy and tries to manipulate it in some way, but it's mostly market-driven.

美國有時會干預經濟，並試圖以某種方式操縱經濟，但這主要是由市場驅動的。

On the other side, the Chinese economy is mostly driven by the state.

另一方面，中國經濟主要由國家推動。

So if a state, for example, wants to improve a certain industry, they will take a lot of money and they will start pouring into that industry unlimited amount of money until that industry becomes so big and so huge and will dominate the entire Chinese market.

是以，舉例來說，如果一個國家想要改善某個行業，他們就會拿出大量資金，開始向該行業投入無限的資金，直到該行業變得如此之大、如此之巨，並將主導整個中國市場。

In fact, the government even pours a lot of money into that particular industry in order to make their prices price-competitive compared to the rest of the world.

事實上，政府甚至向該行業投入了大量資金，以使其價格與世界其他地區相比具有價格競爭力。

And that's how China became an export-driven economy.

這就是中國成為出口導向型經濟體的原因。

So China easily builds monopolies compared to other countries.

是以，與其他國家相比，中國很容易形成壟斷。

And if you look at the Chinese economy, you will quickly realize that there are actually monopolies in every single sector.

縱觀中國經濟，你很快就會發現，實際上每個行業都存在壟斷。

Now compare that to the United States that actually fights monopolies.

現在將其與真正打擊壟斷的美國進行比較。

The US government consistently tried to break down every single monopoly that became too big.

美國政府一直試圖打破每一個規模過大的壟斷企業。

Go back to 1920s and 30s, the US government broke down the standard oil and turned it into one giant company that controlled the entire oil industry into 22 or 27 companies.

追溯到 20 世紀二三十年代，美國政府打破了標準石油，將其變成了一家巨型公司，控制著整個石油行業的 22 或 27 家公司。

Go back to 1970s and 80s, the US government broke down AT&T.

追溯到 20 世紀 70 年代和 80 年代，美國政府瓦解了 AT&T。

Just recently, until Trump came into office, the US government was looking into breaking down Google into a few companies so that Android will become one company, the search engine will become a completely different company.

就在不久前，在特朗普上臺之前，美國政府還在研究將谷歌拆抽成幾家公司，這樣安卓將成為一家公司，搜索引擎將成為完全不同的公司。

In China, the government purposely picks up companies and turns them into monopolies so that they become price-competitive and they will have a chance to compete internationally.

在中國，政府有意識地挑選公司，將其變成壟斷企業，使其具有價格競爭力，從而有機會參與國際競爭。

And if you look at the smartphone industry, for example, in China, you will quickly see that.

以中國的智能手機產業為例，你很快就會發現這一點。

Apple, for example, represents 15% of the market share.

例如，蘋果公司就佔據了 15%的市場份額。

But just 5 or 10 years ago, Apple was the dominant player where almost 40% of every single smartphone in China was an Apple.

但就在 5 年或 10 年前，蘋果還是一家獨大，中國幾乎 40% 的智能手機都是蘋果的。

But after the government of China started pouring money into companies such as Honor, Oppo, Vivo, and Huawei, they became so huge that they dominated the entire Chinese market and their smartphones right now are being sold all over the entire world, even the United States.

但是，在中國政府開始向榮耀、Oppo、Vivo 和華為等公司注資之後，這些公司變得如此龐大，以至於它們主導了整個中國市場，現在它們的智能手機銷往世界各地，甚至美國。

And those companies do not have to turn a profit unlike Apple.

而且這些公司不像蘋果公司那樣必須實現盈利。

But in the United States, that's impossible because the government does not do something like that.

但在美國，這是不可能的，因為政府不會這樣做。

And most of these companies are market-driven, which means that they are funded by investors and they do not have an unlimited amount of money.

而這些公司中的大多數都是市場驅動型的，也就是說，它們是由投資者資助的，並不是擁有無限的資金。

So if the company is not profitable, investors will pull out their money and will invest elsewhere and that company will slowly fade away.

是以，如果公司不盈利，投資者就會撤出資金，到其他地方投資，這家公司就會慢慢消失。

Take an example of EVs, for example, BYD is the largest EV company in China and probably the world.

以電動汽車為例，比亞迪是中國乃至全球最大的電動汽車公司。

Last year, they sold and produced around 3.5 million cars.

去年，他們銷售和生產了約 350 萬輛汽車。

Tesla on the other side have produced around half a million cars.

特斯拉則生產了約 50 萬輛汽車。

And there is a very huge difference between these two companies.

這兩家公司之間存在著巨大的差異。

Why did BYD become so successful compared to Tesla?

與特斯拉相比，比亞迪為何如此成功？

Because BYD does not have to turn a profit at all, but Tesla has investors to be accountable to.

因為比亞迪根本不需要盈利，但特斯拉要對投資者負責。

And Tesla does not have an unlimited amount of money, but BYD has that.

特斯拉沒有無限的資金，但比亞迪有。

Do you see the problem in this entire system?

你看到整個系統的問題所在了嗎？

Do you see that China is not playing by the rules?

你看到中國不按規則辦事了嗎？

In the US, companies are funded by private investors who have a limited amount of money, while the Chinese government has unlimited amount of money.

在美國，公司的資金來自私人投資者，他們的資金有限，而中國政府的資金無限。

So if Chinese government is going to pick up any kind of industry, they will outperform any company in the United States and they will beat competition because they don't have to turn a profit.

是以，如果中國政府要涉足任何行業，他們的表現都會優於美國的任何公司，他們會擊敗競爭對手，因為他們不需要實現盈利。

You might say that, well, in the US, there are companies that don't have to turn a profit for a very long time.

你可能會說，好吧，在美國，有些公司在很長一段時間內都不需要實現盈利。

Take for example Amazon that was actually operating at a loss for over 20 years before they turned a profit.

以亞馬遜為例，該公司在扭虧為盈之前實際上已經虧損了 20 多年。

Amazon is funded by private investors, and they literally worked to make a loss for a very long time until they took market share.

亞馬遜的資金來自私人投資者，在佔據市場份額之前的很長一段時間裡，他們都在虧損。

That is very different from a company in China where they are actually directly being funded by the government of China in order to succeed.

這與中國的公司截然不同，後者實際上是直接由中國政府資助才能取得成功。

So if Amazon for example is going to compete with Alibaba, and Alibaba has the full force of the Chinese government, who do you think is going to win in a war between Amazon and Alibaba?

是以，如果亞馬遜要與阿里巴巴競爭，而阿里巴巴擁有中國政府的全部力量，你認為亞馬遜和阿里巴巴之間的戰爭誰會贏？

Of course, Alibaba will outperform China because Alibaba does not have to turn a profit, while Amazon is accountable to its investors anyways.

當然，阿里巴巴的表現會優於中國，因為阿里巴巴不必實現盈利，而亞馬遜無論如何都要對投資者負責。

And that's what the US government wants to change in China.

而這正是美國政府希望中國改變的。

And that's the fundamental difference between these two systems.

這就是這兩個系統的根本區別。

If you want to trade with the United States, if you want to have access to the US market, please do not subsidize your companies.

如果你們想與美國貿易，如果你們想進入美國市場，請不要補貼你們的公司。

So if we have for example steel companies in China right now, if those steel companies are not being subsidized by the Chinese government, those steel companies cannot sell their steel at the exact same price that they are selling right now.

是以，以中國的鋼鐵公司為例，如果這些鋼鐵公司沒有得到中國政府的補貼，它們就不能以與現在完全相同的價格出售鋼材。

And that means that they have to raise their prices in order to turn a profit.

這意味著，他們必須提高價格才能實現盈利。

And suddenly, steel prices globally are going to rise, and manufacturers in the United States will see, oh, there is an opportunity to make a profit, and somebody is going to open a steel manufacturing company in the United States, and the US will again start producing steel.

突然間，全球鋼鐵價格會上漲，美國的製造商會發現，哦，有機會獲利了，於是有人會在美國開設一家鋼鐵製造公司，美國將再次開始生產鋼鐵。

But right now, it makes no sense, because if you are going to start producing steel in the United States, and Chinese steel companies are being subsidized very heavily by the Chinese Communist Party, do you think that you can actually stand against China?

但現在，這樣做毫無意義，因為如果你要在美國開始生產鋼鐵，而中國的鋼鐵公司正在接受中國共產黨的大量補貼，你認為你真的能對抗中國嗎？

Well, you cannot possibly do that, unless the US government is going to support you.

你不可能做到這一點，除非美國政府會支持你。

But now they want to check that mentality and apply it to the financial system.

但現在，他們想檢查這種心態，並將其應用於金融體系。

So the global financial system since 1945 have been controlled by the United States.

是以，自 1945 年以來，全球金融體系一直由美國控制。

US banks such as Chase, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo and the rest of them control the entire financial system, and nobody could break that financial system.

大通銀行、摩根大通銀行、富國銀行等美國銀行控制著整個金融體系，沒有人能打破這個金融體系。

What China have been doing over the last 20 years is that they have been taking all of that money and started building a global financial system that is tied to China and is being controlled by the Chinese Yuan.

在過去 20 年裡，中國一直在做的事情就是把所有的錢都拿出來，開始建立一個與中國掛鉤、由人民幣控制的全球金融體系。

And the only way they could do that is by actually building all of these banks globally, and those banks right now can operate at a loss, they don't have to turn a profit.

而實現這一目標的唯一途徑就是在全球範圍內建立所有這些銀行，而這些銀行現在可以虧本經營，不必實現盈利。

Because they are being heavily subsidized by the Chinese Communist Party.

因為它們得到了中國共產黨的大量補貼。

JP Morgan or a Chinese bank that has unlimited money that comes from the government?

是摩根大通，還是擁有來自政府的無限資金的中國銀行？

And that's the strategy that allowed China to actually become such a dominant player in the financial system.

正是這種戰略讓中國在金融體系中佔據了主導地位。

The United States does not want the dollar to actually fade away and wants the dollar to keep being the global currency reserve.

美國並不希望美元真正消失，而是希望美元繼續作為全球貨幣儲備。

But if the trend continues like this, sooner or later, China is going to break up the financial system that the United States has built.

但如果這種趨勢繼續下去，中國遲早會瓦解美國建立的金融體系。

But if the US will be able to push China to sign a deal where they are going to actually be driven by market forces instead by the state, then China will actually not stand a chance against US banks.

但是，如果美國能夠推動中國簽署一項協議，讓中國的銀行真正由市場力量而不是國家力量來驅動，那麼中國在與美國銀行的競爭中將毫無勝算。

The Chinese companies do not stand a chance against Apple.

中國公司在蘋果面前毫無勝算。

The Chinese EV companies cannot stand a chance against Tesla and so on and so forth.

中國的電動汽車公司無法與特斯拉抗衡，如此等等。

And over time, US companies will simply dominate the entire Chinese market and China can possibly forget about the idea of ever becoming a global force that can compete with the United States.

隨著時間的推移，美國公司將主宰整個中國市場，而中國可能會忘記成為可與美國競爭的全球力量的想法。

And that's the deal that the United States wants to force China to sign.

這就是美國希望迫使中國簽署的協議。

Of course, China perfectly understands that and that's why instead of actually coming to Trump and signing that kind of a deal, they are actually waging this war and responding to Trump with the exact same thing that Trump is pushing China, by raising their tariffs.

當然，中國完全明白這一點，這就是為什麼他們非但沒有真正來找特朗普簽署那樣的協議，反而發動這場戰爭，用與特朗普逼迫中國一模一樣的方式來回應特朗普，即提高關稅。

And as of the time that I am recording this video, they have already raised the tariffs on the United States to 125%.

在我錄製這段視頻時，他們已經將對美國的關稅提高到了 125%。

Maybe by the time this video is out and being uploaded on YouTube, United States is going to raise the tariffs to 200% and then China raises them to 200% and this is going to be a never-ending cycle.

也許當這段視頻發佈並上傳到 YouTube 上時，美國會將關稅提高到 200%，然後中國再提高到 200%，這將是一個永無止境的循環。

But what if China does not accept the deal?

What if China does not sign a deal with the United States?

如果中國不與美國簽署協議怎麼辦？

What's going to happen to the Chinese economy?

China exports around 450 billion dollars worth of goods to the United States and imports around 143 billion dollars.

中國向美國出口了價值約 4500 億美元的商品，進口了約 1430 億美元的商品。

With 145% in tariffs, there is not going to be any kind of business between China and the United States.

由於 145% 的關稅，中美之間不會有任何商業往來。

It doesn't matter what are you going to buy from China.

If at the end of the day you have to pay a tariff of 150%, it's much easier to manufacture anywhere, even in Canada or Mexico, or even you can bring that manufacturing to the United States.

如果到頭來你必須支付 150% 的關稅，那麼在任何地方生產都會容易得多，即使是在加拿大或墨西哥，甚至你可以把生產帶到美國。

Any kind of entrepreneurs today will actually use AI in order to automate an entire manufacturing plant in order to produce that in the United States.

今天，任何一種企業家實際上都會利用人工智能來實現整個製造工廠的自動化，以便在美國生產。

Because it doesn't matter, you cannot possibly bring that at a profit.

因為這並不重要，你不可能從中獲利。

So the entire trade between these two countries is going to disappear and entirely fade away and there is not going to be any kind of trade.

是以，這兩個國家之間的所有貿易都將消失，完全消逝，不會再有任何貿易往來。

So that means that almost 700 billion dollars worth of trade between the United States and China is going to disappear.

是以，這意味著中美之間價值近 7000 億美元的貿易將消失。

And who is taking the best advantage out of this trade?

誰能從這筆交易中獲得最大利益？

And that means that factories in China will have to close down one by one.

這意味著中國的工廠將不得不一個接一個地倒閉。

Not all of them, of course, but those factories that build and manufacture stuff that are being shipped to the United States.

當然，不是所有的工廠，而是那些建造和生產運往美國的產品的工廠。

So you have one factory being closed, second factory being closed, third factory being closed.

是以，一家工廠被關閉，第二家工廠被關閉，第三家工廠被關閉。

Millions of people suddenly will start losing their jobs, and that will actually increase unemployment, that will reduce spending, and that could potentially, not potentially, but will certainly send the Chinese economy into a recession.

數百萬人突然開始失業，這實際上會增加失業率，減少消費，有可能（不是有可能，而是肯定）會使中國經濟陷入衰退。

And remember, the Chinese economy haven't been in a recession since 1978.

請記住，自 1978 年以來，中國經濟從未出現過衰退。

And when there is a recession in a country like China, it can turn like what happened in Japan, where people actually stop spending money, and that can create a deflationary environment where that recession is going to persist not just for a couple of months but literally for a couple of years.

當中國這樣的國家出現經濟衰退時，就會像日本一樣，人們實際上停止了消費，這就會造成通貨緊縮的環境，經濟衰退不僅會持續幾個月，而且會持續幾年。

A recession is where you have two consecutive negative GDP growth.

經濟衰退是指國內生產總值連續兩次出現負增長。

And China had actually GDP growth since 1978.

而中國自 1978 年以來，GDP 實際上一直在增長。

Even in 2008, when the US economy entirely collapsed and crashed because of the housing crisis, the Chinese economy kept growing.

即使在 2008 年，當美國經濟因住房危機而全面崩潰和崩潰時，中國經濟仍保持增長。