Name: 分析：臺灣漢光軍演的改進｜TaiwanPlus News (Analysis: Improvements to Taiwan's Han Kuang Military Exercises｜TaiwanPlus News)
Uploaded: 2025-04-07T06:34:27.000Z
Duration: 3 min 12 s

情態副詞

Taiwan's Defense Ministry is currently conducting large-scale computer-based war games.

台灣國防部目前正在進行大規模的電腦兵棋推演。

It's the first part of the annual Han Kuang military exercises, which simulate an all-out attack from China.

這是一年一度的 "漢光 "軍事演習的第一部分，模擬來自中國的全面進攻。

分詞構句

The second part, consisting of live-fire drills, takes place in July.

第二部分包括實彈演習，將於 7 月進行。

To learn more about the drills and how Taiwan is improving its defense strategy, I spoke to Dimitri Alperovitch.

為進一步瞭解演習情況以及臺灣如何改進其防禦戰略，我採訪了迪米特里-阿爾伯羅維奇（Dimitri Alperovitch）。

He's a geopolitical analyst based in Washington, D.C., and the author of World on the Brink.

他是駐華盛頓特區的地緣政治分析家，也是《瀕臨崩潰的世界》一書的作者。

When we look at how far the annual Han Kuang drills have come.

回顧漢光演習一年一度的盛況。

What are you most happy to see in terms of the improvements to Taiwan's defense strategy?

在臺灣防衛戰略的改進方面，您最高興看到什麼？

Well, the thing that I'm really pleased to see is the focus on coastal defense.

我很高興看到的是，我們把重點放在了海岸防禦上。

The incorporation of the Harpoon anti-ship missile drills, the incorporation of High Mars that can target ships near shore.

加入 "魚叉 "反艦導彈演習，加入可瞄準近岸船隻的 "高火星"。

That is really, really important, look, the Air Force is unlikely to play a big part in a realistic war with China.

這一點真的非常非常重要，聽著，空軍不太可能在與中國的現實戰爭中扮演重要角色。

The reality is the runways and and the maintenance facilities and the fuel facilities will likely be the first ones to be targeted.

現實情況是，跑道、維修設施和燃料設施很可能首先成為攻擊目標。

But you can absolutely target the ships that are trying to cross the straight.

但你完全可以瞄準那些試圖穿越直道的船隻。

The the landing craft that are trying to land on the beaches and port facilities.

試圖在海灘和港口設施上登陸的登陸艇。

And that is really, really important to see beyond that, air defense, China has the world's largest missile and rocket arsenal.

除此以外，防空也非常重要，中國擁有世界上最大的飛彈和火箭武庫。

So air defense is going to be very stretched.

So looking how it performs in those realistic scenarios is really important.

是以，瞭解它在這些現實場景中的表現非常重要。

And a big emphasis this year in Han Kuang is this concept of decentralization.

今年漢光的一大重點就是 "權力下放 "這一概念。

How important is that in terms of a conflict?

聽著，大多數戰爭不是靠將軍打贏的。

They're won by colonels, majors, they're making decisions every single minute of every single day on a battlefield.

在戰場上，他們每時每刻都在做決定。

You had a lieutenant colonel that was defending the Hostomel Airport just outside of Kiev that took initiative and decided to bomb the runways to prevent the Russian airborne from landing on those runways.

當時有一名中校正在保衛基輔郊外的霍斯托梅爾機場，他主動決定轟炸跑道，以阻止俄軍空降兵在跑道上降落。

From being able to reach Kiev, from being able to decapitate the government.

從能夠到達基輔，從能夠斬首政府。

Had that decision not be made by an individual officer who had no orders to do so.

如果不是個別軍官在沒有命令的情況下做出的決定。

We would have potentially had a very different scenario, very different outcome in Ukraine.

我們本來有可能在烏克蘭看到截然不同的場景和結果。

So being able to delegate authority to those individual commanders, not have them wait for orders, look at an opportunity, look at a target.

是以，能夠將權力下放給各個指揮官，而不是讓他們等待命令、尋找機會、尋找目標。

And take take decisions whether to destroy critical infrastructure that the enemy might use or whether to destroy their own forces.

並決定是摧毀敵人可能使用的關鍵基礎設施，還是摧毀自己的部隊。

Very, very important, now at the same time, you need to have clear rules of engagement to make sure that they don't trigger a conflict by firing first.

非常、非常重要的是，與此同時，你需要有明確的交戰規則，以確保他們不會因為先開火而引發衝突。

Um, so you need to strike the right balance there.

嗯，所以你需要在這裡取得適當的平衡。

And it looks like it's not just active soldiers that are participating in the drills, but also reservists.

看來參加演習的不僅有現役軍人，還有預備役軍人。

What role would you want them to play in an actual war?

你希望他們在實際戰爭中扮演什麼角色？

Well, I think for the most part, you want them to play supporting role.

我認為，在大多數情況下，你希望他們扮演配角。

For for China to know that if they actually managed to get a lodging established on on one of the beach heads that they're going to face a force beyond just the 100,000 or so that are active duty.

要讓中國知道，如果他們真的設法在某個灘頭建立了住宿點，他們所面對的部隊將不僅僅是十萬左右的現役軍人。

But potentially a million that are in reserves, maybe even more that could be conscripted as as the threat level rises.

但隨著威脅程度的上升，可能會有一百萬人成為預備役，甚至更多的人可能會被徵召入伍。

So really, really important for them to know that this is an operation that would be the largest in the history of the planet.

是以，讓他們知道這將是地球歷史上規模最大的一次行動，真的非常重要。