Name: 日本為何準備讓美國經濟崩潰！？ (Why Japan is Preparing To Crash the US economy)
Uploaded: 2026-03-22T18:05:38.000Z
Duration: 15 min 40 s

現在進行式

Japan is preparing to crash the entire US Economy because the United States have left no option for Japan but to do that.

日本正準備要讓整個美國經濟崩潰，因為美國已經讓日本別無選擇。

to 不定詞

Japan is the largest foreign holder of US debt and if they decide to sell that debt, it will be a nightmare for the US Economy.

日本是美國債務最大的外國持有者，如果他們決定賣掉這些債務，對美國經濟來說將是一場惡夢。

情態助動詞 A2

Suddenly overnight, the United States will have to spend trillions of dollars to maintain the debt and mortgage rates for every single American is going to skyrocket.

突然之間，美國將不得不花費數兆美元來維持債務，而每個美國人的房貸利率都會飆升。

Because Japan entirely depends on this trade of Hormuz for 95% of their oil.

因為日本有 95% 的石油都依賴荷姆茲海峽的貿易。

Since the United States have launched a war against Iran and Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, now Japan has no oil.

自從美國對伊朗發動戰爭，伊朗關閉了荷姆茲海峽後，日本現在就沒有石油了。

And if that is going to continue for another six months, it will be the end of Japanese economy.

如果這種情況再持續六個月，日本經濟就完了。

So if Japan goes down, the United States is going to go down.

所以如果日本垮了，美國也會跟著垮。

In fact, Japan and Germany are one of the main reasons why the dollar is the global reserve currency.

事實上，日本和德國是美元成為全球儲備貨幣的主要原因之一。

Because Germany and Japan are the third and the fourth largest economies.

因為德國和日本分別是第三和第四大的經濟體。

So if you have the world's largest economies using the dollar as the global reserve currency, it reinforces that dollar on the rest of the world because major economies across the globe are using it.

所以如果世界上最大的經濟體都使用美元作為全球儲備貨幣，這就會因為全球主要經濟體都在使用它，進而鞏固美元在其他國家的地位。

And that's why the United States does not allow Germany and Japan to have their own militaries as if they are a part of the United States.

這也是為什麼美國不允許德國和日本擁有自己的軍隊，好像他們是美國的一部分一樣。

In fact, Japan has multiple times already sacrificed its economy for the sake of the back in 1980s and 90s, Japan almost overtook the United States as the world's largest economy.

事實上，日本已經多次為了這個犧牲了經濟。在 1980 年代和 90 年代，日本差點就超越美國成為世界最大的經濟體。

But the United States has forced Japan to overvalue its currency which crushed the Japanese economy.

但美國強迫日本讓其貨幣升值，這就摧毀了日本經濟。

And as you can see that Japan is still suffering the consequences of that up until today.

而你可以看到，日本至今仍在承受那次的後果。

Because if Japan is going to be the world's largest economy and the United States the second largest economy, how can you possibly have the global reserve currency when you don't even have the world's largest economy?

因為如果日本要成為世界最大的經濟體，而美國是第二大，當你甚至沒有世界最大的經濟體時，你怎麼可能擁有全球儲備貨幣？

So it was a necessary move to keep the US Dollar the world's reserve currency.

所以，為了讓美元保持世界儲備貨幣的地位，這是必要的一步。

但日本還沒準備好再次這麼做。

This time if Japan is going to go down just like it did in 1990s, then the United States is going to go down.

這一次，如果日本像 1990 年代那樣垮下去，美國也會跟著垮。

In fact, Japan has helped the United States to create the petrodollar.

事實上，日本協助美國創造了石油美元。

So the petrodollar is the main reason why the US Dollar is still the global reserve currency even though that the United States has abandoned the gold standard.

所以，石油美元是美元即使放棄金本位制，仍能維持全球儲備貨幣地位的主要原因。

When the United States have signed an agreement with Middle Eastern countries that they will sell their oil Primarily only in US dollar, Japan was their first client because Japan imports 95% of their energy.

美國與中東國家簽訂協議，規定他們主要只以美元出售石油，而日本是他們的第一個客戶，因為日本進口了 95% 的能源。

So Japan goes to Middle Eastern countries and buys most of their oil and Japan is ready to pay exclusively in US dollar.

所以日本會去中東國家購買大部分的石油，而且日本準備好只用美元支付。

So when major economies are buying oil only in US dollar and most of the oil sellers are selling the oil exclusively in US dollars, that creates the global standard that oil is primarily traded exclusively in US dollar.

是以，當主要經濟體只用美元購買石油，而大多數石油賣家只用美元出售石油時，這就創造了石油主要只以美元交易的全球標準。

So that creates demand for the US Dollar, which is why the dollar has remained the global reserve currency.

這就創造了對美元的需求，這也是為什麼美元一直以來都是全球儲備貨幣。

Japan has almost no natural resources whatsoever, so it primarily relies on Middle Eastern oil to manufacture things to sell to the rest of the world.

日本幾乎沒有任何天然資源，所以它主要依賴中東的石油來製造產品賣給全世界。

So Japan imports a lot of oil and then it manufacture cars, machinery, electronics and and sell them to the rest of the world.

所以日本進口大量石油，然後製造汽車、機械、電子產品並賣給全世界。

So if Japan does not have resources, if there isn't enough oil flowing into Japan, the Japanese economy is going to collapse because they won't be able to sell anything to the rest of the world.

是以，如果日本沒有資源，如果沒有足夠的石油流入日本，日本經濟就會崩潰，因為他們將無法賣任何東西給全世界。

Without oil you don't have or you cannot possibly produce anything.

沒有石油，你就什麼都生產不出來。

Which is why the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is an existential threat to the Japanese economy.

這也是為什麼荷姆茲海峽關閉對日本經濟是個生存威脅。

The second way that Japan helped the United States to have the global reserve currency and is because Japan is an export driven economy.

日本幫助美國成為全球儲備貨幣的第二個方式，是因為日本是個出口導向的經濟體。

They have pretty much a surplus with most of the world and they sell their goods exclusively also in US dollar.

他們對世界上大多數國家都有貿易順差，而且他們也只接受美元來賣他們的商品。

So when you have Japan, that literally builds some of the best technologies in the world, they build some of the best cars in the world.

所以當你看到日本，他們生產世界上最頂尖的科技，生產世界上最好的汽車。

And if you want to buy Toyotas from Japan, you might have to buy US Dollars because Japan is only going to accept US Dollars.

如果你想買日本的 Toyota，你可能得先買美元，因為日本只接受美元。

Lately they've been accepting different currencies as well.

最近他們也開始接受其他貨幣了。

But if you go back to 1960s, 70s and 80s and they only accepted the US dollar, which is why when you want Japanese goods, you have to buy US Dollars, which is why the world kept buying US Dollars and that demand for the US Dollars kept the dollar as the global reserve currency.

但如果你回到 1960、70、80 年代，他們只接受美元，這就是為什麼你想買日本商品，就得買美元，這也是為什麼全世界不斷購買美元，而美元的需求也讓它持續成為全球儲備貨幣。

So you can see that Japan is an important part of the US Economy.

所以你可以看到，日本是美國經濟的重要組成部分。

Without Japan, the US Dollar less likely to be the global reserve currency, which is why United States is interested to protect Japan, which is why there are dozens of thousands of the US Military personnel in Japan to protect Japan from any threats.

所以如果沒有日本，美元就不太可能成為全球儲備貨幣，這也是為什麼美國會想保護日本，這也是為什麼有數萬名美國軍隊駐守在日本，以保護日本免受任何威脅。

In fact, that is also the main reason why Japan has so much trade surplus with the United States.

事實上，這也是日本與美國貿易順差這麼大的主要原因。

So Donald Trump made this claim that we are buying from Japan far more than Japan is buying from us.

所以川普就說了，我們從日本買的東西遠比日本從我們這裡買的還多。

But that is basically the strategy that is beneficial for the United States because Japan is selling far, far more in the United States than they're buying from the United States.

但這基本上是美國有利的策略，因為日本賣到美國的產品遠遠多於他們從美國買的。

They're getting dollars out of the United States and they need those dollars to buy oil from Middle East.

他們從美國賺取美元，而他們需要這些美元來購買中東的石油。

But you cannot possibly instantly just keep a lot of dollars in your bank account.

但你不可能馬上就在銀行帳戶裡存一大堆美元。

You are going to keep a lot of US Treasuries, which is how Japan ended as the largest foreign holder of US Debts.

你會持有大量的美國國債，這就是日本最終成為美國債務最大外國持有者的原因。

So if the war is going to continue, then Japan cannot possibly use these U.S.

所以如果戰爭持續下去，日本就不可能用這些美國國債來購買中東的石油。

而這只是因為石油不可能從中東運到日本。

And simply because that oil cannot possibly move away from Middle east to Japan.

So what do you think Japan is going to do with $1.3 trillion of US treasuries they have?

那你覺得日本會怎麼處理他們手上的 1.3 兆美元美國國債呢？

They will be buying oil from the United States.

They cannot get the Iranian oil because it is under sanction.

他們不可能買到伊朗的石油，因為伊朗受到制裁。

They cannot get the Middle Eastern oil because it cannot possibly just get to Japan.

他們也不可能買到中東的石油，因為石油根本不可能運到日本。

They cannot buy Russian oil because Russia is also under sanctions.

他們也不能買俄羅斯的石油，因為俄羅斯也受到制裁。

So the only option that is left for Japan is to buy American energy.

所以日本唯一的選擇就是購買美國的能源。

Now, when Japan is going to buy American energy, then there is no more purpose or a reason for Japan to hold $1.3 trillion of U.S.

那麼，當日本要購買美國能源時，日本就沒有理由再持有那 1.3 兆美元的美國國債了。

treasuries because they kept these Treasuries to be able to buy oil from Middle East.

因為他們持有這些國債，原本是為了能從中東購買石油。

But now they will simply be directly buying oil from the United States, which means that there is no more interest for Japan to hold so much U.S.

但現在他們將直接從美國購買石油，這表示日本沒有理由再持有這麼多美國國債了。

treasuries since these dollars will directly be exchanged for oil.

Which is why from now onwards, Japan will no longer be buying as much as US Treasuries as they did in the past, unless the United States will force Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz.

這就是為什麼從現在起，日本將不再像過去那樣購買美國國債，除非美國強迫伊朗開放荷姆茲海峽。

So Japan will be selling their US Treasuries not because Japan want to do that and to crush the US Economy, but

所以日本將會賣出他們持有的美國國債，這並非日本想要這麼做來打擊美國經濟，而是

rather Donald Trump has put Japan in a position where they have no other option but to do that because they need to import energy from for their country to survive.

而是因為川普讓日本別無選擇，只能這麼做，因為他們需要進口能源來維持國家的生存。

The second problem is the military problem.

So Japan entirely relies on the United States for protection.

所以日本完全依賴美國的保護。

There are dozens of thousands of US Military personnel to protect Japan.

有數萬名美軍人員駐守以保護日本。

But now the United States is moving away military personnel out of Japan to Middle east because United States is facing a shortage of soldiers in Middle East.

但現在美國正將駐日美軍調往中東，因為美國在中東面臨兵力短缺。

They told us first that this war is simply going to be a few air strikes, which is why the United States did not consult Japan and the United States does not consult European countries and just started this war.

他們一開始告訴我們，這場戰爭只會是幾次空襲，這就是為什麼美國沒有諮詢日本，也沒有諮詢歐洲國家，就發動了這場戰爭。

But now we know that this war is going to be dragged.

但現在我們知道這場戰爭將會拖延下去。

Most likely the United States is going to deploy troops on the ground.

Now, when this war started, I told you this is going to happen.

其實，這場戰爭一開始，我就告訴過大家會這樣。

And some of you in the comments told me, no, the United States will not send troops.

當時有些網友在留言區告訴我，美國不會派兵。

But now Pentagon has requested extra $200 billion against the war with Iran.

但現在五角大廈要求額外 2000 億美元來應對與伊朗的戰爭。

And why would you ask so much money if you are not planning on or if you're planning to stop this war in the foreseeable future?

如果你不是計畫在可預見的未來停止這場戰爭，為何會要求這麼多錢？

So after the $200 billion, when they will deploy some troops into the ground, they will need far more money.

所以在 2000 億美元之後，當他們派遣地面部隊時，將需要更多資金。

And the Congress will be forced to provide Pentagon because you have started this war.

而國會將被迫撥款給五角大廈，因為是你們發動了這場戰爭。

And if you don't finish this war, it is going to be the end of American empire.

如果你們不結束這場戰爭，這將是美國帝國的終結。

And that's how this war is going to turn into another forever war.

這就是這場戰爭將會變成另一場永無止境的戰爭的方式。

And until this war continues, the Strait of Hormuz is going to be closed.

而且只要這場戰爭持續下去，荷姆茲海峽就會關閉。

So Japan will have to build its own military.

所以日本將不得不建立自己的軍隊。

Since then, there is no one else will be there to protect them because the United States.

從那時起，就沒有其他人會在那裡保護他們了，因為美國。

If the US Cannot possibly protect the Strait of Hormuz, how can the United States protect Japan from China, for example?

如果美國根本無法保護荷姆茲海峽，那美國又怎麼能保護日本免受中國的侵害呢？

And that means that Japan will no longer be relying on the US Military.

這意味著日本將不再依賴美國軍隊。

So Japan will be using all the extra cash they have to build their own military now.

所以日本現在將會動用所有額外的現金來建立自己的軍隊。

But here is the biggest problem out of all the problems that we have discussed today.

但這也是我們今天討論的所有問題中最大的問題。

So over the last 40 years, Japan had deflation since the United States crashed the Japanese economy, when you have deflation, that means that prices falling down.

所以過去 40 年來，日本一直處於通貨緊縮，因為美國摧毀了日本經濟，當你處於通貨緊縮時，這意味著物價下跌。

Then the cost of borrowing money is extremely cheap, if almost zero.

那麼借錢的成本就會非常便宜，幾乎是零。

So the central bank in Japan has kept interest rates at almost 0% for the last 30 years.

所以日本央行過去 30 年來一直將利率維持在接近 0%。

So you could theoretically borrow money from the Japanese bank at 0% interest rate or 0.5%, 5% in interest rate and buy the U.S.

所以你理論上可以從日本銀行借到 0% 或 0.5% 的利率，甚至 5% 的利率，然後去買美國的

treasuries that pay you, for example, 3% in interest rates or in yields.

公債，它會給你 3% 的利息或報酬。

Suddenly, you're borrowing money from one country and investing in another country.

這樣你就變成從一個國家借錢，然後投資到另一個國家。

And you're primarily investing in the US Treasuries that are guaranteeing investment.

而且你主要投資的是美國公債，它保證了你的投資。

And you're pocketing the difference, which is 2.5 to 3% in yields.

你就能賺取中間的差價，也就是 2.5% 到 3% 的報酬。

And that's how the United States borrowed trillions of dollars over the last 30 years.

這也是美國過去 30 年來借到數兆美元的方式。

Because investors, or primarily WA street or even Japanese firms could simply borrow money from Japan and buy U.S.

因為投資人，或者主要是華爾街，甚至是日本的公司，都可以直接從日本借錢然後買美國的

debts because there was a huge difference in interest rates.

債務，因為兩者的利率差距非常大。