Name: 臺灣民眾注意！戰爭經濟時代來臨，你準備好了嗎？ (Everyone should be getting ready for a War Time Economy)
Uploaded: 2026-03-19T18:04:21.000Z
Duration: 17 min 54 s

There is something strange happening in the economy.

We haven't seen anything like that since at least 1945.

至少從 1945 年以來，我們就沒見過這種情況。

現在進行式

Every economy today is turning into a wartime economy, especially the US economy.

現在每個經濟體都正在轉變成戰時經濟，尤其是美國經濟。

And that means that prices will rise and wages are going to stagnate.

這意味著物價會上漲，薪資也會停滯。

Basically, you are going to work a lot harder.

基本上，你會需要更努力地工作。

But since prices will be rising faster than ever, your quality of life is going to deteriorate.

但由於物價上漲的速度前所未見，你的生活品質也會下降。

And that's not simply going to happen for a few months or for a few years.

而且這不會只發生幾個月或幾年。

It could literally happen throughout the next five to 10 years.

這真的可能發生在接下來的五年到十年。

I know that most people are not telling you, but

我知道大多數人沒有告訴你，但是

if you literally just zoom out and take a look at the US economy or the British economy or the European economy, you will see that every single economy is turning into a wartime economy.

如果你真的縮小視野，看看美國經濟、英國經濟或歐洲經濟，你會發現每個經濟體都正在轉變成戰時經濟。

So let me explain to you the difference and how it will directly impact your life.

那讓我來跟你解釋一下差別，以及這會怎麼直接影響你的生活。

First of all, when you are actually having a wartime economy, everything is done for the sake of winning, even if that means that the quality of your life is going to deteriorate.

首先，當你真的處於戰時經濟時，所有事情都為了贏而做，即使這意味著你的生活品質會下降。

We have two types of economics or two types of manufacturing.

我們有兩種經濟或兩種製造方式。

On one side you have just in time, on the other side you have just in case.

一邊是及時生產，另一邊是以防萬一。

So just in time manufacturing was developed by Toyota back in 1970.

所以及時生產是由 Toyota 在 1970 年開發的。

And the point of this manufacturing was that we have to do absolutely everything possible to eliminate waste in our manufacturing process so that we can reduce our cost, so that we can maximize our profits and lower down our prices.

這種製造方式的重點是，我們必須盡一切可能消除製造流程中的浪費，這樣我們才能降低成本，最大化利潤，並降低價格。

And if we can successfully can do that, we can offer to clients a much better product at a much lower price.

如果我們能成功做到這一點，我們就能以更低的價格提供客戶更好的產品。

And that's how we are going to conquer the market.

And that's why back in 1970s and 80s, Japanese car manufacturers such as Toyota and Honda Car completely dominated the American companies or the American market.

這就是為什麼在 1970 年代和 80 年代，像 Toyota 和 Honda Car 這樣的日本汽車製造商，完全主導了美國公司或美國市場。

U.S. automakers couldn't possibly compete with Japanese because Japanese had a very simple strategy.

美國汽車製造商根本無法與日本競爭，因為日本有一個非常簡單的策略。

It means that we are not going to have extra inventory.

這意味著我們不會有額外的庫存。

It means that we don't have to rent extra storage.

這意味著我們不必租用額外的倉儲。

It means that we are not going to have any kind of waste.

這意味著我們不會有任何浪費。

At first glance, it seems a very efficient strategy.

乍看之下，這似乎是一個非常有效的策略。

It seems like that's what you're supposed to be as a business owner.

這似乎就是你身為企業主應該採取的做法。

And unfortunately that is no longer going to be the case.

而不幸的是，情況不再是這樣了。

That strategy only worked because the question was not where are you going to manufacture that.

這個策略之所以奏效，是因為當時的問題不在於你要在哪裡製造。

The strategy was that who can actually get the best prices?

If you can actually get that piece of technology or that part of the car, or this part of electronics from the other side of the world, you are going to get it from there.

如果你真的能從世界另一端拿到那項技術、汽車零件，或是電子零件，你就會從那裡進貨。

And since the entire world is just one joint market where everybody is just competing, everybody is trying to reduce the price because at the end of the day, you as a business, you will actually buy the best product at the least possible price to maximize your profits and offer a lower price so that you can actually get most of the market.

而且因為全世界就是一個聯合市場，大家都在競爭，每個人都想降低價格，因為歸根究柢，你身為企業，一定會用最低的價格買到最好的產品，來最大化利潤並降低價格，這樣你才能搶下大部分的市場。

And that's how you're going to maximize your revenue and dominate your entire market.

這就是你將如何最大化營收並主導整個市場。

Midle is primarily focused on oil because they have a lot of oil.

中東主要專注於石油，因為他們有很多石油。

So they took all of that money, built more places where they can extract oil.

所以他們把所有的錢都拿來，蓋了更多可以開採石油的地方。

And since there is a lot of oil beneath the ground, then they have spent that money building refineries to refine that oil.

而且因為地底下有很多石油，他們就花錢蓋煉油廠來提煉這些石油。

Germany specialized in high end manufacturing because Germany has a long history of building very great technologies.

德國專精於高階製造，因為德國在打造頂尖技術上有悠久的歷史。

And if they have all of this expertise and they have built the supply chains and the industry for decades, they can do that, for example, far better than Middle Eastern countries.

如果他們擁有所有這些專業知識，並且幾十年來建立了供應鏈和產業，他們就能做到，例如，遠比中東國家做得更好。

Qatar, that discovered a lot of gas, started investing in extracting gas and building LNGs.

卡達發現了大量天然氣，開始投資開採天然氣並建造液化天然氣設施。

90% of all advanced computer chips are produced in Taiwan simply because Taiwan has actually spent hundreds of billions of dollars, probably trillions of dollars to offer the best possible price and, and

百分之九十的先進電腦晶片都在臺灣生產，原因很簡單，臺灣已經投入數千億美元，甚至數兆美元，來提供最好的價格和

So when you buy an Nvidia's computer chips to train your AI, those Nvidia's computer chips are being manufactured in Taiwan because only Taiwan can offer that.

所以當你購買輝達（Nvidia）的電腦晶片來訓練你的 AI 時，那些輝達的電腦晶片就是在臺灣製造的，因為只有臺灣能提供。

There are literally not many other companies that can do that.

真的沒有太多其他公司能做到這一點。

And the best example is the US Oil industry.

最好的例子就是美國的石油產業。

If you look at the United States, the United States is the world's largest oil producer.

如果你看看美國，美國是世界上最大的石油生產國。

Why would the United States buy so much oil from Canada?

為什麼美國要從加拿大買這麼多石油？

The United States has a lot of refineries that can refine heavy oil, but

美國有很多煉油廠可以提煉重油，但是

the United States has a lot of light oil.

On the other side, Canada has a lot of harsh oil or hard oil.

另一方面，加拿大有很多重油或硬油。

So it doesn't actually mix for the United States any kind of sense to refine that light oil in the United States when you can actually use US Refineries to refine the harsh oil from Canada.

所以，當美國煉油廠其實可以用來提煉加拿大的重油時，在美國提煉這些輕質油對美國來說其實沒有什麼意義。

So the United States imports a lot of harsh or hard oil from Canada.

所以美國從加拿大進口很多重油或硬油。

Well, it exports that light oil to countries that have refineries of light oil.

嗯，它把輕質油出口到有輕質油煉油廠的國家。

So at the end of the day, if you literally just zoom out, the entire world is just one joint market and we're maximizing our efficiency.

所以說到底，如果你真的縮小視野來看，整個世界就是一個聯合市場，我們正在最大化我們的效率。

Everybody's trying to get the lowest possible price.

Now that is beneficial for you because at the end of the day you are the client, you are getting the final product.

這對你來說是件好事，因為說到底，你就是客戶，你拿到最終產品。

So you are getting lower oil prices, you are getting lower electronics prices, you are getting lower car prices because of the just in time strategy.

所以你因為及時生產策略，油價更便宜、電子產品更便宜、汽車也更便宜。

Because the world was one giant globalized market.

因為全世界就是一個巨大的全球化市場。

But for this system to work, global shipping routes must be protected.

但這個系統要順利運作，全球的貨運航線就必須受到保護。

Since one thing is going from China to Japan, then from Japan to India, from India to Middle east, from Middle east into the United States.

因為東西會從中國運到日本，再從日本運到印度，從印度到中東，再從中東進入美國。

Somebody should protect these shipping routes.

And the United States Navy was the guarantor of that.

而美國海軍就是這個的保證者。

But if you want the US Navy to protect those shipping lines, then there is one condition.

但如果你希望美國海軍保護這些航線，那就有一個條件。

The more the world uses the US Dollars, the more money goes into the US Government, the more the US Government can invest in the US Navy.

全世界越常使用美元，就有越多錢進入美國政府，美國政府就能投入更多資金在美國海軍上。

So that system was working perfectly for the entire world.

所以這個系統對全世界來說都運作得很完美。

And that's why, for example, countries such as Japan and China want to integrate in the US System and are ready to trade with the United States, even though that the United States is abusing the system by printing way more dollars than it's supposed to.

這也是為什麼，像是日本和中國這樣的國家，會想要整合進美國的系統，並且準備好跟美國貿易，儘管美國濫用了這個系統，印了比應有數量多得多的美元。

Now we are moving into a completely different strategy that is called just in case strategy.

現在我們要進入一個完全不同的策略，叫做「以防萬一」策略。

Now the difference is that now it's not about offering the best possible price for the market or for you, but

現在的差別是，現在的重點不是為市場或為你提供最好的價格，而是

rather just in case we need this because there might be a war.

而是以防萬一我們需要這個，因為可能會發生戰爭。

So if you are manufacturing your iPhones in China, don't do that.

所以如果你在中國製造你的 iPhone，那就別這麼做。

Because what if China cuts trade with us?

因為如果中國跟我們斷絕貿易怎麼辦？

So bring your manufacturing to the United States.

The priority is that we are going to have autonomy.

It means that our iPhones manufactured in the United States, computer chips manufactured in the United States, oil is only refined in the United States because we don't trust the rest of the world.

這代表我們在美國製造的 iPhone、在美國製造的電腦晶片、石油只在美國煉油，因為我們不信任其他國家。

Now at first it seems very noble idea, but

一開始聽起來是個很崇高的想法，但是

if you just zoom for a moment and think about it, you will kind of realize that it is going to raise prices for you.

你只要稍微縮小視野想一下，就會發現這會讓你的開銷變高。

Because if every single country is going to do that, which is what every single country is trying to do right now, that means that prices all across the globe will start rising.

因為如果每個國家都這麼做，而這也正是每個國家現在都在努力做的，那就代表全球的價格都會開始上漲。

And guess who is going to suffer the most?

So everything should be manufactured at home, regardless of the price.

所以所有東西都應該在家裡製造，不管價格如何。

United States pretty much imports like 99% of all the bananas that are sold in the United States.

美國幾乎百分之九十九的香蕉都是進口的。

Is it possible for the United States to not manufacture but grow bananas in the U.S.

美國有沒有可能不在美國境內製造，而是在美國種植香蕉？

Just one problem is that it is just very, very expensive.

唯一的問題就是，這會非常非常貴。

So if you can actually get it from the countries where bananas naturally grow, because they're just located geographically in places where bananas naturally grow, you can, for example, get it for $1.

所以如果你能從香蕉自然生長的地方進口，因為地理位置的關係，香蕉本來就在那裡生長，你可能只需要花一塊錢。

You can do that in the US but there must be extra investments.

你可以在美國這樣做，但必須要有額外的投資。

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臺灣民眾注意！戰爭經濟時代來臨，你準備好了嗎？ (Everyone should be getting ready for a War Time Economy)

literally

entire

strategy

basically