Name: 伊朗 VS. 經濟：恩滕揭曉美國人更在意什麼！ (Iran vs. economy: Enten reveals what Americans care about more)
Uploaded: 2026-03-16T16:45:19.000Z
Duration: 8 min 33 s

這場戰爭對美國人來說是怎樣的？

Is the war helping or hurting the president politically?

這場戰爭對總統的政治聲望是加分還是減分？

CNN's chief data analyst Harry Enton here with us to give us the details.

CNN 的 chief data analyst Harry Enton 在這裡為我們提供細節。

There is a lot that's been going on with Iran, a lot of Americans paying attention to that.

伊朗那邊發生了很多事，很多美國人都在關注。

We have had, you know, members of the military killed.

Yeah, you know, there's been a lot that's been going on over the past few weeks, but

對啊，你知道，過去幾週發生了很多事，

so far there's kind of been a little bit of a collective shrug from the American public.

但到目前為止，美國民眾似乎有點事不關己。

Americans who say they care about a lot about the Iranian situation, look at this.

美國人說他們很關心伊朗局勢，看看這個。

Just 45% of Americans say they care a lot about the situation going on in Iran.

只有 45% 的美國人說他們非常關心伊朗發生的事。

economy, which of course is the number one issue right now in this country.

經濟，這當然是這個國家目前最重要的議題。

And this 45% number, only about half that.

而這個 45% 的數字，只有一半左右。

So despite all the hubbub, right now we're talking about less than a majority of Americans who say they care a lot about what's going on in Iran right now.

所以儘管有這麼大的騷動，但現在我們談論的是，不到半數的美國人表示他們非常關心伊朗現在發生的事。

But the war in Iran does affect the US Economy.

但伊朗的戰爭確實會影響 US Economy。

That's going to be the question going forward.

So going forward, we'll have to see what happens with the war and how it affects gas prices, et cetera, et cetera.

所以未來，我們得看看戰爭會如何發展，以及它如何影響汽油價格等等。

So is interest starting to rise or is it kind of just falling off?

所以利率是開始上升，還是就這樣下跌了？

Yeah, this to me, again, just such an interesting number because we have this 45%.

是的，這對我來說，又是一個非常有趣的數字，因為我們有這個 45%。

But take a look at Google searches right now because it just sort of reinforces that point.

不過我們現在來看看 Google 搜尋的趨勢，這正好呼應了剛才說的。

Americans, Google searches for Iran, look at this, down, down 84% versus February 28th, when of course, the current war started in Iran.

美國人對伊朗的 Google 搜尋量，你看，比 2 月 28 日，也就是伊朗目前戰爭開始的時候，下降了 84%。

And if you look back on Sunday, you look back yesterday, searches for the Academy Awards significantly higher, talking about three, four times as high as searches for Iran in the United States of America.

如果你回頭看星期天，回頭看昨天，搜尋奧斯卡金像獎的熱度，比搜尋美國的伊朗新聞，高出三到四倍。

So at this point, outside of the situation in Iran, perhaps affecting the US Economy, which of course is the number one issue, is what Americans are focusing on.

所以目前來看，除了伊朗局勢可能影響美國經濟之外，而這當然是頭號議題，美國人關注的焦點是什麼。

I'm just not thinking that this is necessarily going to be the big political mover and shaker that you might expect, given that this has kind of been a pretty gosh darn big deal, at least globally speaking.

我只是覺得，這不一定會像你預期的那樣，成為一個重大的政治推手，畢竟這在全球範圍內，算是一個非常、非常大的事情了。

So then, taking a look at what's happened with the President and whether his popularity has changed at all.

那麼，我們來看看總統的狀況，以及他的聲望有沒有任何改變。

Which is perhaps it's not so much of a surprise when just 45% of Americans say they care a lot about the Iranian situation, that the president's overall approval rating is the same.

或許這並不令人意外，因為只有 45% 的美國人表示他們非常關心伊朗局勢，總統的整體支持率也沒變。

It was 41% before the current war in Iran started and it is 41% now.

在目前伊朗戰爭開始前是 41%，現在也是 41%。

So despite again, all the hubbub, despite all the critics of the President of the United States, all what we are seeing right now is a president whose approval rating is steady and this is not, has not been a big deal politically, electorally speaking.

所以儘管有各種喧囂，儘管有美國總統的批評者，我們現在看到的是一位支持率穩定的總統，這在政治上、選舉上都不是什麼大事。

Obviously, as gas prices climb higher, if all of a sudden prices in other parts of the economy also climb higher, perhaps you'll see this number begin to shift.

顯然，隨著油價不斷上漲，如果經濟其他部分的價格也突然上漲，你可能會看到這個數字開始變化。

But at this point, this has been politically a big ball of nothing.

但 at this point，這在政治上根本沒什麼大不了的。

Kevin Hassett, he's the director of the National Economic Council and Chris Wright, Energy Secretary, they were asked all weekend, what does this mean?

Kevin Hassett，他是 National Economic Council 的主任，還有 Energy Secretary Chris Wright，他們整個週末都在被問，這意味著什麼？

What does this mean for the global economy?

Because of course, we are quickly all being reminded that it is not just about oil.

因為當然，我們很快就會被提醒，這不只是關於石油。

We expect that the global economy is going to have a big positive shock as soon as this is over.

我們預期，一旦這件事結束，全球經濟將會迎來一個重大的正面衝擊。

And we're still being briefed that it would be four to six weeks from the beginning and that we're ahead of schedule.

我們也持續收到簡報，說從開始到現在是四到六週，而且我們還超前進度。

This is short term pain and to get through to a much better place.

這是短期的陣痛，是為了要度過到一個更好的階段。

I think that this conflict will certainly come to the end in the next few weeks.

我認為這場衝突在接下來幾週內肯定會結束。

the conflict will come to the end in the next few weeks and we'll see a rebound in supplies and a pushing down of prices after that.

衝突會在接下來幾週內結束，之後我們會看到供應反彈，價格也會隨之下跌。

Okay, so that's the word from the news sets.

好的，這就是新聞報導的說法。

I'm going to play the street pundits for you.

我接下來要為你播放街頭專家的說法。

Here's the word of what people are saying online.

Come with me to get the cheapest gas in Houston right now and I'm willing to make the drive because these gas prices are out of line right now.

跟我一起去加全德州最便宜的汽油，我願意開車去，因為現在的油價真的太離譜了。

I'm not liking where it's going right now because 40.

我不太喜歡現在的走向，因為 40。

I haven't seen 40, bro, since like when Biden was in office years ago.

我上次看到 40 塊，兄弟，大概是拜登剛上任那時候吧。

I've already spent $40 and I'm not full $73.

我已經花了 40 塊了，但還沒加滿，73 塊。

People aren't treating it like short term pain.

大家不把這當成短暫的陣痛期。

And actually in a different interview over the weekend, Chris Wright was Asked if he thought that it would get down gallon before the busy summer travel season.

And he stressed that there are no guarantees in war.

So even as they're saying, listen, we're expecting four to six weeks here, we're ahead of schedule, they don't want to make those promises to the American people as well.

I mean, this is still an open ended conflict that the President is saying will end when he feels it deep in his bones, which is something that has come under great criticism over the weekend as well, because there's still this question, I think, particularly from Democrats, Democrats on Capitol Hill about what are the objectives and when exactly will they be met.

It was interesting to see that kind of timeline someone putting out there even in the line of questioning.

而且其實在週末的另一個訪談中，Chris Wright 被問到，他認為在繁忙的夏季旅遊季之前，油價會不會降到一加侖幾塊錢。

This is not a situation where it's going to abide by the holiday season.

所以即使他們說，聽著，我們預期在這裡會花四到六週，我們進度超前，他們也不想對美國民眾做出這些承諾。

You had domestic politicians like former Republican Governor Chris Sununu speaking in these terms.

我的意思是，這仍然是一場沒有明確結局的衝突，總統說這場衝突會在他的感覺深切時結束，這點週末也受到了嚴厲批評，因為我認為，特別是來自國會山莊的民主黨人，仍然有個問題，那就是目標是什麼，以及確切何時能達成。

看到有人提出這樣的時間表，甚至在提問中，還蠻有趣的。

A memorial Day is always kind of a, a marker, if you will, for where gas prices are going to be set for the rest of the summer.

陣亡將士紀念日總是個指標，如果你願意這麼說的話，它決定了夏季剩餘時間的油價。

If he can, you know, have this large military onslaught that can somehow secure the Strait of Hormuz either with regime change or militarily sometime in the next 45 days, then absolutely it doesn't really become a political piece of the puzzle come November.

如果他能在接下來的 45 天內，發動大規模軍事攻勢，藉由政權更迭或軍事手段來確保荷姆茲海峽的安全，那麼到了 11 月，這就真的不會成為政治上的難題了。

I mean, he makes it sound like there was some kind of plan that nobody knew about that, you know, oh, it's going to be done in this number of days.

我的意思是，他講得好像有個大家不知道的計畫，你知道嗎，哦，這會在多少天內完成。

That seems to be pretty clearly wishful thinking at this point.

It's interesting to me that now the is having to ask for the help of other countries.

讓我覺得有趣的是，現在美國竟然要尋求其他國家的幫助。

I mean, usually in this kind of action, American presidents before this would go build an international coalition before going in.

我的意思是，通常在這類行動中，美國總統以前都會先建立一個國際聯盟，然後再採取行動。

And now the Trump administration, which has made such a big point of doing anything it wants to, you know, at all, is now having to go ask for help.

而現在的川普政府，一直以來都強調想做什麼就做什麼，現在卻不得不去尋求幫助。

And I think the interesting element of that having to ask for help is something that everybody should be paying.

我認為，不得不尋求幫助的這個有趣點，是每個人都應該關注的。

And whether there are levers with our US allies or there used to be, given the tenseness of the last year, and

還有，由於過去一年的緊張局勢，我們的美國盟友是否還有影響力，或者曾經有過，

I can sympathize, sympathize with all of those videos.

我能感同身受，感同身受所有那些影片。

It was $4.34 a gallon for me to fill up this weekend.

這個週末我加滿油花了 4.34 美元。

And I haven't seen that price in weeks, months.

我已經好幾個星期、好幾個月沒看到這個價格了。

You know, you started to get used to the under four dollar a gallon gas.

你知道，你已經習慣了每加侖不到 4 美元的油價。

And that's not only going to affect Memorial Day.

這不只會影響到陣亡將士紀念日。

We've got spring break travel coming up, then the start of the summer.

我們還有春假旅遊要來，接著就是夏天的開始。

And if people really feel it in their pocketbook, it'll go not only that, it'll go just trickling effects like house prices that were cease feeling like something that is far away.

如果人們真的在荷包上感受到影響，這不只會這樣，還會像房價一樣產生涓滴效應，感覺像是遙不可及的東西。

Gas prices as you know Rahm, are now almost 80 cents higher than they were just a month or so ago.

你知道的 Rahm，現在的油價比大約一個月前高了將近 80 美分。

At this point, how much is this weighing in on the Trump administration as it continues this war?

在這個時候，這對川普政府在持續這場戰爭的同時，有多大的影響？

Well, I've described it and I think you should think of it as a 24 second shot clock.

嗯，我已經形容過了，而且我認為你應該把它想成是 24 秒的進攻時間。