Name: 1929年大蕭條將是小巫見大巫！你準備好迎接這場更嚴峻的危機了嗎？！ (Everyone Should Be Preparing for a Crisis That Will be Much Worse Than 1929 Depression)
Uploaded: 2026-03-12T18:06:04.000Z
Duration: 19 min 5 s

The US Iran war is going to trigger the largest crisis in the history of the United States.

美國伊朗戰爭將會引發美國史上最大的危機。

This crisis is going to be a lot worse than the 2008 Great Recession.

這場危機的嚴重程度會比 2008 年的大衰退還要嚴重許多。

It will be far worse than the 1929 Great Depression.

它會比 1929 年的大蕭條還要糟糕得多。

It might seem like I'm fear mongering, but just look at the numbers and you will be convinced.

聽起來我可能像是在散播恐懼，但只要看看數字，你就會相信。

So here in this video, I'm gonna just try to show you all the numbers so that you can make up your own conclusions.

所以在這個影片裡，我會試著把所有數字都呈現給大家看，讓你們自己下結論。

If you look at the US economy, it is still at the top of the game.

如果你看看美國經濟，它仍然是頂尖的。

它仍然是世界上最大的經濟體。

And the US GDP is literally 26% of the global GDP.

美國的 GDP 佔全球 GDP 的比例高達 26%。

The US dollar is still the global reserve currency and it represents 60% of all reserve currencies.

美元仍然是全球儲備貨幣，佔所有儲備貨幣的 60%。

And the US military is the most powerful military in the world.

而美軍是世界上最強大的軍隊。

And by looking at all these numbers, it might seem like what exactly are you talking about?

看看這些數字，你可能會想，到底在說什麼？

The United States can always print its way out of a crisis, especially when the United States borrows money in US Dollars in its own local currency.

美國總是可以透過印鈔來解決危機，尤其是在美國以自己的在地貨幣，也就是美元借錢的時候。

So the United States cannot possibly ever go broke.

And the United States can always raise trillions of dollars to get out of any crisis.

美國總是可以籌出數兆美元來度過任何危機。

Just like it was back in 2008, just like it was in 2020 and 2021.

就像 2008 年那樣，就像 2020 和 2021 年那樣。

But here is the biggest problem that the US has right now.

但這就是美國現在面臨的最大問題。

So the national debt is about to cross $40 trillion.

And this is happening a lot sooner than I expected.

這件事發生的速度比我預期的快很多。

Now the national debt has always been a problem, but

國債一直以來都是個問題，但是

I was thinking that we still have a lot of time for the national debt to get out of problem.

我原本以為我們還有很多時間來解決國債問題。

So it might have happened in 10, 15 or maybe even 20 years later, but

所以這可能發生在十年、十五年，甚至二十年後，

it seems like the war against Iran is going to accelerate that number and it's going to be a lot faster.

但看起來對伊朗的戰爭會加速這個數字，而且會快很多。

So if you look at the US budget, there are three main type of spending the government has.

所以如果你看看美國預算，政府有三種主要的支出。

First of all, these are the social programs.

So this is the money that the government spends to build the basic infrastructure, to build schools, hospitals and just maintain the country.

所以這些是政府用來建造基礎設施、學校、醫院，以及維持國家運作的錢。

This is also the money that the government spends to pay you Social Security.

這也是政府用來支付你社會安全金的錢。

It is the money that the government pays for Medicare.

So this is the money that the government spends on securing that Americans have good, good prosperous lives.

所以這些是政府花在確保美國人過著美好、繁榮生活的錢。

The second type of major spending is the military spending.

第二種主要的支出是軍事支出。

And this is probably the most important spending out of all because without a proper military, you're not going to have the world's largest economy.

這可能是所有支出中最重要的一項，因為沒有強大的軍隊，你就不會有世界最大的經濟體。

The US Military literally patrols the global seas.

美軍字面上的意思就是在全球海域巡邏。

It controls the global trade and that allows the United States to have the world's largest economy and the global reserve currency.

它掌控了全球貿易，這也讓美國擁有世界最大的經濟體和全球儲備貨幣。

It is all because the US Military is by, by far the greatest military in the history of humanity.

這一切都是因為美軍是，是迄今為止人類歷史上最偉大的軍隊。

And the third type of spending are interest payments.

So the US Government borrows a lot of money and it spends it to grow the economy or finance the military.

所以美國政府借了很多錢，然後花錢來發展經濟或資助軍隊。

So that's why you pay an interest every time you borrow money.

這就是為什麼你每次借錢都要支付利息。

So if you go right now and get yourself a mortgage, there are mortgage payments or the interest payments on that mortgage.

所以如果你現在去辦個房貸，就會有房貸的還款，也就是房貸的利息支付。

If you have a credit card, you're paying monthly interest payments, payments on your credit card.

如果你有信用卡，你每個月都在付信用卡利息，也就是信用卡上的支付款項。

And the United States is not afraid to borrow money because it has to maintain the largest military.

而美國並不害怕借錢，因為它必須維持最大的軍隊。

And maintaining the largest military keeps the US Government as the or the US Economy as the largest economy.

維持最大的軍隊能讓美國政府，或者說美國經濟，成為最大的經濟體。

And that allows the United States to offer really great social programs.

這也讓美國能夠提供非常棒的社會福利計畫。

And the spending on each of these categories determines how prosperous the United States is.

而這些類別的支出，決定了美國有多繁榮。

So this year, the government will spend about $5 trillion on social programs.

所以今年，政府將在社會福利計畫上花費大約5兆美元。

And this is great because this is the money that the government will spend on improving your life.

這很棒，因為這是政府用來改善你生活的錢。

Yes, most of that money is taken from your taxes anyways, but

沒錯，大部分的錢反正都是從你的稅收來的，但是

it's still great to feel that your taxes is being spent on you directly.

還是會覺得你的稅金是直接花在你身上的，這感覺很棒。

And the government will spend this year about $900 billion on military spending.

而政府今年將在軍事開支上花費大約9000億美元。

This is also important because without a proper military, you don't have an empire.

這也很重要，因為沒有強大的軍隊，你就沒有帝國。

And finally, the government will spend about $1.2 trillion in interest payments.

最後，政府將支付約1.2兆美元的利息。

And this is where the problem comes, because the interest payments are now going to be way larger than the military spending.

問題就出在這裡，因為現在的利息支付將遠遠超過軍事開支。

So to maintain the current debt, you have to spend far more than you're spending on the military.

所以為了維持現有的債務，你必須花費比軍事開支多得多的錢。

And the problem with this is that when you get to this situation, suddenly your debt starts to accelerate, and

問題是，當你陷入這種情況時，你的債務會突然加速，而且

every single year, your interest payments are going to rise.

And so the more you have to spend on interest payments, the less you can spend on the military and the less you can actually spend on social programs.

所以你必須花在利息上的錢越多，你就越不能花在軍事上，也越不能真正花在社會福利計畫上。

So let me ask you a very simple question.

所以讓我問你一個很簡單的問題。

As interest payments are accelerating to levels we have never seen, what do you think the US Government is going to sacrifice?

隨著利息支付加速到前所未有的水準，你認為美國政府會犧牲什麼？

Is it going to spend less on the military or is it going to spend less on social programs?

是會減少軍事開支，還是會減少社會福利計畫的開支？

Of course it is going to be the social programs.

Because if you start cutting your payments on military spending, let's say you spend a lot less on the military, you're no longer going to have a reserve currency, which means that you cannot possibly sustain the debt.

因為如果你開始削減軍事開支，假設你大幅減少軍事支出，你就無法再保有儲備貨幣的地位，這意味著你根本無法維持債務。

So this is literally the problem the US Government is facing right now.

所以這就是美國政府現在面臨的真實困境。

The national debt has always been a problem because sooner or later the interest payments will be exponentially higher.

國債一直都是個問題，因為遲早利息支付會呈指數級增長。

But now the Iran war is simply accelerating that.

但現在伊朗戰爭只是加速了這個情況。

And maybe in a couple of years from now, which is literally a year from now or two, the interest payments will be so massive that the government will have to make a choice where are we going to cut the spending?

也許幾年後，也就是一年或兩年後，利息支付將會非常龐大，政府必須做出選擇，我們要削減哪方面的開支？

Obviously it's not going to be the military, because without the military you don't have the global reserve currency.

顯然不會是軍事開支，因為沒有軍隊，就沒有全球儲備貨幣。

So suddenly they will start cutting payments on social programs.

所以他們會突然開始削減社會福利計畫的開支。

Which is why you have to prepare that the lives of the average American is going to get a lot worse than it's right now.

這就是為什麼你必須做好準備，一般美國人的生活將會比現在更艱難。

And this is the trap that the government has got itself into.

So if you spend more on the military, let's say that we decided that we're going to spend a lot less on the social programs and we'll spend more on the military because without the military we, we don't have the reserve currency.

所以如果我們增加軍事開支，假設我們決定要大幅削減社會福利計畫的開支，然後增加軍事開支，因為沒有軍隊，我們就沒有儲備貨幣。

And the reserve currency is important to maintain the debt.

而儲備貨幣對於維持國債非常重要。

So we are going to spend a lot more on the military.

所以我們將會大幅增加軍事開支。

We're going to sacrifice all social programs, but

我們將犧牲所有的社會福利計畫，但是

that means a lot more debt because the money we're spending on the military right now is coming from debt.

這意味著國債會大幅增加，因為我們現在花在軍事上的錢是來自於債務。

But if you are getting more debt, that means that you're going to have more interest payments on that debt.

但如果你們的債務增加，這意味著你們將為這些債務支付更多的利息。

And that means that there is going to be a lot less spending on social programs and less spending on you.

這也意味著社會福利計畫的開支會減少，你們的開支也會減少。

So basically we've got our stuff into this trap right now that every single year from now onwards, less money will be spent on you, more money will be spent on the military, that will increase interest payments, which is going to result on less money spending on people.

所以基本上，我們現在陷入了一個困境，從今以後的每一年，你們的開支都會減少，軍事開支會增加，這會導致利息支付增加，進而造成人民的開支減少。

And that is the biggest trap the US Government has trapped itself into.

這就是美國政府自己陷入的最大困境。

What if the US Government simply stops spending on the military?

如果美國政府乾脆停止軍事開支呢？

I mean we have a trillion dollar military.

我的意思是，我們有兆級美元的軍事預算。

We can simply stop doing that and start taking care of the average people, of the average American.

我們可以乾脆停止這樣做，轉而照顧一般民眾，照顧一般的美國人。

Unfortunately that is not an option the US Government can possibly take right now.

不幸的是，這不是美國政府現在可能採取的選項。

This is by far going to have the most devastating impact on the U.S. government and the U.S.

這將對美國政府、美國經濟以及你們的生活產生最毀滅性的影響，這也是為什麼美軍無所不在。

economy and your life on overall why the U.S. military is everywhere.

美國在全球各地大約有八百到九百個軍事基地。

The United States has about 800 or 900 military bases all across the globe.

這讓美國能夠為全世界提供全球性的保護。

And that allows the United States to provide this global protection for the world.

Because if you want to do business in this global economy, you have to do it on the US Terms.

因為如果你想在這個全球經濟體系做生意，你必須按照美國的規則來。

And The US Terms means that you're going to use the dollar as the global reserve currency and as the currency to do trade.

而美國的規則，就是你必須使用美元作為全球儲備貨幣，以及進行貿易的貨幣。

So everything is being sold in US Dollars.

所以所有東西都是用美元計價販售的。

So Middle Eastern countries sell their oil in US Dollars.

所以中東國家用美元來賣他們的石油。

Other nations are using the dollar because everybody knows that the global economy is protected by the US Government.

其他國家也在使用美元，因為大家都知道全球經濟受到美國政府的保護。

And that means that when there is demand for US dollar, there is demand for the US Debt, which means that that debt is sustainable.

這意味著，當美元有需求時，美國國債也會有需求，這表示這些債務是可以持續的。

That is why having a large military is right now is not like a choice for the US Government, but

這就是為什麼擁有龐大的軍隊，對美國政府來說，現在不是一個選項，而是

rather it is a necessity to keep the US Debt sustainable.

一種維持美國國債可持續性的必要手段。

If we reverse this situation and suddenly there is no more demand for the US Debt because there is no more US Military across the globe, yields are going to rise.

如果我們逆轉這種情況，突然間因為全球各地沒有美軍了，對美國國債的需求也消失了，利率就會飆升。

所以每一筆債務都有一個利率。

字幕列表影片播放

1929年大蕭條將是小巫見大巫！你準備好迎接這場更嚴峻的危機了嗎？！ (Everyone Should Be Preparing for a Crisis That Will be Much Worse Than 1929 Depression)

literally

strategy

basically

crisis