Name: 川普離攻擊伊朗還有多近？| BBC News (How close is Trump to attacking Iran? | BBC News)
Uploaded: 2026-02-21T22:02:21.000Z
Duration: 8 min 18 s

Welcome to the global News Podcast on YouTube where we go behind the headlines.

歡迎來到 YouTube 的全球新聞 Podcast，在這裡我們深入探討新聞背後的故事。

Today we're looking at the rapid buildup of US Warships within striking distance of Iran as Donald Trump threatens to attack if Tehran does not do a deal within 10 days.

今天我們要看的是美國軍艦快速集結，逼近伊朗打擊範圍，因為唐納·川普威脅說，如果德黑蘭不在十天內達成協議，就要發動攻擊。

We're joined by Merlin Thomas from BBCVerify.

我們請到 BBCVerify 的 Merlin Thomas。

Merlin, you've been tracking this buildup for days.

Merlin，你追蹤這個集結已經好幾天了。

We've been tracking this buildup of US Military assets in the region for weeks now.

我們追蹤這個區域的美國軍事資產集結已經有好幾個星期了。

And, and now we've seen that they are within striking capability of Iran.

而且，我們現在看到它們已經在伊朗的打擊能力範圍內了。

And the latest asset we've seen arrive into the theatre is the USS Gerald R. Ford.

而最新抵達戰區的資產是傑拉爾德·R·福特號 (USS Gerald R. Ford)。

Now, this is the world's largest warship, and

這艘軍艦是世界上最大的軍艦，而且

early this week it briefly broadcast its location off the coast of Morocco.

這週稍早它曾短暫廣播了它在摩洛哥海岸外的座標。

But today we've actually confirmed that it's crossed through the Strait of Gibraltar into the Mediterranean.

不過今天我們已經證實，它已經通過直布羅陀海峽進入地中海。

And we know that because we've confirmed it using pictures from someone who sent it to us from Gibraltar that we verified.

我們之所以知道，是因為我們透過一位從直布羅陀寄給我們、並經過我們驗證的照片確認了這點。

You can the warship against the mountains of the Gibraltar as well.

你也可以看到這艘軍艦在地布羅陀的山脈前。

And then we've also confirmed one of its destroyers on marine traffic data as well.

然後我們也透過海運追蹤數據確認了其中一艘驅逐艦。

So we know that it's arrived into the theater as well.

所以我們知道它也已經抵達戰區了。

But this is the second aircraft carrier that we've confirmed the location of just this week alone.

不過這也是我們這週以來確認位置的第二艘航空母艦。

So early this week, we also found that the Abraham Lincoln is in the Arabian sea.

所以這週稍早，我們也發現亞伯拉罕·林肯號在地中海。

It's about 240km off the coast of Oman, again within striking distance of Iran.

它在大約離阿曼海岸 240 公里處，同樣在伊朗的打擊範圍內。

Ford and the Abraham Lincoln lead strike groups of several large destroyer warships with thousands of crew personnel, as well as dozens of aircraft as well.

以及亞伯拉罕·林肯號都領導著由數艘大型驅逐艦組成的打擊群，船員有數千人，還有數十架飛機。

Of course, the Gerald Ford was the aircraft carrier that was used in the operation against Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela.

當然，傑拉爾德·福特號就是這次在委內瑞拉針對尼古拉斯·馬杜羅的行動中所使用的航空母艦。

It's a really good question because in some ways it's like comparing apples and oranges because that operation was completely different.

這真的是個好問題，因為在某些方面，這就像在比較蘋果和橘子，因為那次行動完全不同。

And many people wouldn't even have predicted that that was going to happen in the way that it did.

而且很多人甚至沒有預料到那次行動會以那樣的方式發生。

They were using their own air bases, they were relying on air bases on its own continent.

他們使用了自己的空軍基地，他們依賴於自己大陸上的空軍基地。

And the intention of the operation as well was to capture the President.

這次行動的意圖也是要逮捕總統。

And that was a very unique operation which experts have called audacious in many respect.

那是一次非常獨特的行動，專家們稱其在許多方面都非常大膽。

But this is a completely different level because the type of military capability that experts say is in play is something really, really significant.

但這完全是另一個層級，因為專家們說正在發揮作用的軍事能力是相當、相當重要的。

So if you compare it with the operation last year, Midnight Hammer, that was a very coordinated but very specific and targeted attack, which was very short and limited.

所以如果你把它和去年的「午夜之鎚」行動相比，那是一次非常協調但非常具體和有針對性的攻擊，時間很短且有限。

So that involved B2 bombers flying over from air bases in Missouri.

所以這就涉及到 B2 轟炸機從密蘇裡州的空軍基地起飛。

And at the time we were tracking that event there as well, that oper.

當時我們也在追蹤那次的行動。

And initially we had been watching the space to see what was in play.

一開始我們一直在觀察，看看有哪些部署。

And so we were looking at air bases in Diego Garcia.

所以我們在看迪亞哥加西亞的空軍基地。

But in fact we were looking in the completely wrong place because it was an unexpected attack that was coordinated in a very different way.

但其實我們看錯了地方，因為這是一次以完全不同方式協調的意外攻擊。

This, experts say, is much more different.

專家們說，這次的規模要大得多。

So this is a sustained attack with the capability to go much deeper and much longer.

所以這是一次持續性的攻擊，打擊能力更深、更持久。

So, for example, we're seeing much more capability.

所以，舉個例子，我們看到的能力更強了。

Experts have said that it's possible that they could carry out 800 strikes a day, which would render any kind of Iranian response essentially ineffective because we don't actually know what they're planning to do.

專家們說，他們一天可能發動 800 次打擊，這將使伊朗的任何回應都無效，因為我們其實不知道他們到底想做什麼。

It could be an all out response of the sort you're talking about.

這可能就像你說的那樣，是一場全面性的回應。

But could they also do something similar to what they did in Venezuela, something much more surgical?

但他們也能像在委內瑞拉那樣，做一些更精準的行動嗎？

It would be much more difficult for them to do that.

For example, they would have to have possibly ground support.

舉例來說，他們可能需要地面支援。

And there's no indication as of yet that that is what's going to happen.

而到目前為止，也沒有跡象顯示會發生這種情況。

But what is clear is they have deployed in a way that means that they can scale up or down.

但很明顯的是，他們的部署方式讓他們可以擴大或縮小規模。

So it could be that President Trump is just using this as a deterrent, trying to say, look, we are able to attack you and if you aren't willing to come to the negotiating table and give us what we want, then we will carry out some sort of strike.

所以，川普總統可能只是用這個來嚇阻，試圖說，看，我們有能力攻擊你，如果你不願意坐上談判桌給我們想要的，那我們就會發動某種攻擊。

But other way it could be seen, experts say, is that they could launch a full blown offensive and we could see something much more significant than the sort of strikes that were carried out last year.

但專家們說，另一種看法是，他們可能會發動全面攻勢，而我們可能會看到比去年採取的打擊更重大的情況。

Just tell us a bit more about the military capability that is on board these warships.

請告訴我們更多關於這些軍艦上的軍事能力。

They have several, dozens of missiles, destroyers.

他們有好幾十枚飛彈、驅逐艦。

And it's worth saying, you know, we've only mentioned the aircraft carriers, but

而且值得一提的是，我們只提到了航空母艦，但是

there's also fighter jets that have been deployed to Jordan.

There are destroyers that have been deployed to the eastern Mediterranean, Bahrain, several other air bases in the region.

有驅逐艦被部署到了東地中海、巴林，以及該地區其他幾個空軍基地。

So he said that there is, they have probably about 10 days to decide whether or not they come to the table and make a nuclear deal or whether they carry out military action.

他說他們大概有十天時間決定是要坐上談判桌達成核協議，還是要採取軍事行動。

It's worth saying that he said that previously as well.

值得一提的是，他之前也說過這樣的話。

So he said that just a few days ago and he's repeated the 10 days timeline again.

所以他幾天前說了這番話，他又重申了十天的時間表。

Iran have responded and have said that they will view any kind of attack as complete aggression, any kind of striker's aggression as an attack.

伊朗方面則回應表示，他們會將任何形式的攻擊視為完全的侵略，任何形式的攻擊者侵略都視為攻擊。

And they are out in force trying to show that they will respond.

而且他們正全力出動，試圖展現他們會做出回應。

So they're carrying out naval drills, practice maritime drills, operations with Russia, and

所以他們正在進行海軍演習，練習海上演習，與俄羅斯一起行動，而且

they've also done practice kind of operations in the Strait of Hormuz to show that they have the capability to respond.

他們也在荷姆茲海峽進行了練習類型的演習，以表明他們有能力做出回應。

Because from the outside, it does look a little bit like David and Goliath.

因為從外面看，這確實有點像大衛對抗歌利亞。

I mean, they don't, many experts say they don't have the capability to respond to the kind of attack that's sustained, that has the depth and has the power that the US has so far kind of lined up.

我的意思是，許多專家表示，他們沒有能力應對美國迄今為止所部署的那種持續、有深度、有力量的攻擊。

It's kind of, we've been talking about this for a while now.

這有點像是，我們已經討論這件事一段時間了。

It's a waiting game and it's a question of timing as well.

這是一場消耗戰，也是一個時機的問題。

President Trump said that he may consider military action during the protests that were carried out by Iranian protesters in January.

Now those protests have appeared to die down.

And the intention for what President Trump has for Iran has possibly changed.

Previously, he said he wanted to carry out an attack because he wanted to save the protesters.

So what President Trump wants from this operation still remains to be seen.

Operation Midnight Hammer was supposed to have destroyed the nuclear program.

午夜之鎚行動本來是要摧毀核子計畫的。

I know you have tracking all sorts of data.

Do we have any information as to whether it did?

我們有任何資訊知道它有沒有成功嗎？

We've looked at satellite imagery and we've seen that a lot of those nuclear sites that were in the initial attack in Operation Midnight Hammer have now been kind of sealed up.

我們看過衛星影像，發現午夜之鎚行動最初攻擊的許多核 sites，現在都已經被封起來了。

Those tunnels have been covered over with various forms of protection sand, for example.

那些隧道被各種形式的保護，例如沙子，給覆蓋住了。

And so those nuclear sites are obviously within the realm of possibility as places of attack.

所以那些核 sites 顯然有可能成為攻擊目標。

But many are saying that that isn't where this attack may go.

但很多人說，攻擊可能不會朝那邊去。

This may be more focused on other physical personnel, people of high value.

這可能更著重於其他實體人員，高價值的目標。

But also those nuclear sites could be within realm of possibility.

但那些核 sites 也有可能在攻擊範圍內。

But clearly the Iranian government, the Iranian state have, they've planned for that and they are protecting themselves.

但很明顯，伊朗政府、伊朗國家已經為此做好了計畫，並且正在保護自己。

And they've already tried to seal up those tunnels, those entrances to facilities exactly in preparation for that sort of thing.

而且他們已經試圖封鎖那些隧道，那些設施的入口，就是為了準備那種情況。

Merlin Thomas from BBCVerify we'd love it if you subscribe to us here on YouTube in all the usual ways.

我是 BBCVerify 的 Merlin Thomas，如果你在這裡訂閱我們的 YouTube 頻道，我們會非常開心。

Also, if you have an idea for a story you think we should be covering, do leave a message in the comments below.

另外，如果你有任何覺得我們應該報導的故事點子，也請在下方留言告訴我們。

And for more international news, please subscribe to the Global News podcast wherever you get your BBC podcasts.

想看更多國際新聞，請訂閱我們的 Global News podcast，在任何你收聽 BBC podcast 的地方都可以找到。