Name: 「歷史級糟糕」！哈利·恩騰談川普最新民調數字 ('Historically bad': Harry Enten on Trump's new polling numbers)
Uploaded: 2026-01-21T03:02:38.000Z
Duration: 10 min 11 s

程度副詞

All right, we're talking about these brand new CNN polling numbers out just today on the president's approval rating, which is low just 39%.

好的，我們來談談今天剛出爐的 CNN 最新民意調查數字，關於總統的支持率，只有 39%，相當低。

他在所有議題上的支持度都偏低。

Inside this poll, there are some rather notable shifts, in some cases, some historic metrics.

這次民意調查中有一些相當顯著的變化，有些情況下甚至創下了歷史紀錄。

With us now, CNN chief data analyst Harry Entten.

現在跟我們在一起的是 CNN 資料分析總監 Harry Entten。

Harry, we talked about voters saying that the president's term so far is a female failure, but

Harry，我們談到選民說總統的任期到目前為止是一次失敗，但是

It turns out that love or presidencies are not better the second time around, according to the American people, because what are we talking about here?

根據美國人民的看法，總統的第二任期並沒有比第一任期來得好，因為我們在這裡談論的是什麼？

You know, back In April of 2024, when it came to term, number one, the majority of Americans said that Donald Trump's first term in office was a success, 55%.

你知道嗎，回到 2024 年 4 月，談到第一任期，大多數美國人認為唐納·川普的第一任期是成功的，55%。

That's a big reason why he was able to get a second term in office.

這也是他能獲得第二任期的主要原因。

They look back fondly upon his first term in office.

他們對他的第一任期回憶猶新。

But now come to this side of the screen now, after term two, year one, how do Americans view it?

但現在看看螢幕的這一邊，第二任期第一年，美國人怎麼看？

These numbers look a lot more like what it did about six months into Trump's term, number one, than it did looking back upon the entirety of Trump's term, number one, which of course gave him that second term in office.

這些數字看起來更像是川普第一任期剛開始六個月時的狀況，而不是回顧川普整個第一任期，當然這也讓他獲得了第二任期。

The clear majority, 58%, nearly three in five Americans, say it is a failure.

明顯的多數，58%，將近五分之三個美國人認為是失敗。

Okay, so this number, 58%, saying it's a failure one year into a second term.

好的，所以這個數字，58%，認為在第二任期第一年是失敗的。

從歷史角度來看，這個數字排在哪裡？

好的，從歷史角度來看，這個數字排在哪裡？

Now, this is a little bit difficult, right, because Trump has said two presidencies.

現在，這有點難，對吧，因為川普說了兩個總統任期。

Other people who are, say, a year in a term, number two, in fact, have had a continuous term.

其他人，比如說，任期中的一年，第二任期，實際上，是有連續任期的。

But we're going to try and do it for you right here, which is essentially, okay, term or terms have been a failure about a year in a term that.

但我們會試著在這裡為你做，基本上就是，好的，任期或任期在任期中的一年被認為是失敗的。

You see this for Donald Trump right here, 58% term number two, first year, 58% say failure.

你在這裡看到川普的數字，58% 的第二任期，第一年，58% 認為是失敗。

George W. Bush, 52% said his presidency had been a failure about a year into term number two.

小布希，在他第二任期的第一年，有 52% 的人認為他的總統任期是失敗的。

Bush after Katrina, after a long period in the Iraq War.

卡崔娜風災後，在伊拉克戰爭持續一段時間後的小布希。

And this is really, really bad when you compare it to George W. Bush.

跟小布希相比，這真的很、真的很糟糕。

Barack Obama was 48%, and then Bill Clinton way down here at 26%.

歐巴馬是 48%，而克林頓在這裡遠遠落後，只有 26%。

當然，他的支持率曾經非常高。

But the bottom line is this about a year into term number two, Trump's numbers look worse than any other president in which either CNN or the Pew Research center has asked this question.

但重點是，在第二任期的第一年左右，川普的數字比 CNN 或 Pew Research 中心問過這個問題的任何其他總統都要差。

Joe Biden, if you look here, was at 57% failure in term one.

喬·拜登，如果你看這裡，第一任期有 57% 的失敗率。

不過，這是第一任期，這是第二任期。

But he's even doing a point worse, though, within the margin of error.

不過，他的表現甚至還差了 1 個百分點，還在誤差範圍內。

So historically bad for presidents in their second term here.

所以從歷史角度來看，總統在第二任期表現這麼差是很罕見的。

So what do people think it will be like when they look back at the secondary?

那麼，大家認為回顧第二任期時，會覺得怎麼樣呢？

So, you know, we're talking about this, and

所以，你知道，我們在談論這個，

we're talking about 58% who say that Trump is a failure a year into term number two.

我們在談論有 58% 的人認為川普在第二任期的第一年是個失敗。

這從歷史角度來看是很糟糕的。

But I think the other thing that is so important is Trump wants to make his mark in history, Right?

但我認為另一件非常重要的事是，川普想在歷史上留下自己的印記，對吧？

He wants to fundamentally change the United States of America.

Well, on this metric, get this, Trump's second term will fundamentally change the US and the changes will remain well beyond his presidency.

嗯，就這項指標來看，你看看這個，川普的第二任期將從根本上改變美國，而且這些改變將在他卸任總統後仍然存在。

在 2025 年 4 月，這個數字是 52%。

A majority of Americans said he'd fundamentally change the United States.

大多數美國人認為他將從根本上改變美國。

Now it's just 41% of Americans who say that term number two will, in fact, fundamentally change the United States.

現在只有 41% 的美國人認為第二任期確實將從根本上改變美國。

So it's not just that the American people see term number two as a failure.

所以不只是美國人民認為第二任期是個失敗。

They also don't think that Trump is making changes that will fundamentally change the United States and last, well beyond.

他們也不認為川普正在做出能從根本上改變美國，而且在他卸任後仍能持續很久的改變。

所以你只要看看這份民意調查，然後。

Not just the numbers right here, right now, but

不只是現在、眼前的數字，而是

what people see into the future and how people view everything.

人們對未來的看法，以及大家如何看待一切。

這就是一個大大的失敗。好的。

謝天謝地你會拼字，因為我不會。

Didn't know where you were going there, Harry.

You can look at this 41% a few different ways.

你可以從幾個不同的角度來看這 41%。

They're very interesting, though, to think of what that means.

不過，想想這代表什麼，還滿有趣的。

It is day 361 of President Trump's second term, and

這是川普總統第二任期的第 361 天，

we've got a brand new CNN poll about President Trump's first year back in office.

我們有最新的 CNN 民意調查，關於川普總統重返執政的第一年。

As our political director David Chalian said this morning, you really have to squint hard to find even a small piece of good news for the President.

就像我們的政治總監 David Chalian 今天早上說的，你真的得費力去看，才能找到總統的一點點好消息。

In this poll, a majority of the country, 58%, say President Trump's first year has been a failure.

在這份民意調查中，國家的大多數人，58%，認為川普總統的第一年是失敗的。

That includes two thirds of independent voters.

這包含了三分之二的獨立選民。

Across the board, Americans disapprove of how the President is handling every major issue.

總體來說，美國人對於總統處理所有重大議題的方式都不認同。

He's at 39% on the economy, 42% on immigration.

他在經濟方面的支持率是 39%，移民是 42%。

Those are two of the biggest reasons that voters say they sent him back to the White House.

這兩項是選民說他們送他回白宮的兩大原因。

The economy is far and away Americans top concern and has been for years.

經濟是美國人最關心的事，而且已經持續了好幾年。

Right now, two thirds of voters say the president is focused on the wrong things.

現在，有三分之二的選民認為總統關注錯了事情。

And maybe even more importantly, two thirds say they don't think he cares about people like them.

甚至可能更重要的是，有三分之二的人說他們不認為他關心像他們這樣的人。

And whether the White House can reverse these trend lines can be and will be critical in November.

而且白宮能否扭轉這些趨勢，將是十一月大選的關鍵。

I'm joined by a terrific group of reporters today on this Friday.

今天星期五，有很棒的記者們和我一起。

Phil Mattingly，你的看法是什麼？

What I find most fascinating about the numbers is one, in the first year, this administration did an extraordinary amount of things and did so many of them through executive authority, unilateral action, pushing the boundaries of that authority to levels that we hadn't seen before.

我認為這些數字最吸引人的地方是，第一年，這個政府做了非常多事情，而且很多都是透過行政權力、單方面行動來完成，將權力推到前所未見的程度。

And in large part, they were things that the president actually campaigned on and said he was going to do.

而且很大一部分，這些都是總統實際競選時說要做的。

And I think the disconnect, at least based on the numbers we're looking at right now and from our reporting out in the field, is voters are saying we didn't really vote for that.

我認為，至少根據我們目前看到的數字以及我們在地方的採訪，選民們說我們其實沒有投給那些。

We cared about prices, we cared about affordability and we cared about immigration in the broad sense, not necessarily in the what we're seeing in the interior in the viral video sense right now.

我們關心物價，我們關心負擔能力，我們也關心廣泛意義上的移民問題，而不是現在影片裡看到的邊境問題。

And that has been, you know, you had a group of advisers and a president who were emboldened by an electoral victory that was without question and believe that they had a mandate.

你知道，當時有一群顧問和一位總統，因為毫無疑問的選舉勝利而受到鼓舞，並相信他們獲得了授權。

They are utilizing that mandate or pushing that mandate to a degree.

他們正在利用或推動這個授權到某個程度。

We've seen this in the past with other administrations to a degree that maybe voters aren't entirely comfortable with and at least certainly aren't right now based on the numbers we're seeing.

我們在其他政府的過去也曾見過類似情況，選民們可能不太習慣，至少根據我們現在看到的數字，他們肯定不習慣。

And Nia, let's look at the trend line here on overall and then on those two big issues that we were talking about.

Nia，我們來看看整體趨勢線，以及我們剛才談到的那兩個大議題。

First of all, overall, the president came in February was the first time that CNN polled at 48% overall approval rating, which was a record high for him.

首先，整體來看，總統在二月首次接受CNN民意調查時，支持率達到48%，這對他來說是歷史新高。

對川普總統來說，這是一個非常高的數字。

And then you see the overall go down to where it is at 39% now, the economy just starting in March, you can see that go down and immigration also go down.

然後你看到整體支持率下降到現在的39%，經濟問題從三月開始就呈現下降趨勢，移民問題也是。

I mean, obviously, as we've said, the economy in this poll and just, just understanding the world that we're living in is clearly the number one issue.

我們的意思是，很明顯，正如我們所說，這次民調中的經濟問題，以及我們所處的世界，顯然是第一大議題。

But the fact that immigration has gone down like that for the president, who has a sort of a calling card on closing the border and people are not looking south, or maybe a little bit north.

但事實是，移民問題對總統來說卻下降了，他一直以來都以關閉邊境為號召，而人們卻不往南看，或者說往北看一點點。

They're looking in the interior on, on immigration, and obviously the economy is hurting him.

他們在關注國內的移民問題，顯然經濟正在傷害他。