Name: 委內瑞拉即將發生什麼事？大多數人根本沒想到！ (Most People Have No Idea What’s About To Happen To Venezuela)
Uploaded: 2026-01-06T08:15:33.000Z
Duration: 16 min 10 s

未來簡單式

The United States now will be running Venezuela.

to 不定詞

When was the last time you heard news suggest that the United States captured the President of another country, brought him to the United States to experience the full might of American justice, and

你上次聽到新聞說美國抓了另一個國家的總統，把他帶到美國體驗美國司法體系的全部威力，

過去簡單式

took eventually control of another sovereign country?

最後還掌控了另一個主權國家，是什麼時候？

Some people like it, others are criticizing it, but

有些人喜歡這樣，有些人則在批評，但

the reality is that the United States absolutely needs the Venezuelan oil.

現實是美國極度需要委內瑞拉石油。

Now, in this video, I'm not trying to justify American action against other countries, but

在這支影片裡，我不是要為美國對其他國家的行動辯護，

rather I want to tell you the critical problem the United States is facing and how important was it to capture that Venezuelan oil.

相反，我想告訴你美國面臨的關鍵問題，以及奪取委內瑞拉石油有多重要。

So I'm not trying to justify Donald Trump's actions.

所以我不是要為唐納·川普的行動辯護。

I will simply explain how the United States is running out of oil and why it was so essential to have control over that Venezuelan oil.

我只想簡單解釋美國的石油是如何快用完了，以及為什麼掌控委內瑞拉石油如此重要。

The United States has Approximately, currently about 46.4 billion barrels of proven oil.

美國目前約有464億桶的探明石油儲量。

And that's not a lot, even though that it seems a lot at first glance.

而且這其實不算多，雖然乍看之下好像很多。

So currently the United states produces about 5 billion barrels per year.

所以目前美國每年生產大約50億桶。

So if we take 46 billion barrels and we divided it by 5 billion barrels per year, that's about 9.2 years.

所以如果我們用460億桶除以每年50億桶，大概是9.2年。

So essentially at this pace, the United States will run out of oil in about nine to 10 years.

所以基本上照這個速度，美國會在大概九到十年內用完石油。

And in the next couple of years, because there is so much fierce competition with China and essentially the rest of the world, the US Oil consumption is going to rise significantly, especially when the United States is trying to bring manufacturing back to the United States.

而在接下來幾年，因為跟中國還有全世界的競爭非常激烈，美國的石油消耗量會大幅增加，特別是當美國試圖把製造業帶回美國的時候。

When these countries will come back and open so many factories in the U.S.

當這些國家回來並在美國開設這麼多工廠時，

So that nine to 10 years, in reality, it will be something like six to seven years.

所以那九到十年，實際上會變成大概六到七年。

And then what is the United States going to do next if you don't have oil?

然後如果美國沒有石油了，接下來會怎麼做？

But the reality is that the United States mostly imports its oil, even though that the US Is the largest manufacturer of oil.

但現實是，美國大部分的石油都是進口的，即使美國是最大的石油生產國。

Most of the oil that is consumed inside the United States is actually brought from countries such as Canada.

美國大部分消費的石油實際上是從加拿大等國家運來的。

Canada exports 90% of its oil to the United States.

加拿大將其 90% 的石油出口到美國。

And that's because there are different types of oil.

You have anything like light oil to heavy oil.

你有從輕質油到重質油的各種油品。

And refining that oil is as important as extracting that oil.

而提煉這些石油和開採這些石油一樣重要。

Just because you have extracted oil from the ground does not mean that you can instantly use it as a fuel for your car, for jets, or even use it as asphalt or plastic.

僅僅因為你從地下開採了石油，並不意味著你可以立即將其用作汽車、噴射機的燃料，甚至用作瀝青或塑膠。

You have to turn that oil into a consumable product.

你必須將石油轉化為可消耗的產品。

And that's where refineries come into the picture.

這就是煉油廠派上用場的地方。

The United States built most of its refineries back in 1950s and 60s when the United States was mostly extracting Heavy oil and building refineries is extremely expensive and they take decades for them to pay off.

美國在 1950 年代和 60 年代建造了大部分煉油廠，當時美國主要開採重質油，而建造煉油廠的成本極高，而且需要數十年才能收回成本。

And because today the United States is extracting a lot of light oil, that light oil cannot possibly be refined in the United States, which is why it exports light oil to the rest of the countries that actually have refineries for light oil and imports heavy oil from Canada, which can be refined in those refineries across the United States.

而且由於今天美國開採了大量的輕質油，這些輕質油不可能在美國境內提煉，這就是為什麼它將輕質油出口到實際擁有輕質油煉油廠的國家，並從加拿大進口重質油，這些重質油可以在美國的煉油廠中提煉。

And Canada has far more proven oil reserves than the United states at about 163 billion barrels.

而且加拿大的已探明石油儲量遠超美國，約有 1630 億桶。

But even if you take this number and you divide that number by the amount that the United States is consuming right now, which is about 5 billion barrels a year, that's about 22 years.

但即使你拿這個數字，再除以美國目前消耗的量，也就是每年約 50 億桶，那大約是 22 年。

And given the fact that the United States wants to bring manufacturing back to the United States, and

考量到美國想把製造業帶回美國，

also there is going to be a rise in consumption due to AI, you can easily take this number and divide this number by two.

而且由於 AI 的發展，消耗量也會增加，你可以輕鬆地將這個數字除以二。

So in the next 10 to 20 years, the United States will simply not have a source of oil that's not sustainable for the future of the United States.

所以未來 10 到 20 年，美國將沒有一個對其未來不可持續的石油來源。

Especially if you want to compete with countries like China, who, who are manufacturing powerhouse.

尤其是如果你想和中國這樣的國家競爭，中國是製造業強國。

China does not need to bring manufacturing back.

China already manufactures everything and China already has a cheap source of energy from Russia.

中國已經製造了所有東西，而且中國已經從俄羅斯獲得了廉價能源。

Here is the problem with the Venezuelan oil.

So this is the perfect kind of oil for the United States.

So if there is any kind of oil that you want to bring to the US to refine it, that is heavy, heavy oil.

所以如果你想把任何一種石油帶到美國來精煉，那種石油就是重油、重質油。

So by controlling the Venezuelan oil, the United States can ensure that its refineries are going to work for decades to come and there is going to be a sustainable source of energy for the United States and perfectly refined.

所以透過控制委內瑞拉石油，美國可以確保其煉油廠在未來幾十年都能運作，並且有永續的能源來源，而且能完美精煉。

The US does not need to build refineries for light oil.

美國不需要為輕質油建造煉油廠。

而這些煉油廠永遠不會有回報。

So how are you going to convince these oil companies to, to build refineries that never pay off?

所以你該如何說服這些石油公司去建造永遠不會有回報的煉油廠呢？

When you're making an investment, you're thinking from the perspective of an investor.

當你做投資時，你會從投資者的角度思考。

So when you're building a refinery, it must pay off.

所以當你建造煉油廠時，它必須要有回報。

That's why these oil companies do not want to do that, because they know that this is a bad investment.

這就是為什麼這些石油公司不想這麼做，因為他們知道這是一項糟糕的投資。

But if we can import the heavy Venezuelan oil and refine it at the refineries that we already have built, and

但如果我們可以進口委內瑞拉的重油，並在我們已經建好的煉油廠裡精煉，

these refineries have broke even long time ago, then this is a perfect business model, a perfect opportunity.

而且這些煉油廠早就已經損益兩平了，那這就是一個完美的商業模式，一個完美的機會。

Venezuela is the richest country in the world when it comes to proven oil.

委內瑞拉是世界上石油儲量最豐富的國家。

No single country has as much oil as Venezuela.

沒有任何一個國家擁有的石油比委內瑞拉還多。

Since 1929, as the oil industry began to develop across the country, it overshadowed every single other industry.

自1929年石油產業開始在全國發展以來，它就壓過了其他所有產業。

And by 1940, Venezuela was already like the third, third largest oil producer in the world.

到了1940年，委內瑞拉已經是全球第三大石油生產國了。

So the only question is, what exactly has happened?

所以唯一的問題是，到底發生了什麼事？

How did Venezuela went from the third largest producer of oil to not producing oil or whatsoever?

委內瑞拉是怎麼從第三大石油生產國變成完全不生產石油的？

Yes, Venezuela has the largest proven oil reserves, but

是的，委內瑞拉擁有最大的探明石油儲量，但

it doesn't mean that it supplies the world with so much oil.

這不代表它供應了全世界這麼多石油。

Just because you have oil doesn't mean that you can profit out of it.

你有石油，不代表你就能從中獲利。

If you have oil, you need the technology to extract it, and you have to do that efficiently.

如果你有石油，你需要技術來開採它，而且要有效率地開採。

And then you have to refine it to be able to sell it in the open market.

然後你必須精煉它，才能在公開市場上銷售。

If you can't do all of that, then it doesn't matter how much oil you have.

如果你做不到這一切，那麼你擁有多少石油都不重要。

And that's why today Venezuela has the largest proven oil reserves.

這就是為什麼今天委內瑞拉擁有最大的探明石油儲量。

It doesn't even sells anything close to the United States.

Suddenly, Venezuela got insane and they started to nationalize the oil industry.

突然間，委內瑞拉發瘋了，他們開始將石油產業國有化。

US Companies were having very heavy presence in Venezuela.

美國公司在委內瑞拉的業務非常龐大。

And then Venezuela is like, listen guys, now your assets, the entire infrastructure that you have built, will be controlled by the Venezuelan government.

然後委內瑞拉就說，聽著各位，現在你們的資產，以及你們建立的整個基礎設施，將由委內瑞拉政府控制。

Obviously these companies did not like that and they suddenly started leaving Venezuela one by one.

顯然這些公司不喜歡這樣，他們一個接一個地開始離開委內瑞拉。

And it's very clear in the oil production of Venezuela, you can see that starting from 1970s, somewhere around here, oil production plummeted dramatically.

這在委內瑞拉的石油產量上非常明顯，你可以看到從1970年代開始，大概在這個地方，石油產量急劇下降。

Like by 1980s, they literally started producing 50% less than they used to produce back in the days.

到了1980年代，他們的產量比以前少了整整50%。

And that's the problem with the government.

Whenever the government nationalizes everything or anything, it literally goes really bad.

每當政府將一切或任何事物國有化時，情況都會變得非常糟糕。

At first it seems like now we'll take control of this company and we will literally reap the profits.

一開始看起來像是我們要掌控這家公司，然後就能坐享其成。

But the reality is that you have to learn, you have to understand managing and running a business efficiently is not an easy job.

但現實是，你必須學習，必須瞭解經營和管理一家公司並讓它有效運作，這不是一件容易的事。

Even though that it seems like, what else do you have to do?

雖然看起來好像，你還有什麼別的要做？

You're simply extracting oil from the ground.

Then they realized that it was a catastrophic mistake.

然後他們就意識到，這是一個災難性的錯誤。

So they're like, no, now we want you to come back.

所以他們就說，不行，現在我們要你回來。

Please come back and run the Venezuelan oil.

So a lot of these companies gave Venezuela a second shot.

所以很多公司都給了委內瑞拉第二次機會。

They came back and the Venezuelan oil production began to rise dramatically since then.

他們回來了，從那時候起，委內瑞拉的石油產量就開始大幅上升。

And then in 2007, Hugo Chavez, who becomes the president of Venezuela, he re nationalizes the oil industry.

然後在2007年，委內瑞拉的總統烏戈·查維茲，他將石油產業國有化了。

And by 2019, they literally have very little production.

到了2019年，他們的產量真的非常少。

And since Maduro took office, things got really bad because he got under international sanctions, which means that even if you can extract that oil one way or another, you can't even sell it to global markets.

自從馬杜羅上任以來，情況變得非常糟糕，因為他受到了國際制裁，這意味著即使你 somehow 能開採出石油，你也無法將其賣給全球市場。

Otherwise you will fall under the US Sanctions and, and

否則你就會受到美國的制裁，而且

you won't be able to use the US Global financial system.

你將無法使用美國的全球金融體系。

So even allies of Venezuela, countries such as China and Russia also began to avoid Venezuelan oil.

所以即使是委內瑞拉的盟友，像中國和俄羅斯這樣的國家，也開始迴避委內瑞拉的石油。

But that's not efficient if you can't do it openly.

但如果你不能公開進行，那效率就很低。

If you can just sell it to everybody, you can compete with global prices.

如果你能直接賣給所有人，你就可以與全球價格競爭。