Name: 薩瓦羅夫將軍遭暗殺！他到底是誰？在俄烏戰爭中扮演什麼關鍵角色？ (Assassination of General Sarvarov: Who was he and what was his role in Russian war operations?)
Uploaded: 2025-12-23T17:11:15.000Z
Duration: 7 min 7 s

Investigators in Moscow say a car bomb killed one of Russia's top commanders in its war on Ukraine.

莫斯科的調查人員表示，一枚汽車炸彈炸死了俄羅斯在烏克蘭戰爭中的一名高級指揮官。

According to reports, Lt. Gen. Vanill Safarov died around 7am local time.

根據報導，中將 Vanill Safarov 於當地時間早上七點左右死亡。

Russia's Investigative Committee says it's looking for a link to Ukrainian intelligence services.

俄羅斯偵查委員會表示，他們正在尋找與烏克蘭情報部門的關聯。

The Kremlin has repeatedly accused Kyiv of targeting high profile figures connected with Russia's war effort.

俄羅斯克裡姆林宮一再指控基輔針對與俄羅斯戰爭努力有關的高調人物。

According to Russian authorities, a bomb detonated beneath the car of Lieutenant General Thanil Savarov, fatally wounding him and causing panic among local residents.

據俄羅斯當局稱，一枚炸彈在陸軍中將 Thanil Savarov 的汽車下方引爆，對他造成致命傷，並在當地居民中引發恐慌。

I saw policemen, firefighters and ambulances arriving.

我看到警察、消防員和救護車抵達。

I thought somebody needed help, so I went outside and asked the neighbors if they needed any assistance.

我以為有人需要幫助，所以我就出去問鄰居們是否需要任何協助。

When I realized there was no danger, I returned home.

當我意識到沒有危險時，我便回家了。

At first I thought a shahed drone or some other Ukrainian drone had been shot down.

一開始我以為是 Shahed 無人機或哪架烏克蘭無人機被擊落了。

56 year old Fanil Savarov was a senior Russian general and long standing veteran of Russia's military campaigns, serving in Chechnya and Syria.

56 歲的 Fanil Savarov 是一名俄羅斯高級將領，也是俄羅斯軍事行動的資深老兵，曾在車臣和敘利亞服役。

Most recently, he was responsible for operational training on Russia's general Staff and was involved in the war in Ukraine.

最近，他負責俄羅斯總參謀部的作戰訓練，並參與了烏克蘭戰爭。

As forensic teams comb through the wreckage searching for evidence, investigators say they are looking at several possible motives for the killing, including whether Ukrainian intelligence services are involved.

隨著鑑識小組在殘骸中搜尋證據，調查人員表示他們正在考慮幾種可能的謀殺動機，包括烏克蘭情報部門是否涉案。

There has been a string of bombings targeting pro war figures since the beginning of Russia's full scale war on Ukraine.

自俄羅斯全面入侵烏克蘭以來，已發生一連串針對支持戰爭人物的爆炸案。

Moscow has repeatedly accused Ukrainian operatives of being behind the killings.

莫斯科一再指控烏克蘭特工是這些殺戮事件的幕後黑手。

In the case of Lt. Gen. Fanil Savarov, Kyiv has yet to comment.

對於陸軍中將 Fanil Savarov 的案件，基輔尚未發表評論。

Military analyst Marina Ron from King's College London joins us.

來自倫敦國王學院的軍事分析師 Marina Ron 將加入我們。

This is the third such killing of a senior military officer in a year.

這是一年內第三起高級軍官被殺的事件。

Does this cast doubt on the performance of Russia's security services?

這會讓俄羅斯安全部門的表現受到質疑嗎？

Well, if you look at it from this perspective, three killings of high ranking generals and we're talking Lieutenant generals.

嗯，如果從這個角度來看，三起高級將領的殺戮事件，而且我們說的是中將。

There are not many lieutenant generals in the Russian armed forces.

俄羅斯武裝部隊裡的中將人數並不多。

That being said, we don't know how many attempts have been prevented and which personnel has been targeted, which other generals have been targeted.

話雖如此，我們不知道有多少次襲擊被阻止了，哪些人員成為目標，還有哪些將領成為目標。

Therefore, it is difficult to say whether the FSB is doing a good job or not.

是以，很難說 FSB 的工作做得好不好。

Maybe there were 20 attempts and only three succeeded.

也許有 20 次嘗試，只有 3 次成功。

And from that perspective it would be a very poor record.

從那個角度來看，這將是一個非常糟糕的紀錄。

Could you tell us more about this latest killing?

你能告訴我們更多關於這次最新的殺戮事件嗎？

How important this Lieutenant General was for the Russian army?

這位中將對俄羅斯軍隊有多重要？

Well, the importance is also in his biography.

嗯，他的重要性也體現在他的履歷上。

He worked in the main Operational directorate of the General Staff before becoming the head of Operational directorate of the MoD.

在擔任國防部作戰部主管之前，他曾在總參謀部主要作戰局工作。

And what that means is that he gained not only combat experience in Chechnya, he also planned operations in Syria, and

這意味著他不僅在車臣獲得了實戰經驗，還策劃了敘利亞的行動，

the Syrian campaign is considered as a victory from the Russian perspective.

而敘利亞戰役從俄羅斯的角度來看被視為一場勝利。

So he gained a lot of experience on the modern battlefield to see how operations look on the ground.

所以他在現代戰場上獲得了很多經驗，瞭解戰場上的行動是如何進行的。

And for Ukraine, for instance, his new role, which he assumed in 2016, would mean that he was responsible for combat readiness and for military exercises of the Russian armed forces of all branches.

對於烏克蘭來說，例如，他於 2016 年擔任的新職位，意味著他將負責俄羅斯所有軍種的戰備和軍事演習。

In addition to that, of course, in the context of the war in Ukraine, this general would take political aims which the Kremlin would provide the mod with and translate them into operational plans as well as lessons from the battlefield.

此外，當然，在烏克蘭戰爭的背景下，這位將軍將會承擔克里姆林宮提供給國防部的政治目標，並將其轉化為作戰計劃以及戰場經驗教訓。

And again, he would adjust them for operational training and combat readiness of the troops.

同時，他也會為部隊的作戰訓練和戰備進行調整。

So there is a lot that he has been doing in his role specifically relating to Ukraine.

所以他在烏克蘭的職責上做了很多事情。

Therefore, his position was very important and probably it will be not easy to find a replacement because he's been in that position for nine years.

是以，他的職位非常重要，而且可能很難找到替代者，因為他已經在這個職位上待了九年。

Even somebody who has a similar experience will have difficulty joining and taking over and continuing in the same fashion.

即使是擁有類似經驗的人，也很難加入並接手並以同樣的方式繼續下去。

It's investigating potential Ukrainian links.

它正在調查潛在的烏克蘭關聯。

How credible are the claims and what may follow diplomatically or militarily?

這些說法有多可信？外交上或軍事上可能會發生什麼？

Well, certainly there might be a military response, comparing it to the last killings in terms of who it might have been.

嗯，當然可能會有所軍事回應，與上次的殺戮事件相比，關於誰可能是幕後黑手。

We don't know anything about the private life of this general, whether he had any sort of personal issues or any deaths or anything of the like.

我們對這位將軍的私生活一無所知，不知道他是否有任何個人問題或任何死亡事件之類的。

So we have to consider all possibilities.

所以我們必須考慮所有可能性。

But given this trend and what we have discussed with previous killings, of course, his position and his skill set would be very interesting for the Ukrainian intelligence services, more specifically the sbu, and

但考量到這個趨勢以及我們之前討論過的幾起暗殺事件，當然，他的職位和技能對烏克蘭情報部門，更具體地說是 SBU，會非常有吸引力，

they would have the capability to conduct such, say, targeted killing or targeted assassination, knowing that removing this Lieutenant General will most likely disrupt, or even for a brief period would disrupt Russian operational planning in Ukraine.

他們有能力進行這種，呃，目標式擊殺或暗殺，因為知道移除這位中將很可能會擾亂，甚至在短時間內擾亂俄羅斯在烏克蘭的作戰計畫。

So there would be a negative effect on the one hand.

On the other hand, the sbu, knowing the setbacks that Ukraine is suffering on the battlefield, needs to demonstrate, resolve, needs to demonstrate to the international community and to the Ukrainian population their capabilities and of course, send a message to the rest of Russian high ranking generals basically saying that we can get you if we try very hard.

另一方面，SBU 知道烏克蘭在戰場上面臨的挫折，需要展現決心，需要向國際社會和烏克蘭人民展現他們的能力，當然，也向其他俄羅斯高級將領傳達訊息，基本上就是說，我們如果非常努力，是可以幹掉你們的。

And so it is likely that there is an SBU trail there, but

所以很可能會有 SBU 的蹤跡，但是

we have to wait until the investigation is over because as I said, there could be other options.

我們必須等到調查結束，因為就像我說的，可能還有其他選項。

How probable they are, maybe less probable than the Ukrainian link.

這些選項有多可能？也許不像烏克蘭的關聯那麼可能。

Okay, thank you very much for the analysis.