Name: 中國新型艦艇可能對臺灣發動 D-Day 式入侵 | WSJ 裝備 (These New Chinese Ships Could Bring a D-Day-Style Invasion to Taiwan | WSJ Equipped)
Uploaded: 2025-05-15T02:47:51.000Z
Duration: 7 min 28 s

進階被動語態

This massive mobile pier system could one day be used to deliver an unprecedented number of troops and equipment in an amphibious invasion.

有朝一日，這種大型移動碼頭系統可以在兩棲入侵中運送數量空前的部隊和裝備。

關係子句

It's being built by China in a shipyard constructing vessels that are changing modern warfare.

它由中國造船廠建造，該廠建造的船隻正在改變現代戰爭。

As Beijing escalates its military activity around Taiwan and rapidly builds its naval and civilian fleets, China's threat to seize the island could be coming closer to reality.

隨著北京在臺灣周邊的軍事活動不斷升級，並迅速組建海軍和民用艦隊，中國奪取臺灣的威脅可能越來越接近現實。

To be able to deliver vehicles at huge volume straight to the beach without having to capture a port changes the calculus of whether China could successfully invade Taiwan.

無需佔領港口就能將大量車輛直接運送到海邊，這改變了中國能否成功入侵臺灣的計算方式。

Here's a breakdown of how these ships could set the stage for a D-Day style invasion.

以下是這些戰艦如何為 D-Day 式入侵創造條件的詳細介紹。

The vessels were built here at this island shipyard in Guangzhou, China.

這些船隻就是在中國廣州的這座海島造船廠建造的。

It's used to construct both military and civilian vessels.

它被用來建造軍用和民用船隻。

Thomas Shugart is a defence analyst and former navy warfare officer whose research focuses on maritime competition.

托馬斯-舒加特（Thomas Shugart）是一名國防分析師和前海軍作戰軍官，他的研究重點是海上競爭。

This shipyard has been quite interesting to watch over the last year.

在過去的一年裡，這家造船廠的發展令人頗感興趣。

They've had a number of very different vessels they've had under construction at the same time.

他們同時建造了多艘風格迥異的船隻。

Right here we can see two Soviet design now built by China amphibious assault hovercraft, a ostensibly military test platform unmanned service vessel.

在這裡，我們可以看到兩艘蘇聯設計、現在由中國建造的兩棲攻擊氣墊船，這是一種表面上是軍事試驗平臺的無人服務船。

Among them, analysts noticed a unique set of ships taking shape with distinctive jack-up legs that can stabilise them out of water.

在這些船隻中，分析家們注意到有一組獨特的船隻正在成形，它們帶有獨特的自升式支腿，可以將船隻穩定在水面上。

And also the long ramps you can see here extended from the landing platform all the way onto the shoreline.

你還可以看到長長的坡道從登陸平臺一直延伸到海岸線上。

Shugart says the ships represent a significant improvement in the People's Liberation Army's amphibious assault capacity.

舒加特說，這些軍艦大大提高了中國人民解放軍的兩棲攻擊能力。

We had never seen before this kind of matching set that were designed to go together in multiple sizes.

我們以前從未見過這種可搭配多種尺寸的套裝。

About two months after this satellite image was taken, the ships were seen on China's Nanshang Island, roughly 225 miles southwest.

在拍攝這張衛星影像約兩個月後，人們在西南方向約 225 英里處的中國南沙島看到了這些船隻。

This is where the first known footage was captured showing the ships in sea trials.

在這裡拍攝到了第一段已知的船隻試航錄像。

A couple of things were surprising about it.

Also seeing them lifted up out of the water, that was quite impressive.

此外，看到它們從水中升起，也令人印象深刻。

I had not seen anything quite like that before.

The ships did not transmit their location using the Automatic Identification System or AIS and the ship's paint scheme was now visible, which closely resembles the Chinese Navy's.

這些船隻沒有使用自動識別系統（AIS）傳送其位置，而且現在可以看到船隻的塗裝，與中國海軍的塗裝非常相似。

All these being indications that confirm for me that it is highly likely that these are PLA Navy ships.

所有這些跡象都向我證實，這些極有可能是中國人民解放軍海軍的艦艇。

Video footage, photos and satellite images examined by Shugart and other analysts provide insight into many of their specifications and capabilities.

通過舒加特和其他分析人員研究的視頻錄像、照片和衛星影像，可以深入瞭解它們的許多規格和能力。

There are three distinct types that have been classified by their hull length.

根據船體長度，可分為三種不同類型。

The first is about 360 feet long, the second about 440 feet and the third about 600 feet.

第一條長約 360 英尺，第二條長約 440 英尺，第三條長約 600 英尺。

When linked together with their bow ramps extended, they span nearly 2,700 feet.

當它們連接在一起並伸出船首斜坡時，它們的跨度將近 2,700 英尺。

That's the length of seven and a half football fields.

這相當於七個半足球場的長度。

The ship designed to land on shore has a bow bridge that extends more than 400 feet and it features four 105-foot jackup legs.

這艘設計用於在岸上著陸的船隻有一個 400 多英尺長的船首橋，它有四個 105 英尺長的自升式支腿。

The middle platform has six 164-foot jackup legs and two drop-down loading ramps, one on the port and one on the starboard side.

中間平臺有 6 個 164 英尺的自升式支腿和兩個下拉式裝卸坡道，一個在左舷，一個在右舷。

The end platform has eight 180-foot jackup legs and two drop-down loading ramps, one on the starboard side and one at the stern.

末端平臺有 8 個 180 英尺的自升式支腿和兩個下拉式裝貨坡道，一個位於右舷，另一個位於船尾。

The three ships were seen about 12 miles south two days later where these systems were put to the test.

兩天後，人們在南面約 12 英里處看到了這三艘船，這些系統在那裡經受了考驗。

It was probably just a testing trial to be able to verify that they connect together properly, that they can connect to the bottom properly and that ships can moor with these platforms in the way that was intended.

這可能只是一次測試試驗，目的是驗證它們是否能正確地連接在一起，是否能正確地連接到底部，以及船隻是否能以預期的方式停泊在這些平臺上。

China regularly uses its civilian fleet of what are known as roll-on roll-off ferries in military transport exercises and has demonstrated they can carry some of its heaviest vehicles.

中國在軍事運輸演習中經常使用其民用滾裝渡輪船隊，並證明它們可以運載一些最重的車輛。

The landing platforms appear specifically designed to link with these commercial ships.

登陸平臺似乎是專門為與這些商船連接而設計的。

It has two side ramps, one on each side, that can flip down and we have seen them connect to roll-on roll-off ferries that can basically back up to those ramps and drive vehicles off.

它有兩個側坡道，每側一個，可以向下翻轉，我們已經看到它們與滾裝船連接，基本上可以倒車到這些坡道上，然後把車輛開走。

On the side of the platform are what are called camels, which are these big rubber bumpers essentially that allow full-size ships to come up and nest up against the side of the platform.

在平臺的一側，有一種叫做 "駱駝 "的東西，它是一種很大的橡膠緩衝器，可以讓全尺寸的船隻靠在平臺的一側。

So the ferry that we see alongside here is called the Chang La Gong Zhu.

是以，我們在這裡看到的渡船叫做 "張拉公珠號"。

It is a ferry that has been seen in numerous times during PLA exercises.

這是解放軍演習中多次出現的渡船。

Ferries like these have been used to offload equipment in various scenarios including in ports, on floating causeways and even in the open ocean.

類似的渡輪已被用於在各種情況下卸載設備，包括在港口、浮動堤道甚至在公海上。

China has also used its larger roll-on roll-off vehicle carriers in transport exercises between ports but not with the PLA's temporary floating causeways which couldn't accommodate their diagonal ramps.

中國也曾在港口之間的運輸演習中使用過較大型的滾裝運輸車，但解放軍的臨時浮動便道無法容納它們的斜坡道。

Satellite imagery suggests these landing platforms could serve that purpose.

衛星影像顯示，這些著陸平臺可以達到這一目的。

What we see here is a vessel called the Shenlong Hai.

我們看到的是一艘名為 "神龍海 "的船隻。

While it is not technically a normal pure vehicle carrier, it is a roll-on roll-off cargo ship and it does have a diagonal ramp confirming our suspicions that that's what that unique shape of that stern ramp was for.

雖然從技術上講，它不是一艘普通的純車輛運輸船，但它是一艘滾裝貨船，而且它確實有一個斜坡道，這證實了我們的猜測，即船尾斜坡道的獨特形狀就是用來做這個的。

Additionally, it is possible that a ferry could back up to this stern ramp and also unload vehicles straight on out of the back as we have seen them do with floating piers in the past.

此外，渡輪也有可能在船尾斜坡處倒車，並從後面直接卸載車輛，就像我們過去看到的浮動碼頭一樣。

With as many as five points of contact where ships could offload, the linked platforms could potentially transfer hundreds of vehicles ashore per hour including some of the PLA's heaviest.

由於有多達五個接觸點可供船隻卸貨，這些連接的平臺每小時可將數百輛汽車運上岸，其中包括解放軍的一些重型車輛。

I would be very surprised if these structures and the bridges are not also built to those at least those same standards and able to deliver any of the Chinese military's armored vehicles including the battle tanks.

如果這些建築和橋樑不是按照至少同樣的標準建造，並且能夠運送包括主戰坦克在內的中國軍隊的任何裝甲車輛，我會感到非常驚訝。

Within about eight miles of the two sea trial sites is a base with Chinese amphibious assault craft including hovercraft, landing craft that can deliver tanks to shore and a military specific roll-on roll-off ship.

在距離這兩個海試地點約 8 英里的地方有一個基地，那裡有中國的兩棲攻擊艇，包括氣墊船、可將坦克運到岸上的登陸艇和軍用滾裝船。

All of this equipment is designed to be used in what one would traditionally think of as a beach assault, something right over a beach and would also be the first wave of troops that go ashore probably in combination with helicopter delivered troops and airborne troops in the case of a Taiwan invasion.

所有這些裝備都被設計用於傳統意義上的海灘突擊，即在海灘上進行突擊，也是第一波上岸的部隊，在入侵臺灣的情況下，可能與直升機運送的部隊和空降部隊結合使用。

One thing that these new platforms could potentially bring to the table is the ability to land troops at places even these vessels can't bring troops ashore.

這些新平臺可能帶來的一個好處是，可以在這些艦艇都無法運兵上岸的地方登陸部隊。

Adding the landing platforms to the PLA's amphibious fleet would boost the volume of equipment delivered across the Taiwan Strait and would also make more areas of the island's rocky coastline vulnerable.

為解放軍兩棲艦隊增加登陸平臺將增加臺灣海峽兩岸的裝備運輸量，同時也會使臺灣島上更多岩石海岸線地區變得脆弱。

One of the things that analysts and the Taiwanese military have been able to have some confidence in over the years is that there were a fairly limited number of locations where the Chinese could potentially land on Taiwan thereby allowing Taiwan to concentrate its defensive efforts in those places.

多年來，分析家和臺灣軍方一直堅信的一點是，中國可能登陸臺灣的地點相當有限，是以臺灣可以集中力量在這些地方進行防禦。

This could thin out Taiwan's defenses and make it harder to defend all the different places that now exist.

這可能會削弱臺灣的防禦力量，使其更難保衛現有的所有不同地方。

After the sea trials, the three landing platforms return to the same Guangzhou shipyard where China is building a second set.

海試結束後，三座登陸平臺返回中國正在建造第二套登陸平臺的廣州造船廠。

One right here, one right here and one right here.

一個在這裡，一個在這裡，還有一個在這裡。

US officials say Chinese leader Xi Jinping instructed the PLA to be capable of invading Taiwan by 2027.

美國官員稱，中國領導人習近平訓示解放軍在 2027 年之前具備入侵臺灣的能力。

Most military experts agree China isn't ready to execute a full-scale amphibious invasion yet.

大多數軍事專家都認為，中國還沒有做好實施全面兩棲入侵的準備。

But these landing platforms might be the key to making one possible in the near future.

但這些登陸平臺可能是在不久的將來實現這一目標的關鍵。