Name: 加拿大人避開美國，美國經濟會受到影響嗎？| 關於這一點 (Canadians are avoiding the U.S. Will its economy suffer? | About That)
Uploaded: 2025-04-29T07:52:23.000Z
Duration: 11 min 7 s

to 不定詞

So, there's been a lot of talk from Canadians saying, I don't want to go to the U.S. anymore.

是以，有很多加拿大人說，我不想再去美國了。

過去進行式

This week we were planning on going, but we decided to make a different decision.

這周我們本打算去，但我們決定做出不同的決定。

現在進行式

You know, they're poking us in the eye, so we've got to poke them back.

你知道，他們在戳我們的眼睛，所以我們也要戳回去。

And there are surveys too, when more than 60% of people said they planned to avoid travel to the U.S. this year entirely.

還有一些調查顯示，超過 60% 的人表示他們計劃今年完全避免前往美國。

不過，還是那句話，人云亦云。

It's been harder to know how real this apprehension was until now.

直到現在，我們才知道這種擔憂有多真實。

The drop is significant, and Americans have noticed in a big way.

下降幅度很大，美國人也注意到了這一點。

Canadian airlines are taking away flights to popular U.S. cities, this after many Canadian vacationers apparently are avoiding the U.S.

加拿大航空公司正在取消飛往美國熱門城市的班機，而此前許多加拿大度假者顯然都在避開美國。

This is having not only a negative impact on the tourism market, but business as a whole.

這不僅對旅遊市場，也對整個商業產生了負面影響。

We're seeing pretty seismic developments in terms of the number of people that are willing to go to the U.S. right now.

就目前願意前往美國的人數而言，我們看到了相當震撼的發展。

And here's the thing, more Canadians pour into the U.S. every year than people from any other country in the world.

問題是，每年湧入美國的加拿大人比世界上任何其他國家的人都多。

So, we wanted to know just how much does this drop actually hurt the U.S.?

是以，我們想知道這種下降對美國的實際傷害有多大？

The moment data started to show something real was happening here.

此刻的數據開始顯示，這裡正在發生一些真實的事情。

This red line shows how many people travel by land from Canada to the U.S. between October and February of this year.

這條紅線顯示了今年 10 月至 2 月間從加拿大經陸路前往美國的人數。

Compared to the orange line, which is last year's travel data.

與橙色線相比，這是去年的旅行數據。

Superimposing the lines like this, you can see how this year's travel numbers have actually been higher than the previous years since October.

將這兩條線疊加在一起，你就會發現自 10 月份以來，今年的旅行人數實際上高於往年。

But then the two lines split apart from each other in February.

但在二月份，這兩條線路又彼此分開了。

Which was, if you think back, right around the time the U.S. and Canada began phase one of a fresh trade fight.

回想一下，當時正值美國和加拿大開始新一輪貿易鬥爭的第一階段。

The White House confirming tonight that a 25% tariff on Canadian imports will take effect on Tuesday.

白宮今晚確認，對加拿大進口商品徵收 25% 的關稅將於週二生效。

Canadians are fully united from coast to coast to coast to stand up for this extraordinary and beautiful country.

從海岸到海岸，加拿大人完全團結起來，捍衛這個非凡而美麗的國家。

And brand new Canadian data seems to show this sharp downturn in travel actually accelerated in March with a 32% drop in Canadian return trips from the U.S. by car year over year.

而加拿大的最新數據似乎顯示，3 月份旅行人數的急劇下降實際上加速了，加拿大自駕車從美國回國的人數同比下降了 32%。

Which is also the lowest number of Canadians coming back over the border since 2022.

這也是自 2022 年以來加拿大人回國人數最少的一年。

When Canadians really had good reasons to stay home.

當加拿大人真的有充分的理由待在家裡的時候。

With COVID testing, vaccine mandates, cross-border quarantine measures still in place.

COVID 檢測、疫苗規定、跨境檢疫措施仍在實施。

A lot of people obviously voting with their wallets and saying, you know what, we're going to stay closer to home.

很多人顯然是在用他們的錢包投票，並說，你知道嗎，我們要呆在離家更近的地方。

We're not going to spend our hard-earned money there while we deal with Trump's tariffs and Trump's 51st detente.

在我們應對特朗普的關稅和特朗普的第 51 次緩和時，我們不會在那裡花我們辛辛苦苦賺來的錢。

And the drop in Canadians booking flights to the U.S. is pretty substantial too.

加拿大人預訂飛往美國班機的人數也大幅下降。

According to the travel agency Flight Centre, 40% fewer Canadians booked vacations to American cities in February.

根據 Flight Centre 旅行社的數據，2 月份預訂前往美國城市度假的加拿大人減少了 40%。

And one in five Canadians actually cancelled their trips to the U.S. over the past three months.

在過去三個月中，每五個加拿大人中就有一人取消了赴美旅行。

After I get cancellation emails from my clients, some of whom have been my clients for over two decades, I come back to them like, guys, it's Trump, right?

在我收到客戶（其中一些已經是我二十多年的客戶）的取消訂單郵件後，我回過頭來對他們說，夥計們，是特朗普，對嗎？

It's politics, it's policy, it's he being mean.

這是政治，這是政策，這是他的刻薄。

And is that why the cancellations are happening?

And they're coming back to me, it's a thousand percent, a thousand percent, it's Trump's policies and politics, and we're sorry.

他們回到我身邊，千真萬確，千真萬確，是特朗普的政策和政治，我們很抱歉。

And airlines are noticing, some allocating tens of thousands fewer seats from Canada to the U.S. this April.

航空公司也注意到了這一點，一些航空公司今年四月從加拿大飛往美國的座位減少了數萬個。

United Airlines even going so far as to cancel a new daily route between Toronto and L.A. that it had planned to start up in May.

美國聯合航空公司甚至取消了原計劃於 5 月份開通的多倫多-洛杉磯每日一班的新航線。

So here's where the problem becomes really real.

是以，問題就在這裡變得非常現實。

Because Canada-U.S. travel was supposed to have been ramping up, right?

因為加拿大和美國之間的旅行本應不斷增加，對嗎？

And as we've been approaching the busiest time of year, the summer months, what happens if this drop keeps dropping?

隨著一年中最繁忙的夏季即將來臨，如果降幅持續減小會發生什麼？

I mean, we're going to feel it, a big impact in our pocket end of the season if they're not show up this year.

我的意思是，如果他們今年不出現，我們就會感覺到，賽季末我們的口袋會受到很大的影響。

Travel Association, in 2024, about 20 million Canadians either drove or flew south, and the majority of them to either New York, Florida, Arizona, Texas, or California.

根據旅遊協會的預測，2024 年將有約 2000 萬加拿大人駕車或乘飛機南下，其中大部分人將前往紐約、佛羅里達、亞利桑那、德克薩斯或加利福尼亞。

Even local officials in Las Vegas are saying, what's going on with Canada right now is a problem for us and growth opportunities for us.

就連拉斯維加斯的地方官員也說，加拿大現在的情況對我們來說是個問題，對我們來說是個發展機會。

Because, just think about it, every single activity that these Canadian visitors book, every meal they eat, every hotel they stay at, that's money being pumped into the U.S. economy.

因為，想想看，這些加拿大遊客預訂的每一項活動、他們吃的每一頓飯、他們住的每一家酒店，都在為美國經濟注入資金。

Last year, Canadians spent over 20 billion U.S. dollars in the United States.

去年，加拿大人在美國的消費超過 200 億美元。

That's twice as much as what Americans spent at McDonald's in 2024, and almost as much as what the entire U.S. gym and fitness industry pulls in each year.

這個數字是 2024 年美國人在麥當勞消費額的兩倍，幾乎相當於整個美國健身房和健身行業每年的收入。

And not only does this amount of money help fuel local business, it also creates jobs.

這些資金不僅有助於促進當地的商業發展，還能創造就業機會。

Travel Association estimates about 140,000 of them.

So what happens when some of that money starts to disappear?

那麼，當這些錢開始消失時會發生什麼呢？

To give you an idea in like, like actual dollar dollar bills, 2024, my company grossed $35,000 exclusively from Canadian high school kids coming to New York City for their class trip. 2025, 5,000 and going down because I still get cancellations every other week.

給你一個概念，就像實際的美元鈔票一樣，2024 年，我的公司專門從加拿大高中生來紐約參加班級旅行中獲得了 35000 美元的收入。2025年，5000美元，而且還在下降，因為我仍然每隔一週就會收到取消訂單的通知。

I hire 15 tour guides and they all work for me as well as other companies.

我僱傭了 15 名導遊，他們都為我和其他公司工作。

My inability to hire them to do what they love, which is share their passion and their energy and their excitement about the greatest city in the world, it sucks, man.

我無法僱傭他們去做他們喜歡的事情，也就是分享他們的激情、活力和對這座世界上最偉大城市的興奮，這太糟糕了，夥計。

And some American businesses make so much money off Canadians, they've actually built their entire business models around them.

一些美國企業從加拿大人身上賺得盆滿缽滿，他們實際上已經圍繞加拿大人建立了自己的整個商業模式。

Richard Clauvet looks forward to Canadian snowbirds coming to Florida every year.

理查德-克勞維特（Richard Clauvet）每年都期待著加拿大雪鳥來到佛羅里達。

他們在這裡建立了紐帶和友誼。

Canadians have filled his motels for the past 35 years, but this year was different.

在過去的 35 年裡，他的汽車旅館都住滿了加拿大人，但今年的情況有所不同。

With Canadians right now, we're about 30 percent.

目前，加拿大人的比例約為 30%。

When we should be like more like around 80 percent.

To put this in broader terms, it's estimated about 1 million Canadians, mostly retired, travel to the U.S. every winter.

從更廣泛的角度來看，據估計，每年冬季約有 100 萬加拿大人前往美國旅遊，其中大部分是退休人員。

And that group, they're not just staying for days, even weeks.

而這群人，他們不只停留幾天，甚至幾周。

Many of them spend months, if not half the year south of the border, which creates an expectation from local businesses that they, and their money, keep coming.

他們中的許多人在邊境以南逗留數月，甚至半年，這就使當地企業希望他們和他們的錢能源源不斷地到來。

實際上，我為自己在這裡感到內疚。

If you have, you know, approximately a million snowbirds going away, they're spending money on vacation rentals when they go there.

如果你知道，大約有一百萬雪鳥要離開，他們去那裡的時候就會花錢租房度假。

So you're talking in the billions of dollars.

And think about the little guy, the smaller vacation towns close to the border that might feel the financial impact the most.

再想想那些小傢伙，那些靠近邊境的度假小城鎮，他們可能會感受到最嚴重的經濟影響。

About 130,000 people live there full time.

But figure, up to six times that many Canadians, 600,000 people visit every year, both in the summer and in the winter.

但根據統計，每年有多達六倍的加拿大人，即 60 萬人在夏季和冬季到訪。

We've seen individual families choosing not to come.

We've heard of hockey, whole hockey teams, choosing not to come to some of our international sporting events.

我們聽說過曲棍球，整個曲棍球隊，選擇不參加我們的一些國際體育賽事。

And then some group travel bookings, bus tours, etc. have also canceled.

然後，一些團體旅遊預訂、巴士旅遊等也取消了。

This is from a local Adirondack newspaper referring to a survey suggesting 66% of businesses in the area have already seen a decrease in Canadian bookings for 2025.

這是當地一家阿迪朗達克報紙的報道，其中提到一項調查顯示，該地區 66% 的企業 2025 年的加拿大預訂量已經下降。

And their regional tourism office figures, with even just a 20% drop in Canadian visitors, businesses in the area would see a decrease of $12 million in spending.

根據地區旅遊局的數據，即使加拿大遊客減少 20%，該地區的企業也將減少 1200 萬美元的支出。

A lot of communities that are really dependent on Canadian tourism are really suffering right now.

很多真正依賴加拿大旅遊業的社區現在真的很痛苦。

And let's drill down even more, because forget big, splashy vacations.

讓我們再深入一點，因為忘掉那些轟轟烈烈的假期吧。

Think about Canadians living right along the border who don't necessarily even think about the U.S. as a destination, per se, because they're just driving across the border to go to Target or Trader Joe's or to, I don't know, hit a mall, see a concert, go to a ballgame.

想想那些生活在邊境線上的加拿大人，他們甚至不一定把美國當成目的地，因為他們只是開車越過邊境去Target或Trader Joe's，或者去逛商場、看音樂會、看球賽。

Do you think of Walden Galleria in Buffalo?

您認為水牛城的 Walden Galleria 怎麼樣？

I mean, you look at the licensed plates in the parking lot and there are a lot of Ontario plates there each and every day.

我的意思是，你看看停車場裡的車牌，每天都有很多安大略省的車牌。

They're almost entirely dependent on Canadians and Canadian tourism and day-trippers who just go for a few hours and spend their money there.

他們幾乎完全依賴加拿大人和加拿大旅遊業，以及那些只去幾個小時就把錢花光的一日遊遊客。

And do not underestimate the importance of this.

Because, just to give you one example, county executives in that Buffalo-Niagara area say, in February, their records show a 7% decrease in sales tax revenue.

因為，僅舉一例，布法羅-尼亞加拉地區的縣行政長官說，2 月份，他們的記錄顯示銷售稅收入減少了 7%。

That, they say, is at least in part because there are fewer Canadians paying sales tax.

他們說，這至少部分是因為繳納銷售稅的加拿大人減少了。

Certainly in my hometown of Buffalo, Canadians come over all the time and they go to our sporting events, they shop in our stores, so sales tax revenues are dropping already.

當然，在我的家鄉布法羅，加拿大人經常來我們這裡，他們參加我們的體育賽事，在我們的商店購物，是以銷售稅收入已經在下降。

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加拿大人避開美國，美國經濟會受到影響嗎？| 關於這一點 (Canadians are avoiding the U.S. Will its economy suffer? | About That)

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