With just six days to go until Brett Kavanaugh lights a few million ballots on fire, the Tuning Out decision headquarters has determined that five thirty's predictions to feel right toe us.

距離佈雷特-卡瓦諾點燃幾百萬張選票僅有6天時間，調出決定總部已經確定了5個30的預測，以感覺對我們。

Their model predicts a Biden winning 88 out of 100 scenarios.

他們的模型預測，在100種情況中，拜登會贏得88種。

It's hard to imagine anyone losing this advantage, but this is where Biden's three decade record of not sealing the deal really give them the edge.

很難想象有誰會失去這個優勢，但這也是拜登三十年來不封殺的記錄真正給他們帶來優勢的地方。

Yeah, to win again, Trump would need the equivalent of four James Comey letters, which Comey would likely be flattered to provide.

是啊，要想再次獲勝，特朗普需要相當於四封詹姆斯-科米的信，而科米很可能會受寵若驚地提供這些信。

Now, Cory, should Democrats feel good about these numbers?

現在，科裡，民主黨人應該對這些數字感到高興嗎？

Or should they remember that America has an open relationship with majority rule?

或者他們應該記住，美國與多數人統治的關係是開放的？

Look, we just need to do what we need to do, and I know we haven't been always in that place to do it.

聽著，我們只需要做我們需要做的事情，我知道我們並不總是在那個地方做。

But look, just show up and vote.

但你看，只要來投票就可以了。

Biden may actually have enough support to beat Trump.

拜登可能真的有足夠的支持率來擊敗特朗普。

The state legislatures committed to disenfranchisement the Republican Party's legal apparatus dead set on ending the count early, and the Supreme Court rigged to throw any disputed election to trump.

州立法機構致力於剝奪共和黨的法律機器死守著提前結束計票，最高法院也操縱著將任何有爭議的選舉拋給特朗普。

But in the meantime, holy smokes Texas could be blue on election night.

但與此同時，神聖的煙霧德州可能在選舉之夜變成藍色。

Now President Trump is double dipping his code fries and swing states across the ranch.

現在，特朗普總統在牧場各地的代碼薯條和搖擺州雙管齊下。

Bucket of America.

美國的桶。

Here's the president saying Joe Biden's wrong and we're gonna have a friggin blast during the next six months of death and despair.

總統說喬・拜登錯了 在接下來的6個月裡 我們會在死亡和絕望中大開殺戒的

You heard him the other night.

那天晚上你也聽到了

This is going to be a dark winter.

這將是一個黑暗的冬天。

No, it's not going to be a dark with gonna be a great winter.

不，它不會是一個黑暗的 與會是一個偉大的冬天。

It's gonna be a great spring is right.

這將是一個偉大的春天是正確的。

Winner won't be that dark considering the constant flashing of ambulance lights.

考慮到救護車燈光的不斷閃爍，贏家不會那麼黑。

Corey, do you think this winter is going to be great or are you also living in America?

科裡，你覺得這個冬天會很美好，還是說你也生活在美國？

I think this winter will be great because we'll be done with what we've had.

我想這個冬天會很好，因為我們會用我們的東西來完成。

We've had a dark four years and it is time Thio have a ball.

我們已經度過了黑暗的四年，是時候讓Thio來一場球了。

This this is for us.

這這是給我們的。

So goodbye.

所以，再見了。

So the you know, big daddy of bigotry.

所以，你知道，偏執的大爸爸。

Yes, honey, I'm ready to party.

是的，親愛的，我已經準備好參加聚會了。

Please stop stealing my dance moves.

請不要再偷我的舞蹈動作了。

Though I think it's smart for buying a lower expectations.

雖然我覺得買個較低的期望值是明智的。

When I interviewed to be anchor, I told them I'm gonna tank these ratings and there's a good chance we're all going to die.

當我面試做主播的時候，我跟他們說，我要把這些收視率搞上去，很有可能我們都會死。

Yes.

是的，我知道

Now, President Covert fee fee may be on to something here with the power of positive thinking.

現在，Covert費主席可能是在這裡用積極思維的力量。

I mean, I thought positively about wanting to be single into my thirties, and here I am, and I like it, and I am doing it by choice, and I have no problem with it, honey.

我的意思是，我想積極 關於想成為單身到我30多歲， 我在這裡，我喜歡它， 我這樣做是出於自願， 我沒有問題，親愛的。

Problem with it.

它的問題。

Why is everyone dogging on Trump or denying reality?

為什麼大家都對特朗普狗急跳牆或者否認現實？

What's wrong with that?

這有什麼不好？

Do you know how many times I would have shown up to court if I accepted the things that I've done wrong?

如果我接受了我做錯的事情，你知道我會出現在法庭上多少次嗎？

But instead I leave the country for a year, And then they realized that I have no money to sue me for and they drop it.

但我卻出國一年，然後他們發現我沒錢告我，他們就放棄了。

You know, I agree with you, Kylie and James.

你知道，我同意你的觀點，凱莉和詹姆斯。

I'm gonna cut you off because I just got to say Trump needs to show some responsibility here.

我要打斷你，因為我要說的是，特朗普需要在這裡表現出一些責任感。

Where a mask donate to charity every day.

凡是一張面膜每天捐給慈善機構。

Little things that I do like, let an old lady walk me across the street to make her feel empower.

我喜歡的小事，讓一個老太太陪我走過馬路，讓她覺得有力量。

Oh, she hates you, too.

哦，她也恨你。

Now, moving out.

現在，搬出去。

President Trump continues his victory lap in his 100 square foot tracks after the confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett, control those women scared about losing contraceptive rights.

特朗普總統在確認了艾米-科尼-巴雷特之後，繼續在他的100平方英尺的軌道上進行勝利圈，控制那些害怕失去避孕權利的女性。

Don't worry.

別擔心

A CB did like really well in school.

一個CB在學校裡做得像真的很好。

She's fantastic, fantastic person, fantastic woman, a great student, her professor, her great professor at Notre Dame, said.

她是夢幻般的，夢幻般的人，夢幻般的女人，一個偉大的學生，她的教授，她在聖母院的偉大教授，說。

And he's been teaching a long time.

而且他已經教了很久了。

A lot of great legal minds.

很多優秀的法律人才。

He's thought, he said.

他想，他說。

She is the single greatest student he's ever had.

她是他有史以來最優秀的學生。

That was good enough for me.

這對我來說已經很好了。

This is what the founding Fathers met when they envisioned a nation for the people by the people, all riding on the opinion of one ordered a professor.

這就是開國元勳們所遇到的，當他們設想一個民有民享的國家時，所有的一切都騎在一個下令教授的意見上。

Funny enough, that same professor, John Garvey, made headlines by turning Catholic universities dormitory single sex because, according to him, the two most serious ethical challenges college students face are binge drinking and the culture of hooking up.

有趣的是，同為教授的約翰-加維，把天主教大學宿舍的單身性行為搬上了頭條，因為在他看來，大學生面臨的兩個最嚴重的道德挑戰是暴飲暴食和勾心鬥角的文化。

I would have thought that young women would have a civilizing influence on young men.

我本以為，年輕女性會對年輕男性產生文明的影響。

Yet the Causal Aero seems to run the other way.

然而，因果愛羅似乎是反其道而行之。

He's right.

他是對的

The biggest threat to young Americans today is experiencing normal human interactions.

當今美國年輕人最大的威脅就是經歷正常的人際交往。

In 2016 the Democrats should have nominated someone smarter than Harvard graduate Merrick Garland, of course, known for soaking his shirt so completely in drool that he'd have to change three times a day.

2016年，民主黨應該提名一個比哈佛大學畢業生梅里克-加蘭更聰明的人，當然，他的襯衫完全浸泡在口水中，一天要換三次衣服，這也是眾所周知的。

That is a great point.

這是一個很好的觀點。

Ike and James.

艾克和詹姆斯。

I've got to cut you off.

我得跟你斷絕關係。

I gotta say this.

我得說這個。

It's scary to know we could be dealing with the repercussions of a 63 court for the rest of our lives.

要知道我們可能一輩子都要面對63法庭的影響，這很可怕。

But I know my girl.

但我知道我的女孩。

Dianne Feinstein is playing some serious three d chess here and will reveal her master plan to fix it soon enough.

戴安-費恩斯坦在這裡下了一些嚴重的三D棋，並將很快揭示她的修復計劃的總計劃。

I doubt that now.

我現在很懷疑

The Biden campaign deployed the risky strategy of letting the candidate appear in front of people again.

拜登競選活動部署了讓候選人再次出現在人們面前的風險策略。

Here he is having a senior moment where he thought Trump had someone running his staff as chief of staff just last week made a stunning the mission, saying Quote, We're not going to control the pandemic.

他在這裡有一個高級的時刻，他認為特朗普有人作為參謀長管理他的工作人員，就在上週做出了一個驚人的任務，說：報價，我們不會控制流行病。

End of quote, We're not going to control the pandemic.

引用結束，我們不會控制疫情。

It's a capitulation.

這是一個投降。

So waving a white flag fact check, The Trump administration does not own white flags that they do have plenty of white sheets.

所以揮舞著白旗事實檢查，特朗普政府並不擁有白旗，他們確實有很多白紙。

Hold on coastal elites like Joe Lion.

握住喬獅等沿海精英。

They don't know what the South wants.

他們不知道南方想要什麼。

Come on, its coastal elites like me and Donny Trump, who know what the South wants always valuable perspective.

來吧，它的沿海精英，如我和唐尼-特朗普，誰知道南方想要什麼總是寶貴的觀點。

Tyler, now Meanwhile, Kamala Harris was in Nevada asking voters to take a risky gamble on a stubborn old man who hasn't changed his mind since the Nixon presidency.

泰勒，現在同時，卡馬拉-哈里斯在內華達州要求選民在一個頑固的老人身上進行一場冒險的賭博，這個老人自尼克松任總統以來一直沒有改變主意。

Corey Bernie won the Nevada primary in a landslide.

科裡-伯尼以壓倒性優勢贏得了內華達州的初選。

Should Kamala Harris trick voters into thinking she's Bernie by bringing out Jane Sanders and kissing your square on the mouth, that still wouldn't work?

如果卡馬拉-哈里斯騙選民以為她是伯尼，把簡-桑德斯拿出來親你的正嘴，那還是不行嗎？

That wouldn't work.

那是行不通的。

She just needs to being bring Bernie out.

她只需要把伯尼帶出來。

What about if you just walked out there with crackers in his pocket?

那如果你就這樣帶著他口袋裡的餅乾走出去呢？

You know, what would that do it?

你知道，那會有什麼作用嗎？

Now?

現在？

Look, I know a thing or two about Vegas.

聽著，我對拉斯維加斯有一兩個瞭解。

Camilla should have campaigned there in shame High to get from her spouse and then mentally blocked it for the rest of her life.

卡米拉應該在那裡競選羞恥高從她的配偶那裡得到，然後在精神上封鎖它的餘生。

What a shock that the enemy of Freedom Democrats think they can get a win and the Gulag State that banned me from a Korean War memorabilia convention at the Golden Nugget.

自由民主黨的敵人認為他們可以獲得勝利，以及禁止我參加金塊的朝鮮戰爭紀念品大會的古拉格國家，真是令人震驚。

The Golden Nugget.

金塊。

Camilla's just showing us again who the true face of this ticket ISS, her running mate, is again unknown.

卡米拉只是再次向我們展示了誰是這張票的真面目ISS，她的競選夥伴，又是未知數。

The leading theory is someone named Billy Johnson.

領先的理論是一個叫比利-約翰遜的人。

He is extremely huge, drives a Jeep Cherokee with no doors, speaks through his terrible cooking, and he will be our next president.

他身材極度龐大，開著一輛沒有車門的吉普切諾基，通過他糟糕的廚藝說話，他將成為我們的下一任總統。