Name: 川普關稅大戰慘敗！接下來比1929年大蕭條更糟！ (TRUMP Lost Tariffs WAR! - What’s Coming is Worse Than 1929 Depression)
Uploaded: 2026-02-16T18:07:29.000Z
Duration: 11 min 21 s

程度副詞

基礎被動語態

Tariffs were supposed to save the American economy and force other nations to buy more from the United States.

關稅本來是要拯救美國經濟，並迫使其他國家多買美國的產品。

情態副詞

But here we are, one year later, other countries not only just not buying more from the United States, but

但一年過去了，其他國家不只沒有增加對美國的採購，

rather they are building closer ties with the United States and ditching the US Dollar.

反而跟美國建立了更緊密的關係，並且拋棄了美元。

But that's just the beginning, because what is about to happen is a lot worse than most people imagine.

但這只是個開始，因為接下來發生的事，比大多數人想像的還要糟。

Donald Trump justified the tariffs by claiming that other nations are not buying from the states as much as the United States is buying from these countries.

川普聲稱其他國家從美國進口的量，不如美國從這些國家進口的量，以此來合理化關稅。

但如果我告訴你，這不是真的呢？

What if I told you that the United States was the ultimate beneficiary from the free trade?

如果我告訴你，美國才是自由貿易的最大受益者呢？

And these free trade agreements allowed the United States companies to dominate the rest of the world, which was the main reason.

而這些自由貿易協定讓美國公司稱霸全世界，這才是主要原因。

That's why the United States economy is the world's largest economy.

這就是為什麼美國經濟是世界第一大經濟體。

Amazon is a US Company and makes hundreds of billions of dollars by selling to the United States.

Amazon 是一家美國公司，透過賣給美國商品賺取數千億美元。

However, Amazon also dominates the European market, the UK market and Canada and many other nations.

不過，Amazon 也稱霸歐洲市場、英國市場和加拿大，以及其他許多國家。

But it's not directly selling from the United States to the European Union, but

但它並非直接從美國賣到歐盟，而是

rather Amazon creates a subsidiary in the eu.

So there is something called Amazon eu, Amazon uk, Amazon Canada, and

所以有 Amazon eu、Amazon uk、Amazon Canada，

it sells hundreds of billions of dollars worth of products in these countries.

在這些國家賣出價值數千億美元的商品。

The, the only question is that what is going to happen to the profits?

那個，唯一的問題是，利潤會怎麼樣呢？

The profits will come back to the United States in form of return on investment or maybe Amazon is going to lease it is intellectual property to Amazon Canada and Amazon Canada is going to pay hundreds of billions of dollars in royalties to the United States.

利潤會以投資回報的形式回到美國，或者 Amazon 會將其知識產權授權給 Amazon Canada，Amazon Canada 會支付數千億美元的權利金給美國。

So Amazon United States is the ultimate beneficiary.

所以 Amazon 美國是最終的受益者。

So Amazon makes hundreds of billions of dollars across the globe through that money will come back to the United States, will be spent in the United States.

所以 Amazon 在全球各地賺進數千億美元，這些錢會回到美國，會在美國消費。

And if you spend that money in the United States, it is going to grow the US gdp, but

而如果你在美國消費這些錢，就會增加美國國內生產總值，但是

that money is also going to be reinvested back in the United States.

So better technologies will be built in the United States which will keep the US Company to dominate that sector.

這樣一來，美國就能開發出更好的技術，讓美國公司在這個產業繼續稱霸。

But if you pull out the US Trade balance, you won't actually see these transactions.

但如果你把美國的貿易餘額抽出來看，你其實看不到這些交易。

And that's why the United States has a trade balance with so many countries and is buying free far more than it's selling to other nations.

這也是為什麼美國跟這麼多國家都有貿易逆差，而且買的比賣的多。

Because most of that money comes back to the United States in form of return to investments or the profits that these companies have made outside the United States.

因為大部分的錢都會以投資回報或這些公司在美國以外賺取的利潤形式回到美國。

So the United States is literally the ultimate beneficiary of the free Trade agreements.

所以美國真的是自由貿易協定的最終受益者。

And these free trade agreements is what allows the United States to dominate these markets.

而這些自由貿易協定，就是讓美國稱霸這些市場的關鍵。

The entire European Union uses Apple, Microsoft and Tesla bank.

整個歐盟都使用 Apple、Microsoft 和 Tesla 的銀行服務。

But Apples are not being sold, or iPhones are not being built in the United States and sent to European Union.

但 Apple 並不是在美國銷售，或是在美國製造 iPhone 再運到歐盟。

But rather they're designed in the United States, manufactured in China and then shipped to the European Union.

而是它們在美國設計，在中國製造，然後運往歐盟。

And you can claim that it is China that is actually profiting out of this transaction, which is actually true to a certain extent.

你可能會說，從這筆交易中獲利的其實是中國，這在某種程度上是真的。

But at the end of the day, the profits will come back to the United States and it's the American company that will be able to reinvest that money back in the United States, grow the American economy.

但最終，利潤還是會回到美國，而美國公司就能夠將這筆錢重新投資回美國，壯大美國經濟。

But if you look at the trade balance, you won't actually see these numbers.

但如果你看貿易平衡，你其實看不到這些數字。

The exact same thing applies to Microsoft, Tesla, Tesla manufactures its EVs in the European Union, but

Microsoft、Tesla 的情況也完全一樣，Tesla 在歐盟製造電動車，但

the profits ultimately will come back to the United States.

This exact framework allows the United States to dominate the financial markets, which is why companies such as Visa and MasterCard completely dominate the entire European, British and Canadian markets.

這個完全相同的架構讓美國能夠稱霸金融市場，這也是為什麼 Visa 和 MasterCard 這類公司能夠完全稱霸整個歐洲、英國和加拿大市場。

That allows US Banks to be the most dominant players and every single payment system such as PayPal that also dominate these markets.

這讓美國銀行成為每個支付系統中最具主導地位的玩家，像是 PayPal 也稱霸了這些市場。

The same terminology applies to all other industries, including media.

其他所有產業，包括媒體業，也適用相同的術語。

But what is happening right now is that European countries now want to create an alternative to Visa and MasterCard because the United States is weaponizing trade, it is weaponizing tariffs.

但現在發生的情況是，歐洲國家現在想要創造 Visa 和 MasterCard 的替代方案，因為美國正在將貿易武器化，將關稅武器化。

What if the United States tomorrow no longer wants us to use Visa?

如果美國明天不再讓我們使用 Visa，那會怎麼樣？

Or are European countries are capable to build an alternative to Visa?

還是說歐洲國家有能力建立 Visa 的替代方案？

it is going to create a real competition for the United States.

這將會為美國創造真正的競爭。

Up until now they could easily rely on the United States.

到目前為止，他們可以輕鬆地依賴美國。

But because now the United States is literally forcing these countries to sign deals that are really bad for them, even though that the United States was the ultimate beneficiary from these free trade agreements.

但因為現在美國實際上正在強迫這些國家簽署對他們非常不利的協議，儘管美國是這些自由貿易協定的最終受益者。

They have to act and they have to create systems alternative to the United States, which what is going to happen in 3 to 5 years to Visa and MasterCard?

他們必須採取行動，必須建立替代美國的系統，這將會在三到五年內發生在 Visa 和 MasterCard 身上嗎？

Now they will face a very serious competition in the European Union.

現在他們將在歐盟面臨非常嚴重的競爭。

And when you have one company dominates the European market, what is going to happen to it?

當一家公司壟斷了歐洲市場，會發生什麼事？

It is going to come to the United States and compete with Visa and MasterCard in the United States.

它會來到美國，並在美國與 Visa 和 MasterCard 競爭。

It will compete with American companies in every single country across the globe.

它將在世界各國與美國公司競爭。

And the payment System, Visa and MasterCard is just one example.

而支付系統，Visa 和 MasterCard 只是其中一個例子。

The same thing could happen to smartphones, computer chips, tech companies, financial sector, media and entertainment, you name it.

同樣的事情也可能發生在智慧型手機、電腦晶片、科技公司、金融業、媒體和娛樂業，等等。

EU also signed a free trade agreement with India, which they called it the largest free trade agreement you can possibly imagine.

歐盟也和印度簽署了自由貿易協定，他們稱之為你能想像到的最大自由貿易協定。

Canada signed a trillion dollar deal with China.

加拿大和中國簽署了兆美元的協議。

UK is resetting trade relationships with China.

英國正在重新設定與中國的貿易關係。

The UK had very hostile relationship with China and over the last eight years the relationship, especially when it comes to trade, were deteriorating.

英國曾與中國關係非常敵對，在過去八年裡，尤其是在貿易方面，這種關係一直在惡化。

But now the Prime Minister of the UK visits China and signs a very good trade deal with them.

但現在英國首相訪問中國，並與他們簽署了一份非常好的貿易協議。

EU also have signed a free trade agreement with South American countries to boost the trade between these two continents.

歐盟也和南美國家簽署了自由貿易協定，以促進兩大洲之間的貿易。

The EU has also created a framework for a deal with Indonesia to so maybe sometime in the future there could be a free trade agreement between Indonesia and the European Union.

歐盟也為與印尼達成協議建立了框架，所以未來或許會有印尼和歐盟之間的自由貿易協定。

And all of this has happened in one single year.

這一切都發生在短短一年之內。

Usually this supposed to take decades for this to happen.

However, because of Trump's tariffs, all these countries are quickly ditching the United States and are moving away and are diversifying their trade partners.

然而，由於川普的關稅，這些國家都在迅速拋棄美國，並轉向並分散他們的貿易夥伴。

事實上，美國經濟正在蓬勃發展。

The GDP last year was 2% and I mean the real GDP growth, inflation is falling down, the labor market is very strong.

去年的國內生產總值是 2%，我是說實際國內生產總值增長，通膨正在下降，勞動市場非常強勁。

Why don't we see the impact of that on the economy?

那為什麼我們沒看到對經濟的影響呢？

The reality is that these trade agreements don't actually happen instantly.

事實是，這些貿易協定並不會馬上生效。

You're not going to see the impact of these agreements the next day.

你不會隔天就看到這些協定的影響。

For example, when they develop their payment system that is alternative to Visa and MasterCard.

例如，當他們開發出一個能取代 Visa 和 MasterCard 的支付系統時。

That might happen in a year, by the end of 2026 or maybe 2027.

這可能要到一年後，也就是 2026 年底或 2027 年才會發生。

And that's when the competition is going to happen in five years from now because they're signing trade agreements with India and China.

而這就是五年後競爭發生的時候，因為他們正與印度和中國簽署貿易協定。

American companies will face a very fierce competition in three to five years in the European Union.

美國公司在三到五年內，在歐盟將面臨非常激烈的競爭。

So the implications of these free trade agreements don't actually happen instantly.

所以，這些自由貿易協定的影響並不會馬上顯現。

It is most likely going to happen during the next President of the United States.

這最有可能會在下一任美國總統任內發生。

If you look at the US history, the United States has always thrived on the global trade.

如果你看看美國的歷史，美國一直以來都是靠著全球貿易蓬勃發展。

What makes the US Economy the most powerful economy is not because the United States has isolated itself, but

讓美國經濟如此強大的原因，並不是因為美國把自己孤立起來，而是

rather the United States is trading with other nations.

Back during the 19th century, the 20th century, the United States was actively trading and selling to other nations.

回顧 19 世紀、20 世紀，美國積極地與其他國家進行貿易和銷售。

The only time that the United States has massively increased the tariffs was back during 1930 when Great Depression happened.

美國大幅提高關稅的唯一一次，是在 1930 年大蕭條發生時。

President Hoover decided that in order to protect American farmers, we are going to impose tariffs on foreign products so that Americans will buy more American farmer products.

胡佛總統決定，為了保護美國農民，我們要對外國產品徵收關稅，這樣美國人就會多買美國農產品。

But what happened in reality is that other countries have also introduced tariffs against the United States and global trade Halted, which is why Great Depression became Great Depression.

但實際上發生的是，其他國家也對美國實施了關稅，全球貿易停滯，這就是為什麼大蕭條會變成大蕭條。

This could have easily been a crisis that would last one or two years, but

這本來很容易就變成一兩年的危機，但

it lasted 10 years because the United States introduced tariffs.

卻持續了 10 年，因為美國實施了關稅。

Other nations retaliated by introducing similar tariffs and global trade stopped.

其他國家也以實施類似關稅作為報復，全球貿易就此停止。

And when you're thriving on a global trade and you stop the global trade, what do you think is happening to your economy?

當你依賴全球貿易，卻停止了全球貿易，你覺得你的經濟會發生什麼事？

And the only reason that the United States got out of Great Depression and became the world's largest economy is because during 1940s when the rest of the world was fighting one another, the United States was trading, it was selling to the uk, to the Soviet Union, to the rest of the European countries.

而美國之所以能擺脫大蕭條，成為世界最大經濟體，是因為在 1940 年代，當世界各國都在互相爭鬥時，美國卻在進行貿易，賣給英國、賣給蘇聯、賣給歐洲其他國家。

If the US had such bad trade agreements since 1945, why is the United States the world's largest economy?

如果美國自 1945 年以來就有這麼糟糕的貿易協定，為什麼美國是世界最大的經濟體？

Why US companies dominate the entire world, why McDonald's is literally in every single city in the world.

為什麼美國公司稱霸全世界，為什麼麥當勞幾乎遍佈全球每個城市。

Why Coca Cola is recognized in every single village in the world.

為什麼可口可樂在世界上每個村莊都廣為人知。

economy became the world's largest economy and it has been growing so insanely fast since 1945?

經濟是如何成為世界最大經濟體，並且自 1945 年以來以驚人的速度成長？

Maybe because this free trade agreements are much more beneficial to the United States.

也許是因為這些自由貿易協定對美國更有利。

For example, it allows the US Dollar to be the global reserve currency.

例如，這讓美元成為全球儲備貨幣。

So it allows the United States to borrow as much money as it wants.

所以這讓美國可以隨心所欲地借貸。

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川普關稅大戰慘敗！接下來比1929年大蕭條更糟！ (TRUMP Lost Tariffs WAR! - What’s Coming is Worse Than 1929 Depression)

literally

entire

ultimate

depression