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  • At the center of this big factory in the Netherlands, in the midst of a months-long assembly process, there's a revolutionary machine that the

  • whole world has come to rely on.

  • You can see an EUV machine right behind me.

  • The size of a city bus, but working with atomic level precision, these EUV lithography machines are the most expensive step in making every advanced

  • microchip that powers the modern digital age: data centers, cars and every single iPhone.

  • We are the only provider on the planet of this critical technology.

  • These machines are the only way to print miniscule designs on these chips. They cost up to $200 million. And they're only made by a single company:

  • Advanced Semiconductor Materials Lithography, or ASML.

  • Today, ASML has a monopoly on the fabrication of EUV lithography machines, the most advanced type of lithography equipment that's needed to make every

  • single advanced processor chip that we use today. And this company is one of the most extraordinary organizations in the world. The machines that

  • they produce, each one of them is among the most complicated devices ever made.

  • In the midst of a chip shortage that's caused backorders of everything from PS5s to Teslas, the need for ASML has never been higher. Its stock has

  • skyrocketed since 2018. While it's three main customers, chipmakers TSMC, Intel and Samsung vie to be front-of-line for ASML's next breakthrough

  • technology. The price tag for this next machine, which promises to push the boundaries of known physics, is more than $300 million.

  • It's so expensive that most companies cannot afford it.

  • While the chip was rage on, we wanted to find out what's really going on inside the quiet company making the machines that print them all.

  • This is the optical part of the machine that makes EUV possible.

  • We got a rare tour inside ASML's cleanrooms in California and the Netherlands to see how these machines use precision lasers, exploding

  • molten tin, and the smoothest surface in the world to bring our digital age to life.

  • ASML's crucial role on the chipmaking stage has brought it wild success over the past few years, making it even more valuable today than Intel, one

  • of the biggest chipmakers it supplies.

  • It's double digit growth every year. We're not a startup. No, we have now 32,000 people.

  • Peter Wennink has been CEO since 2013. But he joined ASML back in 1999, just 15 years after its humble beginnings. It started as a subsidiary of

  • Dutch electronics giant Philips in 1984, conducting research out of a leaky shed next to a Philips office building in Eindhoven in the Netherlands.

  • They were in financial dire straits, so we had no money. We were poor. And because the problems Philips had were so big, nobody looked at this little

  • outfit out there that was trying to do something crazy, so they neglected us.

  • Still, in its first year, the company successfully launched a first-of-its-kind machine that used precise rays of light to print tiny

  • designs on silicon to make microchips, a technology known as lithography.

  • The first lithography tool really looked like a projector. There is basically a reticle, which holds the image that you want to project, then

  • there is an optical system, which is going to take this image and project it on the wafer.

  • Semiconductor lithography was invented in a U.S. military lab and for a long time, up through the 1980s, the key lithography firms were American,

  • based in New England.

  • Chris Miller of Tufts University is writing a book called, "The Chip War: The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology."

  • When the industry was getting ready to jump into the early stages of EUV research, none of the U.S. firms were ready to take the plunge on what

  • would be an expensive and risky proposition, whereas ASML was.

  • By 1988, ASML had five U.S. offices with 84 employees and a new Dutch office that eventually became its headquarters in Veldhoven, where CNBC

  • took a tour earlier this month.

  • We're walking through the EUV factory, which is about 50,000 square meters of space with 1,500 employees, who are working in shifts seven by 24 to

  • produce 100% of the EUV machines shipped worldwide from this facility.

  • With a breakthrough machine, ASML started turning a profit and went public on the Amsterdam and New York Stock Exchange in 1995. By the 2000s ASML was

  • acquiring California tech companies like Silicon Valley Group, and various key suppliers like Cymer in San Diego, where we also got an inside look at

  • the cleanroom where ASML's light source is produced.

  • So this is actually the nozzle manufacturing area where we actually build the nozzles. This is actually the piece where the tin shoots out of. That's

  • what's going to create your EUV.

  • EUV refers to extreme ultraviolet, an incredibly short wavelength of light that ASML uses to print smaller, more complex chips. But developing this

  • revolutionary technology was incredibly expensive.

  • We didn't have the money. So we went out and we found partners, which actually was the basis of the way that we built the company. So we were

  • forced to be a system architect and a system integrator.

  • In 2012, ASML offered about a quarter of its shares to its biggest three customers: Intel, Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., or

  • TSMC.

  • They had to accelerate the r&d for EUV and the only way they could do this is to get their largest customers involved. And one way you can make your

  • commitment real is to make them a shareholder.

  • ASML is a Dutch company, but it's also a Dutch company that relies very heavily on U.S. components, in particular for its machines, and at this

  • point, relies also very heavily on one Taiwanese customer for its sales.

  • TSMC made up nearly 40% of ASML's sales last year. In 2019. The Taiwanese chipmaker was the first to deliver high volume chips made with EUV, a

  • milestone that's kept it at the head of the pack ever since, its chip technology at least one node ahead of Samsung and Intel.

  • And it has been TSMC's customers that have gained a lot of benefit, like AMD, Nvidia and others. And yeah, you can argue that this has come at the

  • expense of Intel not executing.

  • Intel is just now producing its first chips with EUV this year, three years behind TSMC. But it's made a bold move in hopes of catching up: an early

  • investment to secure the first prototype of ASML's next machine, High Numerical Aperture. To understand why the success of a giant like Intel

  • hinges on ASML, let's take a look at how EUV lithography revolutionized chipmaking.

  • When you start breaking down, what does it take to make an EUV lithography machine it's sort of Nobel Prize winning in terms of the engineering

  • involved.

  • Chips are made from silicone, an abundant element found in rocks and sand, that's purified, melted down, then sliced into circular wafers, the surface

  • on which chips are built in a grid formation. Each wafer can have dozens of thin layers, making up billions of transistors that determine what the

  • chips can do. These layers are printed using lithography. Extremely precise rays of light are projected through a mask of the chip design. When the

  • light hits the surface of the wafers, which have been coated with photoresist chemicals, it prints the minuscule designs on each layer at

  • extremely high volumes.

  • If you think of a typical processor chip in an iPhone, for example, will have over 10 billion transistors on a chip and Apple will sell 100 million

  • or more iPhones for each model that's rolled out. So you're already talking in numbers that are far bigger than you or I remember how to pronounce.

  • As the wavelength of the light source in making chips gets narrower and narrower. It gives us the ability to make chips with smaller features,

  • which means the chip is faster, the chip can be smaller, the power consumption of the chip can be lower.

  • The smallest transistors are more than 10,000 times thinner than a human hair. The designs have gotten so small ASML had to develop new methods of

  • printing at the very edge of known physics. With the help of customer investments and a consortium of scientists, ASML figured out a way to

  • create large amounts of extreme ultraviolet light with a wavelength so short, it's not only invisible to the human eye, it's absorbed by all

  • natural substances, even air, so the entire process has to happen in a vacuum, a first for lithography. At 13.5 nanometers, ASML's EUV wavelength

  • is the size of just five DNA strands lead side-by-side. The previous generation machines used deep ultraviolet light, or DUV, with a wavelength

  • of 193 nanometers. The vast majority of ASML's business 268 of the 309 machines sold in 2021, still use DUV technology which is used to print the

  • less advanced chips which are in shortest supply.

  • DUV is for anything that is low technology like a toaster, or refrigerator, or even some of the electronics in your car. Today's iPhone 13 is EUV.

  • Both DUV and EUV lithography is so advanced, it requires precision down to the atom.

  • This is an EUV cabin of our cleanroom, which is 10,000 times cleaner than the outside air. We're wearing this clothing not to protect ourselves from

  • the environment, but we're protecting the machine from the contamination that's created by us.

  • This tiny threat may look like the strand of a spiderweb, but it's actually molten tin being shot out at a pressure of 4,000 psi. And it's how the EUV

  • light is created.

  • This is continuous tin. It never ever, ever stops.

  • The tin is streaming through a perfectly calibrated nozzle which we saw being built in San Diego, at a rate of 50,000 droplets per second. A 30

  • kilowatt carbon dioxide laser hits each droplet twice per second, vaporizing them into plasma. These tiny explosions are what emit photons of

  • EUV light. A huge number of tin explosions need to happen because only about 5% of the photons reach the actual wafer. The light particles are so

  • short they get absorbed by mirrors, the typical method used to precisely aim light through a lens. So ASML partnered with German optics company

  • Zeiss, which makes the flattest surface in the world.

  • The flatness is really just incredible. If you took a mirror element that is maybe this big, and you blew it up to the size of the country that we're

  • in, the biggest bump would only be about one millimeter across the entire surface of a mirror the size of this country.

  • EUV light bounces off these groundbreaking Zeiss mirrors until it hits photoresist chemicals on the surface of the silicon wafer to print

  • miniscule designs that make up the chips. The aim needs to be so precise, TSMC says it's equivalent to shining a laser from the moon to hit a coin on

  • the earth.

  • So your tin is inside a reservoir here, and then you're firing out this way.

  • Pete Mayol has been running this cleanroom for six years.

  • If any kind of defect particle whatsoever is even on the tip of that capillary, it's a fail. We'll remove and start all over again.

  • And the speed and scale at which this has to happen is staggering. ASML says an EUV machine churns out about 3,000 wafers a day. There can be

  • hundreds of chips on a 300 millimeter wafer, and up to 10 billion transistors per chip.

  • They take extraordinary achievements of engineering and physics, and they're able to replicate these on a mass production scale, and at a low

  • enough cost where these machines can be used in chip fabs to churn out thousands and millions of chips for the companies that buy them.

  • A completed EUV machine is actually made up of seven different modules, each built at one of ASML's six manufacturing sites among its 60 total

  • locations around the world, then shipped to and reassembled in Veldhoven for testing. Then it's disassembled again for shipment, which takes 20

  • trucks and three fully loaded 747s. In 2021, ASML sold 42 EUV machines, bringing the grand total it's ever shipped to just about 140. With each

  • machine costing up to $200 million, only five customers can afford to buy EUV systems: Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung, Intel and TSMC, the last three

  • making up nearly 84% of ASML's business.

  • It certainly has eliminated a lot of players out of that market. So we saw GlobalFoundries back five years ago or more say that they weren't going to

  • pursue a seven-nanometer chip.

  • The handful of huge customers it does have are furiously adding capacity to try to ease the global chip shortage, which is impacting ASML, too.

  • We got a lot of messages from our suppliers that said, hey, we might be late in delivering our modules to you guys because we cannot get the chips.

  • And we said, if we cannot get the chips, we cannot make the machines to make more chips. So there's a catch 22. We're still managing, keep our

  • fingers crossed. But it's a daily struggle.

  • The question is, can ASML keep up with demand?

  • I think the answer is probably yes. Maybe the growth will exceed even their targets, that's possible. But they're certainly preparing to ramp up the

  • production, which is I think good news if you're worried about a chip shortage.

  • The world needs more chips, so we need to make more machines, which by the way will keep growing in average selling price as long as we can drive the

  • cost per transistor down, which is exactly what we've been doing for the last 38 years. And we will keep doing for the next couple decades.

  • Before EUV, chipmakers had three companies they could choose from for their photo lithography tools: ASML, Nikon and Canon. Nikon, in Japan, is still a

  • competitor for DUV, but ASML is the only option for EUV. Experts say it could take decades for any other company to catch up, not only because of

  • ASML's proprietary tech, but because it's built complex, often exclusive, deals with nearly 800 suppliers.

  • And we're unique to our customers, like some of our suppliers are unique to us. And those almost symbiotic relationships, some people say are worse

  • than being married because you cannot divorce.

  • It takes 10 years to not only get the technology but then be accepted. So the buyers for semiconductor manufacturing fabs are very risk averse.

  • One of the ways ASML has insulated itself against supply chain risks is by purchasing some of its suppliers, like Berliner Glas in 2020. A fire broke

  • out there in January. But Wennink says it won't significantly impact system output in 2022. Instead, ASML projects a 20% sales growth this year, and an

  • annual revenue growth rate of 11% until the end of the decade.

  • It's actually driven by you. You're asking for more solutions that will help you to have a better life, to make your life easier, your life more

  • productive. We're changing into a sensing world. There are sensors everywhere. They're in your car, they're in your fridge, they're in your

  • PC, they're everywhere. Sensors, they need semiconductors.

  • All of the world's most advanced semiconductors are made in Asia by two of ASML's biggest customers, TSMC and Samsung. But the chip shortage has

  • raised concerns about overseas dependency.

  • This is why you see all these initiatives around the globe: the U.S. CHIPS Act, the EU Chips Act, the Korean Chips Act, the Japanese Chips Act, the

  • Chinese Chips Act. It's now a very strategic commodity.

  • Intel just announced a $20 billion chip fab in Ohio. And it's also building one in Arizona, just down the road from a massive new fab where TSMC will

  • make advanced chips in the U.S. for the first time. And Samsung is building a $17 billion fab in Texas. All this came after President Joe Biden

  • proposed the CHIPA Act, with $52 billion in subsidies for chip companies to manufacture on U.S. soil.

  • It means that we need to ship our machines sooner, earlier, and at higher volume. So it means we need to hire more people in the U.S. It's talent,

  • it's people. I think that's where the biggest challenge will be.

  • But this movement toward domestic production has another side that poses a challenge for ASML: a desire to stop sharing chipmaking technology with

  • China.

  • China has wanted to get into that race. But there's been politically generated reasons why China has not had access to the same type of

  • technology as other companies.

  • As far back as 2018, the Trump administration reportedly pressed ASML not to sell EUV systems to China. ASML still hasn't sold a single EUV machine

  • to China.

  • 43, 42 countries around the globe have agreed to put export control measures on it because it's so critical. So it's not our choice. It's the

  • choice of governments.

  • ASML also refurbishes older lithography systems and sends many of those to China, more recent DUV machines all the way back to its early systems from

  • the 90s.

  • 96% of all the machines we ever sold, we ever shipped, are still working.

  • There's a lot of debate about whether selling additional DUV equipment to China is also a national security risk by letting China increase its

  • ability to manufacture close-to-cutting-edge semiconductors. So I think there's some chance that in the coming years, there are new restrictions

  • that are imposed on ASML's ability to sell DUV equipment to China as well.

  • If export controls were expanded to include DUV machines, it could greatly impact ASML's bottom line.

  • This is where the biggest demand is. This is where the exponential curve is. So trust me, we need every manufacturing capability on the planet,

  • whether it's in Korea or in China, to just keep adding capacity.

  • Let's go look at the big boy.

  • And then there's the question of whether demand for the most advanced chips will remain high enough to support continued development of ASML's next

  • generation EUV machine, High NA. This is the machine Intel announced it will have first, by 2025. And ASML has already sold four other units.

  • This is the EXE 5000. So this is what we'll be testing for High NA.This will be what makes our next generations even better.

  • But even now, before the bigger, better machines, the whole world's reliance on ASML is only growing, no matter what gets in the way.

  • What can really get in the way is the geopolitics like the Russia and the Ukraine war right now. Those are big geopolitical friction points that can,

  • of course, not only hurt us, but hurt the world economy. But apart from that, let's hope and let's pray that can be controlled, then it's all about

  • execution. And we will keep shrinking the cost per transistor and we will provide the world with ever more powerful semiconductors. That's not going

  • to stop.

At the center of this big factory in the Netherlands, in the midst of a months-long assembly process, there's a revolutionary machine that the

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半導體(Why The World Relies On ASML For Machines That Print Chips)

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    王杰 發佈於 2022 年 03 月 27 日
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