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  • Henry: “Will Artificial Intelligence ever replace humans?” is a hotly debated question

    亨利:"人工智能是否會取代人類?"這是一個爭論激烈的問題

  • these days.

    這些天來。

  • Some people claim computers will eventually gain superintelligence, be able to outperform

    有些人聲稱計算機最終將獲得超級智能,能夠超過

  • humans on any task, and destroy humanity.

    人類的任何任務,並摧毀人類。

  • Other people saydon't worry, AI will just be another tool we can use and control,

    其他人說 "別擔心,人工智能將只是另一個我們可以使用和控制的工具。

  • like our current computers.”

    像我們目前的計算機一樣"。

  • So we've got physicist and AI-researcher Max Tegmark back again to share with us the

    是以,我們請來了物理學家和人工智能研究者Max Tegmark再次與我們分享

  • collective takeaways from the recent Asilomar conference on the future of AI that he helped

    他在最近舉行的關於人工智能未來的Asilomar會議上的集體收穫。

  • organize – and he's going to help separate AI myths from AI facts.

    組織--他要幫助把人工智能的神話和人工智能的事實分開。

  • Max: Hello!

    馬克斯:你好!

  • Henry: First of all, Max, machines (including computers) have long been better than us at

    亨利。首先,麥克斯,機器(包括電腦)在以下方面早就比我們強了

  • many tasks, like arithmetic, or weaving, but those are often repetitive and mechanical

    許多工作,如算術,或編織,但這些工作往往是重複的和機械的。

  • operations.

    業務。

  • So why shouldn't I believe that there are some things that are simply impossible for

    那麼,為什麼我不應該相信,有些事情是根本不可能的呢?

  • machines to do as well as people?

    機器可以和人一樣做嗎?

  • Say making minutephysics videos, or consoling a friend?

    比方說製作分鐘物理學視頻,或者安慰朋友?

  • Max: Well, we've traditionally thought of intelligence as something mysterious that

    馬克思:好吧,我們傳統上認為智力是一種神祕的東西,它是一種 "不可能"。

  • can only exist in biological organisms, especially humans.

    只能存在於生物機體中,特別是人類。

  • But from the perspective of modern physical science, intelligence is simply a particular

    但從現代物理科學的角度來看,智力只是一種特殊的

  • kind of information processing and reacting performed by particular arrangements of elementary

    某種信息處理和反應,由特定的基本安排來完成。

  • particles moving around, and there's no law of physics that says it's impossible

    粒子四處移動,沒有任何物理定律說這是不可能的。

  • to do that kind of information processing better than humans already do.

    來做這種信息處理,比人類已經做得更好。

  • It's not a stretch to say that earthworms process information better than rocks, and

    毫不誇張地說,蚯蚓比岩石更能處理資訊,而且

  • humans better than earthworms, and in many areas, machines are already better than humans.

    人類比蚯蚓更好,而在許多領域,機器已經比人類更好。

  • This suggests we've likely only seen the tip of the intelligence iceberg, and that

    這表明我們可能只看到了情報的冰山一角,而且

  • we're on track to unlock the full intelligence that's latent in nature and use it to help

    我們正在釋放潛藏在大自然中的全部智慧,並利用它來幫助

  • humanity flourish - or flounder.

    人類蓬勃發展--或陷入困境。

  • Henry: So how do we keep ourselves on the right side of theflourish or flounder

    亨利:那麼,我們如何使自己保持在 "蓬勃發展或陷入困境 "的正確一邊呢?

  • balance?

    平衡?

  • What, if anything, should we really be concerned about with superintelligent AI?

    如果有的話,我們真正應該關注的是超級智能AI的什麼?

  • Max: Here's what has many top AI researchers concerned: not machines or computers turning

    馬克思:讓許多頂級人工智能研究人員擔憂的是:不是機器或計算機在轉動

  • evil, but something more subtle: superintelligence that simply doesn't share our goals.

    邪惡,而是更微妙的東西:根本不認同我們目標的超級智能。

  •  If a heat-seeking missile is homing in on you, you probably wouldn't think: “No

    如果一枚熱尋的飛彈正在瞄準你,你可能不會想到:"不

  • need to worry, it's not evil, it's just following its programming.”

    需要擔心,它並不邪惡,它只是遵循它的程序。"

  • No, what matters to you is what the heat-seeking missile does and how well it does it, not

    不,對你來說,重要的是熱尋跡飛彈的作用以及它的效果如何,而不是

  • what it's feeling, or whether it has feelings at all.

    它的感覺是什麼,或者它是否有感覺。

  • The real worry isn't malevolence, but competence.

    真正擔心的不是惡意,而是能力。

  • A superintelligent AI is by definition very good at attaining its goals, so the most important

    根據定義,一個超級智能的人工智能在實現其目標方面非常出色,是以最重要的是

  • thing for us to do is to ensure that its goals are aligned with ours.

    我們要做的事情是確保其目標與我們的目標一致。

  • As an analogy, humans are more intelligent and competent than ants,  and if we want

    打個比方,人類比螞蟻更有智慧和能力,如果我們想

  • to build a hydroelectric dam where there happens to be an anthill, there may no malevolence

    在恰好有蟻穴的地方建水電站大壩,可能沒有惡意

  • involved, but, well... too bad for the ants.

    涉及,但是,嗯......對螞蟻來說太糟糕了。

  • Cats and dogs, on the other hand, have done a great job of aligning their goals with the

    另一方面,貓和狗在將它們的目標與其他動物的目標相一致方面做得很好。

  • goals of humans – I mean, even though I'm a physicist, I can't help think kittens

    人類的目標--我的意思是,即使我是一個物理學家,我也忍不住想小貓咪

  • are the cutest particle arrangements in our universe...

    是我們宇宙中最可愛的粒子排列...

  • If we build superintelligence, we'd be better off in the position of cats and dogs than

    如果我們建立了超級智能,我們在貓和狗的位置上會比

  • ants.

    螞蟻。

  • Or better yet, we'll figure out how to ensure that AI adopts our goals rather than the other

    或者更好的是,我們會想出如何確保人工智能採用我們的目標,而不是其他的目標。

  • way around.

    的方式。

  • Henry: And when exactly is superintelligence going to arrive?

    亨利。那麼超級智能究竟何時才能到來?

  • When do we need to start panicking?

    我們什麼時候需要開始恐慌?

  • Max: First of all, Henry, superintelligence doesn't have to be something negative.

    馬克思:首先,亨利,超級智能不一定是負面的東西。

  • In fact, if we get it right, AI might become the best thing ever to happen to humanity.

    事實上,如果我們做對了,人工智能可能成為人類有史以來最好的事情。

  • Everything I love about civilization is the product of intelligence, so if AI amplifies

    我喜歡的一切文明都是智能的產物,所以如果人工智能放大了

  • our collective intelligence enough to solve today's and tomorrow's greatest problems,

    我們的集體智慧足以解決今天和明天的最大問題。

  • humanity might flourish like never before.

    人類可能以前所未有的方式蓬勃發展。

  • Second, most AI researchers think superintelligence is at least decades away...

    其次,大多數人工智能研究人員認為超級智能至少還有幾十年的時間...

  • Buuuut the research needed to ensure that it remains beneficial to humanity (rather

    但是,為確保其對人類有益而需要進行的研究(而不是對人類有益)。

  • than harmful) might also take decades, so we need to start right away.

    而不是有害的)也可能需要幾十年,所以我們需要馬上開始。

  • For example, we'll need to figure out how to ensure machines learn the collective goals

    例如,我們需要弄清楚如何確保機器學習集體的目標

  • of humanity, adopt these goals for themselves, and retain the goals as they keep getting

    採納這些目標,並保留這些目標,因為他們不斷地得到這些目標。

  • smarter.

    更加聰明。

  • And what about when our goals disagree?

    那麼,當我們的目標不一致時,怎麼辦?

  • Should we vote on what the machine's goals should be?

    我們是否應該投票決定機器的目標是什麼?

  • Just do whatever the president wants?

    就這樣為所欲為嗎?

  • Whatever the creator of the superintelligence wants?

    無論超級智能的創造者想要什麼?

  • Let the AI decide?

    讓人工智能決定?

  •  In a very real way, the question of how to live with superintelligence is a question

    從一個非常現實的角度來看,如何與超級智能相處的問題是一個問題

  • of what sort of future we want to create for humanity.

    我們希望為人類創造什麼樣的未來。

  • Which obviously shouldn't just be left to AI researchers, as caring and socially skilled

    這顯然不應該只留給人工智能研究人員,因為有愛心和社會技能的人

  • as we are.;)

    就像我們一樣;;)

  • Henry: Thanks, Max!

    亨利:謝謝你,麥克斯!

  • So, uh, how do I get involved to make sure we don't end up living in a superintelligence-powered

    那麼,呃,我怎樣才能參與進來,以確保我們不會最終生活在一個由超級智能驅動的

  • dictatorship?

    獨裁統治?

  • Max: At the Future of Life Institute (Henry interjects: which is sponsoring this video),

    馬克思:在未來生命研究所(亨利插話:該研究所贊助了這個視頻)。

  • we've built a site where you can go to answer questions, ask questions, and otherwise contribute

    我們已經建立了一個網站,你可以在那裡回答問題,提出問題,並以其他方式作出貢獻。

  • your thoughts to help shape the future of AI policy and research.

    您的想法將有助於塑造人工智能政策和研究的未來。

  • Link's in the video description.

    鏈接在視頻描述中。

  • Henry: Awesome.

    亨利。真棒。

Henry: “Will Artificial Intelligence ever replace humans?” is a hotly debated question

亨利:"人工智能是否會取代人類?"這是一個爭論激烈的問題

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