Name: 2020年美國大選。誰真正決定了結果？- BBC新聞 (US election 2020: Who really decides the outcome? - BBC News)
Uploaded: 2020-10-27T19:05:57.000Z
Duration: 2 min 48 s

president of the United States, is the most powerful job in the world.

美國總統，是世界上最有權力的工作。

So which voters will decide who wins the 2020 election?

那麼，哪些選民將決定誰贏得2020年的大選呢？

S population is estimated to be 330 million, but only 245 million of those are Americans over 18 who are eligible to vote.

斯人口估計有3.3億，但其中只有2.45億是18歲以上有資格投票的美國人。

If a recent history is a guide on Lee, just over half of those are likely to turn out in November's election.

如果最近的歷史是李的指南，其中只有一半以上的人可能會在11月的選舉中投票。

So we're down to about 140,000,042% of the population.

所以，我們的人口比例下降到了140000042%左右。

S president is not chosen by who wins the most votes.

S總統不是由誰贏得最多的選票來選擇的。

Nationally, it's actually a Siris of winner takes All contests in each of the 50 states most always vote for either a Democrat or Republican.

在全國範圍內，這實際上是一個贏家通吃的Siris，在50個州的每一個州，大多數人總是投票給民主黨或共和黨。

While some states lean towards one party or the other in 2020.

雖然有些州在2020年傾向於一方或另一方。

That leaves seven key battleground states where the election will be won and lost.

這樣一來，就剩下7個關鍵戰場州的選舉勝負。

Donald Trump Joe Biden Record gains campaigns will be focusing their attention and money on voters here, lucky them.

唐納德-特朗普喬-拜登記錄收益競選活動將把他們的注意力和資金集中在這裡的選民身上，他們很幸運。

Number of registered voters across those seven states is 36.7 million.

這七個州的登記選民人數為3670萬。

But experts say most of these registered voters will never actually switched sides at most, 15% are potentially persuadable.

但專家表示，這些登記的選民中，大部分人最多不會真正改換陣營，15%的人有可能被說服。

That's 5.5 million voters in battleground states, or less than 2% of the national population.

這就是戰場州的550萬選民，佔全國人口不到2%。

The 2016 election proved how crucial every vote in these places can be.

2016年的選舉證明了這些地方的每一張選票是多麼的關鍵。

Trump won Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin by a combined total of 107,000 votes, just 0.3% of the population.

特朗普在賓夕法尼亞州、密歇根州和威斯康星州共贏得10.7萬張選票，僅佔人口的0.3%。

 And on the ground in Michigan, his margin of victory came down to the equivalent of just to voters per local precinct. 

而在密歇根州的地面上，他的勝率下降到只相當於每個地方選區的選民。