IsraelScott, I thinkyouknowtheimpactonthefinancialservicesindustry.
Israel.
I think I suspectthatwe'reprobablyoverestimatingtheshorttermimpact, butwe'reprobablyunderestimatingthelongtermimpact.
And I think, um, youknow, therearetherearerealconsequencestohaving a crisissuchaswe'rehavingrightnow.
Youthinkthemarkethashasoverreacted.
So, um, I don't reallylookatitasmuchfrom a shorttermperspective, but I thinkif I lookover a periodoftime, itdoesnotfeelitallbecauseoftheimpactthatwe'regonnahaveintheeconomy, thatthemarkethasbottomed.
But I wouldnotatallbesurprisedifwesaw a veryhealthybouncedowntheroad.
Andi, I thinkwehaveWehavehadcrisesbefore.
I feelconfidentthatifwehavetherighttargetedfiscalinvestments, ifwehavetherightgovernancearoundthisthatwecanseethroughthiscrisison, I thinkifwedo, theunderlyingeconomyisprettystrongand I cansee a veryhealthybounce.
But I don't seethatbounceintheveryshortterm.
Joe, Let's gowiththat.
YouknowTobiasLevkovichoveritscity.
Uncertaintyisthemotherofallmarketwoes.
Westillthinkit's tooearlytojumpin.
Hesaysyou B s.
Whileit's notourbasecase, a quotegardenvarietyrecessionispossible.
Scott, youaskedmetheotherdayif I feltthiswas a processandabsolutelyitisgoingtobe a processthat I don't knowwhywecan't acceptthatasaninvestmentcommunityifyouthinkabouttheviolenceoftheselloffthatweexperiencedinthelastweekofFebruary.
Ittooktwoyearstorecoversoothersituationsthattook 7 to 5 years.
So I thinkwejusthavetoacceptthatthisispartof a process I absolutelyagreewith.
WhatBobissayingintermsoftherewillbetherewillbe a recovery, I thinkinthenearterm, Unfortunately, we'velostthefocusonwheretheflowsofcapitalareactuallygoinginthebiggestproblem.
Andas a formerCEOof a bank, Bob, I havetoaskyou, itseemsthatweareflirtingwithnegativerates.
Howwouldyoufeelaboutnegativeratesas a formerbankCEO?
Andisthat a placethatwewanttogo?
Well, lookatEurope.
I mean, thebanksarestillhaveassetissues, stillhavereallyseriousearningsissues.
Youlookatthe U.
S.
Andthisisnot a bankingcrisis.
Youknow, whenwesitincompareandcontrastthisto 2008 whenitwastruly a bankingcrisisisweallrememberMorganStanley, GoldmanSachs B of a MerrillLynch.
AllofthemwereinsolventwithoutseriousmonetarystimulusandtheTARPprogramandotherthingsthatwentontodaywelookatthe U.
S.
Banks.
They'redown 30 to 40% fromthepeaks, butthey'revery, veryhealthy.