TexteronnowexpertpodcasterAdultcheckerGivingawayforthe I P ticketsTheGrandNationalToenterthecompetition, simplyplaceanyonepoundorbigger, betonthecheckuponallfourdaysandchalkFestivalinwith a chanceofwinningittoreallyawesomeprize.
ThepackageincludesticketsintheLordSetTerrace, accessto a complimentaryprivatebaraswell.
Justtosaythatbefore I askyou, there's been a bitof a moveontheexchangeswithAssyrianforlaunchtradingasthefavoriteonBetfairinabout 4.2 to 4.5 lastplacematchonshitonchickenaroundabout 5.0 markon, they'llcometoyoufirst.
Thisis a race, ofcourse, butwe'veseensomeshortpricefavor.
It's reallykindofmaketheirmarkonthescenethinkingofjuveniletour, butalso a coupleofhotspots.
Butthey'rereallygonemissingandnotreallykickedon.
Sohowdoyoujudgethosetwoatthetopofthemarket?
Giventheconditions, you'd probablysalatafavorstereoforlongbecausehelooks a smilelike a sentimentofthoroughstare.
WhenhewonatLeopardstownlasttime, I didn't thinkhehadtodo a greatdealtobeattheothertwoverymuchunderpar.
Easywork.
MadeleineStowewouldn't beanywherenearGreatOneStandard, eventhougheasyworkhadwon a greatracerTombeforeLimerick.
Hedidit.
Workmanlike.
Fashionistime.
Figurewasokay.
Itwasn't anythingSensationwhenhe's time, comparisonsonthesamecarddidn't reallystandoutagainstthelikesofblacktears.
He's got a goodengineandwhetherhe's quitegoodenoughtowin, I don't know.
But I'm morethanhappytofiddle.
Neverthinkyou'd liketoonelasttime.
I sawyoucurrently 15 to 2 withHillsseven's around.
No, no, no.
ButyoushouldbeokaywithCoral.
Elaboratesonbet.
Fred.
Neil, Howdoyouseethisone?
I waskindofquitelikeEdwardStone.
He's a horsethat, uh, pullsquitehardandwouldbesuitedby a firstplace.
It's strange, violentKing, but I kindofagreewithyouridea.
Thegroundmighthaveputmeoff a littlebit.
I'llgo.
A friendonTwitterHalttobelieve, Whosename's Rickandhe's He's actorplayingthe 1994 and a coupleofweeksagohetweetedandsaid, Thisisallwrong, Thismarket, youknow, itremindsme a bitmightuntilyoursagain.
Champagnefever.
I don't know.
Probablythisisnotreallyhelpingwiththeyoungviewers, butmaybeit's a bitofus.
WillGrahamagainstDavidGowerwants a bitmoresortFlare e andYeah, theotherone's a bitmoreof a slugger.
I sawthenoticekindofmatcheson.
Itwasliketobewiththeslogan a littlebitmorethantheflare E one.
Andso I don't reallylike I'm nobigfanofsheepskin, Actually, I think, Yeah, I definitelycouldseethereasonthattheyflipflopped, Uh, whether I wanttogoinatthesepricesonnastyareaforlong.
I'm notsure, I thinkYeah, themarketsprobablymadeitsmindup.
It's a race.
Itlookslikeitmaybegoingtocutup a bitthatthere's kindof a bigfiveandthennotmuchelsebehind S o.
Um, I thinksheaskinginterestmelikeliketheguysthere.
I thinkthegroundis a bigissuethere.
MeancolumnwithNico.
AndhewasHesaid, thishorsehasgot a pushbuttonacceleration.
Hesaid I shouldremindyouaboutyourYouknow, hewasn't reallydrawnon.
Thatsmirkygavemesuggestingtheywouldn't be a mileaway.
Butyouknow, whetherornotthegroundswhentheplanets, Butwe'llsee, I thinkyoucouldmake a caseforforquite a fewinthere.
Theinterestingonewiththegroundifyoutaketheviewthattheground's gonnabereallytesting, Uh, now I wouldn't becompletelysurprisedifeverywhereandcomesherefromtheValleymore.
There's been a fewnibblesonbetteraswespeak.
He's intoabout 8 to 1 number.
No, no.
Betterontheyearsofshortwas 2 to 1.
Normalornobetwith a fixedoddsfirmsthat's alwaystheexchangewatchesold 9.0.
Yeah, So I justthink I justthinkthathecouldreallyshakeupthemarket.
Actually.
Hopehedoesgobecauseofladyforthebellymore.
2.7.
Butitwouldn't surpriseme.
I'vebeentold.
Youknow, theyare.
Theywouldtheywouldconsiderthat s o n.
Joannacouldreallyshakeupthemarket.
I don't knowhowhewouldhavehewouldfitintothatmarket.
But I think a pricearoundabout 25 to 2 isprobablyrealistic.
Soifyou'rebitintothatmarket, thepotentialhasbeenfor a lotofthesehorsestodrift.
I thinkyoucouldmake a caseofShangTreeHouseand, youknow, takethereportbackfromLauratheinterestingoneforme.
Andifyousawhisrunning, thebetterheardorlasttimeanyonelikeyouflewafterandhe's I thinkhe's oneofthehorsesalreadydisadvantagedwiththestuff.
I think a strongaroundtwomilesindeepgroundisRoyHappyStreet.
Now.
I suspectthey'llgoupforthehandicappedrouteandhe's inthevalley.
Maura's well, I think.
Buthewould.
Hewouldreallyinterestmeiswalkinguphere, butatthemoment, I haven't really I haven't reallyplayedintherace, but I wouldn't betotallysurprisedifEnvoyanddidrockupLetwouldobviouslyreallyshakeupthatmarkettoordertobackNo, no, no.
Thatifyouaregonnatake, takethemasyourselectioninthe 1st 5 to 2.
Bet 365 thatnooneintherebutyeah, wecouldbedoingbusiness.
Soundsgoodjust a quickmentionfor a horsethatwewentandsawinIreland a coupleofdays a coupleofweeksago.
SovietPimpernel, trainedbyPeterFartyPeter, has a couplehorsesgoinghere, havinghadthefavoriteforthemayor's ruledout a fewweeksago.
Soifyouwanttoseethatinterviewandarethedaywespentwithhimandfindout a littlebitmoreaboutthathorsethatwe'llbecheeringonadultscheckerandgotoourYouTubepageandyoucansee a dayinthelifePeterFartyonfingersCrossedtheSovietPimperneldoesgiveshim a goodaccountontotheArkle.
NowAndinotebookisthefavorofthetopofthemarketand 11 to 4 withHillsfivetoGeneralFaqirDoDairy.
Secondfavorat 5 to 1.
That's whatbothKhyberandHillsbrewingup.
A stormof 6 to 1 cashback 6 13 to 2 and 6 to 1 MaryBanri, 14 to 1 rouge, 14 to 1, asare a coupleofotherones.
GlobalcitizenEspritdelargeon 18 to 1 bar, Andi, cometoyoufirstagainhere.
Howdoyouseethearticlepanningoutthings a goodunclethisyear, basedonthetimeBecause I'vegotforyouthe 1st 5 orsixandbetter.
That'llruntothestandardthat I wouldexpect a GradeonehorsetohaveachievedbeforetheycomeinhereintheArk.
Whichisgreatnewsbecauseyouknowthat a lotofmemberrunningchampionshipenvironmentsalreadyinvariousdifferentplacesnotebook.
It's hardtoinoculateapartfromthese.
He's a littlebithoton, obviously, was a bitbusyonthewaydownthestart.
Lasttime I leftthistown, whichis a bitof a concern, youknow, 60 70,000 peopletheirfirstday, whethertheatmospheremightgethim.
I don't know, buttalentwise, youcan't knockhim.
He's just a bruteof a horsethatgoes a reallygoodgalloponthefactthathedidstillwinlasttimeandseesCashbackistestingmetoreasonishismindaswell.
He's got a lovely, tenaciousattitudetogowiththeseabilitylegalisticearplugsafterthataswell, goodawaybooks.
I thinkyoucanwear a hoodintheintheprivate?
Yes.
Youtakeiton a fewpacifyingtherejusttokindofcalmhimdown.
Ifthatifthat.
Ifthat's gonnabeallowedbecause I tellhimfigurewashe's donetworeallygoodnumbers.
Funnyif I kickmyselfbecausehedid a goodnumber.
Firsttime I gotinlightofthisisoffthescale.
Thisisthathewas 25 to 1, and I musthavebeen I didn't intactthepriceof a littlebitannoyedthat I should'vejumpedon.
I thinkthey'renotmugsandhewentbombsiftheywerestandingstill.
Sothat's theshapeoftheright.
I didn't sayanything a bigprice.
I wasmad, keenon.
Hegaveme a betterNowitwouldbeitwouldhavebeenbetweenPaquetdudutiesandbrewingup a storm, butthegroundedgingtowardsheavyaswespeak.
Yeah, I thinkthefacttheydotoraiseeachwayangle, he's lookingfairlysolid.
Tony.
Yeah, I probablygoton, butit's notmykindofracethis.
I thinkthere's not a lotbetweenquite a fewofthese.
ThefactthatduetoreadtiesAverytreasurewiththecashbackin, youknow, Butthere's no I can't reallyget a handleonitlikeyousaid I could.
Theyarevery, veryconfidentaboutbrewingonbrewingup a storm.
Butagain, youknow, ifthegroundisreallytesting, thatwillbe a consideration.
Likeiftheground's reallytested, thatmightcomeherewithMrFisherinsteadofthemarch, which, like I said, there's somanyhorsesinraceswithinovertheintermediatetripsmightjustcomeback.
I reallystruggledtobackcoursesthat I'veplayedupinthepreliminariesontheirpreviousrun, andit's probably a faultofminebecausetheygenerallyisinthemarketandthey'vedrifted.
I'm surenotebooksdriftedbecauseofthatonbrewingup a stormwasone I didlookat.
But I feellike I'vemissedtheboatthat I kindofkickingmyselfbecause I sawnearlytook 10 to 1 lastweekoneday, andnowit's kindof 6 to 1.
And I don't likedoingthat.
If I hadhaveittogetinto, I I wasgonnagowithskilledsomeonemade a boundary, I thinkwiththatrighteye, buthisfourfromfouroverFences, I thinkit's gonnabewrittentokindofpickupthepiecesanddryandkindof, youknow, gettherequitelike, whichmightmakefor a goodeachway.
Buttheshapeoftheraceisnotparticularlydryatthemomentunlessweget a bunchofwithdrawalsonthegroundon.
So I havetogobackandhaveanotherlookatespritdelargeandorpossiblyevenrudeforHarryWhittington.
Butrightnow I think I can't see a reasonforrushingintheThursdaybeforedoingsomethingherewithsomanyquestions, onethat's trading a bigpriceontheexchanges, thatmaybeonethat's gonnanotrunduetotheground.
Butwhatthegoodthingis?
I guessallthreeofyouhavesaidthatyou'renotkeenaboutnotebook, soyoucantakeanythingoutofthis.
Maybeitsupposedbetweenepitomizetheraces.
Thisis a verydifficultrace.
Aftergoingnowaswespeak, untilweseewhatthegrounds.
Untilwe'veseenthefullfield, wegotalsoparachuted.
It's a trickyone.
Immediately.
Whenyoulookatthat, it's justlike a look.
Lookslike a norape, norace, nobetratesBeforewelookatthedelveintoit, isn't it?
I say, youknow, ifyoulikenotebook, Yeah, butthere's no a greatdealbetweenquitefearofthem.
Butforecastsareoftenrole, but I thinkyouwon't gofarwrong, youknow, workingonthatbasis.
Butevenso, I mean, yougothorsesmayberudeherefromthemarsh, it's It's a very, verytrickyonetoplayatthemoment.
Justholdfire.
If I wasgonnahave a betintherace, I mighttake a chanceof a poemeachworth 30.
Freeze.
Anditakesyouintended.
Then I don't knowaboutyou.
Takeme.
Uh, like I saidbefore, I mighttakehalfmysteakforthefreezeitswayandonlyfiveminutes.
Ifit's $25 underbedssaid, youknow, I wouldprobablygohalfandhalfonouttotheultimate.
WherewehaveIndicationis a 6 to 1 favorite, theconditional 9 to 1 discoRama.
10 to 1 whodareswins 10 to 1.
Killthestart.
TendtooneonMrMonarchy 12 16 to 1 bar, obviouslyplentyinthereasever, withthehandicapsonthispreview, I needtokeepitprettytightbecauseyougetthroughalltheraceson.
WeneedtofocusonmaybetheonestheheadlineracesthatsaySo I putittotheflooranyanyPorter's.
Youjustwanttopointout I'llgobecause I haven't been a bitintherace, Norman.
I betagain, ifitifitturnsupsoftandheavy, I think I'vedonemymoney.
Thehorses, CobratomyhasgotformonsoftgroundwithusapartinthepastanddemandtoobadlyonsoftgrounditKempTonightontheseason, thishorsehasjustcomebacktothesamemarkaswhendottingupatCheltenhaminAprilonbetterground, youknow, theyput a £7 claimonit.
I betlasttimewhenwrittenouttheback, theybypassedwhat I thoughtwas a greatopportunityintheoldracingpostchasetocomestraighthere.
But I don't thinkthey'vegottheirground.
Thekeytothishorses, it's handicapped.
A win.
I thinktheyknowthatverywell, hesaid.
He's coming.
Thehandicaphasreallygiven a massivechance.
Thekeytothisis a moreprominentrightonthewaterhasn't beenwearingitstonguetimecheappiecesonthislasttwostarts, andthat's where a keycombinationsWherewerehisbestformscomewith?
I mean, obviouslytheydidn't wanthimanentrylastyear.
Clearly, he's tradedveryshort.
Bothhestartsthisyeargotchained, including, butBali, India.
Hey, thelasttimetheytreatedwomensince I don't thinkit's anythingtoodramatic, they're, youknow, justincasekindofoperation.
Butyeah.
I mean, ifhegets a strongrunraceinthewaywhenthetriumphlastyearandthebestwaytotravelthroughhisracesandhe'llgiveyoueveryopportunity, you'rebackto a merchanttogetinvolved.
Theproblemis, umisthegroundmay I don't thinkitdoescomeupheavy.
Now, twoplacesisquitepossiblethat I'm quitehappythatwhathoneysuckleshipsuphereisallof a suddenthateachwaywithout a favoritemark, it's gonnalookreallyattractive.
Marie, therocksonorfrom a personwithwhichthelikelihoodofyou I'm gonnagodownthestorm, theislandroadYeah, theydo.
Theyhavewithouttheflavorofthemonth.
Nowyou'llbeoneof 4 to 7 ballwith.
No, theyneverdoanypostwithyouprobablybeabletoget 6 to 1 each.
WhichisthebeautyofthisisifyoufancyBenedito 8 11 a fairpriceforthemomentanyway, me, shecouldbefreezeonthefreezeontosevenofhoneysuckledoesn't happenifyouare, I'd never I wouldneverbackatthosekindofprocess.
Certainlywouldtipofthem.
Butifyouarethatkindofpunter, the 8 to 11 Bennettdidyouisvery, veryfair.