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  • So I'm gonna show right now the two dividend stocks that I just purchased, I purchased shares of Universal Corporation and PPL Corporation.

  • I bought Universal at a starting yield of 5.83% and PPL at 4.87%.

  • The simple average of those is 5.35% starting yield starting dividend yield cash flow that I can use immediately to pay my bills. 00:00:42.980 --> 00:01:0.990 This is the theme of 2020 for me high yielding stocks I'm gonna share with you today the nine high yielding stocks that I'm gonna be focused on for 2020 these air the nine stocks throughout the year that I'm gonna stay laser focused on when I'm deploying capital in the stock market. 00:01:1.190 --> 00:01:3.370 And so I'm gonna share today those stocks. 00:01:3.370 --> 00:01:11.750 But I'm also going to share the complete methodology that I used to select those stocks because a lot of analysis went into it.

  • A lot of numbers, a lot of numbers crunching, and I want to share with everyone out there how I approach the stock market and how I came up with these nine stocks that I will be focused on next year, and I'm already starting to focus on here in December.

  • But before I even do that, I want to set the stage.

  • How am I thinking about money this year?

  • So I'm thinking about money strategically, this way.

  • First and foremost, you all know, or if you've been here for a while, you know that I work in the real estate space.

  • I have another deal in escrow that is really important to me.

  • That deal is going to require capital is going to require investment.

  • And so, first and foremost, when I look forward to 2020 it's kind of hard. 00:01:54.690 --> 00:02:3.100 It's hard for a dividend investor who loves putting as much money as possible into dividend stocks, but I'm going to have to restrain myself a bit. 00:02:3.100 --> 00:02:15.560 I'm going to have to refrain from putting as much money into dividend stocks as I otherwise would have, why I need to stockpile some money on the side for that real estate deal.

  • And so this dwindles the amount of money that I'm gonna have for dividend stocks next year.

  • But what I'm gonna do is I'm going to focus the money that I do have to deploy on dividend stocks.

  • I'm gonna focus it on high yielders.

  • The reason that I'm going to do this is twofold.

  • First and foremost, I want to get a CZ much for my money as possible because I'm going to be deploying a little less money in the stock market next year than I otherwise would have.

  • Because I have a strategic life goal of making my real estate business.

  • My real estate dealings work out very well, which are another way of getting passive income as well. 00:02:54.200 --> 00:03:1.550 But because of that, I want the money that I am deploying in dividend stocks toe work as hard as possible on the harder it can work, the better. 00:03:1.670 --> 00:03:6.400 And I'm gonna get my money toe work harder by focusing on high yielding stocks. 00:03:6.410 --> 00:03:17.710 Also, it just so happens that I am at a life stage, married two kids, lots of family expenses where we're starting to use some of the dividend income to pay bills.

  • I see that trend increasing over time.

  • And so because of that trend, I am drawn to these high yield stocks because I need current income now.

  • And so that's how I'm looking at 2020.

  • I'm gonna share with you today the nine stocks that I am focused on, and I'm gonna share the complete methodology behind it.

  • So get ready.

  • This is gonna be an exciting video about high yielding dividend stocks.

  • All right, so I want to jump into the analysis.

  • If you've been on my channel for you for a while.

  • You know, I'm all about the analysis, and so I'm gonna work my way through the analysis to the conclusion at the end of the video of the nine stocks that I chose, And so first and foremost knowing that I had the strategic goal for 2020 what I did as I looked at all 43 stocks that I own and I picked, I picked all of them that have a starting yield right now of 4% or greater cause 4% are greater that I consider in the range of my portfolio of higher yielders.

  • Now I know their stocks out there that are yielding way more than that.

  • But for me, I own 43 dividend stocks.

  • I don't want to add more, and I focus on quality.

  • And so I'm not only focused on high yield, but on quality, and I believe all the stocks presented today have both of those characteristics.

  • And so you'll see on the screen right now the complete list of all of the stocks that I analyzed that met that initial filter of 4% dividend yield or greater, and you'll see if you count them up. 00:04:59.140 --> 00:05:2.150 If I actually I have the excel in front of me right now. 00:05:3.120 --> 00:05:5.410 The count comes out to 14. 00:05:5.410 --> 00:05:8.120 And so I actually eliminated five of these. 00:05:8.180 --> 00:05:21.090 But I kept most of them, which is interesting as candidates of 4 2020 Now, mind you, I prioritize them, and I'll share the priority the order of priority later in the video today.

  • And so the first thing I did is I include just some simple metrics.

  • What is the price per share?

  • What is the current year estimated earnings per share?

  • I pull the estimated earnings per share from Yahoo finance from the analyst consensus estimates, and then I just pull some simple for forward peace now Forward P was not available on BT I or Cedar Fair just because these companies don't have analysts in the United States analyzing them close enough to be making those forecasts.

  • Or at least those forecasts are not available on Yahoo Finance.

  • But all of the others had it.

  • And so I include a forward P E.

  • This is filter number one. 00:05:59.970 --> 00:06:1.630 Yellow means it's okay. 00:06:1.730 --> 00:06:3.730 Green means that it's good. 00:06:3.810 --> 00:06:5.280 Red means that it's bad. 00:06:5.430 --> 00:06:13.090 You'll notice, though, that I actually assigned Green to be t I just cause I know they're Ford Pius Low in terms of Cedar Fair, I kind of left it blank.

  • I would say they're forward, P.

  • A.

  • The reason I left it blank, quite frankly, is P is not a valid metric for Cedar Fair, either, because it's a master limited partnership, so it really needs to be analyzed on a cash flow basis.

  • But all same based on recent videos that I have produced in recent analysis, I have completed Cedar Fair.

  • Right now it is a it's it's a reasonable value, although I'll talk later about some challenges that the company that give me a little concern.

  • Um, not changing course or anything, but I'm just being a little more hesitant on Cedar Fair these days.

  • We'll get to that later.

  • Anyways.

  • You see off the bat that Duke, it's okay.

  • It's got a P E in the seventeen's, more or less that is OK in this market. 00:06:58.510 --> 00:07:2.010 Maybe a little overvalued, but hey, I'll take it. 00:07:2.720 --> 00:07:6.080 Altria is a bargain p e in the Elevens. 00:07:6.300 --> 00:07:13.030 Ah, Philip Morris, I would say for the industry that it's in that P e is pretty high.

  • In fact, it's kind of getting to the point where I may stop reinvesting dividends in this one, although I'm leaving it for now.

  • BT I we already discussed um, Chevron.

  • This is a pretty high P e of 18.55 I can't see myself buying Chevron there.

  • Same with Southern in the 19.

  • Pretty high.

  • I can't see myself buying Southern in the 19 p e Range Bank of Montreal.

  • Reasonable p either in the Elevens, Royal Dutch Shell, Reasonable p either in the twelves Universal.

  • It's okay.

  • That's why I made it a, um, yellow box.

  • But I'll tell you, universal, there's a much bigger story behind this Basically, it's trading at book value, and we've discussed this. 00:07:56.380 --> 00:08:0.870 I discussed this with you all in previous videos, but again on the p E metric. 00:08:0.870 --> 00:08:1.670 It's OK. 00:08:1.780 --> 00:08:2.850 BP is nice. 00:08:2.850 --> 00:08:3.710 12. 00:08:3.900 --> 00:08:6.180 Ah, IBM Wow. 00:08:6.190 --> 00:08:7.210 In the tens. 00:08:7.210 --> 00:08:8.500 I love this. 00:08:8.500 --> 00:08:11.150 And, um, Abbvie in the nines.

  • I love you, Abby.

  • I'm gonna share on the screen right now.

  • What did my family do last weekend?

  • Hey, I dragged the whole family overto abbvie Redwood City headquarters because I wanted to get a photo in front of the sign to show my support for all of the hard working people, the employees, the leaders, the people working so hard at abbvie on innovating medical solutions that benefits society.

  • Thank you, Abby.

  • And thank you for allowing me to invest my hard earned money to support your cause.

  • And thank you for rewarding me with dividends along the way.

  • I love you, Abby.

  • Anyways, in the nines PPL in the 13 since so you quickly see just on the Ford P E basis.

  • Some of these are in a reasonable buy zone.

  • Some are not.

  • And obviously I adjust these green and red box is a little bit for industry because different industries carry different P e ranges with them and so moving on, I then just wanted to look roughly what percentage of my portfolio are these stocks right now, and where do I want them to be?

  • And so oh, you'll see, actually pretty quickly that some of them are already over allocated.

  • Some of them are on point.

  • Some are under allocated, although most of these are kind of over half educated.

  • Is this sense I got?

  • You'll also see your as a percentage of portfolio goal.

  • I made some of them.

  • I tallis sized.

  • The reason I did that is some of the ones in italics.

  • I actually changed the goals.

  • If you've downloaded my full portfolio, I'll link in the description below how you can do so if you have not.

  • But if you already have that, you'll know in my full, full portfolio, I have goals.

  • I have various goals for different positions.

  • Some of those I'm adjusting, and I'll talk about those in a minute. 00:09:59.360 --> 00:10:3.180 So, Duke, thankfully, it's below allocation. 00:10:3.180 --> 00:10:7.320 I actually recently added some duke not too long ago to the portfolio. 00:10:7.320 --> 00:10:8.350 I'm glad I did that. 00:10:8.560 --> 00:10:12.640 It's it's below, and so I give it a green altria.

  • It's a little below kind of on point, but I gave it a Green PM way over allocated.

  • So it's a red and quite frankly, PM right now trading at that 16 p.

  • E.

  • I'm not gonna be buying more p M, although I'm happy to own it.

  • Bt.

  • I gave it a red.

  • It's a little over allocated Chevron read over, allocated Southern under allocated.

  • So I gave it a green.

  • Although I don't think I'll be going too much Southern here at these prices.

  • Um, Bank of Montreal.

  • It's over allocated, but the percentage goal of portfolio here I made it.

  • I tallis sized.

  • I think I raised it.

  • I bumped up the allocation for BMO just cause I have really low application to banks.

  • And so I like that diversification.

  • And so I think it was, like 1% before or less. 00:10:58.740 --> 00:11:0.030 A little less than 1%. 00:11:0.030 --> 00:11:1.550 I bumped bmo up. 00:11:1.880 --> 00:11:3.570 Um, you'll see where it came from. 00:11:3.570 --> 00:11:4.030 In a minute. 00:11:4.030 --> 00:11:15.170 It came from Cedar Fair, um, Royal Dutch Shell over allocated universal kind of on point, but over allocated BP over allocated.

  • It's tough.

  • A lot of these smaller positions, quite frankly, are over allocated.

  • And so this is a conundrum for me.

  • I have a lot of positions in the portfolio core positions that I need to grow.

  • But my focus this year or next year, 2020 it's not going to be core positions.

  • Surely I will continue adding 23 m, for example, as we get into the new year, because I love three M and it's still a value, and I'll keep adding to it.

  • And so that 2019 gold probably push over a little bit into 2020.

  • But in general, corps stocks are not gonna be my focus in 2020.

  • A lot of these the majority of the ones you see here, these air ancillary positions Ah, lot of them already over allocated.

  • But that being said this overriding goal of yield, that's what's governing my decision ing here. 00:11:59.650 --> 00:12:3.620 So, um, IBM, it's right on point. 00:12:3.630 --> 00:12:7.800 Um, in fact, I think I raised my allocation here to IBM. 00:12:7.990 --> 00:12:10.810 That's why it's italicized cedar Fair.

  • Right on point, I lowered my portfolio allocation to Cedar Fair.

  • The reason that I did this is in the last few years, with all of the acquisition's going on.

  • There's a lot of good activity at the company.

  • The revenue top line growth is growing.

  • It's up into the right now.

  • The distribution, the rate of growth of the distribution has slowed.

  • And this is less than I would have expected because just a year or two ago, they said they're gonna try to maintain a long term distribution growth in the 3 to 5% range, or 3 to 4.

  • The latest increase was a token increase.

  • It was really slow.

  • That alone doesn't bother me.

  • But the reason it was slower is when I really dig into the numbers and I do my deep financial analysis that I shared with you guys in previous videos. 00:12:55.340 --> 00:13:0.350 Cash flow right now is not covering the full length of the distribution. 00:13:1.020 --> 00:13:1.780 That's an issue. 00:13:1.780 --> 00:13:4.580 Cash flow needs to cover the distribution, and so I wanna wait. 00:13:4.580 --> 00:13:6.050 I want to see that snap back. 00:13:6.190 --> 00:13:11.000 Until then, I'll probably still add some more cedar Fair because I have faith in the long term of the business.

  • I know it's a smaller company that just just did a bunch of acquisitions.

  • It goes three cycles and so they're working through cycles, but I have to be careful.

  • And that's why I downgraded the allocation to Cedar Fair a little bit.

  • But I still love you.

  • Cedar Fair Still talk 15 positions.

  • Still solid 2% in the portfolio, which is a pretty big allocation for me.

  • Abby.

  • Um, it's at a 0.9.

  • The target is the one I love, Abby.

  • I just want to add more.

  • I might bump up the allocation to Alvey.

  • It's such a good bargain, relatively speaking, right now, given the strong starting yield giving the P E.

  • Given the dividend growth rate, given the payout ratio given their amazing pipeline, I would say the only thing bad about Abbvie is Humira coming off patent protection in the U S. 00:13:59.010 --> 00:14:2.230 Pretty soon here and, um, the debt levels. 00:14:2.230 --> 00:14:6.500 But I think their pipeline Al Ergen acquisition all that's gonna make up for it. 00:14:6.500 --> 00:14:9.150 So I'm buying more Abby PPL. 00:14:9.810 --> 00:14:11.920 This money's I, tallis sized as well.

  • I, um I slightly increased allocation here.

  • A swell PPL is really small, so I'm happy.

  • I just bought some more PPL today, and it's still really small fraction of the portfolio.

  • I need to bring that to size and it's nice.

  • It just so happens that it overlays with my strategic goals as well.

  • Now, mind you, PPL, it's up quite a bit from where I first started buying it.

  • I shared a video a while ago when I first initiated a positional linked to that in the description below.

  • I wish it hadn't surge so much already.

  • But I'm still buying here.

  • I still think it's a reasonable value, although we'll get to this later.

  • All of these carry risk and so risk with PPL is Brexit All right.

  • So I start looking now just at dividends. 00:14:57.830 --> 00:15:3.810 I'm gonna keep scrolling over on my laptop on Ah, the analysis I'm looking at on the screen. 00:15:3.900 --> 00:15:5.960 I'm gonna keep refreshing what you see. 00:15:5.960 --> 00:15:8.350 So it moves over in the analysis. 00:15:8.440 --> 00:15:14.230 By the way, if you want to follow along at home, I'm just gonna link to this thing in the description below.

  • You can download it.

  • Enjoy it.

  • Ah, you don't have to sign up for anything, just go for it.

  • I hope you enjoy the analysis.

  • And that's, um, one of the things that I'm trying to do on this channel is set the bar higher.

  • Provide the best quality content I can.

  • And sharing these analyses is one way I could do that.

  • So dividend, um, yields.

  • All right.

  • Um, as I look through these, I just kind of separated.

  • Which one's air higher yielders.

  • Which ones are lower yielders?

  • The ones in read our high are lower.

  • The ones in green are higher.

  • And so I guess I left some of them on highlighted.

  • Maybe those should have been yellows, but yellow doesn't really count here. 00:15:58.790 --> 00:16:0.570 It's really red or green. 00:16:0.570 --> 00:16:7.180 You'll see at the end that I tally the red and green cells to arrive at a conclusion on what to do. 00:16:7.180 --> 00:16:8.750 So yellow doesn't really matter. 00:16:9.140 --> 00:16:9.850 All right.

  • Duke is a red.

  • It's only at 4.25 But you see something like an altria to 6.71 that is green and chevron is kind of low.

  • Um Southern kind of Low Bank of Montreal is low, more or less.

  • Everything else is really good.

  • And so I don't need to go through them all one by one here.

  • But I just want you to know that I did segment based on starting yield because really, the purpose of this for 2020.

  • For me, for my specific situation is, I want starting yield.

  • Yes, I care about dividend growth rates, but you'll even see in the next column in the compound annual growth, right?

  • I don't highlight anything because I'm not looking at future growth here.

  • I'm looking at cash in the pocket.

  • Now that's what I'm looking at for 2020 and so you'll see on compound annual growth rate.

  • Some of them are really high, like Altria, um, summer really high.

  • Like Abby. 00:16:59.270 --> 00:17:9.720 Some are a little bit lower, like BP, um, or Royal Dutch Shell, which is non existent, or even BMO, which appears to be slightly negative.

  • So that being said, the reason I didn't highlight this column with the red and the greens is I didn't want to really look for my goals this next year at growth rate a dividend, I'm Maur interested in starting yield.

  • That said, some of this growth rates comes in through the next column, which is payout ratio.

  • I look at the payout ratio, which is the annualized dividend divided by E.

  • P s earnings per share and gives a sense of how much room there is to grow the dividend.

  • Quite frankly, I think payout ratio is almost a better metric than the compound annual growth rate.

  • They're both good, but the payout ratio.

  • It's more forward looking because if something is already really high, liken Altria at 80% or 79.8 Dewey a payout ratio. 00:17:55.510 --> 00:18:0.450 Do we really think this 10% compound annual growth rate is gonna keep up in perpetuity? 00:18:0.830 --> 00:18:1.960 Probably not. 00:18:1.960 --> 00:18:3.530 It's probably going to slow down. 00:18:3.790 --> 00:18:5.670 And so that's why payout ratio. 00:18:5.810 --> 00:18:12.370 It's a little, probably better way to look at it because the lower the payout ratio, the higher the opportunity to raise dividends.

  • Anyways, I did not put any red in the payout ratio column because I didn't want to penalize anything on payout ratio again, this is about current yield.

  • It's not about penalizing stuff, for lack of being able to increase dividends in the future.

  • But I did give green rewards to some stocks that have lower payout ratios like Bank of Montreal, IBM and Abbvie and PPL.

  • Now, check this out.

  • IBM This is a stock that came up recently in one of the meet ups, PPC and meet ups, and we're gonna have more of these in 2020 2019.

  • I'm gonna have a few more before the year ends as well.

  • And if you want to sign up for those, by the way, all link in the description below. 00:18:56.710 --> 00:19:1.280 I have a local crew, California centric, where we're doing the meet ups. 00:19:1.360 --> 00:19:1.890 Sign up. 00:19:1.890 --> 00:19:4.910 You'll be alerted of when the meet ups are happening. 00:19:4.990 --> 00:19:7.700 Anyways, IBM is a stock that was discussed. 00:19:8.630 --> 00:19:9.550 I own IBM.

  • It got me thinking about IBM again.

  • And as you go through this analysis with me today, you're in a C.

  • Just It's interesting.

  • IBM honestly, it is thriving on a lot of these metrics that are aligned with my personal 2020 strategy.

  • Okay, so next What I do is I look at position number.

  • As you know, I generally like to add to my core positions my ancillary positions.

  • They're not as important or relevant to me.

  • I own 43 stocks.

  • I'm trying to, you know, 2019 was all about building the core, but honestly, that's a philosophy that carries through to the future.

  • And so I wanted to pay respect to my 2019 goal here by looking what's a core position.

  • What's not.

  • You'll see the lion's share of what I'm presenting today.

  • Our red cells, meaning they're they're not even in the top 15. 00:19:58.230 --> 00:20:4.850 Everything that's green is in the top 15 for me, Duke, Altria Southern and Cedar Fair. 00:20:4.970 --> 00:20:10.100 These are my only top 15 companies that, ah, that make this list.

  • And so most stocks here got penalized, and I wanted to at least reward or pay respect to stuff that is in those top 15.

  • Because for me, it will always be an exercise of focusing on the core for my portfolio.

  • That was my pure goal in 2019.

  • But it kind of always carries through to future years as well, cause I want a core centric portfolio.

  • I want to double down, if you will.

  • Another way of looking out it is doubling down on the real winners.

  • It's nice to have ancillary positions, but I can't lose focus on the winners.

  • The core.

  • Okay, you guys know I love international exposure.

  • I pulled in these numbers from an analysis I shared before a link to it in the description Be low.

  • I looked at all my companies and I looked which ones What is their international exposure by revenue.

  • And so here.

  • I guess I I gave green.

  • I reward those stocks that have a lot of international exposure, and I give red to penalize the ones that don't and I give, I guess yellow for the one that is kind of in the middle.

  • But you'll see quickly stuff like Duke, Altria, Southern, these air, all us Cedar Fair, all us, so they get penalized.

  • But stuff like Philip Morris say it's 100% international.

  • So gets a riel green green highlight there.

  • But some of these others that you may have not thought about Chevron.

  • I wouldn't have thought that that was 69% international.

  • This is why it's so important to look at the numbers and not always trust the gut, because the numbers will service things that intuitively you would never think about.

  • I would never think that Chevron's business was so focused internationally.

  • Ah, Royal, that show I would have thought that a universal I would have never thought this 82% of their business is international.

  • That is awesome.

  • And so I spot some universal. 00:21:56.320 --> 00:22:0.770 It's always fun to buy universal because it's one of the smallest Cos I own trading around book value. 00:22:0.920 --> 00:22:4.000 It's not really growing, but I buy it as a bond proxy. 00:22:4.000 --> 00:22:4.980 I bite for the dividend. 00:22:4.980 --> 00:22:6.850 I also don't think it's going anywhere. 00:22:7.000 --> 00:22:11.950 And so, um yeah, IBM is another 1 63% international.

  • I told you IBM, it's gonna be a theme throughout This wouldn't have thought that, um PBL I knew it was I knew this, but I'm just reminding the community it's so interesting that they're UK heavy.

  • But this is a risk, a swell, because there's a lot of talk in the UK about nationalizing the utility system.

  • And, boy, that would throw a wrench in PPL's game plan.

  • So there's certainly some risk of PPL, but I'm shouldering it.

  • Um, I take calculated risk.

  • That's how I have historically one in the stock market, some to keep moving along.

  • Let's look at book value in price to book, and so again, as I scroll on my computer, there's gonna be a series of new screen shots coming out.

  • You guys could follow along on the screen or download it in the description below. 00:22:58.530 --> 00:23:0.260 I pulled the book value for all this. 00:23:0.270 --> 00:23:1.890 I don't usually look at book value. 00:23:1.890 --> 00:23:4.710 I've even said so far in the past is book value. 00:23:4.890 --> 00:23:6.210 It's not really relevant to me. 00:23:6.210 --> 00:23:12.090 Certainly it is in industries like insurance and banking, maybe utilities a bit.

  • But certain industries like consumer non cyclical doesn't matter at all.

  • Now.

  • The reason I pulled book value in here is I realized, off the bat Hey, my tried and true consumer non cyclical stocks.

  • They're not making the list for 2020.

  • I'll be reinvesting my dividends and then, But I'm probably not gonna be buying a lot of net new shares in 2020 unless they sail, comes, comes to fruition.

  • I always will be ready for a sale.

  • Everything is fair game in my portfolio or even outside my portfolio if I see a one time bargain basement sale like I did with three m in 2019.

  • But, um, you know, uh, basically, if you look at this right now, you'll see unfortunately, 2020 they're in a lot of consumer non cyclical on here. 00:23:57.340 --> 00:24:8.590 And so the reason I incorporated book value in this analysis is these are the type of stocks or book value actually means something, and so book value, by the way, is assets minus liabilities. 00:24:8.590 --> 00:24:9.370 It's what's left. 00:24:9.370 --> 00:24:13.380 It's the shareholder's equity, and it's big, basically what's left.

  • If the company kind of goes out of business and liquidating assets and such to common shareholders, what's left for them?

  • Altri, I guess, is one where I It's a red, obviously, on the price to book.

  • But that's a consumer non cyclical.

  • And so price to book book value doesn't mean a whole lot for Altria.

  • It's a different type of business.

  • Um, probably IBM book value doesn't mean a lot, either.

  • But basically what I wanted to do with this column honestly is reward some of these companies.

  • They do have a good book value, and so you'll see stuff like Duke like Beatty.

  • I I was really surprising on BT I that it was such a good ah price to book.

  • Um, especially being a consumer non cyclical.

  • That's awesome.

  • Ah, Chevron. 00:24:59.400 --> 00:25:1.830 You see role that shell Universal. 00:25:1.830 --> 00:25:3.350 Here's where Universal comes up again. 00:25:3.350 --> 00:25:5.220 It's basically trading at book value. 00:25:5.220 --> 00:25:7.300 That's why I feel comfortable deploying money in it here. 00:25:7.300 --> 00:25:16.580 And I just did That was just a little tangent into book value and something I want to point out to is, when you're doing these analyses at home.

  • Sometimes it makes sense to pull in numbers that you might not normally look at.

  • And so each time I do one of these each year that passes each strategic goal that comes up, I try to change it up a little on the numbers I'm looking at just to keep the mind sharpen, to try to look at things with different perspective.

  • And that's why I included book value here.

  • Market cap.

  • I didn't really want a panel eyes stuff that's too big because everything in my portfolio is big.

  • But I wanted to include some green highlights, some rewards for the small caps because I got to show my love for the small caps like Universal Cedar Fair and PPL.

  • This is the market cap in billions. 00:25:56.420 --> 00:26:9.660 I did a really down and dirty subjective analysis of debt, and I pulled up the debt for each of these companies and I take the debt as a function of the market cap.

  • Now, this is a risky way of looking at it or not risky, but it's ah, it's a non perfect way of looking at it.

  • It would be better probably to look at.

  • Debt is a function of earnings or debt is a function of revenue.

  • B s market cap can fluctuate and market cap is a byproduct of share price.

  • And we know that the markets are generally not efficient.

  • At least that's my belief for this analysis.

  • I'm making the assumption that the market is efficient and that the market caps are indicative of revenue and earnings accurately.

  • And that's why I'm looking at this way.

  • It's a down and dirty metric.

  • That being said, the wisdom that I want to impart to the community is sometimes that's okay to do down and dirty analysis because it gets you to the number quickly.

  • It gets the answers that you need so that you could move on with life and not get caught up in analysis, paralysis. 00:26:57.860 --> 00:27:4.120 And so Anyways, I look at these and I don't really want to penalize anything cause, quite frankly, interest rates are low. 00:27:4.310 --> 00:27:11.980 They will probably continue to be low because if they go up, it's going to cause a massive issue.

  • It's gonna it's gonna cause the next major recession or even depression, and I think the government, the Federal Reserve realized that I don't think interest rates are going anywhere.

  • And so companies are incentivized to borrow.

  • And so I don't want a panel eyes necessary for necessarily for borrowing.

  • Generally speaking, I don't like to have companies in the portfolio that are egregious with debt, although I'll say, if there are any that worry me a little bit, maybe something like an AB ve or in IBM, although IBM a lot of their debt is because they finance customer purchases and so its lending arm debt, which is different from long term liability debt.

  • But, um, needless to say, I have a few in here that have some debt concerns. 00:27:56.400 --> 00:28:1.570 But the way I shoulder the risk is I diversify across 43 I only own world class companies. 00:28:1.730 --> 00:28:4.170 But needless to say, what I want to do here is I want a reward. 00:28:4.170 --> 00:28:7.020 I want to reward companies that have low debt, and so is looking. 00:28:7.140 --> 00:28:8.560 Altria has low debt. 00:28:8.870 --> 00:28:10.450 PM has low debt.

  • Chevron has low debt.

  • Let's just give a shout out to those companies agreeing highlight to those ones.

  • And so I love this next column because the next column is the subjective one.

  • How do I just feel about it?

  • Everything so far has been quantitative.

  • But when I'm looking at companies, I also need to know.

  • How do I feel about it?

  • The way I invest It's like a marriage, if you will.

  • I am marrying these companies forever.

  • I am buying, I'm never selling and I am marrying it, not only for myself but for future generations.

  • This portfolio will be passed on and so I want to buy stuff.

  • I feel good about owning because it incentivizes me to stay on the path to stay focused, to stay committed.

  • How do I feel?

  • Well, I feel good about Duke and Algeria.

  • I feel bad about Philip Morris.

  • I don't like it here.

  • It's too expensive. 00:28:59.870 --> 00:29:1.050 I feel bad about BT. 00:29:1.050 --> 00:29:6.470 I honestly, it's harder to analyze Bt I being a foreign company, that reporting in the U. 00:29:6.470 --> 00:29:6.730 S. 00:29:6.730 --> 00:29:9.990 I find easier for myself to analyze because that's my bread and butter. 00:29:9.990 --> 00:29:12.780 What I'm used to analyzing and I got enough.

  • It's over allocated.

  • I feel bad about Chevron.

  • I feel like it's overvalued.

  • I feel good about Southern.

  • I feel OK about some of these like Bank of Montreal, Royal Dutch Shell, Universal BP.

  • I feel okay.

  • Um, why do I feel OK about some of these?

  • It's a different situation for each.

  • But I'll tell you, like Royal Dutch Shell BP, The reason I don't feel good about them is, quite frankly, our dependence on oil over time may be dwindling.

  • I love driving sports cars, gasoline driven motor vehicles, but I'm old school.

  • A lot of people want the new thing, which is all electric now.

  • Mind you, oil is used for so many things.

  • It's used for producing plastics.

  • It's used in manufacturing, It's using aerospace and the worldwide population is growing. 00:29:59.530 --> 00:30:3.250 And so I don't think there's any concern short term for BP or Royal Dutch show. 00:30:3.500 --> 00:30:9.880 That being said, I feel OK about them because I never wanted a huge allocation in my portfolio to oil. 00:30:9.880 --> 00:30:13.660 And usually I only buy oil when they are on steep discount.

  • They are just really hurting.

  • And so, um, I did a whole series on oil.

  • Stocks sell link in the description below about how I look at oil when I buy oil now in the market cycle for oil, it's usually not around the time I buy oil, so that's why it's an okay.

  • But at the same time, I'm hunting for yield.

  • This is an overvalued market.

  • There ain't a lot of good yield out there, and I'm only seeing it in oil.

  • And so it's kind of a paradox here.

  • It's like I don't want more oil.

  • It's okay, but it's it's honestly one of the only values out there right now.

  • That's how I'm looking at oil, IBM.

  • I feel good about it.

  • I don't have a lot of Tak exposure, and I feel that it's it's got a lot going for.

  • It is We've seen the analysis so far.

  • Cedar Fair. 00:30:57.070 --> 00:31:6.350 I feel okay, Honestly, I brought this this stock up to about 2% of my portfolio and originalist and add a lot more to it. 00:31:6.350 --> 00:31:10.100 I probably still will, but I feel okay for the reasons already mentioned.

  • I don't feel good about their cash flow right now.

  • I like them to get their house in order, but often times it's too late.

  • Once they get their house in order, it won't be on sale anymore.

  • And so this is another huge takeaway.

  • Sometimes I take calculated risk.

  • I probably will bet by more Cedar Fair throughout 2020.

  • Why?

  • Their house is not an order.

  • Cash flows is messed up.

  • When the cash flow is messed up, That gives me an opportunity to buy on sale.

  • Once they fix all, that stock's gonna be through the roof.

  • And so that's a really, really important message and for for myself, quite frankly, because I need to remind myself of that.

  • Abby, I feel, man, I feel good.

  • I feel good about you, Abby.

  • Thug life.

  • I love you, Abby, ppd.

  • You know, let me just say something.

  • These companies in the media, uh, big pharma. 00:31:58.240 --> 00:32:3.300 Gosh, someone shared on my Facebook today something. 00:32:3.840 --> 00:32:5.870 I don't know what to do on Facebook anymore. 00:32:5.870 --> 00:32:9.710 I'm not talking about my group, which all linked to in the description below, By the way, I love the group. 00:32:9.710 --> 00:32:10.330 I'm sorry.

  • I have about 200 pending.

  • Invite.

  • Simon had time to get through.

  • I will get through them.

  • Thank you for being patient.

  • I love my Facebook group.

  • I'm talking about my personal facebook and just talk a minute.

  • I live in California.

  • I grew up with a lot of people, Um, who kind of subscribed to the general philosophies, political philosophies that are popular in California.

  • And look, I try to stay unbiased.

  • I don't want to talk about political views one way or another, but I'll tell you, I see something.

  • I wake up this morning, someone's talking smack about my holding that I own.

  • I think it was Pfizer.

  • And, um, let me just write that down, because, I mean, I have to do disclosures later, and I don't want to forget it.

  • But talking smack about fi, sir, I love you.

  • Pfizer. 00:32:57.260 --> 00:33:4.750 And what they're saying is, oh, CEO is getting paid too much money, and the prices of their their products are too high. 00:33:5.810 --> 00:33:12.980 I'm just saying these companies get so much bad press, but, you know, we should also think about the value they're bringing forth.

  • A lot of these companies are driving medical innovations.

  • They have scientists who are very expensive, very well educated, who need to pay back their student loans, quite frankly, who need to make a lot of money to pay back their Ph D programs and their years of research to get to these solutions that they're producing and So all I'm saying is there's two sides to every story and because Abby coming, it's like that.

  • They kind of get a bad reputation.

  • Sometimes in the media, I give him nothing but love.

  • I give him so much love cause I want you.

  • If you work at one of these companies, rest assured that your shareholders love you.

  • And quite frankly, I imagine I can't speak for them.

  • But I imagine a lot of your patients that use your solutions that have helped their lives. 00:33:56.980 --> 00:34:3.690 They love you, too, because you have provided in advance in medical technology that has helped helped people. 00:34:3.690 --> 00:34:11.660 And so I know there's two sides of every story, and sometimes it's hard for others to see these headlines about what CEOs are getting paid.

  • But I just like to give love to this stuff because they never get love.

  • So I feel good about you.

  • Abby Justus.

  • I feel good all day, every day about sin stocks.

  • I started my portfolio.

  • I built a foundation on sin stocks back in the day.

  • Everyone loves to hate them.

  • I got nothing but love.

  • PPL corporation man.

  • I just feel good about it.

  • I feel good about it, cause I know it's a calculated risk.

  • I know it's gone up, but it's still trading at a discount and got Brexit drama.

  • I like to buy when the drama's there because it creates opportunity.

  • Although if the drama comes to fruition, it could create big risk.

  • But I'm willing to shoulder it. 00:34:46.740 --> 00:35:0.520 All right, So now that I've gotten through the subjective stuff, what I did was I counted up the red boxes and green boxes for each of them, and I kind of did some subjective nests here. 00:35:0.520 --> 00:35:1.120 Like green. 00:35:1.120 --> 00:35:12.910 My average was a 2.71 So on average each Sorry, red on average, each stock that I covered here, all of them got an average of 2.71 red boxes.

  • So the ones that got lower than that are better off the ones that got higher or worse off.

  • So you can see quickly.

  • Oh, Philip Morris, five red boxes.

  • Sorry, I'm not going to be buying that, But oh, Altria to red boxes.

  • Yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna consider buying that Oh, Cedar Fair.

  • Only one red box.

  • Yeah, I'll buy some more Cedar Fair abbvie.

  • Only two red boxes yell.

  • Buy some more, Abby, But Southern coming four red boxes.

  • No, I'm not gonna be buying more.

  • So that's how he looked at red boxes.

  • Green boxes.

  • I added them up.

  • The more the better.

  • The average was a 3.93 six red six green boxes for PPL Thug life.

  • You're you're on PPL Only three for Southern.

  • Sorry, Southern.

  • Not enough green boxes. 00:35:57.940 --> 00:36:4.620 Basically, what I did is I took these calculations of all the red boxes and green boxes. 00:36:4.930 --> 00:36:8.210 I moved him over to the next column is will I be adding more? 00:36:8.330 --> 00:36:10.410 And I came up with three general buckets.

  • Yes, some son Plus, which was kind of a differentiation if it's in the some category, but it's better.

  • And then no.

  • And so, for example, Altria, I'll be adding some a little more than some some plus because I love you.

  • Altria, Duke some, um, I'll add some to universal.

  • Yeah, IBM is a green.

  • Yes, I had a lotto IBM, Altria, PPR.

  • Sorry, Abbvie, PPL green.

  • I'll add a lot.

  • And so that's how I did it.

  • I also include a just some subjective columns at the end here.

  • Just that you can see.

  • Am I already reinvesting or not?

  • I'm not gonna really change my reinvesting preferences right now, but I will probably pull out reinvesting from a lot of these stocks at some point in the near future because they're not strategic. 00:36:58.850 --> 00:37:4.000 Most of them especially the ones here that aren't strategic, especially ones like like say, PPL, for example. 00:37:4.000 --> 00:37:6.410 I love you, but once you're at size, you're known strategic. 00:37:6.530 --> 00:37:7.540 I stop reinvesting. 00:37:7.540 --> 00:37:9.030 I use the cash flow to pay bills. 00:37:9.030 --> 00:37:9.460 I love it. 00:37:9.760 --> 00:37:12.490 Um, they talk about some of the risks here.

  • Risks generally fall into the buckets of sin stock, oil stocks, stagnant revenues, deteriorating fundamentals.

  • So on so forth.

  • I've already hit on a lot of this, but you'll see it in the spreadsheet.

  • And so I want to show a summary.

  • Here.

  • This is Ian's 2020 high yielders short list.

  • You see here, Stack ranked orders one through nine.

  • These air, the nine stocks I'm gonna be focused on in 2020 and it starts with an abbey, which is my number one focus, PPL number two.

  • And you may think he and Abby you're adding more already up a bunch.

  • I don't care.

  • I'm happy to average up.

  • It's still a value all average up.

  • I'm fine with that.

  • IBM number three Altria Number four Cedar Fair five.

  • Duke Number six, Universal seven.

  • Shell eight. 00:37:59.970 --> 00:38:0.960 BP nine. 00:38:1.130 --> 00:38:8.670 You'll see I left oil for last because again, these oil stocks I don't want so much allocation. 00:38:8.670 --> 00:38:11.150 And it's not the right point in oil cycle to be buying.

  • But hey, I'll do it.

  • I'll probably buy a little just cause that's where the market's out.

  • And if I have this goal of the high yielding stuff, gotta, that's where the high yielding the value is right now.

  • Anyways, that's That's my That's my list.

  • In the simple average of all these is a 5.8%.

  • That's the number one number that motivates me.

  • I just buy this basket.

  • I am yielding off the bat Day one, a 5.8% yield in a market where most of my core stocks that I love my consumer non cyclicals there below 3%.

  • At this point they're in the twos.

  • And so getting in the high fives as a starting yield with world class companies that I've already vetted that air in the portfolio that I love, I feel confident about.

  • I just feel good about this strategy for 2020. 00:38:59.740 --> 00:39:6.680 I feel good about it and I feel good about it cause it works for my life situation where I'm at right now where I need to save some money for real estate. 00:39:6.970 --> 00:39:13.160 I need to continue on clothes, getting closer and closer to financial, semi financial freedom.

  • I certainly full financial freedom is a way out.

  • But I'm talking.

  • I'm getting closer and closer to MME.

  • Or semi financial freedom where we're using more dividends to pay bills.

  • And I'm at a point where I need my money to work for me because I'm putting less money in because I'm saving a lot of money for real estate and so that's where I'm at.

  • That's my list.

  • That's my strategy for 2020.

  • I would be so curious.

  • What you all think sharing the comments below every comment means the world to me.

  • Comments likes subscriptions.

  • It's the best way you can thank me for my hard work here on YouTube.

  • I love you all share what you think below and look, this is my strategy.

  • It's very specific to my personal situation.

  • I imagine a lot of you out there have a completely different personal situation sharing the comments below.

  • What's your situation?

  • What are your goals? 00:39:59.220 --> 00:40:0.020 How do they differ? 00:40:0.170 --> 00:40:2.250 You may have a different life stage that you're in. 00:40:2.370 --> 00:40:6.130 You may have a different stage of your portfolio. 00:40:6.130 --> 00:40:9.630 Different family situation, different career situation. 00:40:9.990 --> 00:40:12.740 You may be doing something very different in 2020.

  • I would love to hear because the best part about this channel is all of you.

  • It's the community.

  • It's the discussion that we have in the comments below.

  • It's the discussion on Facebook and social media.

  • Instagram Twitter.

  • I love you all.

  • Thank you so much.

  • All right.

  • Before I leave today, I do want to go through my disclosure.

  • In terms of full disclosure.

  • I am long the stocks mentioned today.

  • I am long Duke Energy ticker symbol Tuk Altria took her similar M o Philip Morris ticker symbol p M.

  • Bt I took a similar BT i Chevron ticker symbol C v X Southern ticker symbol S o Bank of Montreal Ticker symbol BMO Royal Dutch Shell Ticker symbol R D s a universal ticker symbol.

  • U V v BP took a symbol. 00:40:59.450 --> 00:41:2.920 BP, IBM, ticker symbol, IBM Cedar Fair took her symbol. 00:41:2.920 --> 00:41:9.610 F U N Abbvie ticker symbol, a BBV PPL ticker symbol, PPL three m ticker symbol. 00:41:9.620 --> 00:41:11.580 Mmm and Fizer.

  • Ticker symbol.

  • Pft.

  • I own all of those in my personal stock portfolio in terms of a friendly disclaimer.

  • Today's videos, not investment advice.

  • I'm not a licensed investment adviser.

  • Today's video is just for your fun and entertainment.

  • If you're gonna go out and invest, please consult a licensed financial advisor first, just sharing my personal journey here on YouTube for fun and entertainment, by the way, before I go bonus content.

  • Reason I own already essay instead of B I own A shares is historically speaking.

  • A has referred to the oil deposits in the ground where B has been Maura about that refining business.

  • They kind of divvied up the business along these classes.

  • There's different tax consequences for each. 00:41:53.290 --> 00:42:4.850 Personally, I was willing to take on more complex city on the tax side of things, for the assurance that my A shares were actually secured by the oil reserves in the ground. 00:42:4.850 --> 00:42:9.050 At least that's how I've looked at it historically, and so it doesn't honestly, doesn't really matter. 00:42:9.320 --> 00:42:12.170 A lot of people go for B because it's easier on the tax side of things.

  • But I That's why I got a cause.

  • I know a lot of you ask that sometimes in the comments below, by the way, I have some really cool merch in my store.

  • You'll see a link to that and description.

  • Bi Lo Lot of that is makes great gift for the dividend investor out there for the holiday season.

  • I'm so incredibly blessed and thankful for all of the orders that have already come through.

  • Thank you so much.

  • It means the world to me brings a smile to my face.

  • Helps me helps The channel supports the production, the equipment, the time, all of that.

  • So thank you so much.

  • I am wishing you an amazing holiday season.

  • Happy holidays, everyone.

So I'm gonna show right now the two dividend stocks that I just purchased, I purchased shares of Universal Corporation and PPL Corporation.

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我在2020年要買的9只高溢價分化股 (9 HIGH-YIELD DIVIDEND STOCKS I'M BUYING IN 2020)

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    林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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