字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 This protester calls himself “Bruce'' We've hidden his face and obscured his voice to protect his identity He's one of the millions of Hong Kongers taking to the streets Many people here are wearing face masks People are hiding their identities They fear that the government will press charges What started as a protest against an extradition bill... ...has become the most serious challenge... ...to the Communist Party's authority... ...since the Tiananmen Square protest three decades ago As the demonstrations enter a third month... ...neither the government nor the protesters is willing to back down Police fire tear gas, rubber bullets... ...and use their police baton to hit the protesters But it's not enough to deter the demonstrators So what happens now? This is a real nightmare for the Communist government in Beijing They can either crush Hong Kong... ...or they can tolerate being defied... ...in a way that undermines everything... ...about their whole structure of government They have no good choices Hong Kong is one of the most important financial centres in the world And it has a unique status It's a city in China but it's not entirely Chinese It has its own currency... ...its own passport… ...its own legal system There's even a boundary between Hong Kong and the rest of China... ...and you need a permit to cross it This is all down to its history In 1842 Hong Kong was ceded by the Chinese to the British... ...after the first Opium War But in 1997 Britain gave it back to China Hong Kong people are to run Hong Kong With one important condition... ...for 50 years Hong Kong was to be governed... ...under what is known as “one country, two systems” The chief executive who runs Hong Kong... ...would be appointed by a pro-Chinese committee But the city was guaranteed a high degree of autonomy... ...with its own government, legal system... ...and economic independence until 2047 Over the past decade those rights have been eroded Fuller democracy, promised as part of the handover agreement... ...has yet to be granted by China Yellow ribbon means come back, come back democracy Emily Lau was a Hong Kong politician for 25 years Today she still campaigns for democracy Things have deteriorated fast... ...particularly since President Xi Jinping came to power So people are very concerned We want freedoms, we want personal safety... ...we want the rule of law China's grip has got ever tighter In 2012 the government tried to install... ...a patriotic pro-Chinese education system Then five Hong Kong booksellers... ...who sold material banned in mainland China disappeared In 2016 pro-democracy opposition leaders... ...were thrown out of Hong Kong's parliament... ...for insulting China when swearing their oaths And then in February this year... ...the government introduced a bill... ...which would have allowed extradition to the mainland Very few people in Hong Kong imagine there's going to be... ...full-on, Western-style democracy But they are very angry about the way that... ...what they believe they were promised... ...was something much more accountable where... ...you'd have something close to universal suffrage The basic social contract... ...between the people of Hong Kong and their government is breaking down All this is fuelling the protesters' anger The invisible hand from China... ...are getting more visible They are putting more controls on Hong Kong's autonomy and democracy Hong Kong is not China People will say to you, “We know that 2047 is coming one day... ...but we don't want it to happen now” As the protests get larger and more violent... ...the chance of China intervening increases Beijing has made thinly veiled threats to send in its military forces... ...the People's Liberation Army Those who play with fire will perish by it At the end of the day, they will eventually be punished A few weeks ago nobody seriously thought... ...we could see another Tiananmen Square in Hong Kong Now you can't rule it out In 1989 a student demonstration in Beijing ended in massacre Hundreds, maybe thousands, were shot dead For the Chinese government... ...the Hong Kong demonstrators are defying the authority... ...of a Communist leadership that cannot tolerate defiance For President Xi Jinping... ...his kind of north and south, his east and west, is the absolute authority... ...and total control of the Chinese Communist Party And anything that threatens that must be crushed They are afraid that it could be very infectious... ...and they don't want to see such marches... ...in the other parts of mainland China Another fear is some protesters' demand for full independence But military intervention would be a very risky strategy for Beijing Hong Kong for all its woes... ...is still a very rich world financial centre To roll troops into that kind of financial centre... ...would be an economic catastrophe In 1993 Hong Kong's GDP accounted for... ...more than a quarter of mainland China's Today China's remarkable rise means that Hong Kong's... ...economic output makes up less than 3% of the mainland's But Hong Kong remains important for China Multinationals use it as a launch pad to the mainland... ...and it gives Chinese companies access to the rest of the world So we are very special We are a window for China to look to the outside world... ...as an international city with all our connections It's very valuable to China So how the turmoil is resolved matters to more... ...than just the people of Hong Kong The government there said the People's Liberation Army may be deployed But if that's the case, the game is over If China uses lethal force... ...then you would see an economic crash There's 85,000 American expatriates in Hong Kong You would see them fleeing for the airport This all comes at a time when China and America... ...are waging a trade and technology war Bloodshed on Hong Kong's streets... ...would make relations deteriorate even further Beijing is now blaming outsiders for the trouble We've seen remarkably explicit... ...state-media commentaries telling the people of China... ...that these protests are not just radical and violent... ...but are also orchestrated by foreign forces The Chinese government resolutely opposes... ...any foreign forces attempts to intervene in Hong Kong affairs For the Chinese Communist leadership... ...what's happening in Hong Kong is evidence... ...that as China rises as one of the world's most powerful countries... ...that the West is using every means possible to divide and to frustrate China For China the situation has become much more than a dispute over a law It's become an existential threat Bruce and the other protesters are holding their breath I still worry what happens next... ...because the situation could deteriorate very rapidly China's Communist rulers must choose between two mortal dangers... ...the collapse of economic stability and prosperity... ...or the acceptance that protests can limit the Party's absolute power
B1 中級 英國腔 香港抗議活動:對中國來說,什麼是危險的?| 經濟學家》雜誌 (Hong Kong protests: what's at stake for China? | The Economist) 212 8 王語萱 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字