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  • Until Andrew Yang, few, if any, candidates were talking about the rise of automation,

  • spiraling birth rates, and historic rates of addiction and mental illness.

  • His first appearances such as those on Sam Harris' podcast didn't generate much buzz.

  • At that point, he was among the unlikeliest of candidates for the Democratic nomination.

  • Like many obscure figures before him, his appearance on the Joe Rogan Experience caused

  • a massive boost of public awareness.

  • But it isn't necessarily the Democratic base rallying around him, which is far too

  • busy with the politics of intersectionality.

  • That much is to be expected when a huge number of people who discover you come from Joe's

  • much more centrist podcast.

  • It's those who have a vague sense that these issues are on the horizon, many of whom happen

  • to be on the right.

  • That a great number of those curious in the candidacy of Andrew Yang aren't on the left

  • might come as a surprise to casual onlookers.

  • After all, his single-issue mission of a universal basic income sounds a lot more like socialist

  • redistributionism rather than the blind allegiance to free markets that overtook the right following

  • the Reagan Revolution.

  • Which more or less brings us to the rise of the #YangGang meme's newfound virality,

  • and its connected meme of Potato Trump.

  • Yang is riding a wave similar to that of Tucker Carlson's following his debate with Ben

  • Shapiro on these same subjects.

  • As a candidate, Donald Trump captured the same mood in a roundabout way, through is

  • hardline stances on immigration, his pledges to restore manufacturing industries, and his

  • efforts to attack the opiate crisis plaguing those areas of the country.

  • Yang goes a step further with his pledge to tackle the opiate crisis even to the point

  • of prosecuting pharmaceutical executives responsible.

  • Trump ran on a platform ofonly me.”

  • Repeatedly he would famously tell us thatonly hecould fix any host of problems

  • which have plagued the country for decades.

  • Beyond the appointment of judges, he's arguably done little toward capturing the nostalgia

  • behindMaking America Great Again.”

  • At this point in Trump's presidency, especially, there's a felt sense that the country is

  • moving away from that vision regardless of who is elected.

  • As is well understood, Trump relied upon white American support and frustrations in order

  • to coast his way to narrow success.

  • What makes Yang a unique outlier on the left is that he's neededly pointed out that among

  • white Americans deaths now outnumber births - a clear marker of familial decline.

  • A widespread notion exists in the brainy establishment

  • ranks of Republicans and libertarians that so long as we have cheap hamburgers and electronics,

  • American communities can just be replaced by new immigrants.

  • That core communities of Americans can vanish in the span of a few decades, an unprecedented

  • development in this country, without vast social ramifications--such as the ones we're

  • already witnessing.

  • The reasons these events are unfolding are incredibly complex and can be traced to no

  • one development, but it can be said that this isn't a viable long-term solution.

  • These problems can potentially be addressed through tailored incentive structures to promote

  • family creation, such as those which have been promoted by Hungary and Israel.

  • Trump has spent no time devoted to this subject for some apparent reason, as though it is

  • without dignity to address any subset of Americans experiencing the evaporation of their communities.

  • For this reason, some of Trump's previously most devoted followers are questioning their

  • support of someone who looks a lot more like George W. Bush than 2015 Donald Trump.

  • This became glaringly obvious after the Trump administration's abject failure on his signature

  • issue, as February marked a 12 year high for illegal immigration.

  • Because of a collective sense of social disintegration and nihilism among the Trump base, the overall

  • rationale behind the shift to Yang simply boils down to this: if the country will veer

  • in that direction anyway, we may as well strive to not spend our days in economic insecurity--especially

  • if your political views lean right, which can literally cost you your job.

  • But it isn't just economic concerns that has drawn support to Yang from the right.

  • In response to a rising tide of technological censorship, President Donald Trump, who far-leftists

  • have called to be banned on many social media platforms--including Twitter-- is fundamentally

  • uninterested in addressing this issue, only advising fellow Republicans tobe good.”

  • In stark contrast, Andrew Yang has gone as far to say that social media conglomerates

  • should be trust-busted for their mass-censorship campaigns.

  • Where you come down on that debate is besides the point: it's obviously more favorable

  • to conservatives who obviously face the brunt of censorship with no clear solution on the

  • horizon.

  • It's largely for these reasons that pointing to any one particular left wing policy listed

  • on Yang's website is viewed as irrelevant by his right wing supporters.

  • If even under a firebrand Republican administration the country moves leftward, spending more

  • than ever before, receiving more illegal immigrants than under Obama, and seeing more technological

  • censorship, why should a candidate willing to tackle the issues of censorship and job

  • displacement be written off?

  • To the people running the meme factories that have spurred the online appeal of Yang, Trump

  • has failed to address these issues in any serious way, while Yang is openly positioning

  • himself as the one to do it--with the previously mentioned $1000/moFreedom Dividend.”

  • Roughly speaking, our economy is divided into a few sectors: raw materials, manufacturing,

  • and the service industry.

  • Because America is a highly advanced economy, it's the service industry which produces

  • most of our economic output.

  • Obviously, this has been unprecedentedly disruptive for communities that have historically relied

  • upon the first two sectors.

  • Libertarians cite these developments as being positive; after all, they say, that signifies

  • that we don't have to engage in grueling labor, and can instead focus on enjoying the

  • fruit of that expanding economic pie.

  • Materially, this is true.

  • Regardless of this fact, you still have to earn those goods by generating economic value.

  • If we're going to transition away from human labor at an unprecedented rate, we must find

  • a new way to manage the social and economic costs that those displaced in a matter of

  • years will inevitably bear the cost of.

  • You could argue, as many do compellingly, that predictions of massive human replacement

  • by automation are grossly overestimated.

  • After all, they point out, people have been displaced by all sort of innovations (usually

  • pointed to is the horse and buggy), but that isn't an argument against improving the

  • country's well-being as a whole.

  • After all, people's sense of purpose and meaning is in large part derived from jobs

  • and the feeling that they're providing for their families, not from how cheaply they

  • can stream a tv show.

  • And as many are quick to eject out of their mouths, the rise of automation does mean cheaper

  • products and services, but what's missed is the compromise that is made.

  • The clear compromise is a country where new jobs that are created are, not only less cognitively

  • accessible, but more isolated and temporary.

  • Today, one in five jobs are held by a person under contract and within a decade, contractors

  • and freelancers could make up half of the American workforce.

  • As a matter of practical reality, the formation of local bonds, community, and camaraderie

  • will always be put on the back burner in favor of market efficiency - the next temporary

  • gig.

  • Being that the market itself is morally neutral, and instead merely a means of meeting consumer

  • demand as efficiently as possible, the disintegration we are seeing manifested is a result of human

  • choices as libertarians rush to point out.

  • While it's not the role of the state to block this, shaping the incentive structure

  • in a way where it makes sense for average people to make choices that foster family

  • and community would result in a healthier country.

  • How that is addressed or implemented is a question that runs as deep as any.

  • What's as difficult to address is the reality that jobs are becoming much, much more complex.

  • One possible solution put forward to minimize these effects is that we can begin a massive

  • job retraining program.

  • But these already exist, and the results aren't promising to say the least.

  • This is a fact Andrew Yang addresses headlong, correctly citing that the TAA, a federal jobs

  • retraining program, found that only 37% of program members were working in the field

  • for which they were trained.

  • That doesn't paint an optimistic picture if libertarian predictions about the state

  • of the economy in 15 years don't pan out and it should certainly concern conservatives

  • who allegedly prioritize the formation of families above all else.

  • More hardlined figures in this debate like Tucker Carlson suggest we halt automation

  • entirely, which some could potentially view as far too heavy handed.

  • Alternatively we can seek out a sophisticated answer to the most complex issues any society

  • has had to rise to meet.

  • If we're to be freed from human labor through automation to make cheaper products, the consumers

  • of those free markets have to have a means by which to pay for them.

  • In other words, in an economy of humanless hyperproductivity, one can't simply compete

  • with machines.

  • A good thought experiment in favor of various disruptive and, on paper, terrible technological

  • innovations is highlighted by the example a professor gave to his class.

  • Asking, “if an invention were offered that would transform the economy and revolutionize

  • economic efficiency, but in exchange we had to sacrifice 40,000 lives a year, would politicians

  • permit it?”

  • The resounding response of the class wasdefinitely not.”

  • The professor then informed them that we do, and it is, of course, the automobile.

  • If you are someone who is inclined to reject the forward trajectory of industry, what you

  • might take from this is a criticism of cars.

  • What that presents is the classic observation by French economist Frederic Bastiat from

  • his essayThat Which is Seen, and That Which is Not Seen.”

  • What we see are the 40,000 deaths directly taken in consequence of automobiles; what

  • are not seen and cannot be calculated are the untold number of lives saved from the

  • safe and quick transportation of services such as medicine, emergency medical responses,

  • and essential goods more broadly.

  • Knowing where and how to draw this line will be an eternal problem for humanity, but in

  • the coming decades it will be like no time before in human history as the rate of technological

  • change goes parabolic.

  • Even if flawed, it's a conversation that no candidate is having, and Andrew Yang is

  • a positive inclusion in the culture and Democratic debates if not for any other reason than this.

  • Even further, as a strong advocate for vocational schools, Yang may serve as a voice of reason

  • in a party that wants to drive every American through college to receive useless degrees.

  • Unfortunately, far too many in the establishmentarian and libertarian wings of the GOP look at any

  • non-conventional solution to the issue of cognitive stratification with shock and dismay.

  • Andrew Yang frequently and correctly cites Chicago School Economist and libertarian sweetheart

  • Milton Friedman as a proponent of a UBI, as well as numerous founding fathers in their

  • advocacy of a form of it.

  • Self-identified libertarian scholar, Charles Murray is a vocal supporter of it, dedicating

  • an entire book on the subject, titledIn Our Hands: A Plan to Replace the Welfare State.”

  • That subtitle, “A Plan to Replace the Welfare State”, is where some of its support from

  • the right comes.

  • It's for this reason that the reflexive libertarian gesticulation that this is an

  • example ofsocialism!” doesn't hold water and is simply inadequate.

  • In theory, people like Friedman and Murray endorse the UBI or its related proposal, a

  • negative income tax, as a means of shifting entitlements that leave vulnerable people

  • dependent on the state to a form of independence.

  • There are a variety of problems associated with this argument.

  • Even if the numbers added up (a contested subject), it misses the fact that conservatives

  • rightly recognize: people derive their primary source of meaning from gainful and rewarding

  • employment.

  • The counterargument to this reality is that at $1k/mo you'd still be beneath the poverty

  • line, which wouldn't remove the incentive to work.

  • It's a fascinating thought experiment, at a minimum, and that's why so many on the

  • right on the wide plane of social media have become Yang-curious.

  • Even assuming the math worked out, the appeal of Yang transcends his policy prescriptions.

  • At least $1000 is an entertaining thought experiment; what would ensue if people were

  • totally freed from scarcity--the problem economics is trying to answer in the first place?

  • It could solve a number of social issues such as exploitative relationships or ease the

  • transition from an unsatisfying job to another one.

  • But it doesn't answer many, many more, such as the spiritual malaise this country is undergoing

  • that Yang understands.

  • He identifies the pervasive depression and disillusionment of the youth.

  • That harkening to a brighter, more optimistic past is what offered a lot of young people

  • a reprieve in Make America Great Again, whatever it is that you believe it signifies.

  • At a minimum it is a rebuke of the factual reality of social suicide we're seeing spike

  • rapidly.

  • In the last few decades, there has been a lot of concern over the societalDeath

  • of the Westas Patrick Buchanan's book and Jonah Goldberg's “Suicide of the West

  • label it respectively.

  • In some cases you can judge a book by its cover.

  • Though Trump and Yang stand in stark contrast to each other philosophically, to their supporters

  • they read the writing on the wall, even as figures and outlets like Human Progress, Steven

  • Pinker, and Ben Shapiro insist upon impotently reminding us of how optimistic we should be

  • as our countrymen sink deeper and deeper into a spiritual and, increasingly literal, suicide.

Until Andrew Yang, few, if any, candidates were talking about the rise of automation,

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瞭解楊剛 - 1791 (Understanding Yang Gang | 1791)

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    王惟惟 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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