One side has not been adhering to it,

「對方 (俄羅斯) 沒有遵守約定，

we have but one side hasn't.

我們有遵守，但俄羅斯卻沒有。」

Signed in 1987, between Russia and America,

《中程飛彈條約》在 1987 年

the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty

由俄羅斯與美國簽訂。

otherwise known as the INF contributed to the beginning

《中程飛彈條約》也被稱作 INF

of the end of the Cold War.

這個條約促成冷戰結束。

For more than a decade, Russia has been cheating the terms

但十幾年來，俄羅斯

of the deal.

持續違反條約規定。

But what would be the death of the nuclear pact mean

不過合約終止

for world peace.

會對世界局勢造成什麼影響呢？

In 1987, after the years of the negotiation

1987 年，經過多年協商，

the super powers agreed to meet.

雷根總統與戈巴契夫終於同意見面簽署 INF。

Today, I for the United States and the General Secretary

「今天，我代表美國和戈巴契夫

for the Soviet Union have signed the first agreement ever

簽訂了史上第一個消弭

to eliminate an entire class of US

美國與俄羅斯

and Soviet nuclear weapons.

所有核武的條約。

We have made history.

我們創下了歷史性的一刻。」

Mr. Reagan and Mr. Gorbachev agreed to destroy

雷根總統與戈巴契夫同意搗毀所有射程 500 至 5500 英里的導彈，

and never again produce land based missiles with a range

也不會再製造

of 500 to 5,500 miles.

同樣射程的彈道導彈。

Some politicians and journalists

「有些政治家和記者

are already speculating as to who has won.

已經開始推測哪一方是贏家，

I reject this approach.

我摒棄這種

It is a throwback to old thinking.

舊時代的想法。」

At the time The Economist reported

當時《經濟人》這麼報導：

that the world has crossed the Rubicon

全世界已經下定決心

of nuclear disarmament

消滅核武，

but warned that the west should trend carefully

但同時《經濟人》也警告西方世界搭上這股潮流時要提高警覺，

because westen public opinion may be lulled

因為大眾可能會被誤導，

into thinking that Russia is no longer an adversary.

以為俄羅斯不再是敵人，

In the Department of Defense, we've viewed Gorbachev

「當時在國防部談判，我們覺得戈巴契夫

as someone we could do business with.

能和我們達成共識，

He was looking to the future and understood

他注重未來發展，

it could not be based on confrontation with the west.

了解不能一直和美國針鋒相對。」

Frank Miller spent 30 years working

法蘭克米勒在美國國安局

for the US government on national security

任職了三十年，

and negotiated nuclear deals with the Russians.

曾和俄羅斯協商核武條款。

This is what the INF Treaty was all about.

「《中程核飛彈條約》就是在規範這些導彈的使用。」

But 30 years after the landmark treaty,

當時美俄簽訂了此具有代表性的條約，然而三十年過去了，

both sites blame the other for breaking the agreement.

雙方都在互相指責對方違約，

In 1987 we were looking to work together

「1987 年我們期待能一起消滅核武，

and there was a spirit of cooperation.

當時兩國一心想要攜手合作，

There is now a spirit

但現在莫斯科

of confrontation emanating from Moscow.

卻飄來了衝突火藥味。

Putin is using his intelligence services

普丁總統正利用

in his cyber services to try to disrupt events

網路情報服務誤導大眾對西方世界的想法。

in the west and today the Russians actually believe

現在俄羅斯人其實已相信

that nuclear weapons are useful weapons of war

核子武器對戰爭有幫助，

and certainly they use them all the time as weapons

他們一定會一直用核武

of coercion and intimidation.

進行脅迫與恫嚇。」

Over the past decade, Russia has been testing

過去十年來，俄羅斯持續毀約，

and deploying missiles that break the deal.

部署與試驗飛彈，

The Russians say that it is America

俄羅斯政府說

that's broken he treaty,

毀約的是美國，

claiming NATO's defense shield in Romania and Poland

北大西洋公約組織在羅馬尼亞與波蘭

has the capacity

的防衛基地

to fire intermediate-range missiles into Russia.

能對俄羅斯發射中程飛彈。

Relations between the United States and Russia now

「美國與俄羅斯現在的關係不好

are poor and are getting worse.

而且每況愈下，

We need to make clear to Mr. Putin that aggression

我們必須讓普丁了解

against the United States is not a policy goal

對美國挑釁

he can pursue.

並非好對策。」

Both sides have six months to negotiate

在《中程飛彈條約》廢除之前，

before the deal is disbanded.

美國和俄羅斯有六個月可以談判，

But if the treaty collapses,

但如果條約廢除了，

the consequences could be severe.

後果恐怕更加嚴重。

Other countries who are not signatories to the INF

其他當初沒有簽約的國家─

including China, India, and Israel

包括中國、印度、與以色列，

have been stockpiling missiles.

已經在儲備飛彈，

The US and Russia may look to catch up,

美國與俄羅斯可能會想要跟進，

sparking an arms race that could jeopardize what is left

進而引發軍備競賽，

of global arms control.

危及全球的武器管控，

Most worryingly, the potential death of the INF

最讓人擔心的是：《中程飛彈條約》被廢除後，

has called into question the new start treaty,

美俄之間是否還會簽署

a pact between Russia and America that deals

長程核彈的協定

with long range nuclear missiles.

仍是個問號，

If this is not agreed,

倘若雙方沒有達成共識，

there would be no constraint on the nuclear forces

這就會是近五十年來

of America and Russia for the first time

美俄之間第一次

in almost 50 years.

沒有規範核武的條款。