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  • This is Tyler Prochazka with the UBI podcast i'm here with Annie Lowrey the

  • author of "Give People Money". I'm really excited to talk to Annie because

  • actually we have two degrees of separation. Annie wrote in The New York

  • Times several years ago about Enno Schmidt and his campaign in Switzerland

  • and you know Enno is friend of ours at UBI Taiwan where I work so I want to

  • welcome Annie to to the show today thanks so much for having me great so I

  • want to get right into it I'm curious first how did you first get

  • into UBI and why did it click for you yeah so I started writing about it when

  • I was I was a reporter at The New York Times and I was also writing for the New

  • York Times Magazine so I think I had heard of it before just like you know

  • what comes up occasionally in policy discussions but I first wrote about it

  • when the Swiss run referendum happened um and then I'd been writing a lot about

  • effective altruism effective philanthropy and just efficacy and

  • policy programs and so then you know had multiple occasions to kind of come back

  • to either writing about ubi specifically or just writing about you know more

  • Universal cash programs or cash transfers and what was it that compelled

  • you to write this book specifically you know I kind of see ubi as you know a key

  • that unlocks a lot of doors right so it's a really simple idea but it lets

  • you talk about universality it lets you talk about feminism it lets you talk

  • about the problems with GDP about how we measure welfare about government

  • paternalism and so I think it's kind of unusual and

  • that people and you know the future of work robots people get really excited to

  • talk about it and it kind of lets you look at all of these other really

  • pressing issues that you know are kind of hard to to knit together and that's

  • one of the fun things about it is you know it's kind of an optimistic sort of

  • futuristic saying to talk about like heavily intellectual but

  • let's you pretty quickly descend sort of into the policy and historical weeds of

  • why we have what we have so that's what I liked about it is it's kind of like a

  • complicated multifaceted idea and you know one thing that I don't think that's

  • made it into the book but I almost I thought it was like a jungle gym right

  • it lets you like do all sorts of sort of crazy interesting things and go crazy

  • interesting places one of the criticisms that I was reading was that like a lot

  • of books on UBI there's not a lot of specifics on financing so how do you

  • address the financing issue and what are some of the Europe lanes getting around

  • the feasibility question yeah so I've kind of two thoughts about that so one

  • is that it feels like a pretty high barrier to clear at least in US policy

  • to argue from the very outset how to pay for kind of a full-fat thousand

  • dollar-a-month everybody gets at ubi nobody's really talking about that and

  • almost all of our big social programs have started small and gotten bigger so

  • Social Security for instance it starts off in 1935 is a fairly limited program

  • and then proceeds to expand or Medicaid and Medicare right they start off small

  • and then they slowly get bigger and bigger Earned Income Tax Credit right so

  • it just feels like you know the question is what are you actually proposing and

  • what's the bar that you need to clear to get it I think it's much more likely

  • that the US would do something like expand the Earned Income Tax Credit or

  • create a negative income tax or have a universal child grant all of those

  • things are a lot easier to quote unquote pay for I also just think that there's

  • this way in which we ask for social programs to be paid for whereas you know

  • things like military spending and tax cuts you know you don't even have to you

  • don't have to pay for a dime of it and that feels pretty unfair and I think

  • that that really skews our sense of what's possible so when it comes to the

  • politics then you mentioned a lot of alternatives I'm wondering what is your

  • view of negative income tax and

  • universality of basic income in exchange for maybe more politically feasible

  • system like yeah absolutely um so I think that

  • universality is a beautiful and wonderful thing and there are really

  • compelling arguments for it but it seems to me that you don't want to let more

  • marginal and stop more marginal improvements from happening that are a

  • lot more politically feasible just because you believe it should be

  • universal right so like we have a really bad child poverty program like I think

  • almost that's like a problem excuse me that's almost like a like a thing that

  • we should be solving first and you can solve that without without necessarily

  • going to a ubi again I think that our history suggests

  • that if you want universality the way is to kind of start small and expand as

  • opposed to you know immediately radically implementing so take something

  • like Social Security again it starts small it gets bigger and bigger and

  • bigger and it's pretty you near Universal and I think that you could

  • nudge it to being actually universal because it's so close to it so that's

  • sort of how I think about it do you think that there's a risk that when you

  • have something like basic income it becomes you know we think that for

  • conservatives who might find random stories about somebody that's lazy or

  • something like that how do you avoid those types of scenarios or is it

  • inevitable yeah so you know we tend to get those kinds

  • of stories and arguments about social welfare programs but not social

  • insurance programs welfare programs that are identified heavily with poverty with

  • poor people programs that give cash or in-kind benefits as opposed to going

  • giving support through the tax code what that implies to me is that something

  • like a negative income tax or expanded EITC would come under a lot less

  • scrutiny than something like the cash welfare program and again if you make

  • something a middle-class entitlement then I think that people stop asking

  • those questions nobody really thinks about oh you know is that really a good

  • house to be buying with your you know home mortgage interest deduction money

  • so you know who's receiving and how the program is framed matters a lot for how

  • we judge the program participants and sort of decide whether it's it's our

  • right to say that the money is well-spent or poorly spent there's been

  • a lot of that seems lately about experiments for

  • basic income people from basic income supporters when I was at the BN

  • conference that was what a lot of people were saying was that experiments sort of

  • put the onus on for people to prove that they're responsible with money and so it

  • creates this strange expectation for policymakers that the poor have to prove

  • that they're intelligent enough to take care of their own of their own finances

  • so I'm wondering what is your view of experiments do you think that they're

  • helpful for the movement do they delay things what is the direction that we

  • should be taking with basic income experiments I think they're really

  • important I mean we do have a lot of experimental evidence and suggestive

  • evidence from other programs like the Syme time studies um but I think that

  • there's a really important demonstration effect I really do think it matters when

  • you can point and say you know here's this family and here's what they did

  • with their money and you know I think that that is helpful in useful I also

  • think that you could get a kind of laboratory of democracy type effect so

  • if the government sponsored a state to use its TANF money for a cash program

  • the next time that there's a recession that could be pretty powerful in

  • generating evidence to say hey like here's the reason that this might be a

  • better way for everybody to do it so I think it's really I think it's

  • actually pretty important and I understand the argument that you're kind

  • of putting the onus on the poor and you might be inviting more judgment but

  • ultimately I think that the benefits might outweigh the negatives there do

  • you think that what do you think is the most compelling evidence that you've

  • seen for basic income specifically because there's a lot of experiments as

  • criticisms it's not exactly yeah so what do you see that's the most compelling

  • for you yeah I mean I think a lot of the anti-poverty evidence is just

  • unbelievably straightforward right even more so than the kind of like work

  • support type evidence we know that giving people cash is an unusually good

  • way to get them out of poverty we know that it doesn't stop them from working

  • we know that they don't waste the money we know that they don't increase their

  • consumption of vice goods this is really settled it's settled and poor income

  • low-income countries with a lot of poor folks it's settled in high-income

  • countries so I really look at the multiplicity of studies that we have on

  • that and you know it's just I think it's it's almost so obvious that we forget

  • that like you can just get people out of poverty by giving them money and you

  • have all of those kind of down the road effects of getting people out of poverty

  • right like they're healthier they're happier their kids are healthier their

  • kids work more and so it's an investment I want to ask you about the job

  • guarantee there's been a lot of discussion even from presidential

  • candidates potential presidential candidates like Cory Booker and others

  • about the job guarantee and I see it as sort of a reaction TVI that's my

  • assumption is it's kind of ubi light and in a way they think it's solving for

  • some of the same problems that maybe they're seeing with automation so why is

  • job guaranteed picking up so much steam and what how do you view it in relation

  • to basic income um you know I think that there is an argument that in some ways

  • it's more politically palatable because you have all of these conservatives who

  • argue that you know low-income people should be pulling themselves up by their

  • bootstraps that they need to be working that a job is the true way out of

  • poverty which in some sense is true and you know that makes having the

  • government be an employer of last resort a reasonable and almost conservative

  • pro-family policy even if it is kind of costly and so and there is really good

  • evidence on some job subsidy programs and direct employment programs excuse me

  • whether from the 1930s or more recently with like you know um

  • formerly incarcerated folks type thing I think the problem is that it's gonna be

  • very expensive and difficult to run anything that there's been a lot of hand

  • waving from advocates about how you would do it that's not an impossible

  • policy barrier to overcome but you know you'd spend a lot of money and resources

  • where is the beauty of cashes you just give it out right like we have a tax

  • system we know how to do it and so I do worry that job guarantee folks are sort

  • of over-promising and you know because to

  • really guarantee everybody wins and provide them with subsidized work what

  • we really do know how to do that whereas you know providing jobs in every ZIP

  • code in every part of the country is is tough again perhaps worthwhile perhaps

  • not impossible but but probably a good thing to do and you know I do think that

  • it's jobs guarantee does fit in with as opposed to supplanting other really

  • important policy goals such as increasing the minimum wage bolstering

  • the strength of the EITC and making sure that it goes to more people and

  • providing an income floor regardless of whether you can work or not because some

  • folks just can't work and that's okay too

  • right they have disabilities you know they might need to or choose to stay

  • home with their kids all of the reasons that an individual might not be right

  • for the workforce so my last question is about politics I'm curious what do you

  • think about basic income as a factor in 2020 you have Andrew Young who has

  • declared and he's pretty much running just only to be I do you think that it's

  • gonna be a factor and who do you see as they be coming around on basic income

  • yeah absolutely I think that you have seen Democrats who've gotten

  • significantly pulled to the left by the experience of the recovery from the

  • financial crisis and the recession by Bernie Sanders is success and by feeling

  • that this is a party that needs to be more responsive to the liberal and

  • progressive desires of its base which is younger than the Republican base more

  • diverse and more financially fragile despite all of the rhetoric about Trump

  • voters being economically motivated um you know it's it's it's just not true

  • right like they're motivated by other things and they're actually more

  • financially secure and so um I think that you know ubi is certainly

  • an idea that's gonna come up a lot and I would certainly hope that the end of

  • poverty and child poverty and much stronger supports for working families

  • including the working poor are going to be part of the conversation even if UPI

  • isn't the policy that they ultimately alight on I think it's clear that this

  • first thing they're gonna be pushing for is Medicare for all or universal health

  • insurance guarantee which is also another really important policy priority

  • okay well I'm gonna wrap it up here Thank You Annie Valerie I hope that all

  • people come through this book we just got it in Chinese here in Taiwan so I'm

  • really glad as it's picking up steam we're getting more more books even even

  • in Asia now so I hope that you can join again awesome thank you so much for

  • having me

This is Tyler Prochazka with the UBI podcast i'm here with Annie Lowrey the

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"給人錢"。安妮-洛瑞為基本收入辯護 ('Give People Money': Annie Lowrey Defends Basic Income)

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    王惟惟 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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