字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 TESTING. TESTING. TESTING. TESTING. TESTING. TESTING. TESTING. TESTING. TESTING. TESTING. TESTING. >> GOOD AFTERNOON EVERYBODY. OUR PROGRAM WILL BEGIN IN ABOUT FIVE MINUTES. IF YOU COULD PLEASE MOVE FORWARD TO FIND YOUR SEATS. AT THIS TIME WE WOULD ASK YOU TO TURN OFF OR SILENCE YOUR CELL PHONES. ONCE AGAIN OUR PROGRAM WILL BEGIN IN ABOUT FIVE MINUTES. >> IF EVERYONE WILL FILL INTO THE FRONT OF THE SEATS. >> TECHNICAL DIFFICULTIES. OH I GUESS NOT. GOOD AFTERNOON EVERYBODY. OUR PROGRAM WILL BEGIN IN JUST A MINUTE. AT THIS TIME WE ASK YOU TO TAKE YOUR SEATS AND PLEASE MOVE FORWARD IF YOU FEEL MORE COMFORTABLE. IT CREATES A MORE INTIMATE EXPERIENCE FOR THE SPEAKERS. WE WOULD ASK YOU AT THIS TIME TO SILENCE YOUR PHONES. THROUGHOUT TODAY'S ACTIVITY YOU MAY NOTICE SOME CONSTRUCTION NOISE IN THE BUILDING. THIS FACILITY IS UNDER RENOVATION. WE ASK YOU TO BEAR WITH US TO THE OCCASIONAL INTERRUPTIONS. WELCOME TO THE NEW DIRECTIONS INTO BASIC INCOME RESEARCH WORKSHOP. BROUGHT TO YOU BY POVERTY SOLUTIONS AT THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN. THE STANDARD BASIC INCOME LET SUPPORT FROM THE ECONOMIC SECURITY PROJECT. AT THIS TIME I WOULD LIKE TO INTRODUCE MY BOSS, OUR HOST AND THE DIRECTOR OF POVERTY SOLUTIONS PROFESSOR LUKE SHAEFER. [APPLAUSE] >> DAMIEN ALMOST RAN OFF WITH MY REMARKS. SO ALRIGHT THANKS EVERYONE FOR COMING. WE HAVE BEEN THINKING ABOUT THIS DAY FOR A REALLY LONG TIME SO IT'S REALLY EXCITING TO SEE EVERYONE'S FACES. I TOOK OFF MY JACKET BECAUSE WE REALLY WANT TO BE ABOUT BEING IN FORMAL AND SORT OF SPACE AND HONEST AND ENGAGE CONVERSATION ABOUT WHAT I LIKE TO CALL THE QUESTION OF IS A CASH KING. WHAT ARE WE TALKING ABOUT? WHERE ARE WE AT WITH THE CONVERSATION WITH BASIC INCOME AS A STRATEGY FOR POVERTY ALLEVIATION AND REDUCING INEQUALITY. HOW SHOULD SUCH PROGRAMS BE DESIGNED? WHO SHOULD THE TARGET? THIS WEEK WE ARE GOING TO INTERROGATE THE EVIDENCE ON WHETHER CASH IS THE BEST WAY TO HELP. AND WE ARE GOING TO ASK QUESTIONS ABOUT WHAT EVIDENCE DO WE NEED OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF SUCH PROGRAMS. HOW SHOULD THEY BE DESIGNED? UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME? SHOULD WE DO A NEGATIVE INCOME TAX? SHOULD WE TALK ABOUT CHILD ALLOWANCE RIGHT? THERE ARE QUESTIONS ABOUT THE DESIGN OF THESE PROGRAMS BEYOND QUESTIONS WHETHER CASH IS THE BEST WAY TO HELP THE QUESTIONS OF HOW A CASH PROGRAM SHOULD BE DESIGNED. THEN THERE ARE POLITICAL QUESTIONS. WHAT DO WE NEED TO KNOW ABOUT THE ACCEPTABILITY OF SUCH PROGRAMS. YOU CAN HAVE THE BEST PROGRAM IN THE WORLD AND IF PEOPLE ARE INTERESTED, YOU KNOW OR IT DOESN'T CONNECT WITH THEM, IT'S NOT GOING TO WORK. OF COURSE WE KNOW THE UNIVERSAL PROGRAMS ARE OFTEN SORT OF THE MOST POLITICALLY STRONG RIGHT? THEY CAN LAST FOR A LONGER TIME BECAUSE EVERYONE IS AT THE BOAT AND THEY ARE ALSO MORE EXPENSIVE. AT THE OTHER SIDE PROGRAMS THAT TARGET THE POOR CAN MAYBE BE A BETTER SORT OF MORE EFFICACIOUS WAY TO USE OUR RESOURCES. BUT IT'S BEEN SAID THAT PROGRAMS FOR POOR PEOPLE ARE POOR PROGRAMS. ONE OF THE THINGS THAT DYLAN MATTHEWS SAID IT'S GREAT THAT THIS CONVERSATION HAS MOVED BEYOND SORT OF YOU KNOW UNDERSTANDING CASH TRANSFER POLICIES IN THE CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK TO ONE WHERE WE ARE REALLY STARTING TO TALK ABOUT THE DETAILS. OUR GOAL AS A GROUP OF EMERGING SCHOLARS FOR THE NEXT GENERATION IS TO TRY TO GIVE US A WEEK AND WERE GET TO TALK ABOUT WHAT ARE THE MOST PRESSING QUESTIONS. WHAT ARE THE WAYS WE SHOULD MOVE THIS CONVERSATION FORWARD AND WE HOPE THAT YOU ALL ARE GOING TO BE A CRITICAL PIECE OF THAT. SO WE ARE BRINGING TOGETHER GRADUATE STUDENTS, EARLY CAREER SCHOLARS, TOGETHER WITH SOME OF THE NATION AND FRANKLY THE WORLD'S LEADING EXPERTS ON THESE TOPICS. EITHER ALL THINGS WE ARE GOING TO DISCUSS IN DETAIL OVER THE WEEKEND. I'M NOT GOING TO STAND IN THE WAY OF OUR GREAT SET OF PRESENTATIONS. FIRST THOUGH I WANT TO THANK OUR COSPONSORS THE ECONOMIC SECURITY PROJECT FOR GENEROUSLY PROVIDING SOME FUNDING FOR THIS EVENT. FOR THE STANFORD BASIC INCOME LAB. AND THEN ALL OF OUR GREAT CO-ORGANIZERS WHO HELPED US THINK OF THE AGENDA FOR THIS. JULIANA BIDADANURE, TAYLOR JO ISENBERG, MICHAEL LEWIS, ELIZABETH RHODES. FINALLY I REALLY WANT TO THANK MY STAFF WHO HAVE ORGANIZED THIS INCREDIBLE EVENT AND DONE SO WITH WHAT APPEARS FROM MY OFFICE TO BE EFFORTLESS GRACE. I CAN'T BE MORE IMPRESSED WITH THE JOB THEY'VE DONE ORGANIZING AND I GIVE A SPECIAL SHOUT OUT TO DAVIE AND, POVERTY SOLUTIONS ADMINISTERED OF COORDINATOR. HE HAS BEEN A DRIVING FORCE BEHIND THE LOGISTICS. LET ME INTRODUCE CHRIS HUGHES. CHRIS HAS SPENT HIS CAREER WORKING AT THE INTERSECTION OF POLITICS AND TECHNOLOGY. HE WAS A COFOUNDER OF FACEBOOK, A DIGITAL ARCHITECT FOR PRESIDENT OBAMA'S CAMPAIGN AND A PUBLISHER OF DIGITAL AND PRINT MAGAZINE THE NEW REPUBLIC. IN 2016 HE COFOUNDED THE ECONOMIC SECURITY PROJECT. A PROJECT TO EXPLORE HOW TO PROVIDE FINANCIAL SECURITY TO ALL AMERICANS WHO CASH TRANSFER. HE ALSO HAS WORKED ON A RANGE OF PROGRESSIVE CAUSES FROM HIS HOME IN NEW YORK CITY. HE'S AN INVESTOR, A BOARD MEMBER AND SEVERAL NEW YORK AND KELLER BASE STARTUPS AND A GRADUATE FROM WHAT WE LIKE TO REFER HERE AS THE MICHIGAN OF THE EAST. HARVARD. [LAUGHTER] OFTEN WHEN YOU ARE AROUND ANN ARBOR, AT LUNCH OR SOMETHING, YOU HEAR PEOPLE SORT OF CONVERSATIONS AT THE NEXT TABLE COMPARING MICHIGAN TO HARVARD. I MUST SAY I DID SPENT A SEMESTER AT HARVARD. I NEVER ONCE HEARD ANYONE AT LUNCH COMPARING HARVARD TO THE MICHIGAN. I DON'T KNOW WHAT THAT SAYS ABOUT THIS PARTICULAR COMPARISON. CHRIS'S BOOK FAIR SHOT, DOES AN INCREDIBLE JOB OF LAYING A LOT OF THE ISSUES WE ARE GOING TO BE TALKING ABOUT DOWN IN A VERY COMPELLING ARGUMENT AND ALSO ONE OF THE THINGS I REALLY LIKE ABOUT IT IS SORT OF OPPOSING BACK TO HIS OWN BIOGRAPHY AND THINKING ABOUT SORT OF THE OWN TRAJECTORY OF HIS LIFE AND HOW THE MICROCOSM OF SOME ISSUES WE HAVE SEEN ON A BROADER SCALE. WITHOUT FURTHER ADO, CHRIS HUGHES. [APPLAUSE] >> Man: THANK YOU. THANK YOU LUC FOR THE INTRODUCTION AND FOR ALL OF YOU FOR BEING HERE TODAY. TRULY THIS EVENT WOULD NOT BE HAPPENING WITHOUT YOUR LEADERSHIP LUKE SHAEFER AND THE LEADERSHIP OF THE ENTIRE POVERTY SOLUTIONS ORGANIZATION. THOSE ARE CONSTRUCTION. [LAUGHTER] IT'S GOING TO KEEP US AWAKE. GOOD. IN THE PAST FEW YEARS YOU GUYS HAVE CREATED AN EPICENTER FOR CONVERSATIONS LIKE THIS ONE AROUND BASIC INCOME, BUT FOR CONVERSATIONS IN GENERAL AROUND ECONOMIC SECURITY. IN A MOMENT WHEN THERE'S MANY REASONS TO BE PESSIMISTIC ABOUT WHERE OUR COUNTRY IS, IT'S INSPIRING TO ME AND I'LL A LOT OF PEOPLE THAT YOU GUYS ARE OPENING SUCH AN IMPORTANT FRONT IN THE CONVERSATION SO THANK YOU FOR HAVING US HERE TODAY AND FOR DOING THE WORK THAT YOU ARE DOING. SO, TODAY I WANT TO OPEN UP THE CONVERSATION AND A SET OF CONVERSATIONS THAT WILL HAPPEN OVER THE WEEKEND WITH A TALK ABOUT POWER. WE DON'T TALK VERY MUCH ABOUT POWER IN THE UNITED STATES TODAY. WHO HAS IT.HO DOESN'T HAVE IT. WHERE IT COMES FROM. HOW TO GET MORE OF IT. IT'S LIKE ONE OF THOSE TOPICS WHICH FEELS OFTEN A LITTLE TOO DANGEROUS. IT'S A LITTLE TOO TOUCHY TO BRING UP IN POLITE CONVERSATION. IT COMES UP AT A DINNER PARTY, YOU KNOW PEOPLE ARE GOING TO HAVE OPINIONS AND PROBABLY STRONGLY HELD ONE SPIRIT THAT'S A SIGN THAT IT MATTERS. WHEN I TALK ABOUT POWER FOR THE SAKE OF CONVERSATION TODAY, WHAT I MEAN IS REALLY THE ABILITY TO SELF ACTUALIZE. THE ABILITY TO ARRANGE THE WORLD OF PEOPLE, PLACES AND THINGS IN A WAY THAT SUITS YOUR WILL. THE MOST POWERFUL OR THOSE WHO HAVE THE FEWEST CONSTRAINTS, THOSE WHO CAN DO WHAT THEY WANT, WHEN AND HOW THEY WANTED. IN MY VIEW THE REALITY TODAY IS THAT POOR AND MIDDLE-CLASS PEOPLE IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA ARE LOSING POWER AND ARE LOSING IT AT A FASTER RATE THAN WE HAVE SEEN IN A VERY LONG TIME. THE AMERICAN DREAM WHICH I WOULD ARGUE FOR A VERY LONG TIME HAS BEEN MORE OF A MYTH THAN A REALITY, IS THE POWER TO DECIDE FOR YOURSELF WHO YOU WANT TO BE. AND EVEN THOUGH THE STOCK MARKET IS AT RECORD HIGHS, UNEMPLOYMENT AT RECORD LOWS, AND ALL THE ECONOMISTS WANT TO TELL YOU THAT THE ECONOMY IS DOING JUST GREAT, THE REALITY IS THAT IF YOU WORK HARD AND PLAY BY THE RULES THE IDEA THAT YOUR KIDS WILL DO A LITTLE BIT BETTER THAN YOU, THAT GRANT AMERICAN IDEA, THAT'S ON LIFE SUPPORT. THAT IS VERY CLOSE TO NO LONGER BEING TRUE. EVERY AMERICAN WANTS HER KIDS TO HAVE CHOICES THAT THEY HAVE HAD. THE CHOICE WERE TO LIVE. WHO TO MARRY. WHAT TO DO. WITH YOUR CAREER. MY PARENTS CERTAINLY WANTED THAT FOR ME. I GREW UP IN A LITTLE TOWN CALLED HICKORY NORTH CAROLINA. IT WAS AT THE FOOT OF THE APPELLATION MOUNTAINS. THE TOWN WAS CALLED HICKORY AND IT HAD BEEN A HUB FOR FURNITURE MANUFACTURING AND LABOR TELECOMMUNICATIONS UNTIL THOSE INDUSTRIES FOR THE MOST PART MOVED OVERSEAS. MY DAD WAS THE SON OF A COUNTRY CLUB GROUNDSKEEPER AND MILL WORKER. HE BECAME A TRAVELING PAPER SALESMAN. THE MIDDLEMAN BETWEEN THE BIG INDUSTRIAL PAPER PRODUCERS AND SMALL-TOWN PRINTERS. MY MOM'S PARENTS WERE BOTH MILL WORKERS. THEN SHE BECAME A PUBLIC SCHOOL TEACHER TAUGHT ALGEBRA, GEOMETRY AND OCCASIONALLY PRECALCULUS AT THE LOCAL PUBLIC SCHOOLS. THEY BOTH DID SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER THAN THEIR PARENTS HAD DONE ECONOMICALLY. THE ECONOMIC SECURITY THAT THEY ENJOYED GAVE THEM THE FREEDOM TO CHOOSE WHO THEY WANTED TO BE. TO BE THE FIRST IN THEIR FAMILIES TO GO TO SCHOOL AND CHOOSE CAREERS THAT LIGHT UP WITH THEIR OWN PASSIONS. THEY HOPED THAT MARCH OF PROGRESS WILL CONTINUE FOR ME. THEIR SON. IF YOU ZOOM OUT AND LISTEN TO THE INTRODUCTION AND LOOK AT THE TOP LINE OF MY OWN BIOGRAPHY, IT CAN LOOK LIKE AN EXTENSION OF THE AMERICAN DREAM. I GOT FINANCIAL AID TO LEAVE HICKORY AND GO TO A FANCY BOARDING SCHOOL CALLED PHELPS ACADEMY UP IN MASSACHUSETTS. I GOT ANOTHER SCHOLARSHIP. I GOT TO GO TO HARTFORD ON A MIX OF GRANTS AND STUDENT LOANS. THERE I ROOMED WITH MARK ZUCKERBERG. WE STARTED FACEBOOK OUR SOPHOMORE YEAR AND AS I LIKE TO SAY THE ROCKETSHIP TOOK OFF AND IT EXPLODED. EVERYBODY KNOWS MANY OF THE DETAILS OF THE STORY PARTICULARLY IF YOU'VE SEEN THE MOVIE. WHICH IS GETTING A LITTLE DATED. BUT IT EXPOSED A LOT OF PEOPLE TO THE EARLY YEARS LET'S SAY. BUT I DID THREE YEARS WITH THE WORK AT FACEBOOK ON THE COMMUNICATIONS, MARKETING AND PRODUCT TEAMS. FOR THAT I EARNED NEARLY HALF $1 BILLION BEFORE THE TIME I WAS 30 YEARS OLD. SUFFICE TO SAY IN MY VIEW THAT IS NOT HOW THE AMERICAN DREAM IS SUPPOSED TO WORK. THAT'S NOT UP BY YOUR BOOTSTRAPS WORK. THERE IS NOTHING THAT YOU CAN CALL MY EXPERIENCE EXCEPT WHAT IT IS. A LUCKY BREAK. BUT LUCK ISN'T EXACTLY THE RIGHT WORD FOR IT BECAUSE IT DOESN'T ACKNOWLEDGE VERY PURPOSEFUL DECISIONS. THE PEOPLE IN POWER HAVE MADE TO STRUCTURE OUR ECONOMY THIS WAY. WHILE MY STORY MAY BE EXTREME, I DON'T UNFORTUNATELY THINK IT'S THAT UNCOMMON. A SMALL GROUP OF PEOPLE IN OUR COUNTRY ARE GETTING FANTASTICALLY WEALTHY. SO THE LARGEST CORPORATIONS ARE LARGER THAN I'VE EVER BEEN AND IN THE SAME. WORKING PEOPLE ARE STRUGGLING TO MAKE ENDS MEET. WHAT'S HAPPENING IS THAT STORIES LIKE MINE ARE MAKING UP A COLLECTION OF STORIES THAT CREATE THIS ILLUSION OF ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY. THIS NARRATIVE THAT IF YOU JUST WORK A LITTLE BIT HARDER, YOU TWO OR YOUR SON OR DAUGHTER CAN BE THE NEXT MARK ZUCKERBERG. THAT JUST SIMPLY IS NOT REFLECTED IN REALITY. WHAT'S REALLY HAPPENING, IS PORT AND MIDDLE-CLASS FAMILIES ARE LOSING POWER. YEAR AFTER YEAR. WHILE A SELECT FEW GETTING VERY LUCKY. NOW IN THIS ROOM IN PARTICULAR I DON'T HAVE TO GO INTO ALL THE TOP LINE STATS. IMAGINE THAT SHOW THE DOCUMENT THIS IDEA. THERE'S A COUPLE I THINK ARE IMPORTANT. THE MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME OF AMERICANS HAS BARELY BUDGED IN THE PAST 40 YEARS. WHILE THE COST OF LIVING HAS RISEN BY NEARLY 30 PERCENT. PARTICULARLY DRIVEN BY RISES IN CHILDCARE COSTS, HOUSING COSTS AND HEALTHCARE COSTS. SMALL BUSINESS STARTS, A METRIC THAT SUGGEST THE OVERALL LEVEL OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP HASN'T BEEN AS LOW IN DECADES. AMERICANS ARE MOVING FAR LESS OFTEN. THAN EVER HAVE BEFORE. THE COST OF HOUSING IN OUR CITIES IS SKYROCKETING. AS IS THE COST FOR HIGHER EDUCATION. IN CHILDCARE. AND IT'S IMPORTANT TO SAY THAT SOME GROUPS ARE MUCH MORE DISEMPOWERED THAN OTHERS. IN 2016, THE AVERAGE NET WORTH OF WHITE FAMILIES WAS ONE $70,000. COMPARED WITH $18,000 FOR AFRICAN-AMERICAN FAMILIES AND 21,004 HISPANIC ONES. ON AVERAGE A WOMAN STILL EARNS $0.81 FOR EVERY DOLLAR A MAN EARNS IN WOMEN'S MEDIAN ANNUAL EARNINGS ARE OVER $10,000 LESS THAN MEN'S. BUT THE SAME TIME PEOPLE ARE LOSING ECONOMIC POWER, THEY ARE ALSO LOSING MANY OTHER KINDS OF POWER. FOR INSTANCE POWER IN OUR POLITICS. THE FLOOD OF MONEY INTO SPECIAL INTERESTS MEANS ELECTED OFFICIAL SPENT AS MUCH TIME DIALING FOR DOLLARS, QUITE FRANKLY CALLING PEOPLE LIKE ME TO HEAR MY OPINION ON THINGS, RATHER THAN TALKING TO THE CONSTITUENTS AND REFLECTING THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE THEY REPRESENT. THE MODERN PARTY AND PRIMARY SYSTEM MAKES IT EASY FOR FRENCH CANDIDATES TO EMERGE AND WHEN WE END UP WITH PEOPLE LIKE DONALD TRUMP AND THE WHITE HOUSE EVEN THOUGH ONE IN FOUR AMERICANS VOTED FOR HIM. IN THE LAST ELECTION. AT THE SAME TIME, CORPORATE MONOPOLIES AND OLIGOPOLIES ARE RESTRICTING CONSUMER CHOICE. WHILE GIVING THE ILLUSION OF ABUNDANCE. WALMART AND TARGET SEEM TO OFFER SUPERSIZED OPTIONS. ROWS AND ROWS OF BEAUTIFULLY COLORED PRODUCTS BUT BEHIND THE SCENES COMPANIES HAVE ACTUALLY CONSOLIDATED IN ALMOST EVERY SECTOR. A NARROW CONSUMER CHOICE. A NARROW CONSUMER POWER. A SINGLE COMPANY LIKE EXOTICA OWNS MORE OR LESS THE ENTIRETY OF THE EYEGLASS MARKET. NOT ONLY THE STORES THEMSELVES, STORES LIKE LENSCRAFTERS AND PEARLE VISION, EYEGLASS SECTION OF TARGET, BUT ALSO THE MANUFACTURERS. FROM THE CHEAPEST ONES TO GUCCI AND RALPH LAUREN. ALL MADE BY THE SAME COMPANY. CONSUMERS HAVE NO IDEA. TUBULAR MAKERS PRODUCE 96 PERCENT OF THE BEER SOLD IN AMERICA. PHARMACY CHAINS OWN ROUGHLY 90 PERCENT OF THE PHARMACIES IN OUR COUNTRY. AND FACEBOOK BECAUSE IT OWNS INSTAGRAM AND BY SOME ACCOUNTS CONTROLS AS MUCH AS 80 PERCENT OF THE TRAFFIC THAT MOVES THROUGH THE SOCIAL WEB. NOT ONLY ARE THESE MONOPOLIES CONCENTRATING POWER IN THE HANDS OF A FEW CORPORATE LEADERS, THEY ARE ALSO KEEPING WAGES LOW. IT'S CONNECTING TO THE LARGER TOPIC WE ARE ALL HERE TO DISCUSS THIS WEEKEND. WHEN THE ONLY EMPLOYER IN TOWN IS WALMART, THERE'S NO REAL COMPETITIVE MARKET FOR LABOR. AND BY SOME ACCOUNTS, WITHOUT THE MONOPSONY POWER OF LARGE EMPLOYERS, WAGES IN THIS COUNTRY WOULD BE AS MUCH AS 10 TO 20 PERCENT HIGHER THAN THEY ARE TODAY. NOW IN CASE I AM PAINTING TOO BLEAK OF A PICTURE, THERE IS TRUE THERE ARE BRIGHT SHOES. WE HAVE IPHONES AND NETFLIX. THERE ARE MORE FARMERS MARKETS AND THERE WERE A DECADE AGO. BUT THE UNDERLYING PROBLEM IS CLEAR. WHEN YOU HAVE RESTRICTED CHOICE, STAGNANT WAGES AND LITTLE LITTLE POWER, YOU HAVE FRUSTRATION. YOU HAVE ANGER. IN THE RISING TIDE OF NATIONALISM AND POPULISM IN OUR COUNTRY IS MUCH BIGGER THAN ECONOMICS ALONE. IT'S A CULTURAL SENSE. THAT EVERYDAY PEOPLE ARE LOSING THEIR VOICE, LOSING THEIR ABILITY TO KNOW THEIR FAMILY WILL BE HAPPY AND HEALTHY FOR THE LONG-TERM. I THINK IT'S UP TO US TO TRIM AND TIDY. IF YOU SUGGESTIONS ON HOW I THINK WE SHOULD DO IT. FIRST OFF, I THINK WE NEED TO THINK COMPREHENSIVELY AND AGGRESSIVELY ABOUT WHAT SHOULD BE DONE. I HAVE HAD ENOUGH WITH INCREMENTAL SOLUTIONS THAT NIBBLE AROUND THE EDGES AND DON'T CHANGE THE FUNDAMENTAL DYNAMICS OF HOW OUR ECONOMY WORKS AND WHO HE WORKS FOR. THE ECONOMY THAT WE LIVE WITH TODAY HAS BEEN NEARLY 50 YEARS IN THE MAKING AND IT NEEDS A FUNDAMENTAL RESTRUCTURING. WE OWE IT TO OURSELVES TO THINK BIG, TO THINK BOLDER AND TO BE PROUD OF THAT. SECOND, WE NEED A BROAD AND DIVERSE SET OF PRACTITIONERS. TO COME FROM EVERY WALK OF LIFE TO ROLL UP THEIR SLEEVES AND APPLY TO TALENTS WHERE THEY CAN. THIS IS WHERE YOU GUYS COME IN. STUDENTS AND RESEARCHERS, ACTIVISTS AND ORGANIZERS, POLITICAL AND BUSINESS LEADERS, RICH AND POOR AND BLACK AND WHITE, OLD AND YOUNG, WE NEED A MOBILIZATION THAT HAS NOT BEEN SEEN IN GENERATIONS IN OUR COUNTRIES. THIRDLY, LET'S AGREE TO HAVE A HETERO APPROACH TO RESTORING POWER TO WORKING PEOPLE. LET'S AGREE UPFRONT THAT THERE ARE NO MAGIC BULLETS. THAT NO SINGLE IDEA WHETHER IT'S UNIVERSAL, BASIC INCOME, A JOB GUARANTEE OR A BETTER COMPETITION OF POLICY ALONE IS GOING TO CHANGE ALL OF OUR PROBLEMS. WE NEED CAMPAIGN-FINANCE REFORM, UNIVERSAL CHILDCARE, SINGLE-PAYER HEALTHCARE FOR EVERY AMERICAN, STREAMLINED LICENSING REQUIREMENTS, SMALLER CITY PLANNING, BETTER HOUSING POLICY, WE NEED ALL THESE INTERVENTIONS. LET'S PUT AT THE CENTER OF THIS CONVERSATION THOUGH, THE SIMPLEST AND MOST EFFECTIVE WAY TO GET PEOPLE POWER. CASH. BY DEFINITION, MONEY IS THE MOST LIQUID FUNGIBLE SOURCE OF POWER. IT ENABLES AN INDIVIDUAL TO DECIDE WHAT SHE WANTS, WHERE SHE WANTS TO GO, WHAT SHE WANTS TO DO WITH HER TIME. NOW I WANT TO BE CLEAR MONEY IS NOT POWER PER SE. YOU NEED TO HAVE A GOOD OPTION SET TO CHOOSE FROM.OU NEED TO HAVE SKILLS TO THINK THROUGH WHAT YOU WANT AND WHAT YOU NEED. BUT IN A WORLD LIKE THE ONE WE LIVE IN TODAY, CASH IS THE MOST POWERFUL LEVER WE CAN PULL TO EMPOWER THE AMERICANS WHO NEED IT MOST. THERE ARE MANY WAYS TO GET CASH IN THE HANDS OF WORKING PEOPLE WHO NEED MORE OF IT. YOU CAN LOWER TAXES. YOU COULD REDUCE THE COSTS OF FUNDAMENTALLY IMPORTANT SERVICES LIKE TRANSPORTATION AND CHILDCARE. YOU CAN RESTRUCTURE MARKETS TO LOWER PRICES OF GOODS. YOU CAN RAISE WAGES. ALL OF THESE THINGS WOULD INCREASE THE CAST IN PEOPLE'S POCKETS AND I WOULD ARGUE WE SHOULD DO ALL OF THESE THINGS. BUT FOR THE SAKE OF THE CONVERSATION TODAY, I WANT TO FOCUS ON ANOTHER ROUTE THAT'S BEEN TALKED A LOT ABOUT HISTORICALLY AND FORTUNATELY TODAY IS ENJOYING A RESURGENCE OF ATTENTION. SPECIFICALLY, HOW WE CAN CREATE A GUARANTEED INCOME FOR AMERICANS. AS MOST OF YOU KNOW, THIS IDEA GOES BACK CENTURIES. TO THOMAS PAINE, JULIET REESE WILLIAMS, MILTON FREEMAN, OR LUTHER KING JUNIOR, RICHARD NIXON. ALL OF THEM SUPPORTED SOME KIND OF GUARANTEED INCOME. TODAY OF COURSE, THE UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME OR UBI IS GETTING A TON OF ATTENTION. BECAUSE A LOT OF PEOPLE LIKE MARK ZUCKERBERG AND ELON MUSK AND OTHERS FROM A TECHNOLOGY SECTOR ARE CONCERNED ABOUT THE RISE OF THE ROBOTS.NY POTENTIAL PERMANENT IMPACT ON THE NATURE OF EMPLOYMENT. THERE IS A LOT OF FEAR THAT JOBS ARE GOING AWAY. THAT MAY BE TRUE. IT MIGHT NOT BE TRUE. HOPEFULLY THAT'S NOT ONE OF THE THINGS WE DEBATE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. WHAT I WOULD SAY IS WE DON'T NEED ROBOTS TO TAKE ALL THE JOBS TO KNOW THE AMERICANS ARE EARLY SHRUGGING ANY MORE POWER. AND THAT CASH IS THE MOST EFFECTIVE WAY TO PROVIDE IT. TO BE VERY SPECIFIC, WHAT'S THE PROBLEM THAT A GUARANTEED INCOME IS TRYING TO SOLVE? I THINK THERE ARE TWO. ONE IS INCOME INEQUALITY. IN THE SECOND IS INCOME INSTABILITY. WE HAVE MANY TOOLS TO RESTRUCTURE OUR ECONOMY IN THE SHORT TERM BUT A GUARANTEED INCOME SPECIFICALLY IF WE PAY FOR IT THROUGH PROGRESSIVE TAXATION IS UNIQUELY ABLE TO REST THE UPPER DISTRIBUTION OF CAPITAL THAT WE CURRENTLY HAVE STRUCTURED IN OUR TAX CODE. THEN THE CURB TO MAKE IT MORE FAIR. SECONDLY, A GUARANTEED INCOME THAT ARRIVES IN A BIG ACCOUNT EVERY SINGLE MONTH LIKE CLOCKWORK WOULD BE A HEARTBEAT OF STABILITY. SOMETHING YOU COULD RELY ON NO MATTER WHAT. SOMETHING THAT IS PARTICULARLY NEEDED AT A TIME WHEN NEARLY HALF OF OUR WORKFORCE IS PART-TIME, CONTRACT, SEASONAL OR IN TEMPORARY JOBS. THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE SHOWS NONE OF THIS UNDERLYING INSTABILITY THAT WE KNOW IS ONLY GETTING WORSE. NOW I AM NOT, MAYBE A BIT OF A SURPRISE, NOT PART OF THE SCHOOL THAT CAN CREATE UBI IN UNITED STATES TODAY. THIS MIGHT BE AN AREA OF DISAGREEMENT AND SOME IN THE ROOM. $1000 A MONTH TO EVERY AMERICAN I THINK WOULD BE TOO EXPENSIVE FOR 2018 DOLLARS. MIND YOU NOT FOCUS ON THE PEOPLE WHO NEED THE MOST HELP. BUT I'LL THINK OF UBI AS A PARTICULAR POLICY OR PLAN. I THINK OF IT AS A SET OF VALUES THAT INSPIRE A WIDE VARIETY OF POLICIES. SO EVERY TIME SOMEBODY ASKED ME CHRIS, WHAT IS YOUR PLAN? I IMMEDIATELY SHIFT THE CONVERSATION TO TALK ABOUT THE VALUES. SPECIFICALLY THE IDEA THAT EVERY SINGLE PERSON DESERVES THE FREEDOM AND DIGNITY TO CREATE THEIR OWN FUTURE AND NOT CASH IS UNIQUELY ABLE TO GUARANTEE THOSE. IF WE CAN AGREE ON THAT COMMON VALUE SET, THEN I THINK WE OWE IT TO OURSELVES TO BE CREATIVELY ABOUT HOW TO ACHIEVE THESE ENDS. ONE MIGHT BE THROUGH A MODERNIZATION OF OUR TAX BILL THAT CREATES A KIND OF NEGATIVE INCOME TAX. A GOVERNMENT CASH TRANSFER OF $500 A MONTH. EVERY SINGLE MONTH. TO EVERY ADULT MAKING LESS THAN $50,000. THIS IS SPECIFICALLY THE PROPOSAL THAT I TALK ABOUT IN MY RECENT BOOK FAIR SHOP. ANOTHER DIFFERENT APPROACH MIGHT BE TOO CREATE A SOCIAL DIVIDEND. YOU CAN FUND IT THROUGH A TAX ON CARBON OR A TAX ON DATA. AND THAT WOULD PROVIDE PAYMENTS TO EVERY SINGLE AMERICAN. PROBABLY AT A MORE MODEST LEVEL TO BEGIN. OVER TIME, THAT MIGHT GROW. STILL ANOTHER APPROACH MIGHT BE TO BEGIN FUNDING A SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUND TODAY AND CREATE SOME KIND OF TRIGGER. TO ENABLE SOCIAL SECURITY. TO PAY OUT THOSE FUNDS ONCE THE SAVINGS ACCOUNT HAS GOTTEN LARGE ENOUGH. THEN WE ENTER AN ERA IN AMERICAN HISTORY WHERE THERE IS SO SECURITY FOR ALL. THESE ARE JUST A FEW OF THE EXAMPLES OF IDEAS THAT ARE OUT THERE AND I KNOW MANY OF YOU HAVE OTHERS. BUT WHEREVER WE ARE ON WHAT PARTICULAR ITERATION OF THIS FEELS MOST EXCITING TO EACH OF US, I THINK THE END RESULT SHOULD BE CLEAR. A RECURRING REGULAR STIPEND IN THE POCKETS OF THE AMERICANS WHO NEED IT MOST. IF WE CAN AGREE ON THIS AS A GOAL, WE MUST AS EVERY SINGLE PERSON IN THIS ROOM WHAT CAN YOU BRING TO THE SPITE? WHAT KIND OF LEADER DO YOU WANT TO BE. OVER THE PAST FEW YEARS I HAVE GRAPPLED WITH THIS QUESTION FOR MYSELF AND A LARGE AND GROWING COMMUNITY OF PEOPLE AND I'M ENCOURAGED. BECAUSE NOT JUST A FEW, MANY, DOZENS APPROACHING HUNDREDS HAVE DECIDED TO DEDICATE THEMSELVES AND THEIR LIVES TO THIS PROBLEM. I WANT TO INTRODUCE IN A VIDEO HERE YOU TO ONE WOMAN IN THE ECONOMIC SECURITY PROJECTS NETWORK. AISHA WHO I GAINED INSPIRATION FROM EVERY WEEK IF NOT EVERY DAY. AISHA RECENTLY HAD A BABY OF HER OWN SO SHE CAN'T BE WITH US HERE TODAY.UT I WANT TO INTRODUCE YOU TO HER VIA VIDEO BECAUSE SHE'S AN ORGANIZER WHO DECIDED TO LAUNCH A GUARANTEED INCOME PILOT FOR SINGLE BLACK MOTHERS IN HER HOMETOWN OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI. THIS POOR STATE INTERNATION. [MUSIC] >> Woman: I DON'T THINK WE REALIZE THAT OUR FUTURE IS REALLY DETERMINED BY WHAT WE ARE EXPOSED TO AND WHAT WE DREAM ABOUT. I KNEW WHAT I WANTED TO DO WHEN I WAS 10 YEARS OLD. I WANTED TO WORK FOR THE COMMUNITY. THAT'S BECAUSE MY GRANDMOTHER WAS AN ACTIVIST. [AUDIO LOST] THAT'S WHY WE HAVE GENERATIONS OF POVERTY. >> WHEN AISHA FOUND ME | [MUSIC] >> WE WANT TO GIVE YOU A FEELING OF COMPLETION. [LAUGHTER] >> WE TALK ABOUT THERE BEING A LACK OF LEADERSHIP IN THESE COMMUNITIES. I DON'T THINK IT'S A LACK OF LEADERSHIP, I THINK PEOPLE ARE EXHAUSTED AND THEY ARE FED UP WITH THIS TEXT. IF I HAVE THE ABILITY TO THINK AND BREATHE AND DREAM I THINK SOME OF THE LEADERSHIP THAT IS NATURALLY IN THESE COMMUNITIES WILL BEGIN TO MANIFEST AGAIN. >> I REALLY DIDN'T THINK THEY WOULD THINK AHEAD. JUST WORRIED ABOUT RIGHT NOW. I WENT TO SCHOOL FOR SOCIAL WORK. I WANT TO BE ABLE TO DO IT ON MY OWN. MY REALITY IS I CAN'T. I'M NOT ASHAMED TO SAY I NEED HELP. >> IF WE JUST LOOK AT THE NUMBER OF FOLKS WHO LIVE IN POVERTY IN THIS COUNTRY, THE MAJORITY ARE WOMEN AND THEIR KIDS. SO HAVING THE ABILITY TO LIFT THEM OUT OF POVERTY WOULD BE GREAT. I THINK BASIC INCOME COULD HELP IN SO MANY INSTANCES. GIVING SOMEONE MONTHLY CASH WITH STILL A SENSE OF BREATHING ROOM. I THINK IT SHOULD BE UNCONDITIONAL. I THINK WE SHOULD TRUST PEOPLE TO KNOW WHAT IT IS THEY NEED. I THINK HAVING BASIC INCOME CAN REALLY HAVE THE COMMUNITY ACROSS THE COUNTRY BECAUSE LOCAL LEADERSHIP WOULD BEGIN TO FLOURISH. >> IF I COULD NAME ONE PERSON I FEEL LIKE I DID SOMETHING. IF I COULD GET TO I'M KICKING MY HEALS UP. >> FOLKS WITH LIMITED INCOME ARE JUST LIKE YOU AND I. THEY HAVE THE SAME DREAMS WE HAVE PRAYED THEY WANT THEIR KIDS TO GO TO COLLEGE. WANT THEIR KIDS TO HAVE BIRTHDAYS. THEY WANT GRANDBABIES. THEY WANT THE WHITE PICKET FENCE AND THE OPPORTUNITY TO TAKE VACATIONS. THEY WANT THE SAME THING WE WANT. WE ARE NOT DIFFERENT. THAT'S THE PIECE I WANT TO GIVE OUT TO. THERE ARE DREAMS I HAVE WITH MY SON THAT ARE EXACTLY THE SAME DREAMS I HAVE WITH THEIR FAMILIES. >> Man: I GOT A CHANCE TO GO DOWN TO JACKSON IN FEBRUARY AND SPENT A COUPLE DAYS WITH AISHA AND SEVERAL OF THESE MOMS. I HAVE TO TELL YOU, SITTING AROUND A TABLE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PUBLIC HELPING COMPLEX HEARING HOW DIFFICULT WE HAVE MADE THE LIVES OF THESE POOR RESILIENT WOMEN WAS SHAMEFUL. SHAMEFUL TO ME AS AN AMERICAN THAT WE HAVE CREATED A SYSTEM THAT IS PREMISED ON A DEEP LACK OF TRUST. NOT ONLY DO WE NOT PROVIDE THESE WOMEN WITH THE SPRINGBOARD TO CHASE THEIR DREAMS, WE HAVE CREATED A WHOLE CONSTELLATION OF SOCIAL PROGRAMS. WHICH FORCED THEM TO DECIDE EXACTLY, TAKE DECISIONS THEY WOULD NOT OTHERWISE MAKE. WOMEN WHO DON'T HAVE THEIR SIGNIFICANT OTHERS MOVE IN WITH THEM. BECAUSE IF THEY DO, THEY WILL GET KICKED OUT OF PUBLIC HOUSING. THAT'S AGAINST THE RULES. WOMEN WHO DON'T DARE GET OVER A COUPLE THOUSAND DOLLARS IN A SAVINGS ACCOUNT BECAUSE IF THEY DO, THEY WILL SUDDENLY NOT BE ABLE TO GET ACCESS TO THE BENEFITS THEY HAVE NOW. WOMEN WHO SPEND HOURS A DAY NAVIGATING A COMPLEX AND WOEFULLY INSUFFICIENT TRANSPORTATION NETWORK AROUND JACKSON MISSISSIPPI JUST TO GET A MINIMUM WAGE JOB. JUST SO THAT, THE GOVERNMENT CAN SAY OH WELL BECAUSE YOU ARE A BURGER KING YOU ARE WORKING. WHEN IN REALITY, MANY OF THEM ARE WORKING VERY HARD AT HOME DUE TO CHILDCARE THAT THEY DEDICATED THEMSELVES TO. MANY AMERICANS INCLUDING A LOT OF PEOPLE I GREW UP WITH, MEMBERS OF MY OWN EXTENDED FAMILY, ARE CONVINCED THAT OTHER PEOPLE ARE STANDING BY WAITING TO TAKE THEIR HEART IN MONEY AND THOSE PEOPLE ARE JUST HANGING OUT LIVING ON THE DOLE QUOTE UNQUOTE.I THINK THESE NARRATIVES ARE DRIVEN BY THINLY CODED RACISM THAT IS GROUNDED IN A FUNDAMENTAL DISTRUST BETWEEN AMERICANS. AND THAT CYNICISM AND ISOLATION I BELIEVE IS OUR GREATEST ENEMY IN THE SPITE. OVER THE COMING YEARS, WE ARE GOING TO NEED A LOT OF THINGS. ON HIS JOURNEY. BUT THREE IN PARTICULAR STAND OUT PRETTY DATA, STORIES, AND ORGANIZATION. MANY PEOPLE IN THIS ROOM HAVE READ ALL THE REPORTS AND STUDIES DOCUMENTING THE EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR CASH. IT'S A MUCH LARGER BODY OF EVIDENCE THAT MOST PEOPLE BELIEVE. BUT WE NEED MORE OF IT. WE KNOW THAT STUDY AFTER STUDY HAS ALREADY BEEN DONE IN UNITED STATES SHOWS THAT PROVIDING PEOPLE WITH CASH IMPROVES THE QUALITY OF LIFE ACROSS THE BOARD. KIDS STAY IN SCHOOL LONGER. THEY DO BETTER ON TESTS. WHEN YOU PROVIDE FAMILIES WITH CASH, HOSPITALIZATION RATES GO DOWN. RATES OF ALCOHOLISM AND MENTAL HEALTH ISSUES DECREASE. ADULTS CONTINUE TO WORK JUST AS MUCH AS IT DID BEFORE. IF NOT MORE. AND PERHAPS MOST IMPORTANTLY, PEOPLE ARE ABLE TO STEP ONE STEP BACK FROM THE BREAK. BUT THE MORE DATA THAT WE HAVE ABOUT THE EFFECTS OF CASH, THE STRONGER OUR ARGUMENTS WILL BE. SO LET'S DO MORE RESEARCH. SECOND, I THINK WE NEED MORE STORIES. WE NEED MORE FACES LIKE PEOPLE LIKE AISHA AND OTHERS. AND WE NEED MORE VOICES FROM THE COMMUNITIES THAT A GUARANTEED INCOME WHEN MOST POWERFULLY IMPLEMENT. LET'S HAVE AISHA ON THE COVER OF TIME MAGAZINE TALKING ABOUT A BASIC INCOME NOT ELON MUSK. THE MAYOR OF STOCKTON CALIFORNIA, MICHAEL TUBBS, IS RUNNING A DEMONSTRATION OF THE IDEA OF A GUARANTEED INCOME TO SPECIFICALLY AMPLIFY THE STORIES OF THE BENEFICIARIES. AND TO PUT A HUMAN FACE ON WHO STANDS TO BENEFIT THE MOST. AND PERHAPS IRONICALLY, HE IS AN INDIVIDUAL HAS GOT AN IMMENSE AMOUNT OF ATTENTION, MUCH MORE ATTENTION THAN HE OR ANY OF US EVER EXPECTED. HIS OWN STORY GROWING UP IN POVERTY IN A SINGLE-PARENT HOUSEHOLD HAVING A FATHER WHO HAD BEEN INCARCERATED, SEEING HIS MOM STRUGGLE WITH THESE BILLS AND TALKING TO HER ABOUT WHAT DIFFERENCE $500 EVERY MONTH COULD MAKE IN HER LIFE IS WHAT INSPIRED HIM TO LEAD AND IT'S WHAT'S INSPIRING OTHER PEOPLE AND STOCKTON TO STAND UP AND DEMAND THE RIGHT TO ECONOMIC SECURITY. THESE STORIES HAVE TO BE TOLD AND TOLD MORE OFTEN AND TOLD LOUDER. DOCUMENTARIES, ON THE NIGHTLY NEWS, AND FACEBOOK FEEDS AND PERSON-TO-PERSON. WE HAVE TO HAVE STORIES TO CHANGE THE NARRATIVE. AND THIRDLY, WE NEED AN ORGANIZATION. WE NEED MORE PEOPLE FOCUSED ON HOW TO ACHIEVE NEAR TERM ENDS. THROUGH NONPROFITS, THROUGH CITY AND STATE GOVERNMENTS, AND AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL. IN ORDER TO REBALANCE POWER, WE HAVE TO BUILD SOME POWER IN OUR OWN MOVEMENT FIRST. THE GROUP THAT I CO-RUN THE ECONOMIC SECURITY PROJECT IS PLAYING I THINK A CENTRAL ROLE AS AN ORGANIZING HUB AND THE SPITE. BUT ULTIMATELY, IT'S NOT GOING TO BE ONE GROUP OR ONE NONPROFIT. TO BUILD A MOVEMENT BEHIND THIS IDEA WE NEED EVERY SINGLE PERSON IN ROOMS LIKE THIS ONE TO TAKE A MOMENT TO STEP BACK AND TO EVALUATE WHAT CAN I DO? NOT JUST IN MY SPARE TIME BUT HOW CAN I CHANGE MY LIFE? TWO DEDICATED TOWARD PROVIDING ECONOMIC SECURITY TO ALL AMERICANS? I BELIEVE THE TIME HAS COME TO ADOPT A SHARPER, CLEAR TONE TO WHAT IS HAPPENING TO OUR COUNTRY. THE LIBERAL RULES THAT OUR LEADERS HAVE USED OVER THE PAST 50 YEARS TO BUILD OUR ECONOMIC SYSTEM AND CREATE THIS MASSIVE IMBALANCE OF POWER UNDERMINE THE AMERICA THAT WE LIVE IN AND I THINK A COUNTRY THAT WE WANT IT TO BE. WE ALL HAVE A RESPONSIBILITY TO CHANGE THAT DIRECTION. AND I BELIEVE THAT THERE IS NO BETTER WAY TO LEVEL THE PLAYING FIELD AND RESPECT THE FUNDAMENTAL FREEDOM AND DIGNITY OF EACH INDIVIDUAL MENTOR CASH. LET'S USE EVERY TOOL WE HAVE TWO GET MORE OF IT IN THE HANDS OF THE PEOPLE WHO NEED IT MOST. THANK YOU. [APPLAUSE] >> WE ARE GOING TO TAKE SOME TIME FOR SOME QUESTIONS AND CONVERSATION WITH CHRIS. KATE AND JULIA WILL HAVE MICROPHONES GOING AROUND. I WILL START US OFF JUST WITH A QUICK SOFTBALL QUESTION. CHRIS, YOU TALKED A LITTLE BIT ABOUT THE EVIDENCE BASED ON CASH AS PREFERABLE TO INCLINE ANOTHER PIECE OF THE CASE YOU ARE MAKING IS MONTHLY CASH. REGULAR CASH. WE HAVE THIS EARNED INCOME TAX CREDIT WHICH IS CASH AND SOME OF THE EVIDENCE HE RESIDING WAS FROM THE ITC. LUMPED UP INTO TAX RETURNS THAT PEOPLE GET ONCE A YEAR. SO WHAT IS THE REASON FOR SOMETHING THAT COMES ON A MONTHLY BASIS MORE REGULARLY? >> Man: THE NEED FOR MONTHLY IS ABOUT THE PROBLEM OF INCOME INSTABILITY. SO INCOME INEQUALITY AS WE KNOW GETS A LOT OF ATTENTION BUT INCOME INSTABILITY I THINK IS VERY PROBLEMATIC AS WELL. ACCORDING TO YOU KNOW ECONOMISTS OUT OF PRINCETON, IN THE PAST DECADE, A DECADE AFTER THE GREAT RECESSION, 94 PERCENT OF THE JOBS WE HAVE CREATED IN THE UNITED STATES HAVE BEEN PART TIME CONTRACTOR OR TEMPORARY. IF WE EXPAND OR THINK ABOUT THE GIG ECONOMY NOT JUST AS TASK RABBIT LIFT AND UBER BUT ALSO SOMEONE WHO WORKS AT STARBUCKS AND WHEN WE GET 20 HOURS AND THE NEXT WEEK SHE GETS 35. THE NEXT WEEK 10. WHAT WE CAN SEE IS WHAT'S HAPPENING IN ECONOMY FOR A HOST OF REASONS, NOT JUST AUTOMATION AND GLOBALIZATION BUT THE LOSS OF WORKER POWER AND LOSS OF POWER IN UNIONS MEANS THAT A LOT OF THE JOBS THAT WE ARE CREATING ARE FUNDAMENTALLY UNSTABLE. SO THE POWER OF A GUARANTEED INCOME IS THE CASH AND THE AMOUNT ITSELF BUT ALSO KNOWING EVERY SINGLE MONTH THAT YOU ARE GOING TO HAVE SOME STABILITY. SOMETHING TO FALL BACK ON. SOMETHING THAT CAN HELP YOU MAKE RENT. PAY GROCERIES. SUPPLEMENT THE REST OF YOUR INCOME. THERE'S A STUDY MANY OF YOU HAVE PROBABLY SEEN. THERE ARE TWO I WANT TO MENTION. ONE IS 52 PERCENT OF AMERICANS CAN'T FIND $400 IN THE CASE OF EMERGENCY. WHICH IS A REMINDER THAT THIS IS NOT JUST THE INCOME INSTABILITY PROBLEM. IT'S NOT JUST A PROBLEM OF POVERTY.THE ALSO BY DEFINITION MEANS ABOUT HALF OF THE MIDDLE CLASS CAN'T FIND $400 IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. SO THE INSTABILITY OF THE CYCLE IS SOMETHING THAT IS PERMEATING GREATER AND GREATER PORTION OF OUR ECONOMY AND I THINK A MONTHLY KIND OF SIDE WOULD UNIQUELY SOLVE. THE OTHER SET OF RESEARCH ON THE POINT I THINK IS REALLY IMPORTANT TO MENTION IS THE WORK THAT ELDER HAVE DONE AROUND SCARCITY. IF YOU HAVEN'T SEEN THE BOOK APPROPRIATELY NAMED SCARCITY. YOU SHOULD CHECK IT OUT. WHAT IT SHOWS IS WHEN YOU LIVE ON A FINANCIAL BRINK AND WHAT YOU DON'T KNOW WHERE YOUR NEXT MEAL IS GOOD TO COME FROM OR IF YOU ARE GOING TO BE ABLE TO PAY RENT, AND HAS A VERY REAL COGNITIVE TAX. AISHA USES THE LANGUAGE OF A BANDWIDTH TAX THAT MAKES IT HARDER FOR PEOPLE TO DO EVERYTHING ELSE. IT'S A COLLECTION OF DOZENS OF STUDIES THAT DOCUMENT THE SPECIFICALLY, ONE OF MY FAVORITE IS THE GOOD OLD MALL. IN SUBURBAN NEW JERSEY. THEY ASK RANDOM PEOPLE THAT THEY SELECT, WHAT WOULD YOU DO IF YOUR CAR BROKE DOWN AND IT COST YOU $500 TO FIX IT? AND PEOPLE THINK ABOUT IT AND RESPOND AND THEY TAKE A PRETTY SIMPLE IQ TEST. PEOPLE WHO ARE POOR OR MIDDLE-CLASS GENERALLY ON THE QUESTION SCORE ABOUT THE SAME. AS PEOPLE WHO ARE WELL OFF. IF YOU DO THAT AGAIN THOUGH AND AT 802 THAT, WHAT WOULD YOU DO IN YOUR CAR BROKE DOWN AND IT COST $5000? 26? ASK THE EXACT SAME QUESTION. RUN THE SAME IQ TEST. WHAT YOU SEE IS THE PEOPLE WHO HAVE LESS MONEY, THERE IQ POINTS DROP BY 14. WHICH IS ABOUT THE EQUIVALENT OF WHAT HAPPENS WHEN PEOPLE PULL ALL NIGHTERS. AS THEY WERE IN THE BOOK THE ANALYSIS IS THAT PEOPLE CLEARLY HAVE NOT GOTTEN DUMBER IN THE COURSE OF THE 10 MINUTES TO RUN THE STUDY. IT'S ABOUT THINKING ABOUT WHAT WOULD YOU DO. HOW ARE YOU GOING TO BE ABLE TO FIND THE MONEY TO BE ABLE TO MAKE THOSE ENDS MEET FUNDAMENTALLY PULLS PEOPLE IN A DIRECTION WHERE THEY ARE IMMEDIATELY DISTRACTED THINKING ABOUT A LOT OF THINGS. AND TAXES AND THEIR OVERALL COGNITIVE FUNCTIONING. THE SCARCITY IS NOT JUST A MATTER OF AMOUNT, IT'S ALSO ABOUT PREDICTABILITY AND BEING ABLE TO HAVE BEFORE YOU CAN RELY ON. I THINK IS UNIQUELY POWERFUL. TO PROVIDING A LITTLE BIT MORE SECURITY TO THE PEOPLE WHO NEED IT MOST. >> HI CHRIS. GREAT WORK YOU ARE DOING. SOME PEOPLE WOULD SAY INEQUALITY AND POWER ARE IMPORTANTLY CONNECTED NOT JUST WITH INCOME ANY QUALITY BUT WEALTH INEQUALITY. IT'S NOT CLEAR HOW BASIC INCOME CAN DEAL WITH WEALTH. THE SECOND THING I WONDER ABOUT IS WHEN WE THINK ABOUT THE CITIZENS THAT YOU RIGHTLY POINT TWO FOR RESISTING BASE OF INCOME SOLUTIONS TO POVERTY, ONE THINGS WE HAVE TO BATTLE AGAINST IS THAT THE POOR ARE UNDESERVING. I WONDER IF YOU WOULD FIND IT USEFUL TO TALK ABOUT CORPORATE TAX BREAKS. CORPORATE SUBSIDIES IS ALSO A FORM OF BASIC INCOME. SO IT'S NOT JUST THE POOR PEOPLE THAT ARE GETTING THE LAMP SO TO SPEAK BUT BIG CORPORATIONS ARE GETTING IT TO YOU CAN DOCUMENT WAYS IN WHICH THEY GET THAT TO HELP KIND OF PUSHBACK AGAINST THE SUGGESTION OF THE POOR OR UNDESERVING BECAUSE THEY ARE GETTING A GUARANTEED INCOME. >> Man: SO MUCH THERE. I THINK I TOTALLY AGREE IT'S NOT JUST INCOME ANY QUALITY. OR INCOME DISPARITY. IT'S WEALTH INEQUALITY AND WEALTH DISPARITY THAT IS A HUGE PROBLEM. THAT'S WHY I THINK THAT SOME OF THE CONVERSATIONS THAT HAPPEN AROUND THINGS LIKE BABY BONDS SHOULD BE PART OF THE GENERAL BASIC INCOME CRANE. IF YOU TAKE THE VALUES OF CASH AS A UNIQUE WAY TO PROVIDE FREEDOM AND DIGNITY TO PEOPLE THAT'S A KIND OF VERSION THAT IS MORE FOCUSED ON WEALTH. THOSE WHO DON'T KNOW WHAT BABY BONDS ARE THE IDEA IS YOU CAPITALIZE A SAVINGS ACCOUNT FOR EVERY CHILD BORN. AND THAT WHEN THEY TURN 18 OR SOME LEVEL, THEY RECEIVE A KIND OF NEST EGG. MAYBE $20,000. WOULD BE $100,000. COULD BE SMALLER. COULD BE A SUPPOSED BIGGER. THAT'S ONE SORT OF FLAVOR OF A BASIC INCOME I THINK IS PAYING MORE ATTENTION TO WEALTH DISPARITIES.I ALSO THINK A LOT MATTERS IN THE FINANCING. IF YOU FINANCE A BASIC INCOME THROUGH ANY OF THE TOOLS THAT WE HAVE TO RAISE REVENUE THAT ARE OUT THERE. YOU CAN TAX CORPORATE AND DO PROGRESSIVE INCOME TAXATION WHICH WOULD HELP WITH WEALTH. YOU COULD DO A WEALTH TAX. IN THE UNITED STATES. YOU CAN THINK ABOUT THAT AT A STATE LEVEL. YOU COULD THINK ABOUT IT AT A NATIONAL LEVEL. THERE ARE CONSTITUTIONAL ISSUES. BUT THERE IS EVERY REASON TO PUT ON THE TABLE TO BE EVEN MORE FOCUSED ON THE WEALTH POINT. I WILL ALSO SAY WE HAVE ALSO THOUGHT I WORK WITH PEOPLE LIKE THE URBAN INSTITUTE TO STUDY OTHER WAYS TO DO A MINI VERSION OF A WEALTH TAX? COULD YOU CREATE A MANSION TAX FOR INSTANCE. THAT FUNDS AND EXPANDED THE ITC OR BASIC INCOME. MY POINT IS TO SAY THAT ABSOLUTELY I THINK THE WEALTH DISPARITY IS INCREDIBLY PROBLEMATIC AND IF WE THINK ABOUT THE DESIGNS OF BASIC INCOME POLICY, WE SHOULD ALL HAVE THAT CRITERIA IN MIND TO FIGURE OUT WHAT DO WE THINK IS THE BEST WAY TO PAY FOR THIS. WHAT WE THINK IS THE BEST WAY TO ADMINISTER IT. ON A CORPORATION TAX BREAK, YES I MEAN IT IS, THE TRUMP TAX BILL IN PARTICULAR IS JUST ASTOUNDING IN ITS VALIDATION OF 50 YEARS OF DEBUNKED ECONOMIC THEORY. IT HAS TRICKLED DOWN ECONOMICS. IF YOU CUT TAXES DOWN ON ME AND CORPORATIONS IT WILL BE GREAT FOR GROWTH. THAT HAS NOT BEEN TRUE. IT'S GOING TO BE GREAT FOR EVERYBODY. THAT HAS NOT BEEN TRUE FOR THE PAST 40 OR 50 YEARS. YET WE ARE STILL DOING MORE OF IT. ALREADY WE ARE SEEING THAT THE TAX BREAKS ARE NOT GOING TO THE R&D AND THINGS THE IMMIGRATION WOULD CLAIM. THEY ARE GOING TO SHARE BUYBACKS. SHARE BUYBACKS. DO THEY HELP PEOPLE LIKE ME? WHO ARE DEEPLY INVESTED IN THE STOCK MARKET. IT WILL SURPRISE ANYONE I THINK THAT BILL WAS FUNDAMENTALLY MISGUIDED AND DESTRUCTIVE BRICK AND MAKES THE CASE HARDER BECAUSE NOW THERE'S LESS REVENUE TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF FOR WHEN THERE IS PROGRESSIVE. I THINK THE ONE THING THOUGH THAT SHOULD BE INSPIRATION TO PEOPLE IN THIS ROOM. ANYBODY WHO TELLS YOU A BASIC INCOME IS TOO EXPENSIVE IS JUST FLAT WRONG. IT DEPENDS ON HOW YOU ARE STRUCTURING IT AND HOW LARGE IT IS AND WHO IT GOES TO. BUT WHAT I CALL FOR INSTANCE IN A FAIR SHOT, $500 TO EVERYBODY WHO MAKES 50 GRAMS OR LESS, IS ROUGHLY AS EXPENSIVE AS THE TRUMP TAX BILL. SO IF WE CAN AFFORD TAX CUTS ON CORPORATIONS AND THE ONE PERCENT, THAT IS SOMETHING ALL AMERICANS CAN AGREE WE CAN AFFORD. WE CAN AFFORD AN INCOME FOR WORKING PEOPLE. I THINK IT'S A CALL FOR US TO THINK AS BOLDLY AND AMBITIOUSLY ABOUT OUR IDEAS AS THOSE WHO WANT TO CUT TAXES THINK ABOUT THOSE. >> THANK YOU VERY MUCH. I ALSO WANTED TO ASK YOU A LITTLE BIT ABOUT THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INCOME AND EQUALITY IN WEALTH AND EQUALITY. IN THAT THINKING ABOUT THE TAX CODE, THE EARNINGS OR INCOME FROM ASSETS ARE TAXED AT A LESSER OF THE RATE COMPARED TO INCOME FROM LET'S SAY LABOR FOR EXAMPLE. IF YOU SEE THERE IS A CHANCE TO REFORM THAT AN WHEN WE ARE TALKING ABOUT UBI? >> I THINK WE MUST BREAK IT'S ONE OF THE KEY WAYS WE SHOULD PAY FOR IT BUT SPECIFICALLY MAKING SURE THE REVENUE THAT COMES FROM CAPITAL GAINS INVESTMENT INCOME IS TAXED AT THE SAME RATE AS LABOR.E KNOW THAT IN THE LONG RUN, THE RETURNS ON CAPITAL ARE HIGHER THAN THE RETURNS ON LABOR RATE THE FACT THAT WE TAX THE CAPITAL GAINS A LOWER RATE THAN LABOR TAXES, I DON'T THINK MAKES ANY SENSE. CLOSING THAT LOOPHOLE IS A KEY WAY. NOT JUST FOR FUNDING OF BASIC INCOME BUT FOR FUNDING GOVERNMENT. >> THANK YOU SO MUCH. FOR TALKING AND SHARING. MY QUESTION IS AS YOU MENTIONED THE ECONOMIC BELONGS TO SOCIAL CATEGORIES. LIKE WOMEN OR PEOPLE OF COLOR. THEY ARE MORE INFLUENCED BY THEM. THE STRESS OF THE POVERTY. I AM WONDERING HOW POWERFUL THAT UBI IS TO HELP AND SOLVE THOSE KIND OF SITUATIONS. WHAT WORRIES ME IS AS YOU SAY IF UBI IS TOO EXPENSIVE TO BE GIVEN TO EVERYONE SO MAYBE THEY ARE JUST GIVEN TO SOME OF THE PEOPLE WHO ARE COMMITTED BUT IF WE ARE NOT CHALLENGING SOME OF THEM, ÃWHEN WILL THIS REINFORCE THE MARK AGAINST WOMEN OR PEOPLE OF COLOR? THAT IS SOMETHING I WORRY ABOUT. >> Man: I THINK WE ALL SHOULD WORRY ABOUT THAT. I THINK THAT'S ONE OF THE BIG, I WON'T CALL IT A FAULT LINE, BUT THERE ARE TWO CATEGORIES OF WAYS TO STRUCTURE BASIC INCOME. ONE THAT IS TARGETED AND YOU CAN CALL THE NEGATIVE INCOME TAX AND EXPANDED EARNED INCOME TAX CREDIT. IN THE POSITIVE IF THAT IS THE PEOPLE WHO NEED THE MONEY THE MOST TO GET IT. THE NEGATIVE IS THE CONCERN THAT YOU ARE ARTICULATING. THAT IT PLAYS INTO AN EXISTING WELFARE FRAME. THE SECOND WAY CONCEPTUALLY, TO STRUCTURE BASIC INCOME IS THE DIVIDEND MODEL. THIS IS THE PERMANENT FUND WHERE YOU CAPITALIZE IT THROUGH SOME KIND OF TAX ON CARBON, DATA, YOU NAME IT. EVERYBODY GETS THE SAME AMOUNT. THE UPSIDE BEING AND I HAVE VERY MUCH SEEN IN FOCUS GROUPS AND PUBLIC GROUPS, THAT CONCEPTUALLY IS A TOTALLY DIFFERENT FRAME FOR A VOTER RIGHT. THAT IS WE ALL ON THIS AND ALL GET OUR SHARE. IT'S ALMOST MAGICAL SOMETIMES BECAUSE YOU ESCAPE THE HARD WORK OF WHO DESERVES AND WHO DOESN'T. OF COURSE THE DOWNSIDE IS AS SOON AS IT BECOMES UNIVERSAL YOU HAVE BILL GATES GETTING IT. EVEN IF YOU TAX IT BACK AT MARGINAL RATES, YOU LOOK AT THE DISTRIBUTION CURVES AND IT HELPS A LOT OF MIDDLE-CLASS PEOPLE PARTICULARLY, PEOPLE WHO WOULD BE BETTER SERVED AND BETTER TARGETED MORE CLOSELY. THAT'S A CLEAR DOWNSIDE OF IT. I WOULD LOVE TO BREAK OUT OF THAT DICHOTOMY. I JUST OFFERED IT BECAUSE IT'S THE CONCEPTUAL FRAME I USE BUT I ALSO THINK THAT THE WORK THAT CAN BE DONE IN ROOMS LIKE THIS ONE IS TO COME UP WITH STILL OTHER WAYS OF THINKING ABOUT HOW TO DO THIS. >> I THINK WE SHOULD TRY BOTH. WE ARE IN AN EXPERIMENTAL MOMENT WITH THIS IDEA. LET'S NOT BE STRAITJACKETED BY ONE CONCEPT. LET'S EXPERIMENT WITH BOTH. LET'S TALK ABOUT HOW DATA IS EVIDENT MY WORK AT THE SAME TIME WE ARE TALKING ABOUT A NEGATIVE INCOME TAX. THE REST OF THE WORLD IS GOING TO HEAR THOSE AS BEING MORE OR LESS THE SAME SO WE MAY AS WELL EMBRACE THAT DEBATE AND WRITE THOSE PAPERS. DO THOSE EXPERIMENTS TO FIGURE OUT TO MOVE THE BALL FORWARD AS A COMMUNITY. >> AT A TIME WHEN EVERYONE IS COMING TO A DEEP REALIZATION IN EDUCATION IS THE KEY TO YOUR CHILD'S FUTURE. EDUCATION AND HIGHER EDUCATION BECOMES HARDER AND HARDER TO ACCESS. YOU COULD SAY IT'S AN UNSUSTAINABLE MODEL. YOU CAN TAKE A LOOK AT THE OUT-OF-STATE STUDENTS AND AFFORD STUDENTS THAT ARE RECRUITED BY THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN THAT GET A PICTURE ON THAT. BUT ONE THING I THINK THAT IS INTERESTING IS BOTH THE POVERTY SOLUTIONS AND OR WASH YOU AND MISSOURI, THERE ARE 6 TO 7 TIMES GREATER LIKELIHOOD OF A CHILD GOING TO COLLEGE IF THEY HAVE A SAVINGS ACCOUNT. THE SIZE OF THE SAVINGS ACCOUNT IS LESS IMPORTANT THAN A FACT OF IT. I AM WORKING THAT NOW BUT THE IDEA OF MY CHILD WILL HAVE A FUTURE AS A VERY POWERFUL PART OF THE CULTURE OF THIS COUNTRY. JUST AS THE OBSERVING 17TH-CENTURY. THAT'S BEEN DEEP. 87 PERCENT OF PEOPLE CAME HERE IN 17TH-CENTURY. BUT RIGHT NOW I THINK MAKING EDUCATION OPPORTUNITY AVAILABLE TO THE LOW INCOME POPULATION IS A PIECE OF THE WHOLE EQUATION PRINT. >> I THINK THAT'S A REALLY IMPORTANT STEP TO HIGHLIGHT. WE CAN AND MUST TALK ABOUT STUDENT DEBT CRISIS COST OF COLLEGE. ABSOLUTELY. WE SHOULD ALSO TALK ABOUT, I'M NOT FAMILIAR WITH THE STUDY, BUT IT SEEMS CONSISTENT WITH SOME OF THE OTHER THINGS I AM FAMILIAR WITH. IF STUDENTS HAVE A SAVINGS ACCOUNT, THEY ARE MORE LIKELY TO GO TO COLLEGE. I THINK THEY ARE NOT MORE LIKELY TO GO TO COLLEGE, BUT MORE LIKELY TO EXPERIMENT. TO BE OPEN TO DIFFERENT WAYS IN DESIGN THEIR OWN LIVES. I'M THE FACEBOOK COFOUNDER WHO DID NOT DROP OUT OF COLLEGE. PEOPLE ARE ALWAYS WHY DIDN'T YOU, THE MARK AND DUSTIN WERE DOING IT. WHY DID YOU STAY IN. I HAD FINANCIAL AID. NO ONE HAD EVER GONE TO COLLEGE LIKE HARVARD. I DO NOT HAVE A BIG ÃTHERE WAS NO HAMMOCK OR WHATEVER. THERE IS NO SAFETY NET. THE IDEA THAT THIS IS DIFFERENT THAN YOUR QUESTION. I THINK IT IS SIMILAR IN THAT THE RISK PROFILE WHEN YOU HAVE NO FOUNDATION, WHEN YOU HAVE NO SAVINGS, YOU ARE BY DEFINITION MUST LESS LIKELY TO THINK ABOUT WELL CAN I GO TO COLLEGE? SHOULD I GO TO COLLEGE BECAUSE YOU ARE JUST FOCUSED ON PAYING THE BILLS. I THINK THE KEY THOUGH IN ROOMS LIKE THIS ONE IS NOT TO SET THIS UP AS EITHER WE TAKE ON STUDENT DEBT CRISIS OR TAKE ON THE RUSSELL BASIC ASSETS. OR UNIVERSAL SAVINGS OR UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME. I THINK WE HAVE TO DO BOTH BECAUSE WE COULD SOLVE THE DEBT CRISIS BUT STILL HAVE A LOT OF AMERICANS WHO ARE TOO POOR WHO DON'T HAVE A SECURITY TO THEN TAKE ADVANTAGE OF ÃOR SOLVE A SECURITY BUT IF COLLEGE IS UNAFFORDABLE THAT DOESN'T WORK EITHER. I THINK IT HAS TO BE AN AND NOT IN ORDER. >>. [ MAN ASKING QUESTION ] >> I THINK WE HAVE TIME FOR A COUPLE MORE QUESTIONS. >> THANK YOU FOR YOUR PRESENTATION. MY MOM IS A CASHIER AT WALMART IN KANSAS. READING THE WALL STREET JOURNAL I SEE THE TRUMP TAX CUT SUPPOSEDLY LED TO THESE GREAT BONUSES BUT THEN WHEN YOU DIG A LITTLE DEEPER A LOT OF THEIR SAM'S STORES WERE CLOSED. MY MOM STILL FACES THE CONSTANT THREAT OF BEING FIRED FOR RATHER ARBITRARY REASONS. CAN'T SIT DOWN EVEN THOUGH SHE IS AN OLDER WOMAN. HOW DO YOU VIEW CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY IN AN AGE WHEN A LOT OF THOSE JOBS ARE GOING TO BE SHED? I AM SPEAKING MOSTLY ABOUT CORPORATIONS LIKE AMAZON OR WALMART AS COMPARED TO THE SILICON VALLEY FOLKS. KIND OF BRAGGING THEMSELVES UP IN THE ROLE THEY WILL PLAY IN AUTOMATION. WHAT SHOULD THEY DO AND DO YOU FORESEE THEM SUPPORTING UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME? >> Man: THE SCENARIO I'M THINKING A LOT ABOUT THESE DAYS AND READING ABOUT AND TRYING TO TALK TO AS MANY PEOPLE AS I CAN, BOTH EXPERTS, ECONOMISTS AND PEOPLE LIKE YOU AND YOUR MOM. I THINK CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY IS HARD TO ARGUE WITH THAT BUT I THINK TOO OFTEN IT'S A LITTLE BIT OF DRESSING UP THE PROBLEM. I THINK FUNDAMENTALLY WE DON'T HAVE A COMPETITIVE LABOR MARKET AND MANY SMALL TOWNS ACROSS AMERICA BECAUSE OF WALMART. SO NOT ONLY IS IT NOT POSSIBLE AS WORKER POWER, SO THERE'S NO WAY TO ORGANIZE FOR BETTER RIGHTS, BUT THERE ARE IN MANY CASES VERY FEW ALTERNATIVES TO GO FOR COMPETITIVE WAGES. THE CLASSIC ECONOMIC THEORY WOULD BE LIKE IF THE PLACE ISN'T PAIN ENOUGH THEN YOU GO ELSEWHERE. IF YOU ARE QUALIFIED YOU GET IT. THERE IS ONE EMPLOYER IN TOWN THEN IT IS NOT TRUE. THERE WAS A GREAT PAPER, A LOT OF WRITINGS ABOUT THE NAZI POWER AND ITS EFFECTS ON THE LABOR MARKET RECENTLY. THE ROOSEVELT INSTITUTE MARSHALL STEIN BOUND WHO IS THE CHIEF ECONOMIST, PUT OUT A FANTASTIC ONE MAYBE TWO MONTHS AGO. I WOULD ENCOURAGE PEOPLE TO READ IT HERE. I GUESS WHAT I'M SAYING IS I THINK WE HAVE TO RETHINK ANTITRUST POLICY IN THE UNITED STATES. TO FUNDAMENTALLY CHANGE THE COMPETITIVE DYNAMICS. NOT ONLY IN RETAIL BUT IN HEALTHCARE AND FINANCE AND CONSUMER GOODS IN SEVERAL DIFFERENT SECTORS. THE CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY IS LIKE SURE IT'S NICE THAT WALMART IS BUYING MORE ORGANIC FOOD BUT YOU KNOW. IT PAPERS OVER THE INCREDIBLE MONOPOLY KIND OF POWER THEY HAVE. THE GOOD NEWS IS THOSE KINDS OF POLICY CHANGES IN A WORLD WHERE ON THE LEFT WE HAVE LESS REVENUE TO WORK WITH AND A PROPOSED TRUMP TAX CUT ENVIRONMENT, FORTUNATELY THOUGH STILL COST MONEY. IT'S ACTIVE ENFORCEMENT OF THE RULES THAT WE HAVE ON THE BOOKS. A DIFFERENT FTC COULD DO. I'M HOPEFUL WE PAY MORE ATTENTION TO THIS AT THE SAME TIME. THE REASON I GET DOVETAILS WITH A LOT OF THE UBI CONVERSATIONS IS BECAUSE I MORE COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT WHERE WE CAN RISE GET MORE CASH. IN PEOPLE'S POCKETS. IT'S NOT EXACTLY $500 A MONTH AND ALL THE STABILITY. THAT'S WHY I THINK OF THESE THINGS AS A CONSOLATION THAT GO TOGETHER. THEY MUST IN MY VIEW ALL DUCK TAIL. WE MUST GO TOGETHER. >> ONE MORE QUESTION. >> HI. SO I AM A PERSON WHO RECEIVES A BASIC INCOME CASH TYPE MONTHLY. THROUGH MY APOLLO MINIONS. THERE'S A LOT OF TRIBES WHO ARE DOING THIS THROUGH CAPITAL PAYMENTS. I WAS WONDERING WHAT YOU THINK THE INDIGENOUS EXPERIENCE IN ALL THIS PLACE IN THE RESEARCH GOING FORWARD? >> DO YOU MIND IF I ASK WHERE ARE YOU FROM? WHAT TRIBE? >> SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN. POTTAWATOMIE. >> I DIDN'T KNOW THAT ONE. I'M TEMPTED SHOW THE QUESTION BACK ON YOU BUT I WILL TRY TO ANSWER FIRST AND IF YOU WANT TO WEIGH IN ON HOW YOU THINK ABOUT IT I'M CURIOUS. THE RESEARCH, THERE ARE A LOT OF NATIVE AMERICANS WHO CREATE A SOCIAL DIVIDEND STRUCTURES. IT SOUNDS LIKE YOUR FAMILY IS FROM. THERE ARE SEVERAL IN ALASKA WITH A SUPPLEMENT THE DIVIDEND. THE BIGGEST ONE IS IN NORTH CAROLINA. THE EASTERN BAND OF CHEROKEE FOR DECADES HAVE PROVIDED A BASIC INCOME TO THOUSANDS OF PEOPLE. IT'S FROM THE SETTING YOU SEE SOME OF THE MOST COMPELLING RESEARCH COMING OUT IMPROVED HEALTH AND EDUCATION OUTCOMES AND YOU SEE IT LASTING NOW, I THINK DOCTOR COSTELLO AT DUKE HAS NOW A 20 YEAR TIME HORIZON ON IT. YOU STILL SEE PEOPLE AND KIDS WHO ARE IN THEIR TEENS AND THEIR FAMILIES STARTED GETTING IT 20 YEARS LATER HAVING LOWER PRIME RATES. HAVING RATES OF ALCOHOLISM AND MENTAL HEALTH. I THINK IT'S A REALLY ENCOURAGING DATASET FROM A SOCIAL SCIENCE PERSPECTIVE. HOWEVER, TELLING THE STORIES OF IT IS AS IMPORTANT. SHOULD SAY YOU TALK TO PEOPLE AND I'M CURIOUS AGAIN WHAT YOUR EXPERIENCE IS LIKE, YOU HEAR SOME REALLY EXPIRING ANTIDOTES OF FAMILIES SAVING US MONEY GOING TO COLLEGE. YOU HEAR ABOUT PEOPLE THAT ARE SKEPTICAL TO. I THINK THAT BOTH THE GOOD AND THE BAD, THERE IS A LOT TO LEARN FROM HOW THOSE PROGRAMS HAVE STRUCTURED. I DON'T KNOW IF YOU HAVE ANYTHING YOU WANT TO ADD ABOUT YOUR OWN EXPERIENCE. >> WHAT I'VE NOTICED MOST THAT CONCERNS PEOPLE HAVE IS NOT AROUND THE INCOME NECESSARILY ITSELF BUT THE POLITICS AND EVERYTHING THAT GOES ALONG WITH WHETHER REVENUE IS SOURCED. SO WHERE I'M COMING FROM PEOPLE AREN'T BUYING INTO BASIC INCOME NECESSARILY.AT LEAST NOT EVERYONE? >> RIGHT. THANK YOU GUYS. [APPLAUSE] >> THANK YOU CHRIS FOR GETTING US STARTED. I AM GOING TO ASK OUR PANELISTS TO COME UP AND WE ARE GOING TO START IN. I KNOW THIS IS A COUPLE SESSIONS. COME ON UP. DYLAN, MICHAEL, SAM, OLGA AND SHOLOM. I KNOW THIS IS A COUPLE SESSIONS. WE ARE GOING FOR A LONG. NOW PRINT AFTER THE SESSION WE ARE GOING TO MOVE INTO SOME SMALL GROUP DISCUSSIONS. IF YOU NEED A QUICK BREAK JUST GO FOR IT AND COME RIGHT BACK. SO THIS IS WHERE WE REALLY START TO GET INTO THE QUESTIONS OF BRINGING THE CONVERSATION THAT WE WILL TAKE UP THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WHAT ARE THE MOST PRESSING QUESTIONS THAT WE NEED TO ANSWER. WHAT ARE THE BIGGEST OPPORTUNITIES TO DO THAT. DYLAN MATTHEWS FROM FOX, I AM TOLD IT'S PRONOUNCED WITH AV HAS BEEN KIND ENOUGH TO OFFER TO FACILITATE THE PANEL. I WILL TURN IT OVER TO DYLAN BRENNAN. >> THANK YOU LUKE. THANK YOU CHRIS. I WANT TO REFUTE LUKE'S SUGGESTIONS BUT IF YOU WANT TO COME UP AND HAVE A MORE ONE-ON-ONE CONVERSATION. IF WE ALL DO IT. IT WILL BE GREAT. [LAUGHTER] WE HAVE A GREAT PANEL HERE. WE HAVE AN ECONOMIST. A SOCIOLOGIST BY TRADE. A PHILOSOPHY BY TRADE AND POLITICAL THEORIST BY TRADE. OLGA WHO SHOULD JOIN US SHORTLY. WE ARE FOCUSING ON TWO MAIN QUESTIONS ON THE PANEL. THE FIRST IS WHAT QUESTIONS REMAIN OUTSTANDING IN THINKING ABOUT BASIC INCOME STRATEGY AND WERE ADVOCATES OF CASH GO FROM HERE. WE HAVE LEARNED A LOT. THERE'S A SENSE OF LITERATURE ON THE CASH TRANSFERS AS MANY PEOPLE IN THIS ROOM CAN TELL YOU. MANY PEOPLE HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO. BUT THERE IS A LOT OF QUESTIONS OUTSTANDING. AROUND POLITICAL STRATEGY, COSTS OF DETAILS. AND SO WE ARE GOING TO TRY TO DIG INTO THAT. WE ARE ALSO GOING TO BE TALKING A BIT ABOUT HOW YOUNGER SCHOLARS WILL LEAN ON THEM AND OLGA FROM THE STANFORD BASIC INCOME LAB CAN CAN CONTRIBUTE TO THE. AND WHAT KIND OF RESEARCH PRIORITIES THEY CAN MAKE TO ADVANCE OUR UNDERSTANDING OF THAT. WHEN WE START WITH YOU OLGA, CAN YOU TELL US A BIT ABOUT THE STANFORD BASIC INCOME LAB AND WHAT YOUR MISSION IS AND TELL US A BIT ABOUT YOUR PROJECT WITHIN THAT? >> Woman: THE LAB WAS STARTED BY PROFESSOR G AND STANFORD. IT STARTED IN FEBRUARY 2017 SO ABOUT A YEAR AND HALF AGO. THE BIGGEST MISSION WITHIN THE CONTEXT IS TO PROVIDE A PLATFORM OF RECESS AND DISCUSSION AMONG STUDENTS AND PROFESSORS. WE HAVE SEVERAL SEMINARS OF BASIC INCOME WHICH IS HOW I GOT INTERESTED IN THE POLICY IN THE FIRST PLACE. WE ALSO STARTED WORKING ON AN ONLINE VISUAL MAP AND INTERACTIVE MAP THAT WILL BE A DATABASE FOR A VARIETY OF ESTATE OF RESEARCH OF BASIC INCOME FROM DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVES. IT WILL TRY TO CATEGORIZE THE SESSION ON BASIC INCOME INTO DIFFERENT THEMES AND SUBTHEMES SO THAT WE CAN HAVE A HOLISTIC PICTURE OF WHAT IS THE CURRENCY RESEARCH, RATE AND ALSO THE GAPS AND EXPERIMENTS ARE. THERE ARE FIVE PEOPLE INVOLVED IN THE HELAB. >> MICHAEL LEWIS IS HEAR WHO IS A SOCIOLOGIST AND HUNTER COLLEGE IN ONE OF THE FOUNDERS OF U.S. BIG ONE OF THE MAJOR ACTIVISTS IN THE ACADEMIC ORGANIZATIONS ON THIS PARADE HOW LONG WOULD YOU SAY YOU HAVE BEEN WORKING IN THE BASIC INCOME WORLD? [LAUGHTER] HOW HAS IT CHANGED? >> Man: I THINK SINCE THE LATE 90S. SOMETHING LIKE THAT. A LITTLE WHILE. HOW IS IT CHANGED? I GET THIS QUESTION A LOT OBVIOUSLY. I ALWAYS ANSWER THE SAME WAY. THERE'S A LOT MORE DISCUSSION ABOUT IT NOW. THEN THERE WAS THEN BURIED DOMINIC. THAT'S ONE HUGE DIFFERENCE. ANOTHER DIFFERENCE AND I GUESS I ATTRIBUTE THIS TO THE ROLE OF THE INTERNET MAYBE IN THE WORLD TODAY, THE DISCUSSION IS A LOT LESS ACADEMIC. THAN IT USED TO BE. WHEN I FIRST STARTED, THERE WASN'T AS MUCH. I KNEW MOST OF THE PEOPLE TALKING ABOUT IT AND MOST OF THEM WERE EITHER PHILOSOPHERS OR ECONOMISTS. THAT WAS PRETTY MUCH THE WAY THINGS LOOKED IN THE 90s OR EARLY 2000'S. IT'S STILL GOES ON. BUT IT'S A LOT BROADER. THAT USED TO BE. THOSE ARE THE MAIN DIFFERENCES. MUCH MORE DISCUSSION ABOUT IT IS MUCH BROADER. I GUESS ONE OTHER DIFFERENCE IS TIED TO THE SECOND. THERE SEEMS TO BE A LOT MORE ATTENTION TO THE AUTOMATION ARGUMENTS ABOUT INCOME. THERE SEEMS TO BE, AT LEAST IN THE U.S., THERE SEEMS TO BE THE ARGUMENT I HEAR MOST ABOUT. RECENTLY IN THIS COUNTRY. THE MAIN THREE DIFFERENCES ARE THOSE. FINALLY WE HAVE SAM HAMMETT WHO IS A POLICY ANALYST AT EAST CAMDEN CENTER. SAM IS KNOWN IN THIS ROOM FOR TALKING REGULARLY. [AUDIO LOST] >> Man: PERSONALLY PRIOR TO WORKING AND POLITY WELFARE I WORKED IN TECHNOLOGY POLICY. THAT IS SORT OF MY INTRODUCTION. I DID A LOT OF WELFARE WORK BACK IN CANADA. A LOT OF PEOPLE GET INTO THE AUTOMATION AND SAYING THIS IS A RESPONSE TO ROBOTS TAKING JOBS. I AM SORT OF IN REVERSE IN A SENSE THAT SPEAKING TO THE ISSUES OF INSTABILITY AND THINGS LIKE THAT THAT CHRIS BROUGHT UP, IF THOSE AREN'T PROPERLY ADDRESSED WE WILL NEVER GET TO THE STATE OF ROBOTS TAKING OUR JOBS BECAUSE THERE WILL BE A REACTION AND BACKLASHES BEFORE THE TAKES PLACE. I FEEL LIKE THERE IS A SENSE TO USE TECHNOLOGY POLICY BECAUSE I'M TRIED TO ACCELERATE THE TECHNOLOGY. >> THE LAST PERSON WHO DESERVES A FORMAL INTRODUCTION IS SHOLOM WHO IS A POLITICAL THEORIST BY TRADE ALSO WORKING IN THE BASIC INCOME LAB. MY UNDERSTANDING IS YOUR BACKGROUND IS ANCIENT GREEK POLITICAL THEORY RIGHT? >> Man: WOULDN'T CALL IT MY BACKGROUND BUT THAT IS THE STUDY I AM IN. I HOPE TO HAVE MORE TRAINING OF THIS IN THE COMING YEARS. BUT YES MY RESEARCH IS NOT DIRECTLY ON BASIC INCOME. DO YOU SEE ANY PARALLELS? >> Man: I NEVER THOUGHT OF THIS. I DO SEE A NUMBER OF PARALLELS. IF YOU THINK OF ANCIENT GREEK TO SEE A NUMBER OF PERIODS ESPECIALLY IN ATHENS AND SPARTA WHERE YOU SEE THAT A LOT OF ECONOMIC TENSIONS BETWEEN THE POOR AND THE WEALTHY LEADS TO A MAJOR SHIFT IN POLITICS. SOME OF THESE REFORMS HAVE A LOT TO DO WITH REDISTRIBUTION OF PROPERTY. I DON'T HAVE ANY SPECIFIC THING IN MIND THAT IS BASIC INCOME. [I NEED TO THINK ABOUT THIS MORE. THAT IS INTERESTING. >> NOW THAT WE KNOW WHO EVERYONE IS, LET'S TURN TO QUESTION ONE. WHAT IS IT THAT WE DON'T KNOW ABOUT BASIC INCOME THAT WE NEED TO KNOW BOTH TO GET THE POLICY RIGHT AND TO GET THE STRATEGY RIGHT IF WE DECIDED WE NEED MORE CASH PROGRAMS AND WANT TO PURSUE THIS STRATEGY? WHY DON'T WE GO DOWN THE LINE START WITH SAM. AND HAVE EACH OF YOU GIVE YOUR TAKE. >> WE CAN LEARN A LOT FROM BASIC INCOME EXPERIENCE. THERE'S A LOT THAT WE CAN'T KNOW UNTIL WE HAVE SOMETHING. IN ECONOMICS WE CALL IT GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM EFFECTS. WE HAVE A STUDY THAT LOOKS AT NARROWLY WITHIN A COHORT IN SEATTLE WHAT HAPPENS TO THEIR LABOR SUPPLY OR HOW THEY SPEND THE MONEY. BUT TO UNDERSTAND HOW IT WILL AFFECT THE MACROECONOMY, YOU CAN'T DO THAT IN A SUBSET OF A CITY BECAUSE THE MONEY WILL LEAK OUT. IT'S NOT A SELF-CONTAINED CURRENCY ZONE. THERE'S A BUNCH OF STUFF WE WILL NOT KNOW UNTIL WE DO IT. AND STUFF IS SIGNIFICANT. POTENTIALLY VERY SIGNIFICANT. THAT'S ONE THING. THE SECOND THING IS THE DURABILITY OF THE PROGRAM. IT'S ONE THING TO TEST THE PROGRAM. IT'S MERITS. WE DON'T LIVE IN A TECHNOCRATIC UTOPIA WHERE THE PHILOSOPHER KINGS THE RIGHT POLICIES. WE LIVE IN A DEMOCRACY AND HOW THAT PLAYS OUT IS SECONDARY TO ITS OPTIMAL OR WHAT THE STUDY FINDS. >> MICHAEL? >> LOOKING AT THE THIS, A LOT OF THE FOLKS WHO ADVOCATE BASIC INCOME AND CERTAIN CLAIMS ABOUT WHAT IT WOULD DO. IF WE EVER GOT ONE. IF THERE WAS SOME WAY AND THEIR EXPERIMENTS, I THINK YOU ARE RIGHT, IF THERE WAS SOMEWHERE IN THE EXPERIMENTS TO FOCUS ON THE CERTAIN QUESTIONS I WOULD FOCUS ON THESE. ONE QUESTION IS HOW WOULD A BASIC INCOME AFFECT HOW EMPLOYEES INTERACT? I RAISE THAT BECAUSE ONE OF THE CLAIMS THAT SUPPORTERS HAVE MADE IS IT WOULD GIVE WORKERS MORE BARGAINING POWER. IT WOULD IMPROVE CONDITIONS AT WORK. WAGES AND THINGS LIKE THAT. PRESUMING THAT WOULD COME THROUGH BY WAY OF INTERACTIONS WITH EMPLOYEES AND IF THERE'S SOME WAY WE CAN LOOK AT THAT I WOULD FIND THAT INTERESTING. THAT'S ONE DIRECTION. ANOTHER QUESTION IS ALSO IN THE WORK AREA. THERE'S A LOT OF CONCERN ABOUT THE IMPACT OF BASIC INCOME ON LABOR SUPPLY AND WOULD IT REDUCE IT. THAT IS WARRANTED. THAT MAKES SENSE. BUT THE OTHER QUESTION I THINK WOULD BE INTERESTING IS LET'S SAY PEOPLE DO WORK LESS. HOW DO THEY SPEND THEIR TIME? IF THEY WORK LESS. ANOTHER CLAIM I'VE HEARD IS THAT A BASIC INCOME WOULD FREE PEOPLE UP FROM HAVING TO WORK AND THAT'S A LABOR SUPPLY ISSUE. BUT SOME PEOPLE MIGHT DO THINGS THEY THINK IS PROBLEMATIC. BUT THEY MIGHT BECOME MORE SLICKLY INVOLVED. THEY MIGHT TAKE CARE OF THEIR KIDS MORE THAN I CAN NOW BECAUSE THEY ARE WORKING TOO MUCH. HOW WOULD PEOPLE SPEND THEIR TIME IF THEY DID HAVE MORE TIME? WHAT WOULD THEY DO? AND THE THIRD QUESTION INSPIRED BY HAVING READ CHRIS'S BOOK RECENTLY, HAS TO DO WITH HOW DOES THE BROADER PUBLIC UNDERSTAND THE WORK? DO THEY THINK THAT WORK IS JUST WAGE LABOR? DO THEY THINK THERE ARE SOME AREAS OF WORK THAT ARE NOT WAGE LABOR? HOW FAR WOULD THEY EXPAND THAT DEFINITION? WHAT CONSTITUTES WORK TO THE GENERAL PUBLIC? IF YOU READ CHRIS'S BOOK YOU WILL KNOW THAT QUESTION IS COMING FROM. THERE'S MORE BUT THOSE ARE THREE. I'M TALKING TOO MUCH. >> I THINK MY QUESTIONS ARE VERY MUCH IN LINE WITH YOUR QUESTIONS MICHAEL. THESE ARE THINGS I'M PERSONALLY CONCERNED WITH. THE WAY WE THINK ABOUT WORK. WHAT IS A MEANINGFUL LIFE. THE FIRST QUESTION IS VERY MUCH ATHE SAME. WHAT WILL PEOPLE DO WHEN THEY ARE GIVEN CASH? YOU GIVE PEOPLE FREE CASH AND THEY WILL JUST STOP WORKING. THEY WILL BE LAZY. I THINK THIS CONCEPTION IS SOMETHING THAT COMES UP FROM BARELY DEEPLY ENTRENCHED IDEOLOGY. A VERY WEIRD CONCEPTION OF HUMAN BEINGS IS SOMETHING THAT IS COMPLETELY SELFISH WHICH MEANS WE HAVE TO BE VERY MUCH CONCERNED WITH THE PROBLEM OF FREE) I THINK ONE OF THE BIGGEST QUESTIONS WE HAVE NOW IS OUR PEOPLE REALLY LIKE THIS OR IS THIS A SYSTEM THAT CAUSED US TO ACT IN A CERTAIN WAY OR TO REWARD CERTAIN ACTIONS. I THINK THIS IS DEFINITELY ONE OF THE BIGGEST QUESTIONS THAT I HAVE IN MIND. VERY MUCH RELATED TO THIS IS A QUESTION OF WHAT ROLE SHOULD A PAID LABOR HAVE IN THE CONCEPTUAL LIFE. CURRENTLY IT SEEMS THAT NOT ONLY DO WE HAVE TO WORK IN ORDER TO HAVE OUR BASIC KIND OF NECESSITIES OF LIFE SUPPLIED BUT WE ALSO ARE STRONGLY CONNECTED TO HER SENSE OF SELF IDENTITY AND SELF WORTH. I THINK ONE OF THE GREATEST QUESTIONS HERE IS IS THIS HOW WE WANT TO THINK ABOUT WORK OR SHOULD WE THINK ABOUT WORK AS SOMETHING IS COMPLETELY LIMITED TO PAID LABOR TEMPERATURES THIS IS VERY MUCH IN LINE WITH WHAT YOU JUST SAID. GIVEN FREE CASH MAYBE PEOPLE WOULD BE ABLE TO FULFILL A MUCH BROADER POTENTIAL OF HUMAN ACTIONS. FINALLY THIS IS SOMETHING VERY MUCH IN LINE WITH CHRIS'S COMMENTS ON POWER AND SELF-ACTUALIZATION.HIS IS THE IDEA OF FREEDOM. THE FREEDOM THAT WE AS A SOCIETY WANT TO BE COMMITTED T . GIVEN THOSE IDEAS OF WORK AND LABOR AND MEANINGFUL LIFE, WE CAN MAYBE RETHINK OUR CONCEPTION OF FREEDOM AND MOVE TO IDEAS OF FREEDOM AS EMPOWERMENT. FREEDOM TO DO THINGS. FREEDOM TO ACT. FREEDOM TO CREATE YOUR OWN IDENTITY AND OWN SENSE OF SELF THAT IS OUTSIDE OF WHAT WE NOW VALUE AS SOMETHING THAT IS MEANINGFUL. >> THANK YOU. FROM MY PERSPECTIVE AS A PHILOSOPHER FROM COLUMBUS, I THINK ONE OF THE MAIN QUESTIONS PERTAINING TO THE EMPIRICAL RECESSION BASIC INCOME. I THINK OFTEN WE HAVE IMPORTANT INTERESTING THE DISPUTES AMONG PEOPLE WHO DISCUSS UBI PERSPECTIVE. IT REFLECTS SETTING UP EXPERIMENTS AND WE MIGHT SEE THESE DISPUTES AS OPPORTUNITIES FOR DESIGNING FUTURE EXPERIMENTS. TRANSFER PILOT PROGRAMS THAT COULD ADDRESS THESE COMPLEX AND MAYBE YIELD MORE RESULTS. OR SOLUTIONS. MORE COMPLETELY I WOULD HOPE TO SEE SOME EXAMPLES. WHEN I STARTED RESEARCHING, UBI FROM THE PHYSICAL PERSPECTIVE I STARTED WITH SOMETHING THAT WAS MOST OF INTEREST TO ME WHICH WAS CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND HOW UBI CAN HOPEFULLY FAR BETTER THE JUSTICE AND HOW IT CAN CONTRIBUTE THE WAY WE THINK AND VALUE OUR WORK. WHICH IS MOSTLY WHAT WOMEN DO AS OPPOSED TO MEN WITHIN THE HOUSEHOLD. TO GIVE YOU CONTEXT AS PEOPLE KNOW, WOMEN OFTEN DO MUCH MORE DOMESTIC WORK FOR CHILDREN OF THE ELDERLY THAN MEN. OFTEN SOMETIMES THEY DO THIS BECAUSE IT IS THEIR PREFERENCE. FOR EXAMPLE BECAUSE MEN WANT THEM TO BECOME HOUSE HUSBAND IN THE LABOR MARKET FAVORS MEN. AN MEN'S LIFESTYLE. KNYOUR SECOND QUESTION WHETHER THE UPI CAN LIFT THEIR SOCIAL VALUE AND THE APPEARANCE OF CARE WORK AND CONSEQUENTLY WHETHER CARE WORK CAN CONTRIBUTE TO A BETTER OR MORE FAIR DIVISION OF CARE WORK AMONG THE GENDERS WITHIN THE HOUSEHOLD. I THINK WHY THERE HAS BEEN THE THEORISTS AND PHILOSOPHERS IS THE FACT THAT YOU HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY AND THE POWER TO EMPOWER WOMEN ECONOMICALLY WITHIN THE HOUSEHOLD AND ALSO IMPROVE OUR PERCEPTION OF CARE WORK. DIFFERENT THINKERS ARGUE AGAINST WHETHER IT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DIVISION OF CARE WORK WITHIN A HOUSEHOLD. THE UNIVERSAL CARETAKER MODEL. OR WILL UBI PRODUCTION INCENTIVIZE WOMEN IN THE CARE WORK. [ DISCERNIBLE ] WITH EXPERIMENTS OF THOSE WE FOCUS ON PRINT IMPORTANT TO USE THIS INTERESTS CONFLICT PHILOSOPHICALLY TO INFORM AND THINKING HOW THE DESIGN WILL WORK SHIFT THE FOCUS OR TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THIS QUESTION AND BE ABLE TO SEE. THANKS. >> THERE'S A LONG LIST OF QUESTIONS. A LOT OF THINGS TO ANSWER. REALISTICALLY A LOT OF THESE QUESTIONS ARE THINGS WE CAN TRY TO STUDY NOT CONCLUSIVELY BUT WITH LOCALIZED TRIALS. ONTARIO IS STILL ONGOING. THE TRAILS ARE STILL ONGOING. MICHAEL AS SOME OF YOU WHO HAS WATCHED THIS LITERATURE EVOLVE FOR THE LAST 20 YEARS OR SO AND ALSO SOMEONE WHO SPECIALIZES IN RESEARCH METHODS AS AN ACADEMIC AND WHO IS VERY CAUTIOUS ABOUT WHAT YOU CAN AND CAN'T CONCLUDE FROM THESE THINGS, WHAT WOULD YOU EXPECT SOMEWHERE IN THE NEXT FEW YEARS FROM THE STUDIES AND WHAT SHOULD WE USE FOR A MORE CIRCUMSPECT IF UNREALISTIC EXPECTATIONS? >> Man: THERE'S A PHILOSOPHER WHOSE NAME IS NANCY CARTWRIGHT. SHE HAS A SLOGAN SHE TALKS ABOUT EVIDENCE-BASED POLICY AND THINGS LIKE THAT. THE SLOGAN IS IF YOU DO EVIDENCE-BASED POLICY AND YOU DO EXPERIMENTAL CONTROL TRAVELING WHAT YOU USUALLY LEARN IS SOMETHING WORKS SOMEWHERE. IT WORKS SOMEWHERE. AGAIN THE TRAIL IS THE GOLD STANDARD FOR THE BRONZE STANDARD. I THINK ABOUT HER A LOT AND I READ ABOUT THE BASIC INCOME STUDY SPRING THERE ARE SOME DONE IN FINLAND. SOME ARE DONE IN INDIA. THERE ARE SOME IN CALIFORNIA. I AM NOT SAYING THEY ARE ALL STARTING THE SAME THING. SOME MIGHT BE CALLED EXPERIMENTS IN THE ACADEMIC LITERATURE. THERE ARE STUDIES ALL OVER THE PLACE VASTLY DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTS. I GUESS THE CAUTION WOULD BE, IT SEEMS OBVIOUS, AS I READ ABOUT SOME OF THE REPORTS OF THE STUDIES, IT DOESN'T SEEM LIKE IT IS OBVIOUS TO PEOPLE THAT ARE READING ABOUT THEM IS THAT YOU MAY NOT BE ABLE TO LEARN ALL THAT MUCH ABOUT WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IN THE U.S. FOR BASIC INCOME IN INDIA. OR VICE VERSA. THE CAUTION WOULD BE EVEN IF A UBI WORKS, YOU LEARNED IT WORKED SOMEWHERE IN A CERTAIN CONTEXT. YOU MIGHT GET DIFFERENT RESULTS. DON'T THINK WE KNOW ENOUGH IN SOCIAL SCIENCE TO ALWAYS KNOW WHY YOU MIGHT GET THE DIFFERENCES IN DIFFERENT CONTEXTS. WE KNOW THERE ARE DIFFERENCES, DIFFERENT RESULTS BUT WE DON'T ALWAYS KNOW WHY. I DON'T THINK WE UNDERSTAND HUMAN BEHAVIOR THAT WELL EVEN THOUGH WE CLAIM TO BE SCIENTISTS. >> AS PART OF YOUR WORK AT THE STANFORD LAB I UNDERSTAND YOU HAVE BEEN TRYING TO TRACK THIS EXPERIENCE OF TRYING TO ORGANIZE THE DATABASE OF WHAT WE KNOW. WHAT YOU LEARN FROM THAT PROCESS AND DOES THAT SURPRISE YOU LOOKING THROUGH THAT ASPECTS? >> UNFORTUNATELY I'M NOT THE RIGHT QUESTION TO ASK THIS PERSON BECAUSE I'M DEALING MAINLY WITH NORMATIVE ASPECTS. HOWEVER I AM FAMILIAR WITH THE WORK WE ARE DOING IN THE BASIC INCOME LAB ON THE EXPERIMENTAL ASPECT OF THINGS. I WOULD SAY THAT I AM SHOCKED BY THE NEED TO HAVE A REALLY STRONG RIGOROUS RESEARCH DESIGN THAT WILL ALLOW US TO GENERALIZE SOME OF THE CONCLUSIONS. ONE OF THE THINGS I AM STRUGGLING AND THIS IS VERY MUCH IN LINE WITH WHAT MICHAEL JUST SAID, IS THAT OUR ABILITY TO GENERALIZE FROM AN EXPERIMENT DONE IN THE RURAL PART OF INDIA TO POSTINDUSTRIAL SOCIETIES SUCH AS THE U.S. MIGHT BE VERY LIMITED. THE NEEDS ARE EXTREMELY DIFFERENT THE STRUGGLES PEOPLE ARE DEALING WITH ARE EXTREMELY DIFFERENT. PEOPLE THERE WOULD BUILD A ROOF OVER THEIR HOUSE. THIS IS SOMETHING THAT IS QUITE DIFFERENT FROM THE STRUGGLES PEOPLE ARE DEALING WITH HERE IN THE U.S. I GUESS THE MAIN THING I HAVE LEARNED HERE IS I FEEL LIKE THE NEED FOR A CAREFULLY CONSTRUCTED DESIGN THAT WILL ALLOW US TO GENERALIZE OUR RESULTS AS MUCH AS WE CAN TO UNDERSTAND AS MUCH AS WE CAN ABOUT BASIC INCOME. OLGA, A SUMP AND WHO IS A PHILOSOPHER, WHEN YOU ARE THINKING ABOUT THESE THEORIES IN THESE DEBATES, BASIC INCOME FOR MOTHERS AND OTHER KINDS OF CARETAKERS OR LIBERATING PEOPLE, WHAT IS THE ROLE IN RESEARCH AND YOU ARE FINDING? HOW DOES THAT SORT OF HELP YOU OR NOT HELP YOU EVALUATE THESE THEORIES? >> Woman: AS I SAID BEFORE I THINK THE RESEARCH IS A KEY PART OF THE WHOLE DEVICE. WHEN THINGS LIKE THESE HAPPEN, IS IT GOING TO BE ABOUT WHAT'S IMPORTANT IN LIFE AND WHAT WE CAN DO. [INDISCERNIBLE] I THINK IT'S IMPORTANT TO SEE THE HOLISTIC PICTURE. AND DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVES. I THINK IT'S IMPORTANT FOR THESE PEOPLE TO SEE THE HOLISTIC PICTURE AND DIFFERENT ANGLES TO PREPARE REGARDING POVERTY AND DEVELOPMENT. >> SAM IN YOUR DAY-TO-DAY WORK, I IMAGINE YOU ARE REFERRING BACK TO RESEARCH A LOT TRIED TO FIGURE OUT WHICH POLICY BASED ON WHAT WE KNOW ABOUT THE INTERVENTIONS. WHAT DID YOU FIND USEFUL AS KINDS OF RESEARCH AND SOCIAL SCIENTIFIC CONTRIBUTIONS IN TRYING TO APPLY WORK WHEN DOING POLICYMAKING? >> Man: I THINK IT REALLY DEPENDS ON THE POLICY AND THE AUDIENCE. FOR INSTANCE, I DID A LOT OF WORK ON THE CHILD TAX CREDIT AND BEFORE THAT GENERAL ADVOCACY ON CHILD ALLOWANCES. THEY HAVE A LONG PEDIGREE OF CONSERVATIVE CIRCLES. CHILD TAX CREDITS, CAN'T UNIVERSAL ACROSS THE WORLD. IN IRELAND THEY HAVE FAMILY ALLOWANCES THAT ARE DRIVEN BY CONSERVATIVE PARTIES. THE IRONY IS THAT THE REPUBLICANS ARE ALSO THE ONES THAT REFORMED CASH TO SINGLE MOTHERS AND STUFF LIKE THAT. IT REALLY DEPENDS ON EVERYTHING. IF YOU TALK ABOUT CHILD ALLOWANCES IN THE CONTEXT ABOUT THIS IS A PROFAMILY INITIATIVE WHEN PARENTS HAVE FINANCIAL SECURITY THEY ARE LESS LIKELY TO HAVE AN ABORTION FOR EXAMPLE. BECAUSE THEY KNOW THAT THEY WILL HAVE INCOMES TO RAISE HER CHILD.THESE ARE THINGS, A LOT OF CONVENTIONAL, IF YOU'RE WILLING TO REACH FOR IT YOU CAN CHANGE A LOT OF MINDS. THE OTHER THING IS THAT THERE IS DYNAMICS WITHIN THE REPUBLICAN PARTY'S PRO-BUSINESS. IN A SOCIAL CONSERVATIVE WING. SO THIS PLAY OUT WITH TAX REFORM. TO GREATLY EXPAND THE REFUND ABILITY OF THE CHILD TAX CREDITS TO GET MORE FOR FAMILIES A TRANSFER. IMMEDIATELY THERE WERE COALITION LETTERS FROM AMERICANS FOR TAX REFORM AND OTHER GROUPS IN THE WALL STREET JOURNAL CREATING EDITORIAL SAYING THIS WAS A GROWTH KILLING MEASURE. THOSE ARE ALL THINGS TO BE SENSITIVE TO. BUT ALSO CREATES AN OPPORTUNITY TO DISCUSS THE ISSUE. WHAT ISSUES, AND EJECTING NEW IDEAS. THE OTHER FRAMING ON CONTESTING WEEKLY IS TALKING ABOUT THE STUDY OF FREE RADICAL. SOCIAL IS NOT ANTITHETICAL TO THE MARKET, ACTUALLY COMPATIBLE TO THE MARKET IF THE MARKET WERE BETTER. EASY ADJUSTMENT COSTS AND TRADE. THEY REDUCE THE LIKELIHOOD WE WILL BAIL OUT GENERAL MOTORS BECAUSE IF YOU HAVE A PUBLIC PENSION THAT'S TIED UP WITH YOUR EMPLOYER. STUFF LIKE THAT CAN MAKE THE PERSON IN THE MARKET STOP AND SCRATCH THEIR HEAD. THERE ARE THINGS I HAD A LOT OF SUCCESS REACHING TO. THE CONVENTIONAL POVERTY SPACE IS A LITTLE BIT MORE ANGELICAL IN A LOT OF WAYS. THEY HAVE CERTAIN TALKING POINTS THEY WANT TO USE. AND ONCE THEY DON'T WANT TO USE. CERTAINLY BEING FLEXIBLE WITH YOUR LANGUAGE IS REALLY USEFUL WHEN YOU ARE TALKING TO REPUBLICANS. [LAUGHTER] >> THERE'S AN INCREDIBLE ANTIDOTE IN THE BOOK AMERICAN DREAM ABOUT THE REFORM ACT OF THE 90s WHICH IS A GREAT BOOK IF ANYONE HASN'T READ IT. JIM TALENT COMPOSED A BILL WITH DAN THROUGH MEDICAID AND CASH ASSISTANCE FOR ANY WOMAN WHO WAS A CHILD BEFORE SHE'S 21. KING RICHARD WAS INTERESTED IN IT A NATURAL LIFE VETOED IT BECAUSE THEY KNEW WHAT THAT WOULD DO TO THE ABORTION RATES. THERE ARE A LOT OF COMPLICATED SECTIONS HERE. YOU BROUGHT UP CHILD ALLOWANCES AND I THINK THAT'S A GOOD WAY FOR US TO TRANSITION TO THINKING ABOUT SPECIFIC DESIGNS. BUSINESS TALK IS VERY USEFUL IN LAYING OUT A BUDGET FOR MODELS HERE. I KNOW YOU SEE CHILD ALLOWANCES AS THE UNIVERSAL CASH MEASURE THAT BELONGS IN THE SAME CONVERSATION AS BASIC INCOME AS A BASIC INCOME FOR KIDS. GO, I'M CURIOUS HOW YOU VIEW THE AND HOW YOU SEE IS THERE LIMITED MEASURES THE BASIC INCOME THAT DOESN'T COVER EVERYONE INCLUDING ADULTS IN THE COUNTRY? IS THIS A USEFUL BUILDING BLOCK? IS IT A DISTRACTION? >> I GUESS I WOULD BE WHAT YOU MIGHT CALL UBI ACTIVISTS. WHAT I MEAN BY THAT IS I WANT TO BE CAREFUL. IN PRINCIPLE I MAY UBI REALIST. I THINK IT SHOULD BE UNIVERSAL. I THINK THE AMOUNT SHOULD BE AS HIGH AS IT IS SUSTAINABLE. I THINK IT SHOULD NOT BE CONDITIONAL. THUS MY STANCE IN PRINCIPLE. BUT I'M NOT A POLITICIAN. I'M NOT A REPUBLICAN. I'M NOT PART OF THE DEMOCRATS. IF I WERE DOING THOSE THINGS I MIGHT THINK DIFFERENTLY BUT I'M AN ACADEMIC. I HAVE THE LUXURY OF BEING PIERCED. I THINK IT'S IMPORTANT FOR SOME PEOPLE TO BE PIERCED. ANOTHER ANALOGY I USE. I IMAGINE MAY BE 1850 SOMETHING, WE MIGHT HAVE HAD A DISCUSSION ABOUT SLAVERY. SOME FOLKS MIGHT OF SAID YOU KNOW, GIVEN THE CURRENT U.S. CULTURE, THERE'S NO WAY FOLKS WOULD GET RID OF SLAVES. WE ARE NOT GOING TO DO THAT. WHAT WE SHOULD FOCUS ON IS TRYING TO GET LAWS PASSED THAT WOULD FORCE SLAVEOWNERS TO TREAT THEM BETTER. MAYBE NOT BEAT THEM AS MUCH. MAYBE NOT WORK TOO LONG IN THE DAY. I DON'T KNOW. IMAGINE TRYING TO MAKE SLAVE MORE HUMANE. THAT'S THE IDEA RIGHT? THAT MIGHT NOT HAVE BEEN AN UNREASONABLE POSITION TO TAKE. RIGHT? BUT I THINK BETTER THAN SOME PEOPLE SAYING NO. SLAVERY IS WRONG. PEOPLE SHOULD BE FREE. IT WOULD NOT BE THE BEST ANALOGY BUT IT WORKS FOR ME. I DO UNDERSTAND THAT IT'S POSSIBLE THAT THERE ARE POLICIES THAT CAN BE STEPPED OVER. THERE'S A GOAL AND AGAIN THE ALLOWANCE IS IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION. IT'S A PROPOSAL RIGHT. A FAIR SHOT. I UNDERSTAND POLITICS BUT I'M NOT DOING THAT. IT'S NOT ME. >> WE ARE GLAD YOU STAND YOUR GROUND. [LAUGHTER] >> OLGA I AM INTERESTED IN YOUR PERSPECTIVE ON THIS. I THINK SOMEBODY WHO COMES OUT OF D.C. MUCH LIKE SAM IS AN IMPLICIT CONSEQUENTIALISM POLICYMAKERS IN D.C. THINK. THESE ARE STEPS FOR THE THING I WANT. WE SHOULD JUST. [INDISCERNIBLE] I'M CURIOUS AS PEOPLE WHO THINK VERY HARD ABOUT THESE QUESTIONS. ARE THERE COMPROMISES THAT ARE WORSE THAN NOT DOING ANYTHING? HOW DO YOU EVALUATE COMPROMISES? ARE THERE VERSIONS OF THIS THAT SACRIFICE ENTIRELY THE GOODS WE ARE TRYING TO PURSUE? SIMPLE QUESTIONS LIKE THAT. >> Woman: THIS IS IDEAL. [ OLGA ANSWERING QUESTION ] >> I THINK THIS IS A GREAT QUESTION TO ASK TO THE THEORISTS. ESPECIALLY FOR ME THE THEORISTS. I'M USED TO THESE QUESTIONS. I THINK FROM A PHILOSOPHICAL STANDPOINT THERE ARE TWO THINGS I FIND HARD TO COMPROMISE ON. THE POLICY DEPENDS ON THESE TWO ASPECTS. FOR EXAMPLE I GET THAT WE ARE TRYING TO CREATE SOME SORT OF NEW FORM OF CITIZENSHIP. WE ARE TRYING TO REMOVE FORMS OF SEMA OF WHAT BEING POOR MEANS. I'M AFRAID REMOVING THESE ASPECTS ARE LESS APPEALING. MY BIGGEST CONCERN OR COMPROMISE AT THIS POINT IS THIS SPRING I'M AFRAID RIGHT NOW THERE ARE A LOT OF HOPES ON BASIC INCOME AND MOREOVER THERE ARE A LOT OF PEOPLE HOPING FOR SOMETHING NEW. FOR SOMETHING ELSE. MY FEAR IS THAT SINCE THERE IS SO MUCH HOPE ON THE INCOME, AND A SMALLER MEASURE THAN THE PROFESSIONALS VERSION, IF IT MEANS THAT BASIC INCOME WILL SIMPLY NOT SUCCEED, IT WILL GIVE A LOT OF AMMUNITION FOR PEOPLE WHO ARE AGAINST BASIC INCOME. I GUESS THE BIG QUESTION IS WILL WE COMPROMISE AND IF THE RESULTS ARE NOT AS GOOD AS THEY CAN BE OR WILL THEY BE IMPROVEMENTS? WILL IT MEAN PEOPLE WILL CONFORM MORE EASILY? THAT'S MY PERSONAL CONCERN. >> AND THINKING ABOUT ALL THIS AS WELL, I WOULD BE REMISS NOT MENTIONING THE DISCUSSION THAT'S OPEN UP THE NDC WITH SANDERS AMONG OTHERS, FOR A LONG TIME IF YOU HUNG OUT IMPORTS OF ECONOMICS FOR THE PAST 20 YEARS THERE ARE TWO BIG IDEAS TRANSFORMED. THERE IS BASIC INCOME AND THERE IS GUARANTEED JOBS. WE NOW HAVE A BILL IN THE U.S. SENATE THAT WOULD CREATE GUARANTEED JOBS WHICH IS A POINT SORT OF THE TRADITIONAL $10,000 A YEAR. IT SEEMS TO HAVE A LOT OF MOMENTUM. I KNOW YOU MICHAEL HAVE WRITTEN ABOUT THE IDEA OF THE RIGHT TO WORK. I'M CURIOUS TO EVERYONE AND WE CAN START WITH MICHAEL, IS THIS A RIVAL TO UBI? IS THIS TWO GREAT TASTES THAT TASTE GREAT TOGETHER? [LAUGHTER] >> Man: IDEALLY I AM FOR THE RIGHT TO INCOME. [INDISCERNIBLE] JIMMY IT'S A SECONDARY RIGHT. [ MICHAEL ANSWERING QUESTION ] >> SAM? INDISCERNIBLE [LAUGHTER] >> Man: ONE THINGS I SAY IS IF YOU MOVE REPUBLICANS ON MATTERS OF PRINCIPLE YOU MOVE DEMOCRATS ON MATTERS OF STRATEGIC AMBITION. RIGHT? THE DEBATE AROUND UBI THE CENTER OF BUDGET POLICIES, GREENSTEIN WROTE AN ARTICLE SAYING HE SHOULD NOT DO THIS BECAUSE OF THE DIFFERENT PROGRAMS. YOU DON'T WANT TO RISK REVERSING IT. YOU SEE A SIMILAR THING THROUGHOUT THE WEIGHT DEMOCRATS INCORPORATED ABOUT POLICY WHERE THEY WILL END UP COMPROMISING WORK REQUIREMENTS OR CONDITIONALITY TO GET SOMETHING. [ SAM RESPONDING ] LOOK AT JOB GUARANTEES THROUGH THAT LENS. I WORRY THAT IT IS ESSENTIALLY A REPUBLICAN STYLE WORKFARE PROGRAM JUST SCALED UP MASSIVELY. AND THAT DOESN'T REALLY EXCITE ME. ONE THING I DO WORRY ABOUT IS HAVING BEEN IN D.C. FOR THREE YEARS AND SEEING HOW BOTH PARTIES WORK. REPUBLICANS HAVE AN IDEOLOGY. THEN THEY PLAN THAT IDEOLOGY. DEMOCRATS START WITH THE POLLING. AND I TAKE THAT AS THEIR IDEOLOGY. I SEE THAT AGAIN AND AGAIN. IN THIS CASE IT IS A TRUISM IF YOU ASK PEOPLE IF THEY WANT JOBS IT PULLS REALLY WELL. THE JOBS GUARANTEED TO PULL OFF THE CHARTS. IT'S THE EXACT SAME POLLING QUESTIONS THE REPUBLICANS USED TO JUSTIFY WORK REQUIREMENTS. I'D RATHER FIND THE BEST POLICY. I SEE THIS AS PART OF A BIGGER TREND FOR BETTER OR WORSE, THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY IS BECOMING PARTY OF COLLEGE-EDUCATED. AS MUCH AS THEY LOOK BACK TO THE PARTY OF FDR, MAYBE THIS IS VERY RARE FOR THEM TO LEAP TO CREATING UNIVERSAL PROGRAM. [INDISCERNIBLE] I SEE THE JOB GUARANTEE AS POTENTIALLY A WAY TO SEEMS TO BE FITTING BUT AT THE END OF THE DAY IS EXACTLY WHAT YOU WOULD PREDICT FROM AN URBAN ELITE. [LAUGHTER] >> MY UNDERSTANDING IS THAT SPARTANS HAD TO RUN A LOT. HOW DO YOU THINK ABOUT THESE QUESTIONS? >> CAN YOU REPHRASE THE QUESTION? [LAUGHTER] >> DOES IT TROUBLE YOU THE IDEA OF BENEFITS TO WORK IN THIS WAY WOULD YOU THINK THERE IS A PLACE FOR IT TO WORK IN HIS DISCUSSION? >> I THINK ON ONE HAND THERE IS A GREAT APPEAL ESPECIALLY IN THESE TIMES IN ORDER TO HAVE THE NECESSITIES OF LIFE YOU HAVE TO HAVE A JOB. ON THE OTHER HAND I'M AFRAID IT'S PUTTING A BAND-AID IN THE SENSE THAT WE WILL NOT SOLVE THE DEEP PROBLEMS OF OUR SOCIETY. ESPECIALLY ONE THING IT LACKS IS THE ABILITY TO MOVE FORWARD. VERY LIMITED UNDERSTANDING OF WHAT EQUAL LIFE IS AND WHAT THE ROLE IS PLAYED. MY CONCERN IS THAT INSTEAD OF TRYING TO FIND A SOLUTION WHERE WE ARE LOOKING FOR NEW OPPORTUNITIES, WE WILL JUST GET LABOR THAN IS CURRENTLY PRINTED THAT'S MY ANSWER. >> LAST ONE. >>. [ OLGA RESPONDED TO QUESTION ] [ INAUDIBLE ] >> I DON'T KNOW HOW MUCH TIME WE EVER QUESTIONS THAT I WOULD LIKE TO OPEN THE FLOOR IF THERE ARE PEOPLE WHO LIKE TO PITCH IN. I DON'T KNOW IF WE HAVE MICROPHONES TO GO AROUND. [INAUDIBLE ] [ AUDIENCE MEMBER ASKING QUESTION] >> ONE THING I HEARD IS ÃWHAT IS $6400 FOR EVERY CHILD? $5400 FOR CHILDREN UNDER THE AGE OF 17. IT PLANS TO $35,000. IT REACHES 95 PERCENT IN HOUSEHOLDS. [INDISCERNIBLE] >> HOW MUCH IS THAT U.S.? [LAUGHTER] >> 4800 OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT. NEARLY $5000 PER CHILD IS A LOT. FULLY REFUNDABLE. THAT EXPANSION WAS IN 2015. [INDISCERNIBLE] >> I'M NOT SURE IF YOU'RE EXACTLY RIGHT. [INDISCERNIBLE] DEPENDENT ON HOW BIG THE UBI MINIMUM IS. THE UBI IS BIG ENOUGH TO CROSS OVER AND EMPLOYERS HAVE TO RAISE WAGES TO BRING THEM BACK. AND THEY MIGHT TRANSFER INTO HIGHER COSTS. THAT'S MY WORRY. NO ONE HAS BROUGHT UP ON A NATIONAL LEVEL. THAT HASN'T WORKED. THAT COULD BE A PROBLEM. >> WE HAVE TIME FOR ONE MORE QUESTION AND I HAVE NO WAY TO ENFORCE THIS. | >> FIRST OF ALL CONGRATULATIONS. [ AUDIENCE MEMBER ASKING QUESTION ] >> LETS HER ROAM THE OTHER END THIS TIME. OLGA, DO YOU HAVE ANY THOUGHTS ON THIS IN A WAY THAT IS TROUBLESOME? >> THERE WAS A LOT OF THINKING THERE. THE IDEA OF A THREAT TO THE STATE THAT IT UNDERMINES DEMOCRACY. WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS? >>. [ OLGA RESPONDING ] >> WHAT I MOSTLY STUDIED WAS AN ISSUE. ONE OF THE BIGGEST PROBLEMS TODAY IS THAT WE ARE COMPLETELY UNABLE TO IMAGINE ANYTHING THAT IS DIFFERENT THAN WHAT THINGS ARE. EVEN IF THINGS ARE BETTER THAN THEY ARE RIGHT NOW. [ JUGUEST ANSWERING QUESTION ] >>. [ GUEST ANSWERING QUESTION ] >> I WOULDN'T STAY UP AT NIGHT WORRYING THAT UBI IS GOING TO BE SUCCESSFUL REPEALING THE EXISTENT. YOU SEE THIS IN ALL KINDS OF AREA OF REFORM IN THE U.S. THERE'S A BUNCH OF PROPOSALS TO CONSOLIDATE XYZ TO PAY FOR A BUT YOU END UP GETTING A AND HAVING XYZ STILL BECAUSE IT IS MULTIPLYING. THERE ARE SOME CASES WHEN I WOULD FAVOR | [INDISCERNIBLE] REPLACING THAT WITH A BIGGER UNIVERSAL PROGRAM. KIDS WOULD BE TREATED THE SAME. THERE ARE CASES WHEN IT IS GOOD. THERE'S A CONSERVATIVE VIEW THAT IS ALL THE STATE DOES IS REDISTRIBUTE. TAKE THE HAVES AND GIVE TO THEY HAVE-NOTS. THAT'S REALLY A WRONG PICTURE. SOCIAL INSURANCE IS A WAY WE PULLED THE RISK AND NOT STRICTLY TRANSFERRING. HE WOULD GET RID OF FIRE INSURANCE AND THEFT INSURANCE AND CAR INSURANCE AND COLLAPSING INTO ONE THING. SOME PEOPLE HAVE OUR HOUSE BROKEN INTO THE HOUSE BURNED DOWN. THERE INSURANCE PROGRAMS THAT CAN BE CONSOLIDATED. I THINK THAT'S A CONCEPTUAL AIR ERROR. >>. [ PERSON ASKING QUESTION ] >> CHRIS WROTE HIS BOOK AND TOUCH THAT ON THE OVERALL LEVEL OF THE GRANT. TOUCHED ON A CERTAIN INCOME LEVEL. ON TOP OF THAT WE ARE TALKING ABOUT A UBI AS WELL AS A JOB GUARANTEE. I DEFINITELY CANNOT MAKE THE NUMBERS WORK ON THAT. AS PART OF THE NEXT GENERATION RESEARCH LET ME ASK YOU TO QUESTION SPRING ONE, AS PART OF MY GENERATION THINKING ABOUT THE PROCESS AND WHAT IT MEANS THAT WE ARE HAVING A CONVERSATION ABOUT THE NEED OF THIS NOW, HOW DO YOU THINK ABOUT THESE TRADE-OFFS? SOMETHING IS GOING TO HAVE TO HAPPEN. WE TALKED A LITTLE BIT ABOUT EXPERIMENTS. WHAT DO WE THINK ABOUT GRADUATE STUDENTS WHO WILL NOT BE ABLE TO DO AN RCT ON BASIC INCOME. WHAT IS THE CONTRIBUTION THEY CAN MAKE TRYING TO CONNECT? >> DYLAN FEEL FREE TO WEIGH IN. [LAUGHTER] >>. [ MAN ANSWERING ] >>. [ GUEST ANSWERING QUESTION ] >> HOW CAN I UTILIZE THEM. THIS IS SOMETHING I CARE DEEPLY ABOUT. THE BIG QUESTION IS WHAT DOES UBI MEAN FOR US? WHAT ROLE DOES IT PLAY? WHEN I TALKED TO MY FRIENDS IN OTHER DEPARTMENTS I TRY TO SEE HOW OTHER PEOPLE'S WORK CAN BE RELATED TO THE QUESTIONS WE CARE ABOUT AND HOW WE MIGHT BE ABLE TO HELP. >>. [ OLGA ANSWERING QUESTION ] >> MICHAEL, WHAT WOULD YOU TELL YOUR GRADUATE STUDENTS? [INDISCERNIBLE] [LAUGHTER] >> I WILL TRY TO ANSWER BOTH QUESTIONS AT THE SAME TIME. [ MICHAEL ANSWERING QUESTION] >> HOW CAN GRAD STUDENTS WORK ON THIS IF THEY DON'T HAVE $10 MILLION? THERE'S A TON OF BOOKS TO POP IN MY HEAD. THERE'S A FEW THAT USE DIFFERENT KIND OF PERSONALITY TESTS. ANYONE IN ANY CAMPUS CAN BRING A SIGNIFICANT NUMBER OF UNDERGRADS TO DO A PERSONALITY STUDY ON. YOU CAN LEARN SOMETHING ABOUT HOW PEOPLE THINK. THAT'S ONE EXAMPLE. IT'S A MULTIFACETED ISSUE. WE ARE NOT GOING TO ALL HAVE PAPERS THAT ARE DECADES IN THE MAKING. YOU CAN TAKE A PIECE OF THIS ISSUE FROM ALL AROUND. >> ONE PAPER I FOUND WAS USEFUL WAS FROM JUST PETER'S. AND ELIZABETH RHODES. WE WERE LOOKING AT INCOME TAX. LIKE SECTION 8, FOOD STAMPS, FTC. IT'S NOT THE SORT OF A CPL ESTIMATE BUT IT'S A VERY USEFUL NUMBER AND A USEFUL SENSE OF SKILL. [INDISCERNIBLE] >> I DON'T KNOW HOW THEY WORK OR DIFFER FROM COUNTRY TO COUNTRY. [INDISCERNIBLE] IF YOU LOOK AT THE DETAILS OF HIS PLAN PLAN WAS TO REVISE THE REVENUES TO THE MINIMUM POLICY OF FRANCE TO SLIGHTLY REDUCE THE WORK REQUIREMENTS. DO YOU KNOW ANYTHING ABOUT THAT? >> THERE'S A TON OF COUNTRIES AND SYSTEMS. [LAUGHTER] [ MAN ANSWERING QUESTION ] >> THAT'S A WAY OF ESSENTIALLY STABILIZING PEOPLE'S INCOMES THROUGH UPS AND DOWNS. THE OTHER THING I WANT TO POINT OUT IS THE BASIC INCOME POLICY TO KEEP IT TEMPORARY. THAT WILL UPSET PURISTS. IF YOU LOOK AT SOMETHING LIKE FOOD STAMPS. WHICH IS A QUASI-CASH SUPPORT. THE PERSON WHO USES FOOD STAMPS IS A PROGRAM FOR 10 MONTHS. THE EITHER AVERAGE OR CUT BACK OR SOMETHING PUT THEM UNDER THE INCOME THRESHOLD AND THEY ARE SUDDENLY ELIGIBLE. THEY WILL STAY IN THE PROGRAM PERMANENTLY. [INDISCERNIBLE] IF YOU GO TO THE HOSPITAL THE AVERAGE PERSON IN THE HOSPITAL IS ON BEDREST BUT ACTUALLY IF YOU LOOK AT THE GLOBAL POPULATION THE AVERAGE PERSON IS THEREFORE A DOCTOR'S VISIT. THEWHAT I AM GETTING AT HERE IS YOU CAN HAVE A PROGRAM WITHIN A 10 YEAR SPAN YOU GET TO ACCESS INCOME AS YOU HAVE WANTED IT. AND YOU LOOK AT THE FREQUENCY OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT. IF YOU HAD A LIFE EVENT THAT WAS A BIG INCOME SHOCK AND INCOME DISABILITY TO ACT IS THE UNIVERSAL INCOME THAT DOES NOT HAVE ANY RESTRICTIONS ON HOW YOU USE THE MONEY. THAT'S AN OPTION I HAVE NOT SEEN EXPLORED ENOUGH. >> TO BE CLEAR FOOD STAMPS DOESN'T KICK YOU OFF IF YOU DON'T QUALIFY AFTER 10 MONTHS. MOST PEOPLE RECOVER ECONOMICALLY. >> EXACTLY. >> AT THIS TIME THANK YOU VERY MUCH TO DYLAN AND THE PANELISTS. [APPLAUSE] APPARENTLY THE CONSTRUCTION GUYS KNOCK OFF AT 3:30 P.M. SO I APOLOGIZE FOR THE PREVIOUS INTERRUPTIONS. THANK YOU FOR WORKING THROUGH IT.T THIS TIME WE WILL TAKE A 10 MINUTE BREAK. WE HAVE REFRESHMENTS IN THE BACK OF THE ROOM TO HYDRATE YOURSELF. RESTAURANTS ARE OUT THE DOOR TO YOUR RIGHT. WHEN YOU RETURN WE HAVE THE PARTICIPANTS ASSEMBLE AT 6:00. ROUNDTABLE IS IN THE BACK FOR THE NEXT SESSION. PLEASE RECONVENE AT ABOUT 4:35 PM IN THE SMALL GROUP TABLES BEHIND US. THANK YOU. [APPLAUSE] REAL-TIME CLOSED CAPTIONING PROVIDED BY U.S. CAPTIONING COMPANY
B1 中級 美國腔 基本收入研究新方向講習班 (New Directions in Basic Income Research Workshop) 31 0 王惟惟 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字